记者｜黎雨桐 见习记者林芊蔚 编辑｜吴桂兴 3月3日晚间，中国石油、中国石化与中国海油相继发布股票交易异常波动公告，提示投资者注 意风险。 中国石油公告称，公司A股股票于2026年2月27日、3月2日和3月3日连续三个交易日内收盘价 格涨幅偏离值累计超过20%，根据《上海证券交易所交易规则》的有关规定，属于股票交易异 常波动。近期国际原油市场受地缘局势、供需格局等多重因素影响，价格呈现宽幅震荡走势， 短期油价波动存在较大不确定性，敬请广大投资者注意风险。 中国石化公告称，公司A股股票于2026年2月27日、3月2日、3月3日连续三个交易日内日收盘 价格涨幅偏离值累计超过20%，根据《上海证券交易所交易规则》的有关规定，属于股票交易 异常波动的情形。经公司自查，公司生产经营情况正常。截至目前，本公司及中国石化集团均 不存在应披露而未披露的重大事项。受地缘政治等因素影响，国际原油价格走势存在诸多不确 定性，敬请广大投资者注意风险。 中国海油公告称，公司股票于2026年2月27日、3月2日、3月3日连续3个交易日内收盘价格涨 幅偏离值累计超过20%。根据《上海证券交易所交易规则》的有关规定，属于股票交易异常波 动情 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent adjustment in domestic fuel prices in China, effective from January 6, 2026, has led to an increase in gasoline and diesel prices, with 92 octane gasoline rising by approximately 0.05 yuan per liter and 95 octane gasoline by about 0.06 yuan per liter [1][3]. Price Adjustments - The new prices for 92 octane gasoline in major cities are as follows: Beijing increased from 6.70 yuan to 6.75 yuan, Shanghai from 6.67 yuan to 6.72 yuan, and Guangzhou from 6.72 yuan to 6.77 yuan [3][4]. - For 95 octane gasoline, the adjusted prices are: Beijing at approximately 7.20 yuan, Shanghai at about 7.16 yuan, and Guangzhou at around 7.26 yuan [3][4]. - Diesel prices also saw an increase, with 0 diesel rising by about 0.05 yuan per liter [1][3]. Pricing Mechanism - The domestic fuel price adjustment follows a "ten working days" rule, where prices are reviewed and potentially adjusted if the average international crude oil price changes by more than 50 yuan per ton [3]. - The recent fluctuations in international crude oil prices were influenced by geopolitical risks and expectations of global supply surplus, leading to price volatility [3]. Historical Context - In 2025, domestic fuel prices underwent 25 adjustments, concluding with a "three consecutive declines," resulting in a total reduction of 915 yuan per ton for gasoline and 880 yuan per ton for diesel compared to the end of 2024 [6][7]. - The last two price reductions in December 2025 led to a cumulative decrease of 225 yuan per ton, bringing prices to a four-year low, with some regions seeing 95 octane gasoline drop below 7 yuan per liter [7]. Future Outlook - The next price adjustment window is set to open on January 20, 2026, at 24:00 [7].

Core Viewpoint - The domestic refined oil retail price is expected to decrease significantly, with a likely reduction exceeding 50 yuan per ton, as the adjustment window opens on December 22 at 24:00 [2][3]. Group 1: Price Adjustments - The current pricing cycle for domestic refined oil has shown a negative trend, with the reference crude oil price change rate at -3.96% as of December 19, leading to anticipated reductions of 170 yuan per ton for gasoline and 165 yuan per ton for diesel [3]. - This adjustment will mark the twelfth price decrease since 2025, with a total of 24 adjustment windows recorded, resulting in a cumulative drop of 745 yuan per ton for gasoline and 715 yuan per ton for diesel compared to the end of last year [4]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The wholesale market for refined oil is experiencing a divergence, with gasoline prices increasing slightly by 0.56% to 7363 yuan per ton, while diesel prices have decreased by 2.41% to 6367 yuan per ton [7]. - Analysts indicate that the overall demand for gasoline and diesel remains weak, influenced by recent declines in international crude oil prices, although gasoline prices are supported by higher external procurement costs and seasonal demand due to the upcoming New Year holiday [7]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Geopolitical instability is expected to introduce potential supply risks to the crude oil market, while OPEC+ plans to halt production increases starting January, which may bolster supply-side support [7]. - The upcoming holiday season in Europe and North America is anticipated to increase oil demand, further supported by cold weather, suggesting that international crude oil prices may find strong support in the short term [7].

