智通财经APP获悉，中金发布研报称，首次覆盖保利置业(00119)给予跑赢行业评级，目标价2.15港元， 对应0.24/0.24倍2025/2026年P/B和28%上行空间。公司是保利集团下属重要的地产开发平台，本轮下行 周期中经营表现稳健;该行给予跑赢行业评级。该行判断公司是少数具备高估值性价比的央企房企。市 场在公司经营和估值方面存在预期差，该行看好后续经营端超预期改善，以及政策驱动行情下公司的估 值修复空间。 风险提示：基本面超预期下行，公司拿地销售不及预期;治理提升与架构调整不及预期;港股市场风偏超 预期下行，流动性改善不及预期。 公司兼具深港通标的、央企、中小市值等稀缺属性 该行判断约束公司价值释放的掣肘之一是较低的交易活跃度。该行判断年初以来港股市场相对宽松的流 动性为公司价值发现提供了良好环境。据已有公司交易复盘(如金茂等)，标的在价值回归的过程中交易 活跃度也随之改善，形成正向自强化反馈。 稳健经营表现是最好的估值催化剂 2020-2024年全国与百强口径新房销售额分别累计下行44%和68%，但期间公司全口径销售额稳定在500- 600亿元，行业排名逆势提升50个位次至17名。该行判断公司全年 ...

中金发布研报称，首次覆盖保利置业(00119)给予跑赢行业评级，目标价2.15港元，对应0.24/0.24倍 2025/2026年P/B和28%上行空间。公司是保利集团下属重要的地产开发平台，本轮下行周期中经营表现 稳健;该行给予跑赢行业评级。该行判断公司是少数具备高估值性价比的央企房企。市场在公司经营和 估值方面存在预期差，该行看好后续经营端超预期改善，以及政策驱动行情下公司的估值修复空间。 公司此前受"同业竞争"与阶段性治理不确定性影响，股价曾长期承压。随着前述问题解决，公司经营和 资产质量在行业下行过程中持续改善。该行基于NAV模型和行业可比公司，判断合理估值区间在0.35- 0.45x P/B。 公司兼具深港通标的、央企、中小市值等稀缺属性 该行判断约束公司价值释放的掣肘之一是较低的交易活跃度。该行判断年初以来港股市场相对宽松的流 动性为公司价值发现提供了良好环境。据已有公司交易复盘(如金茂等)，标的在价值回归的过程中交易 活跃度也随之改善，形成正向自强化反馈。 稳健经营表现是最好的估值催化剂 2020-2024年全国与百强口径新房销售额分别累计下行44%和68%，但期间公司全口径销售额稳定在500- ...

Core Viewpoint - The launch of the Tianhong Hong Kong Stock Connect Central State-Owned Enterprises Dividend ETF (159281) on September 2, 2025, aims to attract investors seeking high dividend yields as the A-share market approaches the 3900-point mark [1]. Group 1: Market Trends - Insurance capital has significantly increased its investment in high-dividend assets, with a total growth of 640 billion yuan in equity assets during the first half of the year [1]. - Major insurance companies, including China Life, China Pacific Insurance, and China Ping An, have indicated plans to enhance their allocation towards quality high-dividend assets in their semi-annual reports [1]. Group 2: ETF Characteristics - The Tianhong ETF tracks the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Central SOE Dividend Index, focusing on high-dividend stocks from central state-owned enterprises (SOEs) [1]. - The ETF selects companies that have consistently paid dividends for three consecutive years, ensuring a dividend payout ratio greater than 0 and less than 1 over the past year, thus avoiding "one-off dividends" [1]. - The index is weighted by dividend yield rather than market capitalization, preventing the pitfalls of high buying and low selling [1]. Group 3: Top Holdings - The top ten weighted stocks in the ETF include China COSCO Shipping, Orient Overseas International, China National Offshore Oil, and China Shenhua Energy, among others [1]. - The profitability of central SOEs supports the high dividend yields, allowing investors to benefit from both capital appreciation and stable dividend income under new market regulations [1]. Group 4: Performance Metrics - As of July 4, 2025, the Hong Kong Stock Connect Central SOE Dividend Index had a dividend yield of 7.73% and a year-to-date increase of 17.17%, significantly outperforming the CSI Central SOE Dividend Index, which had a dividend yield of 4.89% and a year-to-date increase of 5.07% [2]. - Over the past five years, the index has achieved an annualized total return of 14.27% with an annualized volatility of 22.02%, indicating a balance of returns and risk management [2].

