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跌落神坛?杭州学区房价格大跳水,背后藏着什么秘密?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-09 00:01
过去十年,学区房几乎是杭州家长"拼娃"路上的标配:一套文二新村或文鼎苑的房子,不仅代表着优质教育资源,更象征着一张通往未来的通行证。 为了这张"入场券",不少家庭负债上车,甚至不惜"以房换学",寄希望于一纸户口带来的"起跑线优势"。 但如今,学区房的神话正一点点褪色,不少老牌"神盘"价格大跳水,连一向坚挺的学军小学学区房也未能幸免。焦虑的家长们开始反思:"学区房真的还 值得吗?" 市场:从"万众追捧"到"价格跳水" 1. 居住体验差,家长"住得憋屈",开始放弃执念 很多核心学区房所处的小区,如文二新村、求智巷等,房龄普遍在30年以上,不少还是上世纪建造的楼梯房。老旧的基础设施、拥挤的停车空间、落户的 物业管理、没有电梯的6层老房……这些都严重影响着居住体验。 近日,文鼎苑一套建筑面积为153㎡的顶跃房源,起拍价585万,折合起拍单价3.8万/㎡,最终以601.4万元价格成交,折合成交单价仅3.9万/㎡。 文鼎苑实景 摄/快房网 文二新村实景 摄/快房网 整个杭州二手房市场的成交热度也明显降温。2025年7月,全市二手房共成交6840套,环比下降2.61%,创下连续四个月下行纪录。与之形成鲜明对比的 是挂牌量在 ...
止跌!海口住宅揽金6.5亿!但,成交均价创新低!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-23 06:42
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the recent developments in the Haikou real estate market, particularly in relation to the newly released school district zoning for 2025, which is expected to influence property values and demand [1] - Haikou experienced a significant decline in housing prices, ranking second in the nation for price drops in June, while Sanya's land market remains active and competitive [2] - The residential transaction data for Haikou from July 14 to July 20 shows a total of 295 units sold, marking a 23.43% increase compared to the previous week, with a total transaction area of 37,187.8 square meters and revenue of 651 million yuan [2][3] Group 2 - The average transaction price for residential properties in Haikou has reached a new low of approximately 17,500 yuan per square meter, indicating a shift towards a strategy of "price for volume" by developers [4] - The top-selling residential projects include Jiantou Guoxing Shangpin with 36 units sold, followed by Baolong City with 26 units, and Dahua Jinxiu Sijie with 15 units [6][7] - The commercial real estate market in Haikou has shown poor performance, with no transactions recorded, while the commercial office market stabilized with 25 units sold, generating revenue of 91 million yuan [8][10]
学区房为什么这么贵?背后是一场绕不开的“教育军备竞赛”
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-09 14:56
Core Viewpoint - The skyrocketing prices of school district housing are driven by the scarcity of quality educational resources, leading parents to invest heavily in properties that provide access to prestigious schools [1][11]. Group 1: Price Dynamics of School District Housing - In major cities like Beijing, Shanghai, and Shenzhen, even dilapidated properties can command exorbitant prices when associated with reputable school districts, with examples showing prices reaching 8 million for a 30 square meter unit in Beijing and over 15,000 per square meter in Shenzhen [1][3]. - Over 70% of parents are willing to pay a premium of more than 20% for school district housing compared to similar properties in the area, indicating a strong market demand driven by educational aspirations [3][5]. Group 2: Educational Resource Disparity - The concentration of quality educational resources is exacerbated by a "Matthew Effect," where top schools attract better students and funding, further enhancing their appeal and leading to a cycle of inequality in education [3][5]. - The limited number of top-tier schools, which account for less than 5% of all schools, creates intense competition among parents, who view school district housing as a necessary investment for their children's future [1][11]. Group 3: Policy Influence on Housing Prices - The current "zoning for enrollment" policy ties housing to educational access, making properties in desirable school districts highly sought after, with stable school district boundaries encouraging parents to invest at high prices [5][7]. - Policies intended to dilute the importance of school district housing, such as "multi-school zoning," have paradoxically increased demand for properties directly linked to prestigious schools, leading to price increases in those areas [7][9]. Group 4: Market Behavior and Speculation - Real estate agents often exploit information asymmetry by promoting speculative narratives about potential school district changes, which can lead to significant price fluctuations based on rumors [9]. - The resilience of school district housing prices during market downturns, such as a mere 0.5% decline in popular school district properties compared to a 3% drop in the overall market, highlights their perceived value as stable investments [7][9]. Group 5: Future Outlook - Despite attempts to cool the school district housing market through various educational reforms, the fundamental issue of resource scarcity remains, suggesting that high prices will persist as long as parents continue to feel anxious about their children's educational opportunities [9][11].