Core Viewpoint - The international crude oil prices are expected to decline, leading to a reduction in gasoline and diesel prices in China, with a forecasted decrease of 170 yuan per ton for gasoline and 165 yuan per ton for diesel, marking the twelfth price cut since 2025 [1][2]. Group 1: Price Adjustment Forecast - The next price adjustment window is anticipated to open on December 22, with gasoline and diesel prices expected to decrease by 170 and 165 yuan per ton, respectively, equivalent to approximately 0.89, 0.92, 0.95, and 0.14 yuan per liter [1][2]. - The price adjustment cycle began positively but quickly shifted to a negative range, with the highest change rate at 0.21% and the lowest at -3.62% during the cycle [1]. Group 2: Impact on Consumers and Logistics - For private car owners, filling a 50L tank will cost approximately 6.5 yuan less, while for large logistics vehicles carrying 50 tons, the fuel cost per 100 kilometers will decrease by about 5.6 yuan [2]. - The current average prices for diesel and gasoline across most regions are between 6.3-6.5 yuan per liter and 6.2-6.7 yuan per liter, respectively, indicating a reduction in fuel costs for consumers [2]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The international crude oil market has shown a downward trend, with domestic wholesale prices for gasoline increasing by 0.56% and diesel decreasing by 2.41% during the adjustment cycle [6]. - Despite concerns over geopolitical tensions affecting supply, the overall market sentiment remains weak, leading to a decrease in demand for gasoline and diesel [7][11]. - The upcoming New Year holiday is expected to provide a temporary boost in gasoline demand, while diesel demand continues to weaken, indicating a potential for further price adjustments [12]. Group 4: Price Differential Analysis - The price differential between wholesale and retail for gasoline has contracted while expanding for diesel, with average retail profits for gasoline decreasing by 106 yuan per ton and for diesel by 74 yuan per ton [12]. - The procurement costs from local refineries show an increase in profits for diesel, with an average rise of 185 yuan per ton compared to the previous cycle [12].

Core Viewpoint - The National Development and Reform Commission announced a reduction in domestic gasoline and diesel prices by 55 yuan per ton, effective from December 8, 2025, due to fluctuations in international oil prices and a negative change rate in crude oil prices [2][3]. Price Adjustment Details - The average price of crude oil was reported at $61.01 per barrel, with a change rate of -1.09%, leading to the price reduction of gasoline and diesel [3]. - Specific price adjustments include a decrease of 0.04 yuan per liter for 89 and 92 octane gasoline, a decrease of 0.05 yuan per liter for 95 octane gasoline, and a decrease of 0.05 yuan per liter for 0 diesel [3]. Yearly Price Trends - This adjustment marks the 24th price change in 2025, with a total of 11 reductions and 7 increases throughout the year, resulting in an overall decline in fuel prices [4]. - Year-to-date, gasoline and diesel prices have decreased by 745 yuan per ton and 715 yuan per ton, respectively [4]. Impact on Consumers - The price reduction will lower fuel costs for private car owners and logistics vehicles, with estimated savings of 2 yuan for filling a 50-liter tank of 92 octane gasoline and 89 yuan for heavy trucks running 10,000 kilometers per month [4]. International Oil Market Dynamics - International crude oil prices have shown a downward trend, influenced by geopolitical tensions and increased U.S. oil inventories, which have suppressed price increases [5][6]. - The U.S. Energy Information Administration reported increases in crude oil, gasoline, and distillate inventories, indicating weak demand [6]. Future Price Expectations - Analysts predict a potential increase in domestic fuel prices in the next adjustment cycle due to ongoing geopolitical instability and anticipated actions from the Federal Reserve [7][8]. - The next price adjustment window is expected to occur on December 22, 2025, with varying opinions on whether prices will rise or remain stable [6][7].

