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镍日报-20250815
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-08-15 02:17
Report Information - Report Title: Nickel Daily Report [1] - Date: August 15, 2025 [2] - Research Team: Non-ferrous Metals Research Team [3] Investment Rating - No investment rating information is provided in the report. Core View - The short - term prices of nickel industry chain products are showing a marginal recovery trend, but the fundamental situation of primary nickel surplus remains unchanged, and prices will be under pressure again after the macro - sentiment fades [8]. Section Summaries 1. Market Review and Operation Suggestions - The trading sentiment of the US dollar easing expectation has cooled. China's financial data in July was weak, and the economic outlook remains sluggish. The main contract of Shanghai nickel (2509) fell 1.26% to 121,200 yuan/ton. The off - season characteristics of the spot market are still obvious, with supply exceeding demand and weak trading [8]. - The precipitation in the main production areas of the Philippines in the third quarter has limited impact, and shipments will remain at a high level. The approved quota of RKAB in Indonesia is as high as 310 million wet tons, so the supply of nickel ore is expected to increase, and the price is under downward pressure [8]. - Due to the short - term high price of nickel ore, most Indonesian iron plants are still in a state of cost inversion. The NPI price continued to rise, reaching 924.5 yuan/nickel point on the 14th. Large stainless - steel enterprises are still waiting and have limited acceptance of high - priced raw materials [8]. - Supported by cost and rigid restocking of precursors, the price of nickel salts continued to rise. The price of battery - grade nickel sulfate on the 14th was flat at 27,530 yuan/ton [8]. 2. Industry News - Indonesia's Danantara is exploring investment opportunities in the nickel downstream industry and considering acquiring the PT Gunbuster Nickel Industry (GNI) smelter. It plans to prepare an investment plan of over $20 billion and provide about $60 million in medium - term financing through a syndicated loan [9][10]. - Bulgaria officially launched the largest operating battery energy storage system in the EU, with a capacity of 124 MW/496.2 MWh, which is a step towards its goal of deploying 10,000 MWh of battery energy storage capacity within a year [10]. - A research team in Turkey developed a TOPCon solar cell with nickel contact and almost no silver, achieving similar efficiency with significantly reduced silver usage, which is expected to reduce production costs [10]. - Apatura has obtained planning permission for a 100 - MW battery energy storage system project in Scotland, which will help the UK power system and Scotland achieve its energy and emission reduction goals [10].
建信期货镍日报-20250813
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-08-13 02:19
Report Summary 1. Report Information - Report Type: Nickel Daily Report [1] - Date: August 13, 2025 [2] - Research Team: Non - Ferrous Metals Research Team [3] 2. Core View - The nickel price is expected to rebound under macro - support, but the oversupply fundamentals remain unchanged, and the price may still face pressure after the sentiment fades [8] 3. Content Summary by Section 3.1 Market Review and Operation Suggestions - **Nickel Price Movement**: Shanghai nickel fluctuated strongly, with the main contract rising 0.67% to 122,440. The average premium of Jinchuan No.1 nickel decreased by 50 to 2,150 yuan/ton, and the spot premium range of domestic mainstream brand electrowinning nickel was - 100 - 300 yuan/ton [8] - **Supply and Price of Nickel Ore**: The impact of precipitation in the main producing areas of the Philippines in the third quarter is limited, and shipments will remain at a high level. The approved quota of RKAB in Indonesia is as high as 310 million wet tons, with a strong expectation of increased nickel ore supply and downward price pressure [8] - **NPI Price**: Due to the short - term high price of nickel ore, most Indonesian iron plants are still in a state of cost inversion. The NPI price continued to rise, with an average of 921.5 yuan/nickel point on the 12th [8] - **Nickel Salt Price**: Supported by cost and rigid restocking of precursors, the nickel salt price continued to rise. The average price of battery - grade nickel sulfate on the 12th increased by 60 to 27,510 yuan/ton [8] 3.2 Industry News - **Indonesian Investment in Nickel Downstream**: Indonesia's Danantara is exploring investment opportunities in the nickel downstream industry and considering acquiring the PT Gunbuster Nickel Industry (GNI) smelter. It plans to prepare an investment plan of over $20 billion and provide about $60 million in medium - term financing through syndicated loans [9][10] - **Battery Energy Storage Projects** - Bulgaria launched a 124 - megawatt/496.2 - megawatt - hour battery energy storage system [10] - Apatura obtained planning permission for a 100 - megawatt battery energy storage system project in Scotland, with the total approved storage capacity exceeding 1.6 gigawatts [10] - **Solar Cell Innovation**: A research team in Turkey developed a TOPCon solar cell using nickel contact with almost no silver, which can significantly reduce production costs [10]
建信期货镍日报-20250812
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-08-12 02:37
