Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" [5][64] Core Viewpoints - The report maintains a positive outlook on the commercial aerospace sector, driven by the recent breakthroughs in reusable rocket launch tests, which address the industry's capacity constraints and enhance satellite networking capabilities [3][45] - The report highlights the expected strong recovery in demand for the military industry by 2026, supported by various catalysts such as the nearing 14th Five-Year Plan and the centenary of the military [4][46] Summary by Sections Market Performance - During the week of December 8-12, the Shenwan Military Industry Index rose by 2.80%, outperforming the CSI 300 Index, which fell by 0.08%, resulting in a relative excess return of 2.88 percentage points [3][11] - Since 2025, the Shenwan Military Industry Index has increased by 21.10%, compared to a 16.42% rise in the CSI 300 Index, yielding a relative excess return of 4.68 percentage points [19][11] Key Investment Opportunities - The report suggests focusing on the following sectors: 1. Commercial Aerospace: Companies such as Western Materials, Aerospace Power, Tongyu Communication, Zhenyou Technology, and Aerospace Huanyu [4][46] 2. Nuclear Fusion: Companies including Guoguang Electric, Lianchuang Optoelectronics, Hezhuan Intelligent, Wangzi New Materials, and Xuguang Electronics [4][46] 3. Stealth Materials: Companies like Jiachitech and Huaqin Technology [4][46] 4. Deep Sea: Companies such as Western Materials and China Marine Defense [4][46] 5. Engines: Companies including Aerospace Technology, Aerospace Yat, and Tunan Co [4][46] Financial and Valuation Insights - As of December 12, the current TTM price-to-earnings ratio for the Shenwan Military Industry Index is 70.67, placing it in the 92.55 percentile, indicating a high configuration significance given the expected recovery in 2026 [3][29][37] - The report notes a significant inflow of leveraged funds into the military sector, reflecting confidence in the industry's recovery [36][29]

Core Insights - The defense and military industry is experiencing significant growth in both domestic and international demand due to multiple catalysts, including the upcoming 14th Five-Year Plan, the centenary of the military, and rapid development in military trade [1] Group 1: Industry Opportunities - The years 2026-2027 are expected to present thematic opportunities in the defense sector driven by the 14th Five-Year Plan, military centenary goals, and fast-growing military trade [1] - The aerospace equipment sector, particularly the commercial space segment, is showing outstanding performance [1] Group 2: Regulatory Developments - The National Space Administration has released the "Action Plan for Promoting High-Quality and Safe Development of Commercial Space (2025-2027)" and established a dedicated regulatory body for commercial space [1] - Beijing plans to construct a gigawatt-level space data center in the dawn-dusk orbit, advancing AI computing power projects in three phases [1] Group 3: Investment Index - The military ETF (512660) tracks the CSI Military Industry Index (399967), which selects listed companies in the defense sector, including aerospace, weapons, and electronics, to reflect the overall performance of the military industry [1] - The CSI Military Industry Index covers 79 constituent stocks, demonstrating high industry concentration and representativeness, effectively showcasing market dynamics in China's military industry [1]

行 华福证券 国防军工 2025 年 11 月 24 日 业 研 究 国防军工 军工本周观点：静待十五五规划 投资要点： 本周核心观点： 行 业 定 期 报 告 11 月 18 日，解放军报报道，日前，海军福建舰航母编队组织海上多 科目训练，这是福建舰入列后首次海上实兵训练。歼-35、歼-15T、歼-15DT、 空警-600 等多型舰载机在福建舰陆续完成了多架次弹射起飞和着舰训练， 有效检验了福建舰电磁弹射、回收和甲板作业能力。 2）隐身材料：【佳驰科技】、【华秦科技】； 3）深海：【西部材料】、【中国海防】； 强于大市（维持评级） 一年内行业相对大盘走势 团队成员 11 月 17 日，2025 迪拜国际航空展开幕,，中航工业集团组织中航技以 "全面迈向高端新时代"为主题参展。本届航展，航空工业集团"翼龙" -X、"20 家族"等高端航空装备悉数亮相，进一步开拓国际市场。其中， 阿联酋空军"骑士"表演队换装 L15 高级教练机后带来精彩全球首秀，新 型高商载货运无人机概念方案首次面向全球市场进行展出，"翼龙"-X 无 人机首次以静展形式亮相境外航展。展区展示了由战斗机、直升机、教练 机、运输机、无人机组成的谱 ...

