Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints - On November 18, equity index futures fell while CGB futures rose slightly; most commodities declined, with the energy & chemicals remaining weak and J and JM leading the losses [2][10][12][13]. - The top three gainers in commodity futures are Iron Ore, Chinese Jujube, and Lithium Carbonate, while the top three decliners are Coking Coal, SCFIS(Europe), and Coke [11][12][13]. - TSR 20 rose by 0.5% on November 18, with supply - side factors including overseas seasonal output increase and domestic factors like停割and warehouse receipt changes, and demand showing no significant change [16][17][19]. - Coking Coal fell 3.9% on November 18, with fundamentals still providing strong support and expected to trade with fluctuation [24][26]. - Coke fell 2.9% on November 18, with supply - demand remaining tight in the short - term, cost support weakening, and prices expected to fluctuate alongside coking coal [29][31]. Summary by Directory 1. China Futures 1.1 Overview - On November 18, equity index futures (IH fell by 0.23%, IF dropped by 0.41%) fell while CGB futures (TL rose by 0.06%) rose slightly; most commodities declined, with energy & chemicals weak and J and JM leading losses [10]. - In commodity futures, top gainers are Iron Ore (up 1.4% with - 2.1% month - on - month position change), Chinese Jujube (up 1.2% with - 0.8% month - on - month position change), and Lithium Carbonate (up 0.9% with - 14.0% month - on - month position change); top decliners are Coking Coal (down 3.9% with + 2.1% month - on - month position change), SCFIS(Europe) (down 2.9% with - 0.1% month - on - month position change), and Coke (down 2.9% with + 2.4% month - on - month position change) [11][12][13]. 1.1 Daily Raise - TSR 20 rose by 0.5% to 12,345 yuan/ton on November 18. Supply - side: overseas seasonal output increase is smooth, raw materials are firm, domestic停割in November and RU warehouse receipt deregistration and NR warehouse receipt increase have impacts. Demand - side: no significant change in the past two weeks, downstream purchasing sentiment is good after price decline, but lack of strong directional drivers. Market is range - bound, with rubber prices having bottom resilience but no one - sided trending market [16][17][19]. 1.2 Daily Drop - Coking Coal fell 3.9% to 1,159 yuan/ton on November 18. Futures pressure weakened sentiment, increasing online auction failure rates and causing some coal price corrections. Fundamentals haven't deteriorated significantly, and prices are expected to trade with fluctuation. Supply: main producing area mines' production rhythm is mostly stable, overall supply recovers slowly; import: Mongolian coal clearance at Ganqimaodu Port is high but prime coking coal at the port is tight. Demand: coke output drops month - on - month, mid - and downstream purchases slow after replenishment, but mines have many advance orders, and upstream mines have slight inventory accumulation with little overall pressure [24][26]. - Coke fell 2.9% to 1,649.5 yuan/ton on November 18. In the off - season, supply and demand are both weak, downstream steel mills may increase maintenance but significant production cuts are unlikely, so demand support remains. Short - term supply - demand is tight, inventory is decreasing, cost support has weakened, and futures are expected to fluctuate alongside coking coal. Supply: coking profits improve after four rounds of price hikes, and supply remains stable with relaxed environmental requirements in Henan. Demand: steel mills' profits shrink but willingness to cut production actively is low, molten iron output is high. Inventory: steel mills maintain strong purchasing momentum and upstream coking enterprises hold low inventories [29][30][31]. 2. China News 2.1 Macro News - On November 17, the 4th China - Germany High - Level Financial & Economic Dialogue was co - chaired by Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng and German Vice Chancellor and Federal Minister of Finance Christian Lindner. Both sides will strengthen macroeconomic policy coordination, enhance financial and economic cooperation, expand two - way market opening, and support the multilateral trading system [34]. - A Japanese Foreign Ministry official visited China from November 17. On the 18th, the Chinese Foreign Ministry's Asian Affairs Department Director - General met with him, and China made solemn representations to Japan [34]. 2.2 Industry News - The 4th China - Germany High - Level Financial & Economic Dialogue joint statement mentions that both sides support strengthening exchanges and cooperation in securities, futures and derivatives sectors, encourage cross - border investment and operation of qualified financial institutions, and promote exchanges between regulatory and self - regulatory organizations. They also note the signing of a cooperation MoU by industry associations [35].

