图虫创意/供图 证券时报记者 康殷 不少回收企业已敏锐捕捉到这一机遇。2025年9月，格林美与AE公司签署谅解备忘录，共同探索在欧 洲、美国等地区的电池回收机遇，推动全球"电池护照"实施与新能源的绿色发展。2025年9月，天奇股 份旗下天奇金泰阁一批重达13.68吨的锂离子电池用再生黑粉原料，经广州黄埔港顺利通关并运抵工 厂。 价格与供需的双重利好，让一度面临原料供应不足、产能利用率不饱和挑战的回收行业迎来转机。天奇 股份在机构调研中透露："随着黑粉进口放开、主要金属价格呈上行趋势，公司锂电循环板块毛利扭亏 为盈，环比逐步改善。同时，在2025年四季度，铁锂回收产能饱和，实现阶段性稳定批量出货。" 产能扩张与资本运作提速 锂电回收是对"城市矿山"的开发，它将废旧电池中的锂、钴等关键金属转化为可循环利用的宝贵资源。 随着锂、钴等能源金属价格持续走高，锂电回收又热闹了起来。与以往不同的是，在政策的护航下，锂 电回收行业正从粗放发展走向精细化、规范化、全球化发展新阶段。 近期，天奇股份、格林美等头部企业纷纷加码产能布局与资本运作，通过技术升级、产业链延伸构建竞 争壁垒。这场由价格、需求、政策共同驱动的行业变革，正深 ...

锂电回收是对"城市矿山"的开发，它将废旧电池中的锂、钴等关键金属转化为可循环利用的宝贵资源。 随着锂、钴等能源金属价格持续走高，锂电回收又热闹了起来。与以往不同的是，在政策的护航下，锂 电回收行业正从粗放发展走向精细化、规范化、全球化发展新阶段。 近期，天奇股份（002009）、格林美（002340）等头部企业纷纷加码产能布局与资本运作，通过技术升 级、产业链延伸构建竞争壁垒。这场由价格、需求、政策共同驱动的行业变革，正深刻重塑新能源产业 资源供给格局，一个规模超千亿元的绿色循环市场已然成型。 锂电回收业务利润上升 2025年以来，受全球矿产开发周期滞后、下游储能需求二次爆发的影响，锂、钴、镍等关键金属价格维 持高位震荡。这种价格红利不仅改善了回收企业的现金流，更彻底扭转了行业的盈利预期。 "公司动力电池回收业务在2025年前三季度表现亮眼，回收拆解量达到3.6万吨，同比激增59%。"格林美 相关负责人在接受采访时表示："公司回收业务利润相应有所提升，主要受益于两方面因素：一是退役 量增加，二是锂、钴等金属年内价格持续上升。公司以相对较低的价格回收废旧电池，再加工成附加值 更高的新能源材料、梯次利用产品销售出 ...

实现"技术突围" 深企全链布局 近日，记者走进欣旺达锂电池回收工厂，全自动化生产线高速运转：CCD视觉技术精准分离电池组 件，热解破碎线无损回收铜、铝及正负极材料，经再制造模块重组后，"退役"电池焕新重生。 深圳商报记者 罗凯燕 作为行业内较早布局电池回收的企业，早在2018年，欣旺达旗下子公司就入围广东省首批回收试点。 2023年，欣旺达专门成立再生材料有限公司，宣告电池回收业务进入专业化、规模化运营新阶段。"电 池回收具有经济与环保等多重价值。"欣旺达再生材料有限公司业务专家向俊华介绍说。 千吨电池修复料可减少煤耗7000吨、节约成本近千万元，深企欣旺达（300207）的这组电池回收数据， 直观呈现了电池回收产业的经济价值和社会效益。 电池回收产业具有高价值和高门槛双重属性。据向俊华介绍，当前回收行业总体产能利用率偏低，技术 升级成为破局关键。为推进技术升级，公司与南方科技大学共建联合实验室，聚焦电池回收技术、正极 材料研发、再生材料研发等领域，开发出一系列创新回收工艺，形成了覆盖"检测-拆解-再生"全流程的 技术体系，已实现电池组件无损分离和镍、钴、锰、锂等金属的高效回收。"目前，千吨电池修复料大 约可 ...