Market Performance - The A-share market has shown poor profitability this week, with only 11% of respondents reporting profits, while 89% reported losses [7] - Major indices such as the Shanghai Composite Index and the Shenzhen Component Index experienced declines, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 3.90% this week [2] - The overall market sentiment indicates a bearish outlook, with 38% of respondents expecting the market to trade sideways and unable to reach 4000 points [8] Sector Performance - All major industry indices saw declines, with the power equipment sector leading the losses at 10.54%, followed by comprehensive and basic chemical sectors [3] - The banking sector experienced the smallest decline at 0.89%, indicating relative stability compared to other sectors [3] Fund Flow - A total of 249.32 billion yuan in net outflow was recorded from A-share main funds this week, with all 31 major industry sectors experiencing net outflows [3] - The power equipment, electronics, and pharmaceutical sectors saw the highest net outflows, amounting to 50.52 billion yuan, 38.39 billion yuan, and 25.76 billion yuan respectively [3] Investor Sentiment - A survey indicated that 26% of investors increased their positions, while 18% reduced their holdings, reflecting a cautious approach to market conditions [4] - The proportion of investors holding less than 50% of their positions increased, indicating a shift towards more conservative investment strategies [4] Future Outlook - Respondents remain optimistic about the long-term trend of the A-share market, with 50% believing the Shanghai Composite Index could reach 4000 points [10] - The military industry sector has seen a significant increase in positive sentiment, rising by 9 percentage points to 12%, indicating growing interest in this area [12] Industry Trends - The military industry is expected to experience significant growth driven by domestic and international demand, with key factors including the "14th Five-Year Plan" and military trade developments [13] - Analysts predict a shift towards high-end demand and improved financial health within the military sector, with a focus on new combat capabilities and military-civilian integration [13]

Core Viewpoint - The defense and military modernization during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period requires significant investment, high precision, and a focus on efficiency, low cost, and sustainable development. The industry is expected to see substantial growth driven by multiple catalysts, including the upcoming "15th Five-Year Plan," the centenary of the military, and rapid military trade development [1]. Group 1: Industry Development - The military industry must accelerate the construction of advanced combat capabilities, promote the scale, practical application, and systematic development of new domain combat forces, and enhance the upgrade and transformation of traditional combat forces [1]. - There is a need to strengthen the integration of national strategic systems and capabilities, promoting the efficient fusion of new productive forces and new combat capabilities, and building an advanced defense technology industrial system [1]. Group 2: Market Performance - The military industry is expected to experience significant growth in both domestic and international demand, with a strong recovery anticipated in the industry fundamentals by 2026, despite the current high valuation of the military sector [1]. - The military ETF (512660) tracks the CSI Military Index (399967), which selects listed companies in sectors such as aviation, aerospace, shipbuilding, weaponry, and military electronics to reflect the overall performance of China's military industry [1]. Group 3: ETF Insights - As of November 19, 2025, the military ETF has a scale of 14.461 billion, ranking first among 12 similar products [2].