Core Viewpoint - The domestic fuel prices in China have been reduced for the tenth time this year, with gasoline and diesel prices decreasing by 70 yuan/ton and 65 yuan/ton respectively, effective from November 24 [1][2]. Group 1: Price Adjustments - The price adjustments translate to a reduction of 0.05 yuan per liter for 92-octane gasoline and 0.06 yuan per liter for 95-octane gasoline and 0 diesel [1][2]. - After this adjustment, the retail price of 92-octane gasoline is expected to be between 6.8 to 6.9 yuan per liter, while diesel prices range from 6.5 to 6.7 yuan per liter across most regions [3]. Group 2: Impact on Consumers and Businesses - For a typical family car with a 50L fuel tank, filling up with 92-octane gasoline will save approximately 2.5 yuan. For heavy-duty trucks running 10,000 kilometers a month with a fuel consumption of 38L per 100 kilometers, the fuel cost will decrease by around 106 yuan before the next price adjustment [2]. Group 3: Market Analysis - The international crude oil market has shown wide fluctuations, with the reference crude oil change rate remaining in negative territory due to ongoing geopolitical tensions and recent developments in U.S. oil inventory and demand [3][5]. - Analysts predict that the next round of fuel price adjustments is likely to be a decrease, influenced by ongoing peace negotiations and a potential increase in OPEC production [5][7].

Group 1 - Shandong Molong (00568) saw a stock price increase of over 8%, with a reported rise of 8.35% to 4.41 HKD and a trading volume of 337 million HKD [1] - The negotiations regarding the resumption of oil exports from the Kurdistan region of Iraq have encountered obstacles, alleviating some investors' concerns about global supply surplus, leading to a slight rebound in international oil prices [1] - WTI crude oil futures rose by 1.81% to 63.41 USD per barrel, while Brent crude oil futures increased by 1.6% to 67.63 USD per barrel [1] Group 2 - Shandong Molong operates in the energy equipment industry, which includes the manufacturing of specialized equipment for oil, natural gas, shale gas, coal, and coalbed methane extraction [1] - The development and prosperity of the oil and natural gas extraction industry are directly related to the growth and status of the company’s sector [1]

Core Viewpoint - 延长石油国际 has issued a profit warning, indicating significant losses in its Canadian oil and gas production business due to declining international oil prices and various geopolitical uncertainties [2][4]. Group 1: Financial Performance - The company expects a loss of approximately HKD 27.9 million for the six months ending June 30, 2025, compared to a loss of about HKD 27.3 million in the same period last year [4]. - The primary reason for the anticipated loss is a projected loss of around HKD 28.3 million from its Canadian oil and gas operations [4]. Group 2: Market Conditions - The performance of the Canadian oil and gas business is highly sensitive to fluctuations in international oil prices, which have shown a volatile downward trend [4]. - Factors contributing to the decline in oil prices include the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict, escalating tensions in the Middle East, and uncertainties stemming from the U.S. tariff war, alongside weak global economic recovery and subdued industrial output and refined oil consumption [4]. - The average WTI crude oil price fell from approximately USD 77 per barrel in 2024 to around USD 68 per barrel for the six months ending June 30, 2025 [4]. Group 3: Company Background - 延长石油国际 acquired the Canadian small to medium-sized oil and gas company Novus in 2013, which has its main assets located in the Viking oil field at the border of Saskatchewan and Alberta [5]. - The Viking oil field features shallow buried light crude oil, with relatively low drilling costs, representing a lower exploration risk due to its status as a mature producing oil field [5]. - According to a report by the authoritative technical consulting firm Sproule, Novus has proven reserves of 14.85 million equivalent barrels and total proven plus probable reserves of 22.72 million equivalent barrels [5].

Group 1 - The conflict between Iran and Israel has escalated, with missile attacks resulting in at least 8 deaths in Israel and 224 in Iran, primarily civilians [1][3] - Israel's defense minister has warned that Tehran residents will "soon pay the price" for the attacks, indicating a potential for further military action [1][3] - The G7 summit in Canada is focusing on the Iran-Israel conflict, with discussions aimed at preventing Iran from developing nuclear weapons and ensuring Israel's right to self-defense [4] Group 2 - The Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) claims to have used a new tactic that led to Israel's multi-layered defense systems attacking each other, resulting in successful strikes on multiple targets [3] - U.S. President Trump has expressed a desire for negotiations to resolve the conflict, indicating a potential shift in diplomatic strategy [4][6] - Trump recently vetoed a plan for Israel to assassinate Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, suggesting a cautious approach to military escalation [5][6]