Report Information - Report Name: Nickel Daily Report [1] - Date: August 12, 2025 [2] - Research Team: Nonferrous Metals Research Team [3] - Researchers: Yu Feifei, Zhang Ping, Peng Jinglin [3] Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core View - The long - term surplus pressure of primary nickel remains significant. Short - term price rebounds of industrial chain products are due to long - term low prices, and should be treated as short - term rebounds. After the macro - optimistic sentiment fades, prices are likely to continue to face pressure [7] Summary by Directory 1. Market Review and Operation Suggestions - On the 11th, Shanghai nickel strengthened again, with the main contract rising 0.8% to 122,130. The spot market had sufficient available supply, but the receiving sentiment was average. The average premium of Jinchuan No.1 nickel decreased by 50 to 2,200 yuan/ton, and the spot premium/discount quotation range of domestic mainstream brand electrowinning nickel was - 100 - 300 yuan/ton [7] - The precipitation in the main producing areas of the Philippines in the third quarter has limited impact, and shipments will remain at a high level. The approved quota of RKAB in Indonesia is as high as 310 million wet tons, with a strong expectation of increased nickel ore supply, and prices are under downward pressure, weakening the support at the ore end [7] - Due to the short - term high price of nickel ore, most Indonesian iron plants are still in a state of cost inversion. The NPI price continued to rise, with an average of 919 yuan/nickel point on the 11th. Large stainless steel enterprises are still waiting and have limited acceptance of high - priced raw materials [7] - Nickel salt prices rebounded due to the rigid replenishment of precursors and low inventories of nickel salt plants. On the 11th, it continued to rise by 10 to 27,450 yuan/ton [7] 2. Industry News - Indonesia's National Investment Management Agency Danantara is exploring investment opportunities in the nickel downstream industry and considering acquiring the PT Gunbuster Nickel Industry (GNI) smelter. It plans to prepare an investment plan of over $20 billion and provide about $60 million in medium - term financing through a syndicated loan [8][10] - Bulgaria officially launched the largest operating battery energy storage system in the EU, with a capacity of 124 MW/496.2 MWh [9] - A research team in Turkey developed a TOPCon solar cell using nickel contact with almost no silver, which can significantly reduce production costs while maintaining high performance [9] - Renewable energy storage company Apatura obtained planning permission for a 100 - MW battery energy storage system project in Scotland, increasing its approved total energy storage capacity to over 1.6 GW [9]
镍日报-20250724
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-07-24 01:52
Report Summary 1. Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core View - On July 23, the nickel price shifted to narrow - range fluctuations as the continuously surging varieties adjusted, indicating emerging market divergence. The nickel surplus pattern remains unchanged, and price pressure persists. With the approval of additional RKAB quotas in Indonesia, nickel ore supply will be abundant, and there is room for a decline in premiums and ore prices. Although the ferronickel price has slightly rebounded, most smelters in Indonesia are still at a loss, and the production reduction after the conversion to high - grade nickel matte is limited, providing limited price support. Stainless steel is in the traditional off - season with high inventories, and it is difficult to support the raw material end. The sulfuric acid nickel price remained flat. Overall, the nickel fundamentals have not changed significantly, and the subsequent support from the ore end may weaken. Currently, the macro - sentiment dominates the market, and the nickel price is temporarily strong, but the rebound space should be viewed with caution [7]. 3. Summary by Section 3.1行情回顾与操作建议 (Market Review and Operation Suggestions) - On July 23, the SHFE nickel 2509 closed at 123,370, down 0.06% from the previous day, and the total index positions decreased by 2,860 to 173,672 lots. The nickel market's excess situation remains, and price pressure exists. The supply of nickel ore will be loose, and there is room for a decline in premiums and ore prices. The ferronickel price has a slight rebound, but most Indonesian smelters are still at a loss, and the support for prices is limited. Stainless steel is in the off - season with high inventories, and it is difficult to support the raw material end. The sulfuric acid nickel price remained at 27,250, and it is expected to stop falling temporarily. The overall performance of each industrial link is weakening, and the support from the ore end may loosen. The macro - sentiment currently dominates the market, and the nickel price is temporarily strong, but the rebound space should be treated with caution [7]. 3.2行业要闻 (Industry News) - The Indonesian Nickel Miners Association (APNI) revealed that Indonesia's actual nickel ore production in 2025 was only 120 million tons, far lower than the approved RKAB quota of 364.1 million tons in the first half of the year. The low utilization rate of the quota was due to the rainy season in major mining areas. In the first half of the year, Indonesia imported 4.6 million tons of nickel ore from the Philippines. Since January 2025, the cost pressure on Indonesia's nickel industry has been increasing due to policies and taxes. APNI is formulating ESG regulations to enhance its international reputation [8][10]. - Bulgaria launched a 124 - megawatt/496.2 - megawatt - hour battery energy storage system, marking a step towards its goal of deploying 10,000 megawatt - hours of battery energy storage capacity within a year [10]. - A Turkish research team developed a TOPCon solar cell using nickel contact with almost no silver, which significantly reduces silver consumption while maintaining high efficiency, potentially reducing production costs [10]. - Renewable energy storage company Apatura obtained planning permission for a 100 - megawatt battery energy storage system project in Scotland, which will help the region achieve its energy and emission - reduction goals [10].