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the lithium carbonate industry, focusing on supply, demand, and pricing dynamics in 2025 and beyond [1][4][6]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Lithium Carbonate Price Trends**: - Early 2025 saw a slight rebound in lithium carbonate prices due to old-for-new policies and pre-Spring Festival stocking demand. However, prices fell sharply after CATL's production recovery exceeded expectations [1][4]. - By July, prices rebounded to around 80,000 yuan due to large-scale purchases by major manufacturers and macroeconomic policies, but recently dropped to approximately 68,000 yuan due to project approvals affecting supply expectations [5][4]. - **Global Lithium Supply Forecast**: - Global lithium supply is projected to reach 1.644 million tons in 2025, a 22% increase year-on-year, potentially rising to 2.03 million tons if CATL's recovery is considered [6][1]. - The recovery of Australian mines and progress in salt lake projects are critical to meeting this demand [6]. - **Domestic Production and Consumption**: - China remains the largest producer and consumer of lithium carbonate, currently operating at about 50% capacity. The consumption of lithium carbonate by major materials (ternary materials and lithium iron phosphate) increased by 51% year-on-year, reaching 928,000 tons [8][1]. - Total consumption rose by 46% to 1.096 million tons, indicating steady demand growth with minor fluctuations during the Spring Festival [8]. - **Lithium Battery Market Dynamics**: - The lithium battery market continues to show high growth, with an overall increase of about 40%. The energy storage sector is gaining traction, with its share of battery cells rising from over 20% to over 30% [9][1]. - **New Energy Vehicle (NEV) Sales**: - In China, NEV sales grew by 35% year-on-year, reaching 11.196 million units, with a penetration rate exceeding 50%. Exports surged by 86% to 1.727 million units [10][1]. - The market is expected to benefit from tax reduction policies, with some manufacturers offering subsidies to maintain sales volume [10][2]. Additional Important Insights - **Inventory and Supply Chain Issues**: - Current lithium carbonate inventory is decreasing rapidly, attributed to supply reductions from Jiangxi and increased demand. As of now, total inventory stands at approximately 127,000 tons, with turnover days at a historical low of 31.5 days [17][18]. - **Future Price Predictions**: - For 2026, a positive outlook on lithium prices is anticipated, with expected price levels between 80,000 to 85,000 yuan, driven by demand [20][1]. - **Impact of Importing Recycled Materials**: - The policy allowing the import of recycled materials is expected to boost demand in the short term, aligning with the EU's new battery regulations requiring a certain percentage of recycled materials in batteries [21][1]. - **International Market Trends**: - The U.S. and European NEV markets are also experiencing growth, with U.S. NEV sales increasing by 12% and European sales by 27%. However, concerns exist regarding the sustainability of growth due to subsidy terminations and infrastructure challenges [12][13]. This summary encapsulates the key points discussed in the conference call, providing a comprehensive overview of the lithium carbonate industry and its market dynamics.

