镍：节前资金离场冲击，中线矛盾仍在印尼 不锈钢：二月检修减产频出，成本支撑重心上移 2026 年 2 月 9 日 张再宇 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0021479 zhangzaiyu@gtht.com 【基本面跟踪】 镍基本面数据 | | | 指标名称 | T | T-1 | T-5 | T-10 | T-22 | T-66 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 沪镍主力（收盘价） | 131,840 | -2,590 | -8,160 | -16,170 | -15,880 | 12,090 | | 期 | | 不锈钢主力（收盘价） | 13,670 | -140 | -470 | -1,055 | -215 | 1,080 | | 货 | | 沪镍主力（成交量） | 554,444 | -28,080 | -457,999 | -198,396 | -577,812 | 443,704 | | | | 不锈钢主力（成交量） | 287,657 | -42,500 | -328,691 | -200,623 | -260 ...

Group 1: Report Information - Report Name: Nickel Daily Report [1] - Date: January 14, 2026 [2] - Research Team: Nonferrous Metals Research Team [3] - Researchers: Yu Feifei, Zhang Ping, Peng Jinglin [3] Group 2: Investment Rating - No investment rating is provided in the report. Group 3: Core Views - On January 13, the nickel price declined and adjusted following the sector. The main contract closed down 2.21% at 138,450 yuan/ton, and the total open interest decreased by more than 11,000 lots to 400,000 lots [8]. - The prices of other products in the industry chain continued to rise. On January 13, the NPI quotation increased by 9.5 to 980.5 yuan/nickel point, and the nickel salt price increased by 150 to 32,850 yuan/ton [8]. - In the medium term, the nickel price is expected to rise in the context of global resource competition and policy disturbances in Indonesia, gradually moving out of the bottom area [8]. - The statement from the Indonesian Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources has alleviated market concerns about supply shortages, but the Indonesian government may continue to hype the situation, and the nickel price is expected to have significant upward elasticity before the policy is finalized, with high market volatility [8]. Group 4: Market Review and Operation Suggestions - On January 13, the nickel price dropped with the sector. The main contract closed at 138,450 yuan/ton, down 2.21%, and the total open interest decreased by over 11,000 lots to 400,000 lots [8]. - The prices of other products in the industry chain rose. The NPI quotation increased by 9.5 to 980.5 yuan/nickel point, and the nickel salt price increased by 150 to 32,850 yuan/ton [8]. - In the medium term, the nickel price may rise due to global resource competition and Indonesian policy disturbances [8]. - The statement from the Indonesian Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources has eased supply shortage concerns, but the government may still hype the situation, and the nickel price is likely to be highly volatile before the policy is determined. Caution is advised, and risk control is necessary [8]. Group 5: Industry News - The Indonesian Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources plans to use the 2026 Work Plan and Budget (RKAB) to align mineral production with domestic industrial demand, setting the nickel production target at around 290 million tons to match smelter capacity [9]. - The government aims to adjust production quotas for nickel and coal to prevent global oversupply, stabilize falling prices, and protect national resource reserves [9]. - The Indonesian Nickel Miners Association (APNI) is worried that production may drop to 250 million tons, but the government says the data is still being integrated to ensure the profitability of the downstream industry without heavy reliance on imports [10]. - Due to the lack of government approval for the 2026 Work Plan (RKAB), PT Vale Indonesia has suspended its nickel mining operations, but management expects the license to be approved soon, and the temporary suspension is not expected to affect the long - term sustainability of the joint venture. The impact on market supply and demand is relatively limited [10]. - The Indonesian Nickel Smelters Association estimates that the domestic nickel smelting industry's nickel ore demand in 2026 will be about 340 - 350 million tons [10].