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" [5] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the importance of high-quality advancement in national defense and military modernization, aligning with the "14th Five-Year Plan" and the goal of achieving a strong military by 2027 [43][44] - It highlights the need for efficient resource utilization and cost control in military modernization efforts, advocating for a sustainable development approach [4][45] - The report anticipates significant growth in both domestic and international demand for military products and services, driven by multiple catalysts including the "14th Five-Year Plan" and rapid military trade development [10][47] Summary by Sections Industry Investment Rating - The military industry is rated as "Outperform the Market," indicating expected returns above the market benchmark [5] Key Points from the Report - The report outlines the fundamental requirements for military modernization during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, focusing on advanced combat capabilities and military governance modernization [43][44] - It stresses the integration of new production capabilities with combat capabilities, enhancing the national strategic system and capabilities [44] - The report also discusses the necessity of policy support to address challenges in planning and cross-domain collaboration [4][45] Market Performance - The military industry index decreased by 2.15% from November 10 to November 14, underperforming compared to the Shanghai Composite Index, which fell by 1.08% [12][18] - The military index has increased by 13.35% since 2025, while the Shanghai Composite Index has risen by 17.62%, indicating a relative underperformance of 4.27% [20] Stock Performance - Notable stock performances include Tian'ao Electronics and Shanghai HuGong, which saw increases of 12.63% and 12.35% respectively, while stocks like Chunzong Technology and Lais Information experienced declines of 17.43% and 15.39% [24][26] Fund Flows and Valuation - The report notes a decrease in passive fund sizes but an increase in fund shares, with a net inflow of 4.57 billion yuan into military ETFs during the week [28] - As of November 14, the military sector's price-to-earnings ratio (TTM) stands at 68.88, indicating a high valuation relative to historical levels, but with expectations of recovery in 2026 [46][37]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" [5] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes optimism regarding the domestic and overseas new productive forces in the military industry, particularly with the recent commissioning of China's first electromagnetic catapult aircraft carrier, which showcases advanced technology [3][39] - The report anticipates a favorable development in the military industry fundamentals from Q4 2025 to 2026, driven by the nearing 14th Five-Year Plan and the centenary goals of the military [3][39] - The military industry is expected to experience significant growth in both domestic and foreign demand due to multiple catalysts, including the 14th Five-Year Plan and rapid military trade development [4][40] Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Market Review - From November 3 to November 7, the Shenwan Military Industry Index (801740) decreased by 0.47%, while the CSI 300 Index increased by 0.82%, resulting in an underperformance of -1.29 percentage points [10][15] - Since 2025, the Shenwan Military Industry Index has risen by 15.84%, compared to an 18.9% increase in the CSI 300 Index, leading to a relative underperformance of -3.07 percentage points [17] 2. Investment Opportunities - The report suggests focusing on various sectors within the military industry, including: 1. Land Equipment: Tianqin Equipment, Gaode Infrared, Ligong Navigation, Baiao Intelligent, Great Wall Military Industry, and China Ordnance Arrow 2. Stealth Materials: Jiach Technology, Huaqin Technology 3. Deep Sea: Western Materials, China Marine Defense 4. Engines: Hangyu Technology, Hangya Technology, Tunang Co. 5. Unmanned & Anti-Unmanned: Zongheng Co., Aerospace Rainbow, Ruike Laser, Sichuang Electronics, and Xinjing Steel 6. AI Intelligence: Xingtuxinke, Aerospace Electronics 7. Aircraft: AVIC Shenyang Aircraft, AVIC Xi'an Aircraft 8. Nuclear Fusion: Guoguang Electric, Lianchuang Optoelectronics, Hezhuan Intelligent, Xuguang Electronics, Yongding Co., Jingye Intelligent, Weiteng Electric, Xinfengguang, Aike Saibo, Paike New Materials, Wangzi New Materials, and Hongwei Technology [4][40][42] 3. Valuation and Funding - As of November 7, the current TTM price-to-earnings ratio for the Shenwan Military Industry Index is 70.35, with a percentile rank of 92.55%, indicating a high configuration significance at this time [4][31] - The report notes a decrease in passive fund sizes and shares, with a net outflow of 617 million yuan from military ETFs, although the trend of net outflows has weakened [25][30] - The report anticipates a recovery in passive fund inflows due to strong demand recovery expectations in the military industry for 2025-2026 [30]

