截至9月29日，沪深300年内累计涨幅为17.4%的前提下，林园旗下19只产品均未跑过同期沪深300，其 中6只产品年内亏损。 近期以"小登股"为代表的AI、算力、半导体、机器人、通信等热门板块领涨，而"老登股"白酒、地产、 煤炭等板块表现平平。其背后反映的是这轮行情的极致分化——科技成为目前市场最受青睐的方向。 在此轮结构性牛市行情下，百亿私募业绩也出现显著分化。私募"大佬"林园旗下多只产品收益未能跑赢 沪深300指数，部分产品甚至录得亏损。 私募排排网数据显示，截至9月29日，林园投资旗下有业绩显示的19只产品，近一年收益为正的仅有9 只，10只产品为负收益。其中收益表现最好的"林园218号"产品近一年收益为31.14%，未能跑赢沪深300 同期的42.14%，近半年收益为9.97%，大幅跑输沪深300的16.23%。 以2020年10月成立的"林园投资173号"为例，该产品仅在成立后的3个月内暴涨，随后就一路下跌，截至 9月26日，该产品跌幅达24%，而同期沪深300跌幅仅为5.35%。 今年以来的牛市行情也并未带来业绩的好转，"林园投资173号"今年以来不涨反跌，截至9月26日的跌幅 为3.77%，而 ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market appears bullish on the surface, but underlying currents indicate significant divergence among investment styles and logic, leading to a "purging" of weaker stocks [1] Group 1: Market Dynamics - There is an unprecedented level of divergence between sectors, with high-valued tech stocks remaining strong while blue-chip and white-horse stocks decline sharply [1] - Approximately 70% of individual stocks are either stagnant or declining, highlighting a symbolic distinction between "old stocks" and "new stocks" [1] Group 2: Performance of Key Stocks - "Old stocks" such as liquor, real estate, coal, electricity, banks, and insurance are underperforming, while "new stocks" in AI, computing power, semiconductors, and robotics are thriving [3] - For instance, stocks like Midea Group and Kweichow Moutai have seen minimal gains or losses, while companies like Shenghong Technology and Dongxin Co. have experienced significant increases of 696.45% and 407.03%, respectively [3] Group 3: Industry Challenges - The liquor industry is facing a downturn, with a 0.9% decline in revenue to 239.7 billion yuan in the first half of the year, and a 5% drop in the second quarter due to a "ban on alcohol" [6][7] - Only 6 out of 23 listed liquor companies reported positive revenue and net profit growth, indicating a severe contraction in the sector [6] Group 4: Investment Trends - Investors are increasingly shifting focus from traditional sectors to technology, with notable figures like Lin Yuan publicly acknowledging investments in AI and semiconductor companies [8][9] - The current bull market is characterized by a lack of fundamentals, with capital flows driven more by narrative and "mind monopoly" rather than earnings per share (EPS) [9] Group 5: Future Outlook - The AI and semiconductor sectors are seen as having the potential for strong customer loyalty and ecological monopolies, similar to established brands in the liquor industry [12] - However, there are concerns about the sustainability of current valuations, as many companies in these sectors may not survive the inevitable market corrections [16]