2025年11月17日，中国国务院副总理何立峰与德国副总理兼财政部部长克林拜尔在北京共同主持第四次中德高级别财金对话。双方高级别官员出席对话。 双方重申这一对话机制是中德就财金领域战略性、全局性、长期性问题开展双边沟通和政策协调的重要平台。双方致力于通过多双边渠道加强宏观经济政策协调， 共同促进世界经济复苏和可持续发展，促进全球金融稳定。双方同意加强财金领域合作，在公平竞争的基础上扩大双向市场开放。双方致力于共同完善国际经济治 理，支持以世界贸易组织为核心、以规则为基础、公平、开放、透明、包容、公正、可持续、非歧视的多边贸易体制。 双方在对话中达成以下共识： 1.双方承诺将维护国际及多边合作，反对单边主义和贸易保护主义，支持二十国集团（G20）发挥国际经济合作主要论坛作用。双方致力于落实历次G20峰会及财长 和央行行长会议等各项会议共识，将共同推动G20在加强宏观经济政策协调、推进国际金融机构改革、维护金融稳定、推动可持续发展及数字经济等领域加强合 作。 2.双方强调维护以世界贸易组织为核心、以规则为基础的多边贸易体制的重要性。双方支持推进世界贸易组织改革，致力于营造以规则为基础、公平、开放、透 明、包容、公 ...

Core Viewpoint - The fourth high-level financial dialogue between China and Germany emphasizes the importance of bilateral communication and policy coordination in the financial sector, aiming to promote global economic recovery and sustainable development while enhancing financial stability [1]. Group 1: Bilateral Cooperation and Multilateral Frameworks - Both parties commit to maintaining international and multilateral cooperation, opposing unilateralism and trade protectionism, and supporting the G20 as a key forum for international economic cooperation [2]. - The significance of a rules-based multilateral trading system centered around the World Trade Organization (WTO) is highlighted, with both sides supporting WTO reforms to create a fair and transparent trade environment [2]. - Continued close cooperation within the International Monetary Fund (IMF) framework is agreed upon, advocating for a strong, resource-rich IMF that reflects member countries' relative positions in the global economy [2]. Group 2: Development and Debt Management - Both parties aim to address debt vulnerabilities in low- and middle-income countries effectively and support the implementation of the G20's debt treatment framework [3]. - The importance of the International Development Association (IDA) is reaffirmed, with expectations for the World Bank Group to fulfill its commitments regarding IDA replenishment [4]. - Cooperation under the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) framework is set to enhance sustainable operations and support member countries in achieving sustainable development [4]. Group 3: Financial Market Connectivity - The dialogue encourages qualified companies from both countries to issue Global Depositary Receipts (GDRs) and Chinese Depositary Receipts (CDRs) to enhance market liquidity and connectivity [7]. - The issuance of Panda bonds is recognized as crucial for the financial operations of German enterprises in China, with support for qualified German institutions to issue these bonds [7]. - Both parties acknowledge the importance of a developed derivatives market for enhancing market depth, liquidity, and stability, welcoming participation from qualified enterprises [10]. Group 4: Financial Technology and Regulatory Cooperation - Financial technology cooperation is encouraged to foster further development and innovation in the sector [11]. - Strengthening regulatory cooperation in the banking and insurance sectors is emphasized, with discussions on potential memorandums of understanding to enhance communication mechanisms [12]. - The importance of insurance institutions in improving market inclusivity and economic resilience is recognized, with commitments to facilitate licensing applications [12]. Group 5: Sustainable Finance and Green Initiatives - Both parties welcome significant progress in green finance and sustainable financial infrastructure, committing to deepen cooperation under the Central Banks and Supervisors Network for Greening the Financial System (NGFS) [6]. - Joint efforts to enhance the interoperability of standards in sustainable finance are agreed upon, aiming to mobilize private sector funding for climate action and sustainable development [6]. - The dialogue encourages innovation in green bond disclosure standards and joint research on climate risks by financial institutions [15].