Core Insights - The large-scale retirement of electric vehicle batteries is creating a trillion-yuan recycling market, with retired batteries being diverted into "cascade utilization" and "recycling" paths based on their health status [1][2][16] Group 1: Market Overview - The recycling market for retired batteries is projected to exceed 400 million tons, with an industry value expected to surpass 280 billion yuan [18] - The recovery volume is anticipated to exceed 300,000 units, with a market scale of approximately 48 billion yuan [19] Group 2: Battery Lifecycle - The process from battery retirement to recycling involves several stages: health status detection, sorting, reorganization, and system integration for cascade utilization [4][12] - For recycling, automated disassembly and wet metallurgy techniques are employed to recover valuable metals like lithium, cobalt, and nickel, achieving recovery rates of 99.6% for certain metals and 96.5% for lithium [7][9][14] Group 3: Application Scenarios - Cascade utilization applications include energy storage bases (such as 5G base stations and photovoltaic storage systems), low-speed vehicles (like electric forklifts and sightseeing cars), and backup power sources (UPS) [11][10] Group 4: Industry Participants - Battery sources include vehicle manufacturers (OEMs) like BYD, SAIC Group, and Geely, as well as battery producers like CATL and Guoxuan High-Tech [23][24] - Recycling and channel partners include companies like Greeenme and Tianqi, which build recycling networks and collaborate with manufacturers for battery collection [27][28] - Processing and recycling firms include Greenme and BYD, which handle the final recycling stages [30][31] - End-users of recycled materials include battery material producers who utilize recovered materials to manufacture new batteries [36]

Group 1 - Greeenme's nickel smelting project in Indonesia produced 3,667 tons of cobalt metal in the first half of 2025, representing a 125% year-on-year increase [1] - The company aims to achieve a cobalt recovery volume of 10,128 tons in 2024, exceeding China's original cobalt mining volume by 350% [1] - Greenme's dual strategy of "urban mining + Indonesian nickel resources" has strengthened its resource control amid global supply chain risks [1] Group 2 - Rongbai Technology reported a net loss of 135 million yuan in the third quarter of 2025, with revenue declining by 38.29% year-on-year to 2.737 billion yuan [2] - For the first three quarters, the company's revenue was 8.986 billion yuan, down 20.64% year-on-year, with a total net loss of 204 million yuan [2] - The decline in sales and increased costs due to idle capacity reflect intense competition and challenges in the lithium battery cathode materials industry [2] Group 3 - Ganfeng Lithium plans to transfer part of its stake in its subsidiary Shenzhen Yichu Energy Technology Co., Ltd. to strategic investor Wanxin Green Energy for 664 million yuan [3] - After the transaction, Shenzhen Yichu will no longer be included in Ganfeng's consolidated financial statements, allowing the company to optimize its asset structure [3] - This move is aimed at raising over 400 million yuan in funds and focusing on the core lithium business while achieving strategic synergy in the energy storage sector [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the aluminum recycling industry, driven by resource supply security and dual carbon goals, indicating a favorable investment environment for recycled aluminum [1]. Core Insights - The recycled aluminum industry is becoming a significant growth area in China's aluminum supply, with an expected production of approximately 10.5 million tons in 2024, accounting for about 19% of total aluminum supply. The target is to exceed 15 million tons by 2027, reflecting a CAGR of 13% from 2024 to 2027 [2][11]. - The demand for resource supply security is increasing, with recycled aluminum seen as a key solution to reduce reliance on imported bauxite, which had a dependency rate of over 77.6% in the first eight months of 2025. The domestic supply of recycled aluminum is primarily sourced from social waste aluminum, which is expected to exceed 80% in 2024 [2][4]. - The dual carbon constraints and the establishment of a carbon market are accelerating the visibility of the green premium associated with recycled aluminum. The carbon emissions from producing one ton of electrolytic aluminum are approximately 11.2 tons, while recycled aluminum only emits 0.23 tons, making it a significantly lower carbon option [2][4]. - The potential of urban mining is substantial, with accelerated development of recycling systems. Policies are being implemented to support small recycling enterprises, and a national recycling platform is being established to enhance the recycling infrastructure [2][5]. Summary by Sections 1. Recycled Aluminum as a Key Supply Source - Recycled aluminum, derived from waste aluminum through melting and refining, is a crucial component of the aluminum supply chain, with a short industrial chain and high recovery value [2][11]. - The industry is expected to grow significantly, with a target of 15 million tons by 2027, supported by government policies promoting high-quality development in the aluminum sector [2][11]. 