Group 1: Report Information - Report Type: Nickel Daily Report [1] - Date: January 7, 2026 [2] - Research Team: Nonferrous Metals Research Team [3] - Researchers: Yu Feifei, Zhang Ping, Peng Jinglin [3] Group 2: Investment Rating - No investment rating information provided. Group 3: Core View - The macro - atmosphere is positive. Due to intensified global resource competition, nickel prices continued to rise on the 6th, surging 4.13% and approaching the phased high of 140,000 yuan/ton. Total positions increased slightly by 3,889 lots to 360,000 lots. Nickel price increases drove up prices of other products in the industry chain. The NPI quote increased by 6.5 to 936.5 yuan/nickel point on the 6th, and nickel salt prices increased by 500 to 28,700 yuan/ton. The rebound of LME nickel prices will also drive up the spot cost of nickel salts. The market is highly volatile, and participation should be cautious [7]. Group 4: Market Review and Operation Suggestions - Macro - atmosphere is positive. Global resource competition is intensifying, and nickel prices continued to rise on the 6th, up 4.13% and approaching 140,000 yuan/ton. Total positions increased slightly by 3,889 lots to 360,000 lots. The increase in nickel prices drove up prices of other products in the industry chain. The NPI quote increased by 6.5 to 936.5 yuan/nickel point on the 6th, and nickel salt prices increased by 500 to 28,700 yuan/ton. The rebound of LME nickel prices will drive up the spot cost of nickel salts. The market is highly volatile before the RKAB quota decision is finalized, and participation should be cautious [7]. Group 5: Industry News - The Indonesian Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources (ESDM) stated that the 2026 RKAB will be used as a strategic tool to align mineral production with domestic industrial demand, setting the nickel production target at about 290 million tons to match smelter capacity. The adjustment of production quotas for nickel and coal aims to prevent global oversupply, stabilize falling prices, and protect national resource reserves. Although the APNI is worried that production may drop to 250 million tons, the government says the data is still being integrated [8][10]. - Due to the non - approval of the 2026 RKAB, PT Vale Indonesia has suspended its nickel mining operations. However, management expects the license to be approved soon, and the temporary suspension will not affect the long - term operational sustainability of the joint venture. The approval delay only temporarily affects the Pomalaa and Bahodopi nickel projects, while the Sorowako mine and the integrated RKEF project are still operating normally, so the impact on market supply and demand is relatively limited [10]. - The Indonesian Nickel Smelters Association estimates that the domestic nickel smelting industry's nickel ore demand in 2026 will be about 340 - 350 million tons [10].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content found 2. Core View of the Report - On the first trading day of 2026, Shanghai nickel continued its strong momentum, hitting a new high of over 136,000 yuan/ton during the session and closing at 134,000 yuan/ton, up 0.57% from the previous day. The total open interest increased by 18,000 lots to 357,000 lots. The sharp rise in nickel prices has driven up the prices of other products in the industry chain. The NPI price has increased to 930 yuan/nickel point, and the nickel salt price has risen to 28,215 yuan/ton. The rebound in LME nickel prices will also drive up the spot cost of nickel salts, and the nickel salt price is expected to continue to rise in the short term. The market is highly volatile, and investors should participate with caution [7]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Market Review and Operation Suggestions - On the first trading day of 2026, Shanghai nickel maintained a strong trend, hitting a new high of over 136,000 yuan/ton during the session and closing at 134,000 yuan/ton, up 0.57% from the previous day. The total open interest increased by 18,000 lots to 357,000 lots [7]. - The sharp rise in nickel prices has led to continuous increases in the prices of other products in the industry chain. The NPI price on the 5th has increased to 930 yuan/nickel point, and it is considered a short - term rebound. Given the weak terminal consumption, the upside space may be limited. The nickel salt price has risen significantly to 28,215 yuan/ton, and the rebound in LME nickel prices will drive up the spot cost of nickel salts, with the nickel salt price continuing to rise in the short term [7]. - Stimulated by the news of the reduction of Indonesia's RKAB quota, market speculation sentiment remains high. The Indonesian Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources (ESDM) has set the nickel production target at around 290 million tons in 2026 to match the smelter capacity. Before the policy is finalized, it will continue to provide upward momentum for nickel prices, and the market will be highly volatile [7]. 3.2 Industry News - The Indonesian Nickel Miners Association (APNI) stated that the government's nickel ore production target in the 2026 Work Plan and Budget (RKAB) is about 250 million tons, a significant decrease from the 379 million tons set in the 2025 RKAB. The purpose is to prevent further decline in nickel prices, but the implementation method is still unclear [8]. - The London Metal Exchange (LME) plans to implement a new position limit rule from July next year to follow the requirements of the UK financial regulator. The new rule will cover key contracts, including core futures products such as aluminum, copper, lead, nickel, tin, and zinc, as well as related options and trading settlement contracts [10].