最新!厦门岛内,近1个月真实成交价
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-22 09:57
Core Insights - The article provides a detailed analysis of the real transaction prices of second-hand residential properties in Xiamen, particularly focusing on the popular districts of Huli and Siming, with prices ranging from 21,500 to 58,000 CNY per square meter [3][5] - The highest transaction price recorded was 9.225 million CNY, while the lowest was 756,000 CNY, indicating a significant price range in the market [3][5] - The article emphasizes the importance of understanding market trends and property values, especially for potential buyers looking for suitable options within their budget [12][14] Market Overview - The data shows that the second-hand housing market in Xiamen is experiencing fluctuations, with some areas like Siming maintaining high prices due to demand for school district properties and newly delivered homes [6][7] - The article notes that the high-priced second-hand properties are primarily located in school districts or newly completed buildings, which are highly sought after by families [6][7] - There is a noticeable decline in high premium properties in the market, particularly in areas like Anxi, which has affected the overall pricing dynamics in Xiamen [8] Price Trends - The article highlights that properties priced above 50,000 CNY per square meter are predominantly found in Siming, indicating a concentration of high-value real estate in this district [10][11] - Recent data suggests that the overall price trend in Siming remains at the top tier in Xiamen, with both high unit prices and total prices being common [11] - The market is witnessing a polarization in new home sales, with some developments selling fewer than 50 units in six months, while high-end second-hand properties are maintaining their value [12][13] Buyer Insights - The article suggests that for young first-time buyers with limited budgets, finding suitable properties within Xiamen is becoming increasingly challenging, yet necessary [14] - It emphasizes that properties that meet personal needs and budget constraints are considered the best options for buyers [14] - The article encourages potential buyers to seek objective third-party advice to navigate the complexities of the current real estate market [11][12]
21社论丨持续优化楼市政策,稳定市场预期
Group 1: Real Estate Market Trends - In May, new home prices in first-tier cities decreased by 0.2% month-on-month, while second-tier cities also saw a 0.2% decline, and third-tier cities experienced a 0.3% drop [1] - Second-hand home prices in first-tier cities fell by 0.7%, a 0.5 percentage point increase in the decline compared to the previous month, while second and third-tier cities saw a 0.5% decrease, with a 0.1 percentage point increase in the decline [1] - The overall market performance in May was stable, with price fluctuations considered normal, reflecting diminishing marginal effects of policies implemented since September last year [1] Group 2: Structural Issues in Housing Demand - The demand for school district housing is decreasing, as evidenced by a reduction in the number of kindergartens and children enrolled, which may lead to accelerated depreciation of old residential communities [2] - The weakening of school district functions in central urban areas could result in lower prices for old properties, especially as the supply of better-quality homes increases [2] Group 3: Urban Renewal and Investment Opportunities - Urban renewal initiatives should be combined with the construction of quality housing to address the structural issues in the market, particularly in first-tier cities [3] - The rental yield in first-tier cities is rising due to falling housing prices, with rental yields around 2%, which is higher than the current deposit rates [3] - The demand for quality homes remains strong, as indicated by nine new projects in Shanghai achieving "daylight" sales in May, suggesting a need for balanced development strategies in the real estate sector [4]
玻璃心慎入!网友:镇海学区房都跌到可以付全款买房了,躺赚几十万!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-18 07:07
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the complexities and challenges surrounding the purchase of "school district houses" in Ningbo's Zhenhai District, highlighting the impact of housing prices and school admission policies on families' decisions [1][2]. Group 1: Housing Market Dynamics - The demand for "school district houses" is significantly influenced by the perception of their value, especially when linked to educational opportunities [1]. - The housing prices in the Zhenhai District have seen a decline, with specific areas like Zhaobao Mountain experiencing a drop from over 30,000 to below 20,000 per unit [2]. - The article illustrates a personal account of a parent who initially planned to buy a school district house but delayed due to financial constraints, only to find prices dropping significantly later [2]. Group 2: School Admission Policies - The admission process for public schools in Zhenhai follows a "first by district, then by school" principle, which prioritizes families based on their housing status and the timing of their residency [1]. - A warning was issued regarding the enrollment of children for public schools in 2025, indicating potential challenges for families seeking to secure spots for their children [1]. Group 3: Community Reactions - The article captures various community reactions, with some individuals expressing regret over their timing in purchasing school district houses, while others share their experiences of waiting for better market conditions [2][4]. - The sentiment among community members reflects a mix of hope and skepticism regarding future price movements in the housing market [4][5].