2. Resource Supply Security and Dual Carbon Goals - The increasing demand for resource supply security positions recycled aluminum as a critical strategy to mitigate reliance on foreign bauxite, especially as domestic bauxite reserves are limited [2][4]. - The green value of recycled aluminum is becoming more apparent, with the anticipated tightening of carbon quotas in the national carbon market expected to drive up carbon prices and enhance the green premium for recycled products [2][4]. 3. Urban Mining Potential and Recycling System Development - The recycling system is being rapidly developed, with policies favoring small recycling enterprises and the establishment of a national recycling platform to improve the efficiency of aluminum recovery [2][5]. - The peak of automobile scrappage is expected to occur around 2026, which will significantly increase the supply of waste aluminum, alleviating raw material bottlenecks [2][5]. 4. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies with high raw material security, advanced recycling technologies, and the ability to produce high-premium products, such as Ming Tai Aluminum, Shunbo Alloy, Yiqiu Resources, Lizhong Group, and Yongmaotai [2][3].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the strategic partnership between Chinese recycling giant Greeenme and American technology innovator Ascend Elements to explore the European lithium battery recycling market, highlighting the implications of the new EU Battery Regulation and the geopolitical context surrounding this collaboration [2][3][4]. Group 1: Importance of Entering Europe - Understanding the significance of entering the European market requires recognizing the ambitious battery circular economy blueprint established by the EU [3]. - The new EU Battery Regulation, effective from August 2023, sets unprecedented mandatory targets for battery recycling, creating a high-value market centered on sustainability [4][5]. Group 2: EU Battery Regulation Details - The regulation mandates aggressive recycling targets: 73% for portable batteries by 2030, 61% for light-duty vehicle batteries by 2031, and effective 100% responsibility for electric vehicle battery manufacturers [5]. - It establishes clear minimum recovery rates for materials, requiring 90% recovery for cobalt, nickel, and copper, and 50% for lithium by the end of 2027, with further increases by 2031 [5][6]. - A groundbreaking requirement for minimum recycled content in new electric vehicle batteries will take effect from August 2028, mandating at least 16% recycled cobalt, 6% recycled lithium, and 6% recycled nickel [6]. Group 3: Geopolitical and Economic Context - The EU currently produces only 1% of the key battery raw materials it needs, creating a significant resource gap, with lithium demand projected to reach 550,000 tons annually by 2030 [7][8]. - The EU aims for 89-90% self-sufficiency in strategic raw materials by 2030, with the Critical Raw Materials Act requiring at least 15% of annual consumption to come from recycling [8]. Group 4: Strategic Implications of the Partnership - The partnership between Greeenme and Ascend Elements is a strategic move to leverage advanced technology and scale to meet the EU's stringent sustainability standards [9][10]. - Greeenme's extensive production capabilities and cost control experience complement Ascend Elements' innovative Hydro-to-Cathode® technology, which significantly reduces costs and carbon emissions [10][11]. Group 5: Resource Security and Supply Chain Resilience - The collaboration aims to establish a "Europe-Indonesia-Europe" transnational recycling model, with Greeenme's nickel resource base in Indonesia providing a strategic hedge against short-term raw material shortages in Europe [12][13]. - This dual resource strategy enhances the alliance's supply chain resilience, positioning it favorably against local competitors [14]. Group 6: Trends in the Recycling Industry - A trend of Chinese companies expanding into the European recycling market is emerging, driven by the EU's regulatory environment and the anticipated surge in retired batteries [16][17]. - Major players like Huayou Cobalt and CATL are actively pursuing investments and partnerships in Europe to secure raw material supplies and establish local recycling capabilities [17][18]. Group 7: Challenges and Future Outlook - The competition for high-purity production waste from European super factories will intensify as companies vie for limited resources before 2030 [19]. - The shift towards lower-cost lithium iron phosphate batteries poses economic challenges for recycling due to the lack of high-value cobalt and nickel [19]. - A significant shortage of skilled technical personnel in Europe may hinder the industry's growth, while the second-life battery market is projected to reach $19 billion by 2033, indicating potential future opportunities [20].