Report Overview - Report Title: Nickel Daily Report [1] - Date: December 31, 2025 [2] - Research Team: Non-ferrous Metals Research Team, including Yu Feifei, Zhang Ping, and Peng Jinglin [3] 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report 2. Core Viewpoints - On the 30th, the Shanghai nickel price rose significantly again, with the main contract reaching a maximum of 134,480 yuan/ton and closing at 132,390 yuan/ton, a increase of 3.86%. The total position increased by 18,000 lots to 346,000 lots. Driven by the news of the reduction of the Indonesian RKAB quota, the speculation sentiment of funds is still rising, and the fluctuation range of nickel prices has increased [7]. - Driven by the sharp rise in nickel prices, the prices of other products in the industrial chain are also rising. The NPI quotation increased by 2.5 to 914.5 yuan/nickel point on the 30th, which is regarded as a short - term rebound. The nickel salt price increased by 20 to 27,575 yuan/ton, and the short - term price will continue to rise [7]. - Affected by a series of news speculations such as the reduction of the Indonesian RKAB quota and the revision of the nickel reference price HPM, combined with the amplification of macro and precious metal fluctuations, the speculation sentiment of long - position funds in the nickel market remains high. It is expected that the nickel price will continue to rise before the quota is finalized. It is recommended to wait and see and participate cautiously [7]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1行情回顾与操作建议 - On the 30th, the Shanghai nickel price rose sharply, and the speculation sentiment of funds was heating up. The prices of NPI and nickel salt in the industrial chain also increased. The NPI price increase is regarded as a short - term rebound, and the nickel salt price will continue to rise in the short term [7]. - Affected by news speculations and market fluctuations, the long - position funds' speculation sentiment in the nickel market remains high. It is expected that the nickel price will have upward elasticity before the quota is finalized. It is recommended to wait and see and participate cautiously [7]. 3.2行业要闻 - From January to November, China's automobile production and sales exceeded 31 million, with a year - on - year increase of over 10%. The production and sales of new energy vehicles were close to 15 million, with a year - on - year increase of over 30%. The export of new energy vehicles was 2.315 million, a year - on - year increase of 100% [8] - The Indonesian government plans to reduce the nickel ore production target in the 2026 RKAB to about 250 million tons, a significant decrease from the 379 million tons in 2025. The final implementation method is still unclear [10]. - The London Metal Exchange (LME) plans to implement new position limit rules from July next year, covering key contracts such as aluminum, copper, lead, nickel, tin, and zinc futures, as well as related options and trading settlement contracts [10]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints - In 2026, without the disturbance of Indonesia's nickel ore quota, the nickel surplus is expected to slightly narrow to 245,000 tons, but the refined nickel surplus will increase by another 30,000 tons, intensifying inventory pressure. The surplus is concentrated in low - cost deliverable goods, which may force nickel prices to seek support from the wet - process cost. There are risks such as Indonesia's nickel ore quota policy and the potential change of the Russian nickel inventory status. The trading logic is that there may be a catch - up opportunity in the first half of the year if the macro and industrial factors resonate, but considering the significant annual surplus, short - selling opportunities on rallies can be considered [5][100]. - The recommended trading strategies are a unilateral strategy of rising first and then falling with a higher bottom, and a bull spread strategy for options [6]. Summary by Directory Market Review - In 2025, the nickel price's oscillation center moved down after the trade - war and hit a 5 - year low in December, then rebounded due to Indonesia's policy. The price difference between the highest and lowest points in the year was about 20%, and the volatility significantly narrowed compared to the previous year. Stainless steel prices followed nickel prices but were more rigidly supported by Indonesia's nickel - iron cost, showing a narrow - range oscillation due to weak terminal demand [4][10]. - In the first quarter, the market speculated on Indonesia and the Philippines' nickel ore policies, driving up nickel prices. After the policies were implemented and some restrictions were lifted, the market sentiment eased. After the US announced reciprocal tariffs in early April, nickel prices dropped by over 10%, then recovered. From May, new nickel production capacity was continuously released, but inventory accumulation was slow due to inventory invisibility. In