Core Viewpoint - The recent recovery of the A-share market has led to discussions among investors about "fund recovery" and "finally breaking even," with varying responses to redeeming or holding onto funds [1][2]. Group 1: Market Trends - The A-share market has seen a rebound, with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching nearly a ten-year high [1]. - In July, stock and mixed funds experienced significant growth in scale, with stock funds increasing by 192.94 billion and mixed funds by 138.56 billion [3]. - Despite the growth in scale, the total shares of stock and mixed funds decreased, indicating that some investors are redeeming their equity products as they recover from losses [4]. Group 2: Investor Behavior - Investors often exhibit a "disposition effect," where they sell winning assets too early while holding onto losing assets for too long [2]. - The psychological tendency to redeem funds upon breaking even can lead to decisions driven by emotions rather than the future potential of the assets [5]. - Investors are encouraged to reassess their initial reasons for purchasing a fund, such as the performance of the fund manager or the relevance of the investment strategy [7]. Group 3: Fund Evaluation Criteria - Investors should evaluate funds based on long-term performance, checking if they have consistently outperformed benchmarks and peers over the past 3 to 5 years [9]. - The alignment of the fund's holdings with current market trends, such as AI and advanced manufacturing, is crucial for decision-making [10]. - Factors such as the fund manager's historical performance, fund size, fees, and the research capabilities of the fund company should also be considered [10]. Group 4: Decision-Making Strategies - Investors are not limited to extreme choices of either fully redeeming or continuing to hold funds; they can consider partial redemption or gradual adjustments based on their risk tolerance [11][12]. - The concept of "breaking even" should be viewed as a restart, shifting focus from past costs to future value predictions [13].

Core Viewpoint - The market has returned to around 3700 points, with over 50% of funds established during the last bull market in 2021 now recovering to their initial net asset value (NAV) [1][2]. Fund Performance - As of August 15, 2023, 936 out of 1785 funds established in 2021 have a NAV above 1, representing 52.44% of the total [3]. - Notable funds like Invesco Great Wall's Long-term Growth Fund and Jin Ying New Energy Mixed Fund have recently achieved NAVs of 1.0055 and 1.0342, respectively, after significant rebounds [2][3]. - However, approximately 30 funds from 2021 still have NAVs below 0.5, indicating severe underperformance [3]. Performance Disparity - There is a marked performance disparity among funds established at the same market peak in 2021, with some funds achieving returns as high as 143.51% while others have negative returns exceeding -59% [4][5]. - Funds that performed well tended to focus on cyclical sectors like materials and chemicals, while poorly performing funds were heavily invested in renewable energy sectors [4]. Market Dynamics - The market is experiencing a "return to break-even" pressure on funds, particularly those concentrated in sectors like new energy and pharmaceuticals [6]. - Despite redemption pressures, new active equity funds are seeing a resurgence in fundraising, with July's issuance reaching around 10 billion [6]. - The market is transitioning from a negative cycle to a more stable environment, with a potential for positive cash flow and market growth [7].

Group 1 - The core conclusion indicates that the fund redemption pressure during the current and subsequent quarters leads to a "return smile curve" [1][10] - After experiencing redemption pressure, if a fund sees a decline of more than 5% and recovers within a month to reach a new high, it is expected that investors will significantly net subscribe in the following two quarters [1][15] - Data analysis shows that the redemption pressure from returning funds is not substantial; if the proportion of equity funds at historical highs increases from 26% to 50%, it could lead to approximately 30 billion yuan in redemption selling pressure during the quarter [3][22] Group 2 - The report notes that as more equity funds reach new highs, there is a tendency for investors to redeem old funds to purchase new ones, leading to a net redemption scenario for older funds [2][12] - The "every dip is a buying opportunity" mindset is reinforced when funds reach new highs after a pullback, encouraging further investment [2][16] - The analysis indicates that the redemption pressure is primarily concentrated in older funds with significant holdings in sectors like electronics, pharmaceuticals, and power equipment, but the impact remains minimal [3][23]