南门+42中双本部地块即将上市,论庐阳强大购买力!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-16 15:32
Core Viewpoint - The land parcel at the southeast corner of the intersection of Lujiang Road and Tongcheng Road in Luyang District, Hefei, is attracting significant attention from homebuyers due to its favorable location and educational resources, with plans for it to be listed in the 2025 land supply schedule [1][4]. Group 1: Land Characteristics - The land has a floor area ratio of 1.4 and is located within the city’s ring river area, which is a key factor for potential buyers [1]. - The surrounding roads are relatively narrow, a limitation from the era of development, and the nearest subway station (Sanxiaokou Station) is approximately 900 meters away [4]. Group 2: Advantages of the Land - The land is situated in a top-tier educational district, featuring the South Gate Primary School and the 42nd Middle School, making it highly attractive in the new housing market [7]. - Within a one-kilometer radius, there are numerous essential resources, including provincial hospitals, commercial centers, and parks, enhancing the land's appeal [7]. - Expanding the radius to two kilometers reveals even more top-tier resources, such as additional hospitals, parks, shopping areas, and cultural institutions, indicating a wealth of amenities available to residents [7]. Group 3: Target Audience - The primary audience includes local residents who have a strong sense of community and are likely to prefer living in their original neighborhoods, especially given the historical significance of the area [9]. - Families seeking educational opportunities are also a key demographic, as the land is within the catchment area of multiple prestigious schools, appealing to high-net-worth families looking for quality housing that meets their educational needs [11]. Group 4: Market Positioning - The land is expected to feature larger unit types, resulting in higher prices that may exclude many average homebuyers from the market [13]. - The uniqueness and scarcity of the land, combined with its educational advantages, are likely to ensure its value retention and appreciation over time [11].
热销项目 | 新规产品入市托举4月去化率同比持增
克而瑞地产研究· 2025-05-15 08:56
Core Viewpoint - The real estate market is expected to continue a weak recovery trend in May, with a focus on quality over quantity in project launches, particularly in cities like Guangzhou and Chengdu, which may lead to localized market improvements [1][21]. Market Performance - In April, the average project de-stocking rate in 30 key cities was 38%, a decrease of 6 percentage points month-on-month but an increase of 13 percentage points year-on-year, maintaining a high level for 2023 [3][4]. - The overall market heat in April showed a slight decline compared to March, but year-on-year comparisons remained positive, indicating a stabilization in the market [4][21]. - Cities like Chengdu, Changsha, Zhengzhou, Hangzhou, and Tianjin saw de-stocking rates exceeding 60%, primarily due to the introduction of quality improvement projects [4][21]. Project Characteristics - New regulations and high-efficiency projects are gaining popularity, with cities experiencing stable growth in de-stocking rates attributed to the launch of core area improvement projects [8][9]. - In Guangzhou, 13 new regulation products accounted for 60% of the market, with a notable project, Poly Tianyi, achieving a 37% de-stocking rate upon its launch [8]. - In Zhengzhou, two new projects significantly outperformed traditional offerings, indicating a strong demand for high-quality housing even in a sluggish market [9]. Supporting Factors - Quality infrastructure, particularly in transportation and education, is crucial for attracting buyers, with projects near transit lines and reputable schools performing well [10][13]. - The trend of "price for volume" is evident in second-tier cities like Chengdu and Chongqing, where discounts and enhanced commission structures have led to improved sales performance during the May Day holiday [15][18]. Future Outlook - The market is anticipated to maintain a weak recovery trend in May, with a focus on quality project launches potentially driving localized improvements [21]. - Major cities like Beijing, Shanghai, and Hangzhou may see sustained market heat if suitable high-quality projects are introduced, while cities like Wuhan and Tianjin are expected to stabilize after previous adjustments [21]. - However, weaker second-tier cities such as Fuzhou, Nanning, and Kunming face challenges with high inventory levels, making overall de-stocking prospects less optimistic [21].
买房故事丨“小阳春”买房,价格还真不好谈!
3 6 Ke· 2025-04-27 02:07
Core Insights - The article discusses the challenges and considerations faced by a family looking to upgrade their living situation due to educational needs and space constraints, highlighting the current real estate market dynamics in their area [1][2][3]. Group 1: Housing Market Dynamics - The family initially hesitated to sell their property due to high purchase prices and the current market conditions, leading them to adopt a "wait and see" approach [1]. - The family faced limitations in the second-hand housing market, with common issues such as subpar layouts, high common area ratios, and general maintenance concerns [3][4]. - The scarcity of desirable housing types has led to higher prices and less negotiation power for buyers, particularly during the "small spring" period when demand is typically higher [4][5]. Group 2: Negotiation Challenges - The family experienced a shift in negotiation dynamics when a property they were interested in had its price significantly reduced, which made them reconsider their budget expectations [5][6]. - During negotiations, the family felt at a disadvantage as the seller's price remained relatively firm despite their attempts to negotiate lower [5][6]. - The family noted that past prices for similar properties provided little reference value in the current market, complicating their negotiation strategy [6]. Group 3: Personal Experiences and Market Reflections - The family's previous experiences in the housing market were contrasted, noting a significant price drop in properties since their last purchase, which has led to uncertainty about future price trends [6][7]. - The family is now faced with the dilemma of whether to sell their previous property at a loss or hold out for potentially better market conditions [7].