2025 年 6 月 8 日 电力设备新能源、公用事业、环保 政策密集出台，新型电力系统将迎来突破式发展 ——电新公用环保行业周报 20250608 电力设备新能源 买入（维持） 公用事业 买入（维持） 环保 买入（维持） 作者 分析师：殷中枢 执业证书编号：S0930518040004 010-58452071 yinzs@ebscn.com 分析师：郝骞 执业证书编号：S0930520050001 021-52523827 haoqian@ebscn.com 分析师：陈无忌 执业证书编号：S0930522070001 021-52523693 chenwuji@ebscn.com 分析师：宋黎超 执业证书编号：S0930523060001 021-52523817 songlichao@ebscn.com 分析师：和霖 执业证书编号：S0930523070006 021-52523853 helin@ebscn.com 联系人：邓怡亮 021-52523802 dengyiliang@ebscn.com 行业与沪深 300 指数对比图 40% -20% 0% 20% 2024/6/7 2024/10/7 ...

证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2025 06 08 年 月 日 在新一代煤电方面，提出对照《新一代煤电升级专项行动实施方案 （2025—2027 年）》要求，推动具备条件的现役机组和新建机组针对清 洁降碳、高效调节两类指标分别开展试点，通过采用零碳低碳燃料掺烧、 CCUS（（碳集、、利用与存））等降碳施施，著降降低煤电碳放；；开展 主辅机装备技术创新应用和系统、成优化，提高煤电机组快速变负荷、 深度调峰和宽负荷高效调节能力，同时需具备安全可靠启停调峰能力。 ➢ 多地发布高温预警，迎峰度夏开启有望提振用电需求，煤价跌至 618 元 /吨。4 月，国家能源局曾预计今年度夏期间，全国用电负荷将快速增长， 最高负荷同比增长约 1 亿千瓦，电力保供面临着一定压力。综合研判， 迎峰度夏期间，全国电力供应总体有保障，局部地区高峰时段可能）在 电力供应紧张的情况。本周，多地地表温度超过 60℃，高温范围持续扩 大。今年 1-4 月全社会用电量 31566 亿千瓦时，同比增长 3.1%，整体 用电需求偏弱。进入迎峰度夏，高温天气或催化用电需求提升。成本端 煤价持续下跌，本周北港动煤 5500K 跌至 6 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry [6] Core Insights - The lithium battery sector is highlighted by the recent research achievements of CATL, which published findings on lithium metal batteries in the journal Nature, indicating advancements in battery technology [10] - The photovoltaic sector is experiencing a decline in domestic module production, with expectations of production falling below 45GW in June, driven by weak terminal demand [18] - The offshore wind sector is poised for performance realization in Q2 2025, with significant project progress in China and the UK [26] - The energy storage sector has seen a historic low in the average price of 2-hour storage systems, with the National Energy Administration initiating trials for new power systems [32] - The power equipment sector is advancing with the establishment of the first flexible direct current converter station in Guangzhou, indicating accelerated construction of major energy projects [40] Summary by Sections 1. Lithium Battery and Electric Vehicle Sector - CATL's lithium metal battery research has achieved a cycle life of 483 cycles, doubling that of previous products, with energy density potential exceeding 500Wh/kg [10] - Solid-state battery equipment was showcased at the 2025 European Battery Exhibition, indicating a shift towards advanced battery technologies [11] 2. Photovoltaic Sector - Domestic module production is expected to decline, with a focus on the upcoming SNEC exhibition for new product releases [18] - The supply chain for silicon wafers, battery cells, and auxiliary materials is adjusting downward due to reduced production [19] - The price dynamics of photovoltaic components are mixed, with some prices decreasing due to weak demand [20] 3. Wind Power Sector - Significant progress in offshore wind projects in China, with major installations expected to contribute to Q2 2025 performance [26] - The UK is set to launch its seventh round of Contracts for Difference (CfD) for offshore wind, with over 8.5GW of projects qualifying [27] 4. Energy Storage Sector - The total scale of energy storage bidding reached 6.57GW/20.2GWh in May, with the average price of 2-hour storage systems dropping to 0.55 yuan/Wh [32] - The National Energy Administration's new power system trials are expected to accelerate the development of virtual power plants and collaborative energy solutions [34] 5. Power Equipment Sector - The establishment of Guangzhou's first flexible direct current converter station marks a significant step in the construction of the "藏粤直流" project [40] - The results of the first joint procurement of 10kV transformers in North China were announced, with a total bid amount of 262 million yuan [41] 6. Industrial Control and Robotics Sector - ABB's acquisition of Bel Products signifies strategic expansion in the electrical enclosure market [49] - The domestic company SimiTech secured a 36 million yuan order for RV reducers, indicating growth in high-end component manufacturing [50] 7. Hydrogen Energy Sector - China's hydrogen energy development is transitioning into a new phase, with the Sichuan province releasing a long-term development plan [55] - Jiangsu Yancheng has proposed an orderly development of green fuels, with 12 new hydrogen companies established in May 2025 [56]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Increase" [5] Core Insights - The construction of a new power system is expected to alleviate renewable energy consumption issues, with pilot projects focusing on seven key areas including power and computing collaboration