抢滩欧洲!南都电源等两企获储能订单
行家说储能· 2025-07-04 11:43
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the growing demand for energy storage solutions in Europe, particularly in the UK and Italy, as companies like Nandu Power and Zhiguang Electric secure significant contracts in these markets [1][4][11][12]. Group 1: Market Overview - According to Solar Power Europe, Europe is expected to add 21.9 GWh of battery storage capacity in 2024, representing a 15% year-on-year increase, and 29.7 GWh in 2025, a 36% increase [2]. - The EU needs to increase its battery storage capacity tenfold by 2030 to support the growth of renewable energy installations, with current capacity just over 50 GWh [2]. Group 2: UK Energy Storage Developments - The UK has approved battery storage projects totaling 58.270 GW/121.645 GWh, with 7.6 GW/17 GWh currently under construction as of May [3]. - Nandu Power has secured a 230 MWh storage order for a project in the UK, utilizing its self-developed 5 MWh liquid-cooled container storage system [4][7]. Group 3: Italy Energy Storage Developments - Zhiguang Electric has signed a contract with an Italian infrastructure developer for a large-scale solar-storage charging station and has established a European business center in Italy [11][12]. - Italy's storage capacity reached 14.708 GWh by May 31, 2025, marking a 69.6% increase compared to the same period in 2024 [3]. Group 4: Company Orders and Growth - Nandu Power has disclosed nine orders since 2025, with six overseas and three domestic, amounting to approximately 1.3 billion yuan in domestic and overseas orders for new energy storage [9]. - Zhiguang Electric's energy storage equipment and system integration business has seen rapid growth, with over 4.4 GWh of projects signed in various regions of China [14].
建信期货:镍日报-20250530
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-05-30 02:12
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - After the weakening of news - related disturbances, the nickel market returns to the surplus trading logic, but due to concerns about the subsequent RKAB supplementary quota approval process, the downside space is limited, and low - level long - position allocation is still advisable. With the approaching holiday, risk avoidance should be the main focus [9]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1行情回顾与操作建议 - On the 29th, Shanghai nickel hit bottom and rebounded. The main contract dropped to around 118,000 during the day but recovered above 120,000, with the decline narrowing to 0.63%. The total index position decreased by 7,354 to 188,307 lots. As the price fell, the spot premium firmed up, with the Jinchuan premium at 2,500 yuan/ton and the Russian nickel premium at 300 yuan/ton [9]. - For nickel ore, the premium of Indonesian nickel ore remained stable at $26 - 28 per wet ton this week. The decline of the new round of Indonesian domestic trade nickel ore HPM was slight, and considering the stable and strong premium in current negotiations, the Indonesian ore price is likely to rise rather than fall [9]. - On the 29th, the LME nickel inventory decreased slightly to 200,142 tons, and the slowdown in inventory accumulation reduced the price pressure. The average price of battery - grade nickel sulfate dropped to 27,915 yuan. Considering the expected improvement in market demand in June and the cost support of nickel salts, the decline of nickel salt prices is limited [9]. 3.2行业要闻 - SMM expects that the Indonesian domestic trade ore HPM will remain stable with a slight decline in the first half of June, with an expected month - on - month decline of 0.06%. The HMA in the first half of June is $15,405 per ton, a decrease of $10 per ton. The HPM prices of different - grade nickel ores are expected to decline slightly compared to the second half of May. SMM also expects that the premium in June will be difficult to rise and may remain stable at the May level [10][11]. - Bulgaria officially launched the largest - scale operational battery energy storage system in the EU, with a capacity of 124 MW/496.2 MWh, marking the first step towards its goal of deploying 10,000 MWh of battery energy storage capacity within a year [11]. - A research team in Turkey developed a TOPCon solar cell using nickel (Ni) contacts and almost no silver (Ag), with silver usage below 0.5 mg/W. It achieved nearly the same efficiency as traditional silver - contact cells while significantly reducing production costs [11]. - Renewable energy storage company Apatura obtained planning permission for a 100 - MW battery energy storage system (BESS) project in Scotland. This is its tenth approved energy storage project in the past 17 months, with the total approved energy storage capacity exceeding 1.6 GW [11][12].