Group 1: Industry Overview - The Chinese government has introduced multiple policies to support the development of the recycled metals industry, predicting that the proportion of metal raw materials from recycling will continue to rise, potentially becoming dominant in sectors like new energy [1][2] - The concept of "urban mining" refers to recyclable resources embedded in various waste carriers, including steel, non-ferrous metals, precious metals, plastics, and rubber, which are increasingly recognized for their resource security and low-carbon properties [2][3] Group 2: Policy Support - In June, the Ministry of Ecology and Environment and the General Administration of Customs announced that from August 1, compliant recycled black powder for lithium-ion batteries would no longer be classified as solid waste and could be freely imported [3] - The "reverse invoicing" policy allows qualified recycling enterprises to issue invoices to individuals selling scrap products, addressing long-standing issues related to the lack of documentation in the recycling sector [3] Group 3: Company Performance - Leading companies in the recycled metals sector, such as GEM Co., Ltd., are focusing on key metal recovery, with projected recoveries of 20,000 tons of nickel, 10,000 tons of cobalt, and 6,500 tons of tungsten in 2024 [2][4] - GEM Co., Ltd. reported a revenue of 17.561 billion yuan in the first half of 2024, with key metal resource recycling contributing 6.467 billion yuan, accounting for 41.76% of total revenue [4] Group 4: Supply Chain and Raw Material Sourcing - Stable raw material supply is crucial for the development of recycled metal enterprises, with companies like Yiqiu Metal Resource Recycling focusing on building a global aluminum procurement network [5] - Camel Group Co., Ltd. has established a nationwide network for the recycling of waste lead-acid batteries, ensuring a stable supply of lead for battery manufacturing [6] Group 5: Industry Challenges and Recommendations - The recycling market faces challenges from informal operations that undercut larger, compliant enterprises, prompting calls for stricter regulation and the establishment of a "white list" of qualified companies [7] - Companies advocate for enhanced international cooperation to expand resource acquisition, suggesting that the government refine import standards for high-value, low-pollution metal waste [8]

Core Points - The US, Japan, and Europe are urgently seeking stable supplies of rare metals due to potential risks in the production of elements essential for smartphones and electric vehicles (EVs) [1] - Japan is focusing on seabed resources to secure rare metals, particularly in the waters around Minami-Torishima, with plans for experimental mining starting in January 2026 [5][6] - The concentration of production in a few countries poses significant risks, with 36 out of 65 elements classified as "risk elements," primarily rare metals [1][2] Group 1 - 80% of risk elements are produced by China, which has restricted rare earth exports as a countermeasure to US tariffs, impacting companies like Suzuki and Ford [2] - China controls over half of the production of 30 elements, including indium and bismuth, and uses its mineral resources as political leverage [3] - Emerging and developing countries, referred to as the "Global South," hold significant shares of risk elements, with Brazil producing 91% of niobium [3] Group 2 - The production share of iodine used in next-generation perovskite solar cells is nearly 70% controlled by Chile, indicating a trend of resource control beyond China [4] - Indonesia has banned the export of nickel, which accounts for 60% of its production, reflecting a global trend of regulating risk elements [4] - Japan is enhancing technology to extract risk elements from urban mines, particularly from discarded EVs and electronic devices, as a response to the anticipated increase in waste by 2030 [7] Group 3 - The project led by Japan aims to contribute to the supply chain beyond economic benefits, with large-scale mining trials planned for 2027 to recover 350 tons of seabed material daily [6] - Companies like Sumitomo Metal Mining and Nissan are working on recycling technologies for lithium-ion batteries and motors from hybrid and electric vehicles, targeting practical applications by around 2030 [7] - The challenges of high costs and insufficient recycling of resources highlight the need for a mechanism to retain resources within Japan, fostering competition and technological advancement [7]