October, nickel inventory started to accumulate rapidly, and in November, short - selling funds entered the market, driving nickel prices to a 5 - year low. In December, Indonesia's plan to tighten the nickel ore quota in 2026 and the overall rise of the non - ferrous metal sector led to a rebound in nickel prices [10][11]. Excess Concentration in Low - Cost Deliverable Goods, Beware of Indonesia's Policy Risk - **Supply Growth Concentrated in Wet - Process Lines, Fire - Process Almost Stagnant** - In 2025, the highest - growth segment in primary nickel supply was Indonesia's NPI production, but due to tightened fire - process smelting in Indonesia and the sluggish stainless - steel market, NPI growth was limited. In 2026, the growth rate is expected to be only 2.4%. Sulfuric - nickel production is expected to grow by 6.7% in 2026, and refined nickel demand, which can be used for perpetual warehouse receipts and has certain financial attributes, is expected to grow by 6.8% in 2026, becoming the highest - growth category [19]. - **Refined Nickel Growth at Home and Abroad**: In 2026, new production capacity in China and Indonesia will be put into operation as planned, with a total of 116,000 tons of new capacity from several companies. Some overseas enterprises will also expand production. In 2025, the estimated refined - nickel production increased by 5.7% to 1.084 million tons, and in 2026, it is expected to increase by 6.8% to 1.157 million tons [20]. - **MHP Capacity Expansion in line with New Energy Trends**: Due to the depletion of high - grade nickel ore reserves and the Indonesian government's preference for wet - process smelting, MHP capacity is expanding. In 2025, Indonesia's estimated MHP production was about 445,000 tons, and in 2026, it is conservatively expected to grow by 28% to 570,000 tons. In contrast, the ice - nickel capacity increase in 2026 is only 83,000 tons. China's sulfuric - nickel production is expected to grow by 12.7% to 400,000 tons in 2026 [28][34]. - **NPI Growth Stagnant**: In 2025, Indonesia's NPI production increased by 22.6% to 1.8602 million tons, but in 2026, it is expected to grow by only 2.4% to around 1.9 million tons. China's NPI capacity has basically reached a low point, and the decline will narrow in 2026. The total NPI production in China and Indonesia is expected to grow by 1.5% to 2.166 million tons in 2026 [37]. - **Indonesia's Nickel Ore Quota Policy Risk Needs Attention** - The supply forecast for 2026 is based on the assumption of sufficient nickel ore. Since 2024, the quarterly nickel ore quota approval has led to tight supply, and the nickel ore price in March is often prone to rise. In 2026, the quota may be set at 250 million tons, which is lower than the 2025 level and the expected demand. However, there is flexibility in the quota adjustment, and if the quota remains at 250 million tons, Indonesia needs to import 70 million tons of nickel ore from the Philippines, which will increase production costs and may support the bottom of nickel prices [48][51]. Demand Hard to Find a Driver, Potential Bright Spots Exist - **Economic Growth Slows, Interest - Rate Cuts Benefit the Non - Ferrous Metal Sector** - In 2025, the global economic growth slowed, and it is expected to further slow to 3.1% in 2026. China's investment and real - estate sectors are weak, and the economy is still at the bottom. Although the Fed will continue to cut interest rates in 2026, which is beneficial for the financial attributes of non - ferrous metals, the overall economic environment has many concerns [61]. - **Stainless - Steel Supply - Demand in Tight Balance, Cost Expected to Rise** - **Stainless - Steel Demand Growth Moderate**: In 2026, China's domestic stainless - steel demand is expected to grow by 4% due to factors such as the real - estate cycle at the bottom and the continuation of consumer subsidies. Exports are expected to decline by 8% due to overseas "double - anti" policies and other factors [66][67]. - **Limited New Stainless - Steel Production Capacity, Output Adjusted by Profit**: In 2026, new stainless - steel production capacity is limited. Nickel and chromium raw material prices may rise due to policy factors, which will increase stainless - steel costs. If demand improves, the price center may move up; otherwise, it will suppress production capacity utilization [70][73]. - **Ternary - Battery Proportion Stabilizes, New Productivity Provides Potential Growth Points** - **New - Energy Vehicle Market Growth Slows**: In the domestic market, the new - energy vehicle subsidy policy in 2026 has both positive and negative effects, and the sales growth rate is expected to reach 16% to 1.78 million vehicles. In the overseas market, the US new - energy vehicle market is weak, while the European market is expected to maintain growth, and the global new - energy passenger - vehicle sales are expected to grow by 14% to 2.41 million vehicles in 2026 [81][86]. - **Ternary - Battery Proportion Drops below 