Group 1 - The upcoming 20th Central Committee's Fourth Plenary Session will focus on the "14th Five-Year Plan" and its implications for the "15th Five-Year Plan" [1] - The session is scheduled to take place from October 20 to 23 in Beijing, where the draft proposal for the 15th Five-Year Plan will be reviewed [1] - The 15th Five-Year Plan is expected to build on the achievements of the 14th Five-Year Plan, with a focus on the 100th anniversary of the military in 2027 and supporting the modernization of national defense and the military by 2035 [1] Group 2 - The military industry ETF (512660) tracks the CSI Military Industry Index (399967), which selects listed companies in sectors such as aviation, aerospace, shipbuilding, weaponry, and military electronics [1] - The index aims to reflect the overall performance of publicly traded companies in China's military industry, with a focus on small and mid-cap stocks primarily in the aviation equipment and military electronics sectors [1]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" [5][55]. Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the expectation of a favorable development in the military industry from Q4 2025 to 2026, driven by the upcoming 14th Five-Year Plan and the centenary goal of the military [4][39]. - The military industry is anticipated to experience significant growth in both domestic and foreign demand due to multiple catalysts, including the 14th Five-Year Plan and rapid military trade development [4][40]. Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Market Review - The military index (801740) fell by 4.61% from October 9 to October 17, while the CSI 300 index decreased by 2.73%, resulting in an underperformance of 1.88 percentage points [10][15]. - Since the beginning of 2025, the military index has increased by 13.28%, compared to a 14.72% rise in the CSI 300 index, leading to a relative underperformance of 1.44 percentage points [17]. 2. Key Investment Opportunities - Recommended stocks include: 1. Land Equipment: Tianqin Equipment, Gaode Infrared, LIGONG Navigation, Bai'ao Intelligent, Great Wall Military, and China Ordnance Red Arrow 2. Stealth Materials: Jiachitech and Huaqin Technology 3. Deep Sea: Western Materials and China Marine Defense 4. Engines: Hangyu Technology, Hangya Technology, and Tunan Co. 5. Drones & Anti-drone: Zongheng Co., Aerospace Rainbow, Ruike Laser, Sichuang Electronics, and Xinjinggang 6. AI Intelligence: Xingtuxinke and Aerospace Electronics 7. Aircraft: AVIC Shenyang Aircraft and AVIC Xi'an Aircraft 8. Nuclear Fusion: Lianchuang Optoelectronics, Hezhuan Intelligent, Guoguang Electric, Jingye Intelligent, Weiteng Electric, Xinfengguang, Xuguang Electronics, Aike Saibo, Parker New Materials, Yongding Co., Wangzi New Materials, and Hongwei Technology [4][40]. 3. Fund and Valuation Analysis - As of October 17, the military index's TTM P/E ratio is 73.81, with a percentile rank of 96.47%, indicating a high configuration value given the strong recovery expectations for 2025 [4][39][30]. - The report notes a decrease in the scale of passive funds but an increase in fund shares, with a net inflow of 1.391 billion yuan into military ETFs, suggesting continued confidence in the military sector [25][30].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint highlights the rising demand and premium for military trade equipment, driven by the "14th Five-Year Plan", "Centenary of the Army", and "indigenous and controllable domestic substitution", indicating a strong certainty in domestic growth for the military industry [1] - The military ETF (512660) covers the entire industry chain of land, sea, air, and space, demonstrating good elasticity and defensive attributes, making it an important tool for capturing industry allocation opportunities [1] - As of September 1, 2025, the military ETF has a scale of 15.864 billion, ranking first among 12 similar products, reflecting a strong market position [1] Group 2 - The index tracked by the military ETF is the China Securities Military Industry Index, which is compiled by the China Securities Index Company, selecting representative listed companies in the defense and military industry from the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets [1] - The index covers multiple sub-sectors of the national defense and military industry, exhibiting high industry concentration and distinct military characteristics [1]