and coal power transformation [2][11] - The summer peak demand is anticipated to boost electricity consumption, with coal prices dropping to 618 RMB/ton, enhancing profitability for thermal power generation [3][12] Summary by Sections Industry Outlook - The National Energy Administration has initiated pilot projects for a new power system, emphasizing collaboration between computing and electricity, large-scale renewable energy delivery, and next-generation coal power [2][11] - High-temperature warnings have been issued in multiple regions, indicating a potential increase in electricity demand during the summer peak, with a projected maximum load increase of approximately 100 million kilowatts year-on-year [3][12] Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3385.36 points, up 1.13%, while the CSI 300 Index closed at 3873.98 points, up 0.88%. The CITIC Power and Utilities Index fell by 0.12%, underperforming the CSI 300 by 1.00 percentage points [58][59] Key Companies and Recommendations - Recommended stocks include Huadian International, Huaneng International, Datang Power, and JianTou Energy for thermal power, as well as Qingda Environmental Protection for coal power transformation equipment [3][8] - In the renewable energy sector, focus on undervalued green power operators, particularly in Hong Kong, such as Xintian Green Energy and Longyuan Power [3][8]

Group 1 - The core focus of Kelu Electronics is on the power industry, particularly in the areas of electricity consumption, distribution, and energy storage, leveraging advanced measurement and intelligent measurement technologies to enhance data value and support industrial upgrades [2][3] - Kelu Electronics showcased innovative products at the 2025 China International Metrology Testing Technology and Equipment Expo, including high-precision standard meters and intelligent terminal solutions, emphasizing technological breakthroughs in performance and measurement techniques [1][2] - The company has developed a complete technology chain for high-precision measurement, focusing on smart detection and digital measurement, and has introduced a range of new products to meet the demands of the new power system [3] Group 2 - Kelu Electronics has a leading market share in China and is well-positioned to meet energy upgrade needs in overseas markets, including Europe, America, and Asia [2] - The company’s new generation of flexible calibration assembly line won the "Product Innovation Award" at the expo, highlighting its industry-leading intelligent level and application value [2] - Kelu Electronics aims to become a world-class energy service provider, focusing on the development of smart grids and energy storage solutions to support the construction of new power systems [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for several companies including China Nuclear Power, Funiu Co., and Huaneng Hydropower, while providing a "Cautious Recommendation" for others like China General Nuclear Power and Longyuan Power [21][4]. Core Insights - The new power system pilot projects have been initiated by the National Energy Administration, focusing on seven key areas including grid technology and virtual power plants [3][37]. - Gansu's new energy installed capacity has surpassed 70 million kilowatts, with a year-on-year growth of 25.25%, solidifying its position in the energy sector [2][26]. - The electricity market is entering a peak usage season in June, with expectations for improved performance in thermal power due to low coal prices [19][3]. Summary by Sections Weekly Market Review - The electricity sector underperformed compared to the broader market, with the public utility sector index closing at 2376.19 points, down 0.14%, and the electricity sub-sector at 3165.47 points, down 0.34% [1][7]. - Among sub-sectors, photovoltaic power increased by 1.39%, while thermal and hydropower saw declines of 0.57% and 1.85%, respectively [13][1]. Gansu New Energy Update - As of the end of May 2025, Gansu's total installed capacity reached 70.62 million kilowatts, with wind and solar power each contributing over 32% to the total installed capacity [2][26]. - Gansu aims to reach 80 million kilowatts of installed capacity by the end of 2025, with a target of 160 million kilowatts by 2030 [2][26]. National Energy Administration Initiatives - The National Energy Administration has launched pilot projects focusing on innovative power system technologies, including smart microgrids and high-proportion renewable energy dispatch [3][37]. - The pilot projects aim to enhance grid stability and improve the integration of renewable