20%, New Productivity as Potential Growth Points**: In the first 11 months of 2025, the proportion of ternary - battery loading in China's power - battery market dropped below 20%. In the future, the ternary - battery market needs high - nickel materials to break through, but it faces technical challenges. It may become a potential growth point from 2027 - 2030 [90][96]. Supply - Demand Balance and Trading Strategy - Macroscopically, the loose monetary environment benefits the financial attributes of non - ferrous metals, but the economic environment has many concerns. Industrially, in 2025, the primary nickel surplus was 277,000 tons, and in 2026, it is expected to narrow to 245,000 tons without the impact of Indonesia's nickel ore quota. The refined - nickel surplus will increase by 30,000 tons, increasing inventory pressure. There are potential short - term upward risks, and there may be a catch - up opportunity in the first half of the year. Considering the annual surplus, short - selling opportunities on rallies can be considered [100].

Report Information - Report Name: Nickel Daily Report [1] - Date: August 12, 2025 [2] - Research Team: Nonferrous Metals Research Team [3] - Researchers: Yu Feifei, Zhang Ping, Peng Jinglin [3] Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core View - The long - term surplus pressure of primary nickel remains significant. Short - term price rebounds of industrial chain products are due to long - term low prices, and should be treated as short - term rebounds. After the macro - optimistic sentiment fades, prices are likely to continue to face pressure [7] Summary by Directory 1. Market Review and Operation Suggestions - On the 11th, Shanghai nickel strengthened again, with the main contract rising 0.8% to 122,130. The spot market had sufficient available supply, but the receiving sentiment was average. The average premium of Jinchuan No.1 nickel decreased by 50 to 2,200 yuan/ton, and the spot premium/discount quotation range of domestic mainstream brand electrowinning nickel was - 100 - 300 yuan/ton [7] - The precipitation in the main producing areas of the Philippines in the third quarter has limited impact, and shipments will remain at a high level. The approved quota of RKAB in Indonesia is as high as 310 million wet tons, with a strong expectation of increased nickel ore supply, and prices are under downward pressure, weakening the support at the ore end [7] - Due to the short - term high price of nickel ore, most Indonesian iron plants are still in a state of cost inversion. The NPI price continued to rise, with an average of 919 yuan/nickel point on the 11th. Large stainless steel enterprises are still waiting and have limited acceptance of high - priced raw materials [7] - Nickel salt prices rebounded due to the rigid replenishment of precursors and low inventories of nickel salt plants. On the 11th, it continued to rise by 10 to 27,450 yuan/ton [7] 2. Industry News - Indonesia's National Investment Management Agency Danantara is exploring investment opportunities in the nickel downstream industry and considering acquiring the PT Gunbuster Nickel Industry (GNI) smelter. It plans to prepare an investment plan of over $20 billion and provide about $60 million in medium - term financing through a syndicated loan [8][10] - Bulgaria officially launched the largest operating battery energy storage system in the EU, with a capacity of 124 MW/496.2 MWh [9] - A research team in Turkey developed a TOPCon solar cell using nickel contact with almost no silver, which can significantly reduce production costs while maintaining high performance [9] - Renewable energy storage company Apatura obtained planning permission for a 100 - MW battery energy storage system project in Scotland, increasing its approved total energy storage capacity to over 1.6 GW [9]

Group 1: Report Overview - Report type: Nickel Daily Report [1] - Date: August 7, 2025 [2] - Research team: Nonferrous Metals Research Team [3] Group 2: Market Review and Operation Suggestions - Nickel price trend: On the 6th, Shanghai nickel continued to rise slightly, with the main contract 2509 closing up 0.22% at 121,070. The total open interest of the index decreased by 1,386 to 189,989 lots [7] - Market consumption: The overall consumption is still weak, the trading among traders is not active, the average premium of Jinchuan No. 1 nickel remains flat at 2,250 yuan/ton, and the spot premium range of domestic mainstream brands of electrowinning nickel is -100 - 300 yuan/ton [7] - Supply and price of nickel ore: The supply of nickel ore in the Philippines and Indonesia is expected to be loose in the future, and the price is under further downward pressure, with the support from the ore end weakening [7] - NPI price: The NPI price continued to rise, with an average of 918 yuan/nickel point on the 6th. Large stainless - steel enterprises are still waiting and have limited acceptance of high - priced raw materials [7] - Nickel salt price: