2025年上半年，我国新能源重卡累计销售近8万辆，同比大涨186%。根据第一商用车网的观 察，截止到2025年6月，新能源重卡市场同比连增势头已实现"29连涨"。值得一提的是，自 2024年开始，新能源重卡呈现翻倍增长的月份达到16次。因此而言，目前新能源重卡快速发 展的势头是确定且不可逆，甚至是超出预期的。 形势真的就是一片大好吗？恐怕只有身处其中才知道。哪怕是占到新能源重卡9成以上比例的 纯电动重卡，当前也面临诸多发展中的阻碍，其中一个突出的问题，就是如何啃下中长途干线 这块"硬骨头"？ 近日，由车百智库研究院与车百链智主办的重卡超充快换协同行动启动会暨纯电重卡补能设施 建设高端研讨会在天津举行，交通运输部公路研究院、中国汽车技术研究中心、中国电力企业 联合会等权威机构代表，以及中国重汽、徐工汽车、三一重卡、陕重汽、福田戴姆勒、深向 DEEPWAY、广汽领航、质子汽车、北奔重卡、宁德时代、京能新能源、启源芯动力、亿纬锂 能、国轩高科、奥动新能源等40余家相关企业代表参与讨论并谏言。这场会议的举行，对于 纯电动重卡向"中长途干线"的突破意义重大。 充电重卡与换电重卡是互补，而非替代 自2021年开始，我国新 ...

Group 1: Export Performance - The company has maintained its position as the leading exporter in the domestic heavy truck industry for several consecutive years, achieving a strong reputation and solid user base in overseas markets [2] - Current export performance remains robust, with products primarily covering key regions such as Africa, Southeast Asia, Central Asia, and the Middle East, while also making progress in emerging markets [2] Group 2: Development of New Energy Heavy Trucks - In the first half of 2025, the cumulative sales of new energy heavy trucks in China reached 6.59 million units, representing a year-on-year growth of 194%, with 1.48 million units sold in June alone, showing a consistent upward trend [3] - The company has demonstrated good performance in the new energy heavy truck sector, with sales also maintaining a growth trajectory [3] - The new energy heavy truck industry is in a rapid development phase, driven by policy support and technological innovation, with an expanding trend towards electrification in short- and medium-distance transportation scenarios [3] Group 3: Dividend Policy - The company places high importance on shareholder returns, continuously increasing the dividend payout ratio over the past five years to reward investors [3] - Future dividend policies will be determined by a comprehensive assessment of market conditions, operational performance, cash flow, and future funding needs, aiming to balance company growth with shareholder interests [3]

Group 1: Production and Sales Performance - In the first half of 2025, China's heavy truck market cumulative sales reached approximately 300,000 units, representing a year-on-year growth of about 6% [2] - In June 2025, the heavy truck market sold around 92,000 units, with a month-on-month increase of 4% and a year-on-year increase of 29% [2] - The company's production and sales performance is good, maintaining a growth trend compared to the same period last year, outperforming the industry average [2] Group 2: Export Situation - The company relies on its subsidiary, Heavy Truck International, to achieve product exports, maintaining a leading position in the industry for 20 consecutive years [3] - Export products are primarily sold to key markets in Africa, Southeast Asia, Central Asia, and the Middle East, with continuous breakthroughs in emerging markets [3] - The export business is steadily developing, with the company holding a leading market share in the heavy truck industry [3] Group 3: New Energy Heavy Truck Development - In the first five months of 2025, cumulative sales of new energy heavy trucks in China reached 6,120 units, showing a year-on-year increase of 195% [3] - It is expected that new energy heavy truck sales will continue to exceed 10,000 units in June 2025, with a year-on-year growth of over 100% [3] - The new energy heavy truck industry is in a rapid development phase, with the company focusing on product technology innovation to enhance competitiveness and steadily increase market share [3] - Future growth in the new energy heavy truck sector is anticipated due to advancements in smart technology, lightweight design, and "three electric" technologies [3]

Group 1: Sales Performance - From January to May 2025, the heavy truck market in China recorded cumulative sales of approximately 43.75 thousand units, showing a slight year-on-year increase of about 1% [2] - In May 2025, the heavy truck market sold approximately 85 thousand units across various models, representing a year-on-year increase of about 9% [2] - The company's production and sales performance is good, with growth compared to the same period last year, outperforming the industry average [2] Group 2: Policy Impact - The "old-for-new" policy introduced in March 2025 aims to accelerate the elimination of old vehicles, positively impacting the new energy and natural gas heavy truck markets [3] - The new policy includes subsidies for scrapping and purchasing natural gas heavy trucks, promoting the industry's transition towards greener and more efficient solutions [3] Group 3: New Energy Heavy Trucks - From January to May 2025, cumulative sales of new energy heavy trucks in China reached 51 thousand units, marking a significant year-on-year increase of 195% [3] - The new energy heavy truck sector is experiencing rapid growth, driven by policy support and technological innovation, with an expanding trend towards electrification in short- and medium-distance transportation [3] - The company is committed to deepening its focus on the new energy sector, enhancing product innovation and application scenarios to continuously optimize products and increase market share [3]

| | 1 周 | 1 月 | 3 月 | 12 月 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 绝对表现% | 0.47 | -13.67 | -5.85 | 6.95 | | 相对表现% | -1.53 | -17.99 | -4.65 | 1.99 | | 沪深 300% | 2 | 4.32 | -1.2 | 4.96 | 中国重汽 000951.SZ 公司研究 | 季报点评 | | 买入 （维持） | | --- | --- | | 股价（2025年05月09日） | 17.05 元 | | 目标价格 | 26.82 元 | | 52 周最高价/最低价 | 20.88/13.16 元 | | 总股本/流通 A 股（万股） | 117,487/117,487 | | A 股市值（百万元） | 20,032 | | 国家/地区 | 中国 | | 行业 | 汽车与零部件 | | 报告发布日期 | 2025 年 05 月 12 日 | 业绩符合预期，受益重卡以旧换新政策 核心观点 ⚫ 盈利预测与投资建议 ⚫ 预测 2025-2027 年 EPS 为 1.49、1.82、2.16 ...

中国重汽 000951.SZ 公司研究 | 季报点评 | | 买入 （维持） | | --- | --- | | 股价（2025年05月09日） | 17.05 元 | | 目标价格 | 26.82 元 | | 52 周最高价/最低价 | 20.88/13.16 元 | | 总股本/流通 A 股（万股） | 117,487/117,487 | | A 股市值（百万元） | 20,032 | | 国家/地区 | 中国 | | 行业 | 汽车与零部件 | | 报告发布日期 | 2025 年 05 月 12 日 | | | 1 周 | 1 月 | 3 月 | 12 月 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 绝对表现% | 0.47 | -13.67 | -5.85 | 6.95 | | 相对表现% | -1.53 | -17.99 | -4.65 | 1.99 | | 沪深 300% | 2 | 4.32 | -1.2 | 4.96 | | 姜雪晴 | jiangxueqing@orientsec.com.cn | | --- | --- | | | 执业证书编号：S0860512 ...