Core Viewpoint - The current investment sentiment is rising, and there is a discussion on whether the market may become overheated in the future, with a focus on the evolution of the slow bull market [1] Group 1: Investment Opportunities - Financial sectors, including large financial institutions, are considered undervalued and attractive for investment [1] - H-shares are highlighted as a significant focus for global investors, reflecting the "East rises, West falls" narrative, indicating a shift in capital towards Asia [2] - Core assets such as the Shanghai Composite Index, Hang Seng Technology, and Hang Seng National Enterprises are identified as mainstream core assets that can attract long-term domestic and international capital [3] Group 2: Market Dynamics - There is an increasing probability of capital returning from the U.S., where high asset prices and tax implications are driving investors to consider returning to the Chinese market [2] - The Hong Kong capital market has shown significant growth, rising from 14,597 points to over 25,000 points, demonstrating initial success in attracting global capital [2] - The non-bank financial sector is experiencing robust activity, indicating a diverse range of investment opportunities that include both traditional and technology-driven assets [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights a significant rally in state-owned enterprises (SOEs) and coal-related stocks, driven by strong performance in the coal futures market and expectations of price increases in coke [1][2] - Major SOEs such as China Communications Construction and China Railway Construction saw substantial gains, indicating a positive market sentiment towards these companies [1] - The coal sector is identified as a high-dividend area, with leading companies expected to attract long-term investment due to stable cash flows and dividend capabilities [2] Group 2 - The report mentions that the Central State-Owned Enterprises Dividend 50 ETF (560700) has a market size of 682 million yuan, leading its category, and has shown a price increase of over 1% [1][3] - The High Dividend ETF (159207) has increased by over 15% since its launch in April, indicating strong investor interest in high-yield assets [1][3] - The report also notes that the Central State-Owned Enterprises Innovation ETF (515600) saw a price increase of over 2%, reflecting positive market dynamics for innovative SOEs [1][4] Group 3 - The coal industry is expected to benefit from government policies aimed at stabilizing growth, with large infrastructure projects like the Yarlung Tsangpo River hydropower project set to support physical work volume [2] - The report emphasizes that the coal sector's profitability is stabilizing, and the risks associated with the industry have been sufficiently mitigated, enhancing its investment appeal [2] - The introduction of long-term assessments for insurance funds is expected to further boost the allocation preference for high-dividend assets, particularly in the coal sector [2]

Core Viewpoint - The active equity funds have regained market attention as the market conditions improve, with a notable focus on technology innovation-related themes [1][2][6] Group 1: Fund Issuance and Themes - As of March 20, a total of 17 new active equity funds have been launched, primarily focusing on technology innovation themes [1][2] - Among the 10 funds currently in the initial issuance phase, many are centered on technology sectors, including funds like Taiping Technology Pioneer Mixed and Deutsche Bank Emerging Industry Mixed [2] - Some funds are targeting specific themes, such as central enterprises and dividends, with examples like Rongtong Central Enterprise Selected Mixed focusing on high-dividend, stable cash flow companies [2][3] Group 2: Fund Issuance Strategies - Many funds are adopting a "initiated" issuance strategy due to concerns over unsuccessful fundraising, with 5 out of the 10 currently issuing funds being initiated funds [3][4] - Initiated funds require a minimum of 10 million yuan to establish and have shorter issuance periods, allowing for gradual scale growth post-establishment [4] Group 3: Fund Performance and Market Sentiment - Despite the increase in active equity fund issuance, there remains a cautious sentiment among fund companies due to recent failures in fundraising, with 3 funds reported to have failed to meet registration conditions this year [4][5] - The performance of active equity funds has shown promise, with the highest return exceeding 80% year-to-date, indicating potential for sustained performance as market conditions evolve [7]