Nickel salt prices are repaired at a low level, and there may be a slight boost in the short term [7] - Market outlook: The current macro - sentiment supports the nickel price to be strong, the industrial chain prices have recovered, but the oversupply pressure remains. After the sentiment fades, the price is likely to continue to be under pressure [7] Group 3: Industry News - Investment in Indonesia's nickel downstream industry: Indonesia's Danantara is exploring investment opportunities in the nickel downstream industry and considering acquiring the GNI smelter. It plans to prepare an investment plan of over $20 billion and provide about $60 million in medium - term financing through a syndicated loan [8][10] - Battery energy storage system in Bulgaria: Bulgaria has officially launched the largest operating battery energy storage system in the EU, with a capacity of 124 MW/496.2 MWh [10] - Innovation in solar cells: A research team has developed a TOPCon solar cell using nickel contact with significantly reduced silver usage while maintaining high efficiency, which is expected to reduce production costs [10] - Battery energy storage project in the UK: Apatura has obtained planning permission for a 100 - MW battery energy storage system project in Scotland, with the approved total storage capacity exceeding 1.6 GW [10]

Report Information - Report Name: Nickel Daily Report [1] - Date: August 6, 2025 [2] - Research Team: Nonferrous Metals Research Team [3] - Researchers: Yu Feifei, Zhang Ping, Peng Jinglin [3] Investment Rating - No investment rating information is provided in the report. Core View - The macro - warm atmosphere supports the nickel price to be strong, and the prices in the industrial chain have rebounded. However, the oversupply pressure remains, and the price will still be under pressure after the macro - sentiment fades. It may continue to test the cost support [7]. Summary by Directory 1. Market Review and Operation Suggestions - On the 5th, Shanghai nickel fluctuated strongly. The main contract 2509 closed up 0.83% at 120,910. The total open interest of the index decreased by 5,588 to 191,375 lots. The average premium of Jinchuan No.1 nickel decreased by 100 to 2,250 yuan/ton compared with the previous day. The quoted range of spot premium and discount of domestic mainstream brands of electrowinning nickel was - 100 - 300 yuan/ton [7]. - The supply of nickel ore in the Philippines and Indonesia is expected to be loose in the future, and the price has further downward pressure, with the support from the ore end weakening. The price of NPI continued to rise, with an average of 916 yuan/nickel point on the 5th. But the nickel ore price is still high in the short - term, and most Indonesian iron plants are still in a state of cost inversion. Due to the low spot market of stainless steel despite the price recovery, the traditional off - season consumption and high inventory limit the acceptance of high raw material prices, so the upward trend of NPI may not last long [7]. - The price of nickel salt has recovered from the low level due to the rigid replenishment of precursors and the low inventory of nickel salt plants, but the recovery space may be limited. The macro - environment has not yet substantially boosted the demand. The nickel industry does not directly benefit from the anti - involution logic. Attention should be paid to whether there are production - cut policies in the stainless steel industry. The nickel market is difficult to have substantial improvement in the short term [7]. 2. Industry News - Indonesia's National Investment Management Agency Danantara is exploring investment opportunities in the downstream nickel industry. It is considering acquiring the PT Gunbuster Nickel Industry (GNI) smelter in Central Sulawesi. The acquisition plan is still in the evaluation stage, and the state - owned mining holding company Mind ID is likely to be the main partner. Danantara expects to prepare an investment plan of over $20 billion and provide about $60 million in medium - term financing through a syndicated loan to help GNI relieve liquidity pressure [8][10]. - Bulgaria officially launched the largest operating battery energy storage system in the EU, with a capacity of 124 MW/496.2 MWh. This is the first step towards the goal of deploying 10,000 MWh of battery energy storage capacity within a year [10]. - A research team in Turkey developed a TOPCon solar cell using nickel (Ni) contact with almost no silver (Ag). It significantly reduces the silver usage from 13 - 20 mg/W to below 0.5 mg/W while maintaining almost the same efficiency, which is expected to reduce production costs and improve sustainability and scalability [10]. - Renewable energy storage company Apatura obtained planning permission for a 100 - MW battery energy storage system (BESS) project in North Ayrshire, Scotland. This is the tenth approved project in the past 17 months, with the total approved storage capacity exceeding 1.6 GW [10].