energy sources [3][37]. Investment Recommendations - Companies to focus on include Huadian International, Jingtou Energy, and Funiu Co. for thermal power, and Changjiang Power and Chuan Investment Energy for hydropower [19][3]. - The report suggests monitoring companies involved in green electricity projects, as their returns are expected to be safeguarded under new regulations [19][3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies in the electric equipment and new energy sectors, including CATL, Keda, and others [4][5]. Core Insights - The new energy vehicle market shows strong growth, with significant delivery increases from various manufacturers, indicating a competitive landscape [2][11]. - The photovoltaic sector is experiencing a shift towards overseas production capacity, with companies like Junda establishing a 5GW solar cell base in Turkey to meet local demand [3][35]. - The National Energy Administration has initiated pilot projects for new power system construction, focusing on seven key technology areas [4]. Summary by Sections New Energy Vehicles - In May 2025, several new energy vehicle manufacturers reported strong delivery numbers, with Li Auto delivering 40,856 units and BYD maintaining a leading position with 382,476 units [2][11]. - Zeekr achieved a remarkable 37.7% month-on-month growth in deliveries, highlighting the competitive dynamics in the market [2][21]. Photovoltaics - Junda's agreement to build a 5GW solar cell base in Turkey aims to address local production gaps and enhance global service efficiency [3][35]. - The photovoltaic industry is facing a decline in production, with a reported 12.7% decrease in output in May due to reduced domestic orders [3][38]. - Price stability is observed in the solar component market, with TOPCon dual-glass components priced between 0.60-0.72 RMB per watt [3][38]. Electric Equipment and Industrial Control - The National Energy Administration's pilot projects will focus on critical technologies such as smart microgrid integration and virtual power plant aggregation [4]. - Key companies to watch include CATL, Keda, and others, which are expected to benefit from these developments [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry [6] Core Insights - The National Energy Administration has initiated the first batch of pilot projects for the construction of a new power system, focusing on seven key directions to enhance the integration and consumption capacity of renewable energy [3][19][20] - Zhejiang Province has released a demand-side management plan for summer peak electricity demand in 2025, aiming to reduce peak load by over 1GW through various measures including time-of-use pricing and encouraging user-side energy storage participation [4][27][28] Summary by Sections Market Review - From June 3 to June 6, the gas and water sectors increased by 1.15% and 0.64% respectively, while the environmental and power sectors decreased by 0.07% and 0.60%, with the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index rising by 0.88% during the same period [12][10] Industry Perspectives - The pilot projects for the new power system will explore new technologies and models, addressing bottlenecks in renewable energy development and enhancing the reliability of power supply [3][19][20] - The pilot focuses on seven areas: grid-structured technology, system-friendly renewable power plants, smart microgrids, collaboration between computing power and electricity, virtual power plants, large-scale high-proportion renewable energy delivery, and new-generation coal power [19][20][24] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends specific companies within various sectors: - For thermal power: Jiangsu Guoxin is recommended, while Sheneng Co. and Zhejiang Energy Power are given cautious recommendations [4] - For nuclear power: China National Nuclear Power and China General Nuclear Power are cautiously recommended [4] - For hydropower: Changjiang Power is recommended, with cautious recommendations for Huaneng Hydropower and Qianyuan Power [4] - For green energy: Attention is suggested for Three Gorges Energy and Jiangsu New Energy, with cautious recommendations for Longyuan Power and Zhejiang New Energy [4] - For environmental protection: Yongxing Co., Huaguang Huaneng, and Xuedilong are recommended, with cautious recommendations for United Water and attention for Fuzhi Environmental Protection and Dayu Water Saving [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for several companies including China Nuclear Power, Funiu Co., and Huaneng Water Power, while providing a "Cautious Recommendation" for