Core Points - The fourth high-level financial dialogue between China and Germany was held on November 17, 2025, focusing on strategic and long-term issues in the financial sector [1] - Both countries reaffirmed their commitment to multilateral cooperation and opposition to unilateralism and trade protectionism, emphasizing the importance of the G20 as a platform for international economic cooperation [2] - The dialogue resulted in agreements to enhance cooperation in various areas, including macroeconomic policy coordination, international financial institution reform, and sustainable development [2][3] Group 1: Bilateral Cooperation - Both parties committed to maintaining international and multilateral cooperation, opposing unilateralism and trade protectionism, and supporting the G20's role in international economic cooperation [2] - They emphasized the importance of a rules-based multilateral trading system centered around the World Trade Organization (WTO) and agreed to support WTO reforms [2] - Both sides agreed to continue close cooperation within the framework of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and support a strong, resource-rich IMF [2][3] Group 2: Financial Stability and Development - The dialogue highlighted the need to address debt vulnerabilities in low- and middle-income countries and to implement the G20's debt treatment framework [3] - Both countries recognized the importance of the International Development Association (IDA) and supported its funding commitments [4] - They expressed a commitment to enhancing cooperation under the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) framework to support sustainable development [4] Group 3: Financial Market Connectivity - Both parties welcomed the issuance of Global Depositary Receipts (GDRs) and Chinese Depositary Receipts (CDRs) to enhance market liquidity and connectivity [7] - They acknowledged the significance of Panda bonds for German enterprises in China and supported qualified German institutions in issuing Panda bonds [7][8] - The dialogue recognized the importance of a developed derivatives market for enhancing market depth, liquidity, and stability [7] Group 4: Regulatory Cooperation - Both sides agreed to strengthen regulatory cooperation in the banking and insurance sectors and explore the possibility of signing a memorandum of understanding [6][8] - They recognized the role of fintech in enhancing financial services and encouraged cooperation between financial technology institutions [9] - The dialogue emphasized the importance of timely and efficient processing of relevant licensing applications to facilitate market access for financial institutions [9][10]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the dialogue is the commitment to enhance practical cooperation in the economic and financial sectors between China and Russia, reaffirming the importance of the China-Russia finance ministers' dialogue mechanism [1] - Both parties agreed to maintain macroeconomic policy coordination to support the development and revitalization of their economies, with the next dialogue scheduled for 2026 in Russia [1] - There is a focus on strengthening cooperation in taxation and finance, including banking, securities, and insurance sectors, as well as enhancing audit supervision and cross-border law enforcement cooperation [1] Group 2 - The dialogue emphasizes the importance of multilateral frameworks such as the G20, BRICS, Shanghai Cooperation Organization, and APEC for coordinating efforts to mitigate risks arising from geopolitical and geoeconomic fragmentation [1] - Both parties expressed a commitment to deepen cooperation within multilateral development banks, advocating for the principles of multilateralism and non-politicization to mobilize more resources for developing countries [2] - Support was voiced for the New Development Bank and the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank to expand their roles and enhance local currency financing, thereby increasing their influence in the global financial landscape [2]

Domestic News - The Central Committee of the Communist Party of China emphasized the importance of self-reliance and application-oriented development in artificial intelligence during a recent study session led by Xi Jinping [1] - The Ministry of Finance announced that China will adopt more proactive macroeconomic policies to achieve its annual growth targets amid a complex external environment [1] - The People's Bank of China highlighted the need for enhanced macroeconomic policy coordination among countries to support a multilateral trade system and promote global economic stability [1] - The State Administration for Market Regulation plans to improve the commercial secret protection system by 2025, introducing new mechanisms and enhancing cultural guidance for businesses [1] - A report indicated that China's renewable energy capacity plays a significant role in global supply chains, contributing to international cooperation and market stability [1] - As of April 25, 18 public fund institutions have participated in listed company private placements, with total subscriptions exceeding 8.5 billion yuan, reflecting strong financing demand [1] - The Sichuan provincial government announced the cancellation of ordinary and non-ordinary residential standards, along with a policy to exempt land value-added tax [1] International News - A report indicated that 98% of clothing in the U.S. is imported, and due to tariff impacts, clothing prices may rise by 65% and shoe prices by up to 87% in the next year [2] - Iran and Russia are strengthening energy cooperation, with Russia potentially supplying 1.8 billion cubic meters of natural gas to Iran this year [2] Industry Developments - A new cargo flight route from Chengdu to Dubai has been established, marking Chengdu's first direct cargo route to the Middle East, focusing on cross-border e-commerce and electronic products [2] - Vale, a Brazilian mining giant, announced a collaboration with Petrobras to supply a new type of marine fuel made from waste cooking oil [3] - Speculative positions in Brent crude oil increased significantly, indicating a bullish sentiment among investors [3]