Investment Rating - The investment rating for the industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Viewpoints - Natural gas imports in China decreased by 6.9% year-on-year from January to July 2025, with an average import price dropping by 6.7% [4][5] - The decline in natural gas imports is primarily due to a reduction in LNG imports, while domestic gas production and pipeline gas supply have increased, offsetting the decrease in LNG supply [5][8] - Domestic natural gas consumption showed a slight decline of 0.9% year-on-year from January to June 2025, but there was a recovery in June with a 1.4% increase [9] - The average import price of natural gas in July 2025 was $446.06 per ton, reflecting a 6.7% decrease year-on-year, influenced by falling international oil prices and an increase in long-term import contracts [14][22] Summary by Sections Natural Gas Import Data - In July 2025, China's natural gas imports totaled 10.6318 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 2.09% [5][8] - From January to July 2025, cumulative imports reached 70.1435 million tons, down 6.90% year-on-year, with the decline rate narrowing compared to previous months [5][8] Supply and Demand Analysis - Domestic natural gas production increased by 5.8% year-on-year from January to June 2025, with pipeline gas imports rising by 10.5% during the same period [5][8] - The LNG imports saw a significant decline of 20.60% year-on-year from January to June 2025 [5][8] Price Trends - The average import price of natural gas has been on a downward trend due to various factors, including international market fluctuations and increased domestic supply [14][22] - The price drop is attributed to low international oil prices and a higher share of long-term contracts in imports [14][22] Investment Recommendations - Focus on companies with low-cost long-term resources and cost advantages in the natural gas industry, such as Jiufeng Energy and New Hope [22] - Attention is also recommended for city gas companies that are optimizing costs and may see demand recovery, including New Hope Energy, China Resources Gas, and Kunlun Energy [22]

Core Viewpoint - The company is advancing its core strategy of "integrated collaboration in the natural gas industry chain" through a significant asset restructuring plan to privatize its subsidiary, New World Energy, with overwhelming shareholder support of over 99.9% [1] Group 1: Financial Impact - Following the transaction, the company's basic earnings per share (EPS) is projected to increase from RMB 1.46 to RMB 1.56, representing a growth of 6.8% [2] - The core profit attributable to shareholders is expected to rise from RMB 5.143 billion to RMB 9.340 billion, marking an increase of 81.6% [2] - The company has committed to a dividend policy for 2026-2028, ensuring a payout ratio of no less than 50% of the core profit attributable to shareholders, with an estimated total dividend of RMB 1.14 per share in 2025 [2] Group 2: Operational Synergies - The completion of the transaction will lead to New World Energy delisting from the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, allowing the company to fully integrate the natural gas industry chain and control key nodes from resource acquisition to end-user services [3] - The company will leverage its overseas resource pool and diverse gas source structure to enhance overall gas source allocation efficiency and cost control [3] - The transaction will simplify management levels, improve decision-making efficiency, and optimize overall operational effectiveness [3] Group 3: Strategic Development - The restructuring will facilitate the company's global natural gas industry layout, enhancing its core competitiveness and risk resilience [4] - The privatization and integrated listing will serve as a strategic support for expanding financing channels and improving market valuation [4] - The company aims to inject new momentum into high-quality development and internationalization of its natural gas business through this restructuring [4]

证券代码：002053 证券简称：云南能投 公告编号：2025-076 一、关联交易概述 市公司"）董事会2025年第三次临时会议、公司2025年第三次临时股东会分别审议通过 了《关于以控股子公司云南省天然气有限公司股权向云南省页岩气勘探开发有限公司增 资暨关联交易的议案》。《关于以控股子公司云南省天然气有限公司股权向云南省页岩 气勘探开发有限公司增资暨关联交易的公告》（公告编号：2025-031）、《关于以控股 子公司云南省天然气有限公司股权向云南省页岩气勘探开发有限公司增资暨关联交易 完成评估备案的公告》（公告编号：2025-050）详见2025年3月22日、4月4日的《证券 时报》《中国证券报》和巨潮资讯网（http://www.cninfo.com.cn）。 二、交易进展情况 截至2025年4月30日，云南省天然气有限公司（以下简称"天然气公司"）已完成 其公司章程、股东名册变更和公司治理架构调整等工作，云南省页岩气勘探开发有限公 司（以下简称"页岩气公司"）已实际控制天然气公司的财务和经营政策，页岩气公司 可通过参与天然气公司的相关活动而享有可变回报，并且有能力运用对天然气公司的权 力影响其回报金额 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2] Core Views - The company reported a total revenue of 135.91 billion yuan for 2024, a decrease of 5.5% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.49 billion yuan, down 36.6% year-on-year [5] - The company plans to fully privatize its subsidiary, New Energy, with a total transaction value of approximately 599.24 billion HKD [5][7] - The company’s platform trading gas sales volume reached 5.568 billion m³ in 2024, an increase of 10.3% year-on-year, while retail gas volume was 26.2 billion m³, with industrial and commercial gas maintaining a growth rate of 5.1% [7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - The company’s total revenue and net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been adjusted to 58.76 billion yuan and 73.84 billion yuan respectively, with a new forecast for 2027 at 86.41 billion yuan [6][7] - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to increase from 1.46 yuan to 1.56 yuan post-privatization, representing a 6.8% increase [7] - The company’s dividend policy stipulates that from 2026 to 2028, the cash dividend ratio will be no less than 50% of the core profit attributable to shareholders [7] Market Data - As of March 26, 2025, the closing price was 19.65 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 9 [2][6] - The company’s market capitalization is approximately 55.808 billion yuan [2]