Report Information - Report Type: Nickel Daily Report [1] - Date: June 13, 2025 [2] - Research Team: Nonferrous Metals Research Team [3] - Researchers: Yu Feifei, Zhang Ping, Peng Jinglin [3] Core Viewpoint - On the 12th, Shanghai nickel opened low and moved lower, with the main contract falling to around 120,000, and the intraday decline reaching 1.24%. The total open interest of the index increased by 14,517 to 175,807 lots. The spot market trading was relatively light. The premium of Jinchuan nickel decreased by 25 to 2,425 yuan/ton, and the spot premium of domestic mainstream brand electrowon nickel was reported at -100 - 300 yuan/ton. The nickel industry surplus continues, and with the reduction of macro and policy interference, nickel prices return to the fundamental surplus trading logic. However, the firmness of the Indonesian mine end still provides bottom support for nickel prices. When the nickel price falls below 120,000, long hedging positions can try to intervene in batches, but pay attention to risk control [8]. Section Summaries 1. Market Review and Operation Suggestions - **Market Performance**: Shanghai nickel opened low and moved lower on the 12th, with the main contract approaching the 120,000 mark, and the intraday decline reaching 1.24%. The total open interest of the index increased by 14,517 to 175,807 lots. The spot market trading was light, with the Jinchuan nickel premium decreasing and the domestic mainstream brand electrowon nickel spot premium ranging from -100 to 300 yuan/ton [8]. - **Industry Fundamentals**: In the nickel ore sector, the HPM in Indonesia is expected to decline in the second half of June, which may lead to a drop in the Indonesian nickel ore benchmark price. The NPI cost remains high due to the firmness of nickel ore, and both Indonesia and China are facing losses, with high pressure on capacity clearance. The price of nickel sulfate remains flat at 27,815, and the weak ternary battery market drags down nickel demand. Stainless steel mills are in the red, with reduced production schedules and high inventories, and the demand for nickel can only maintain the minimum requirement [8]. - **Operation Suggestions**: When the nickel price falls below 120,000, long hedging positions can try to intervene in batches, but pay attention to risk control [8]. 2. Industry News - **Indonesian Nickel Ore Benchmark Price**: SMM expects the HPM of Indonesian domestic - trade nickel ore to remain stable with a slight decline in the first half of June, with a 0.06% decrease compared to the previous period. The HMA in the first half of June is 15,405 US dollars/ton, a decrease of 10 US dollars/ton. The HPM prices of different - grade nickel ores are expected to decline slightly [11]. - **Energy Storage Projects**: Bulgaria launched a 124 - megawatt/496.2 - megawatt - hour battery energy storage system. Renewable energy storage company Apatura obtained planning permission for a 100 - megawatt battery energy storage system project in Scotland, which will contribute to the UK's power system resilience and Scotland's energy goals [12][13]. - **Solar Cell Innovation**: A research team in Turkey developed a TOPCon solar cell using nickel contact with almost no silver, which significantly reduces silver consumption while maintaining high efficiency, potentially reducing production costs and improving sustainability [12].