The crypto market isn't buying what the Fed is selling. Despite the Federal Reserve delivering its widely expected 25-basis-point rate cut to the 3.5%-3.75% range on Wednesday, Bitcoin and Ethereum are both in the red, with the broader crypto market sitting at $3.07 trillion—down 2.25% from yesterday. While traditional markets rallied on the news, crypto took a different path. The S&P 500 closed up 0.67% and the Nasdaq gained 0.42%, but digital assets hemorrhaged value. The disconnect may suggest traders ...

Core Viewpoint - First Financial Bancorp. (FFBC) is showing potential for a bullish breakout due to a recent "golden cross" in its moving averages, indicating a favorable technical setup for investors [1]. Technical Indicators - FFBC's 50-day simple moving average has crossed above its 200-day simple moving average, forming a "golden cross," which is a bullish signal for traders [1]. - A successful golden cross event consists of three stages: a price decline bottoming out, the shorter moving average crossing above the longer moving average, and the stock maintaining upward momentum [2]. Performance Metrics - Over the past four weeks, FFBC has experienced a gain of 10.9%, suggesting positive market sentiment [3]. - The company currently holds a 2 (Buy) rating on the Zacks Rank, further indicating potential for a breakout [3]. Earnings Expectations - There have been two upward revisions in earnings expectations for the current quarter, with no downward changes in the past 60 days, which supports the bullish outlook [3]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for FFBC has also increased, reinforcing investor confidence in the stock's upward trend [3]. Investment Consideration - Given the significant technical indicator and the positive movement in earnings estimates, FFBC is recommended for inclusion on investors' watchlists [5].

Core Viewpoint - Business First Bancshares, Inc. (BFST) shows potential as a stock pick due to a recent "golden cross" event, indicating a bullish trend reversal [1][4]. Technical Analysis - A "golden cross" occurs when a stock's short-term moving average (50-day) crosses above its long-term moving average (200-day), signaling a bullish breakout [2]. - The successful formation of a golden cross involves three stages: a price decline bottoming out, the shorter moving average crossing above the longer one, and maintaining upward momentum [3]. Performance Metrics - Over the past four weeks, BFST has gained 6.1%, suggesting positive momentum [4]. - The stock currently holds a 3 (Hold) rating on the Zacks Rank, indicating potential for further breakout [4]. Earnings Outlook - BFST has experienced three upward earnings estimate revisions in the last 60 days, with no downward revisions, enhancing the bullish case for the stock [4]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for BFST has also increased, reflecting a positive earnings outlook for the current quarter [4][6].

Core Viewpoint - Globus Medical, Inc. (GMED) is showing potential as a strong stock pick due to a recent "golden cross" event, indicating a bullish trend reversal [1][2]. Technical Indicators - A "golden cross" occurs when a stock's short-term moving average (50-day) crosses above its long-term moving average (200-day), suggesting a bullish breakout is likely [2]. - The golden cross pattern consists of three stages: a downtrend followed by a crossover of moving averages, and finally an upward price movement [3]. Performance Metrics - Over the past four weeks, GMED has experienced a significant price increase of 38.1% [4]. - GMED currently holds a 1 (Strong Buy) rating on the Zacks Rank, indicating strong potential for further price appreciation [4]. Earnings Outlook - The earnings outlook for GMED is positive, with four upward revisions in earnings estimates over the past 60 days, and no downward revisions [4]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for GMED has also increased, reinforcing the bullish sentiment around the stock [4]. Investment Consideration - Given the technical indicators and positive earnings revisions, GMED should be considered for inclusion on investors' watchlists [6].

Market Overview - On November 17, a broad sell-off occurred in the U.S. financial markets, affecting technology stocks, cryptocurrencies, and gold, leading to significant declines across various asset classes [1] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped by 557 points, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq fell below their 50-day moving averages for the first time in 138 days, breaking a bullish trend that had persisted since May [1] Technology Sector - Despite an increase in Alphabet's stock by over 3 points due to Berkshire Hathaway's investment, this positive momentum was insufficient to support the overall tech sector [3] - Apple’s stock fell by over 1 point following Berkshire's reduction of its stake, while major tech companies like Nvidia and Meta also experienced declines [4] - The index tracking large tech stocks reached its lowest level in nearly a month, indicating a loss of confidence in previously popular stocks [6] Cryptocurrency Market - Bitcoin's price fell below $92,000, erasing earlier gains and indicating a bearish trend, as it formed a "death cross" with its 50-day moving average crossing below the 200-day moving average [6] - Coinbase's stock dropped by over 7 points, with analysts suggesting Bitcoin's decline may have been a precursor to the broader market downturn [8] Gold and Silver - Contrary to expectations that gold would serve as a safe haven, spot gold prices fell to around $4,000, and futures dropped to $4,068.30 per ounce, with silver also falling below $50 [8] - Analysts noted that gold's trading behavior has increasingly resembled speculative stocks rather than a traditional safe asset [10] Credit Market Concerns - The credit market is showing signs of stress, with Amazon issuing $15 billion in bonds at a higher spread than existing bonds, indicating increased perceived risk among investors [10] - Concerns are growing regarding the debt levels of tech giants relying on borrowed funds for AI infrastructure, as seen in rising credit default swap spreads for companies like Oracle and CoreWeave [12] Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - The S&P 500 has breached the critical level of 6,725 points, raising concerns that quantitative trend-following funds may shift from buyers to sellers, potentially increasing downward pressure on the market [15] - Uncertainty surrounding the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy and mixed economic data is contributing to investor anxiety, leading to asset sell-offs as a precautionary measure [17][21] - Upcoming earnings reports from Nvidia and delayed employment data are expected to be pivotal in determining market direction [18][23]