Core Insights - The recent market recovery has led to increased discussions among investors about "fund recovery" and "finally breaking even," with many public funds seeing significant rebounds this year [1][2] - Notable fund managers have achieved over 50% rebound in their representative funds, with some public funds doubling in value since the beginning of the year [1] - Investors' responses to their funds returning to profitability vary widely, reflecting different risk appetites and investment strategies [4] Group 1: Investor Behavior - Some investors, like Gao Le, choose to redeem their funds immediately upon recovery, prioritizing cash in hand for peace of mind [2] - Others, such as Wang Qian, adopt a more gradual approach, setting specific plans for redemption based on net asset value increases to mitigate risks [2] - Investors like Lin Yang focus on accumulating more shares at lower prices, believing in the long-term potential of specific sectors related to their professional insights [3] Group 2: Market Dynamics - A large fund company representative noted that initial market recoveries often see increased redemptions as investors seek to secure profits while confidence is still rebuilding [2] - Historical trends suggest that as the market continues to rise, investors may regret missing out on opportunities, leading to renewed purchasing activity, albeit at higher prices [2] - Experienced investors, such as Zhao Meng, are using the rebound to adjust their portfolios, shifting from high-volatility funds to more stable investments that benefit from recent policy changes [3][4]

Core Insights - The recent market recovery has led to increased discussions among investors about "fund recovery" and "finally breaking even" on social media platforms, with notable fund managers seeing significant rebounds in their fund performances [1][2] - Different investors are responding to their funds returning to profitability in various ways, reflecting a spectrum of investment strategies and risk appetites [2][4] Group 1: Market Recovery and Fund Performance - As of August 1, six public funds have doubled in value this year, with several well-known fund managers experiencing rebounds exceeding 50% [1] - Many investors who were previously deeply in the red are now seeing their accounts turn positive, marking a significant psychological milestone for them [1] Group 2: Investor Behavior Post-Recovery - Some investors, like Gao Le, choose to redeem their funds immediately upon recovery, prioritizing liquidity and peace of mind [2] - Others, such as Wang Qian, adopt a more cautious approach by setting redemption plans based on incremental net asset value increases, aiming to lock in profits while mitigating potential losses [2] - Investors like Lin Yang focus on accumulating more shares during downturns, believing that long-term growth opportunities in sectors like cultural industries will yield better returns [3] Group 3: Strategic Adjustments - Experienced investors, such as Zhao Meng, are using the market rebound to adjust their portfolios, shifting from high-volatility funds to more stable investments in sectors like steel and photovoltaic energy [4] - The varying responses from investors highlight the importance of individual risk tolerance, investment goals, and market outlook in shaping their strategies post-recovery [4]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent trend of investors in mutual funds finally breaking even after a prolonged period of losses, highlighting the diverse reactions and strategies among investors as the market recovers [2][3]. Group 1: Market Recovery and Investor Reactions - As of August 1, 2023, six public mutual funds have doubled in value this year, with several well-known fund managers seeing rebounds of over 50% in their representative funds [2]. - Investors who entered the market at high points are experiencing a sense of relief as their accounts return to profitability, leading to varied responses: some choose to redeem their investments, while others opt for cautious withdrawal or even additional investments [2][3]. - A notable investor, Gao Le, who faced a peak loss of nearly 40%, decided to redeem his fund immediately upon breaking even, prioritizing cash in hand for peace of mind [2]. - Another investor, Wang Qian, adopted a more gradual approach, planning to redeem 10% of her holdings for every 5% increase in net value, reflecting a cautious mindset shaped by past experiences [2]. Group 2: Investment Strategies Post-Recovery - Investors' choices after breaking even reveal differences in risk tolerance, investment goals, and market outlooks [5]. - Lin Yang, an investor from the cultural sector, emphasized the importance of accumulating more shares at lower prices rather than focusing solely on breaking even, and he has increased his investment during market lows [3]. - Zhao Meng, a seasoned investor, is using the current rebound to adjust his portfolio, shifting from high-volatility funds to those with lower volatility and benefiting from recent policy changes [4].