others like China General Nuclear Power and Longyuan Power [21][19]. Core Insights - The new energy installed capacity in Gansu has surpassed 70 million kilowatts, solidifying its dominant position in the province's energy mix, with a year-on-year growth of 25.25% [2][26]. - The National Energy Administration has initiated the first batch of pilot projects for the new power system, focusing on seven key areas including grid technology and virtual power plants [3][37]. - The report suggests that with the onset of the peak electricity consumption season in June and low coal prices, the performance of thermal power companies is expected to improve [3][19]. Summary by Sections Weekly Market Review - The electricity sector underperformed compared to the broader market, with the public utility sector index closing at 2376.19 points, down 0.14%, and the electricity sub-sector at 3165.47 points, down 0.34% [1][7]. - Among the electricity sub-sectors, photovoltaic power increased by 1.39%, while thermal and hydropower decreased by 0.57% and 1.85% respectively [13][19]. Gansu New Energy Capacity - As of the end of May 2025, Gansu's cumulative installed capacity reached 70.6246 million kilowatts, with wind and solar power each contributing over 32% to the total installed capacity [2][26]. - Gansu aims to reach 80 million kilowatts of installed renewable energy capacity by the end of 2025, with a target of 160 million kilowatts by 2030 [2][26]. National Energy Administration Initiatives - The pilot projects will explore new technologies and models for the new power system, focusing on areas such as intelligent microgrids and high-proportion renewable energy delivery [3][37]. - The report emphasizes the importance of these initiatives in enhancing the stability and efficiency of the power supply [3][37]. Investment Recommendations - The report highlights specific companies to watch, including Huadian International, Jingtou Energy, and Funiu Co. for thermal power, and Changjiang Electric Power and Chuan Investment Energy for hydropower [3][19]. - It also notes the potential for growth in companies involved in green electricity projects, particularly those benefiting from the implementation of the 136 document [3][19].

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of grid energy storage as a key infrastructure for building a new power system, focusing on its roles in balancing power supply and demand, stabilizing grid operations, and efficiently integrating renewable energy sources [1][14]. Industry Overview - Grid energy storage refers to systems that store electrical energy through physical or chemical means and release it back to the grid when needed, aiming to balance supply and demand, enhance grid stability, and promote renewable energy consumption [2]. - The technology is categorized by storage principles (mechanical, electrochemical, electromagnetic, thermal) and application duration (short-term, medium-term, long-term) [2][3]. Current Development Status - As of Q1 2025, grid-side energy storage has shown robust growth, with a power scale share of 52.3%, a year-on-year increase of 17 percentage points. New installations reached 2.63 GW/6.48 GWh, reflecting year-on-year growth of 46%/68% [1][14]. - The industry has transitioned from technology exploration to large-scale application over the past three decades, with lithium-ion batteries dominating the market [6][12]. Policy Framework - The Chinese government has integrated carbon peak and carbon neutrality into its ecological civilization strategy, identifying energy storage as a critical technology for supporting high proportions of renewable energy integration [8]. - Policies have been issued to accelerate the development of new energy storage, with targets set for 30 GW of installed capacity by 2025 and a fully market-oriented development by 2030 [8][9]. Competitive Landscape - The grid-side energy storage industry in China has formed a competitive landscape characterized by a tripartite structure of state-owned enterprises, private companies, and technology firms [16]. - Major players include State Grid and Southern Power Grid, which dominate large projects, while battery giants like CATL and BYD control core supply chain segments [16][18]. Future Trends - The industry is expected to see diversification in technology routes, with long-duration storage solutions like flow batteries and compressed air storage gaining traction [22]. - Market-driven models will replace mandatory storage policies, with shared storage and virtual power plants becoming mainstream, enhancing the economic viability of storage projects [23][24].