每日经济新闻 没有股票账户的投资者可关注国泰中证半导体材料设备主题ETF发起联接A（019632），国泰中证半导 体材料设备主题ETF发起联接C（019633）。 注：数据来源wind、截至2025.9.25，半导体设备ETF规模为64.95亿，在同类6只产品中排名第一。如提 及个股仅供参考，不代表投资建议。指数/基金短期涨跌幅及历史表现仅供分析参考，不预示未来表 现。市场观点随市场环境变化而变动，不构成任何投资建议或承诺。文中提及指数仅供参考，不构成任 何投资建议，也不构成对基金业绩的预测和保证。如需购买相关基金产品，请选择与风险等级相匹配的 产品。基金有风险，投资需谨慎。 华创证券指出，中央高度重视反内卷政策在电子、半导体等高端制造业的推进，旨在通过规范竞争提升 国际影响力，为未来全球竞争争取有利地位。反内卷政策叠加企业现金活化，推动牛市主驱动转向实物 再通胀，电子、半导体等行业受益于供给端优化。短期科创板块表现活跃，科创板及创业板的五倍股分 布显著增加；中期关注供给偏紧的顺周期行业，如科技中的消费电子、光学光电子，这些领域库存及资 本开支处于低位，行业集中度提升或利于头部企业盈利修复。反内卷政策将推动通 ...

Group 1 - The report maintains a positive outlook for the short term, indicating that it is not yet time for high-low switching, while mid-term expectations are for a physical re-inflation bull market [3][10][14] - The report emphasizes the importance of technology innovation, highlighting that the technology sector is expected to continue its growth, particularly in industries with clear growth expectations such as pharmaceuticals (innovative drugs), electronics (PCB), and communications (optical modules) [6][54] - The report notes a shift in market dynamics, with large-cap stocks outperforming small-cap stocks, driven by factors such as superior earnings under inflation, resilience in return on equity (ROE), and the expansion of ETFs favoring large-cap styles [12][34][35] Group 2 - The report discusses the "barbell strategy," which is suitable for low-price environments, indicating that as inflation expectations rise, the demand for the reverse barbell strategy will increase [4][19] - The report highlights the performance of the technology bull market and the return of leading blue-chip stocks, noting that since June 25, there has been a reversal in style within the technology sector, with large-cap stocks gaining significant traction [5][33][36] - The report identifies key industries to focus on in the mid-term, particularly those experiencing supply constraints and price increases due to the ongoing "anti-involution" policies, including industrial metals, small metals, steel, petrochemicals, and construction materials [6][56]