Core Viewpoint - The recent government shutdown in the U.S. was expected to boost the cryptocurrency market, but Bitcoin and the overall crypto market have failed to recover, with Bitcoin dropping below $100,000 and nearing $90,000, erasing all gains made in 2025 [2] Market Performance - Bitcoin reached a historical high of $126,000 on October 6, 2025, but has since fallen over 28%, currently trading around $90,000 [2] - The recent decline is characterized by a "death cross" pattern, with Bitcoin breaking below the critical 50-week moving average, historically indicating the end of bull markets [2] Macro Environment - Investor expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in December have diminished, with only a 48.6% probability remaining for a 25 basis point cut [3] - The macroeconomic environment has worsened, leading to significant sell-offs and concentrated liquidations of leveraged positions, exacerbating the downward trend [3] Market Sentiment - The current market conditions are attributed to a combination of short-term liquidity issues, persistent selling pressure, and weak investor sentiment rather than a single triggering factor [4] - Despite easing tensions in U.S.-China relations, Bitcoin struggles to find support, with liquidity remaining thin since the market crash on October 10 [4] Institutional Involvement - Unlike previous bear markets, Bitcoin has seen increased institutional participation, with major financial institutions accepting Bitcoin as collateral, indicating a maturation of the asset class [5] - Recent data shows that most investors selling Bitcoin are still in profit, suggesting a lack of panic selling or large-scale margin calls [5] Investment Strategies - Analysts recommend that retail investors avoid trying to time the market and instead adopt a dollar-cost averaging approach for long-term investments [6] - Long-term investors should focus on macro signals rather than solely technical trends, as Bitcoin's potential for recovery is tied to global liquidity conditions [6]

Core Insights - Bitcoin price has dropped below $90,000 for the first time since April, marking a nearly 30% decline from its all-time high of $126,272 reached on October 7, 2023, and has erased all gains for the year [1] - The total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies has decreased from $4.38 trillion to $3.28 trillion within a week, indicating a surge in market panic as the Fear and Greed Index fell to 11, the lowest since the 2022 bear market [1] - The market has experienced significant volatility, with major cryptocurrency exchanges facing operational issues during this period, leading to Binance announcing a compensation of approximately $300 million to affected users [1] Market Dynamics - The expectation for a Federal Reserve rate cut in December has plummeted from 95% to 44.4%, tightening liquidity in the banking system and increasing financing costs, which has triggered a sell-off in risk assets [2] - The narrative of support for cryptocurrencies from the Trump administration is losing traction, and increasing global regulatory scrutiny is challenging the perception of "absolute safety" in crypto assets [2] - Bitcoin has fallen below its 200-day moving average, forming a "death cross," and has breached the critical support level of $93,700, triggering algorithmic trading and liquidation of leveraged positions, resulting in over $800 million in liquidations in the past 24 hours [2] Investor Sentiment - Options traders are predominantly betting on further declines in Bitcoin, with a significant demand for put options at strike prices of $85,000 and $80,000 [2] - Despite the current extreme pessimism in the market, some analysts suggest that this correction aligns with typical mid-cycle adjustments in Bitcoin bull markets, with historical average pullbacks around 22% [2] - The structure of institutional holdings has not fundamentally collapsed, and if the Federal Reserve shifts towards a more accommodative policy and ETF fund flows stabilize, the market may find a technical bottom in the $86,000 to $88,000 range [2]

Core Viewpoint - Twilio Inc. (TWLO) is showing potential for a bullish breakout due to a recent "golden cross" in its moving averages, indicating a key technical support level has been reached [1][3] Technical Analysis - TWLO's 50-day simple moving average has crossed above its 200-day simple moving average, forming a "golden cross," which is a bullish signal for traders [1] - A successful golden cross event consists of three stages: a price decline bottoming out, the shorter moving average crossing above the longer moving average, and the stock maintaining upward momentum [2] Performance Metrics - TWLO has experienced a rally of 16.7% over the past four weeks, suggesting strong upward momentum [3] - The company currently holds a 3 (Hold) rating on the Zacks Rank, indicating potential for further gains [3] Earnings Expectations - There have been 8 upward revisions in earnings expectations for the current quarter, with no downward revisions in the past 60 days, reinforcing the bullish outlook [3] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for TWLO has also increased, further supporting the positive trend [3][5]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the potential risks and issues within the semiconductor industry, particularly in the context of the current artificial intelligence (AI) bubble, drawing parallels to the internet bubble of 2000 [3][4]. Group 1: AI Bubble Concerns - The AI bubble is compared to the internet bubble, with concerns that excessive spending and unclear returns on investment are beginning to show cracks [3][4]. - Malcolm Penn, CEO of Future Horizons, warns that many will incur significant losses as the AI market may not sustain its current growth [3][4]. - OpenAI's CEO Sam Altman and Chairman Brett Taylor echo these sentiments, indicating that while AI will create economic value, the current environment is fraught with risks [4][5]. Group 2: Investment and Growth Projections - Predictions indicate a growth rate of 16% this year, driven by a 21% increase in the logic market, which is influenced by AI chip demand [4][5]. - Despite the AI bubble, a projected growth rate of 12% for 2026 is anticipated, with a minimum forecast of 6% due to various uncertainties [4][5]. Group 3: Semiconductor Industry Impact - The article highlights significant investments in AI data centers, including a $200 billion investment in Norway and a £30 billion plan in the UK [5][7]. - ASML's investment of $1.3 billion in Mistral AI is noted as a sign of the bubble, as it represents a strategic partnership rather than a traditional supplier relationship [10][11]. - The semiconductor market is facing pressures from declining GPU and AI chip sales, which could lead to capacity releases and impact companies like TSMC [13]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The upcoming crisis is expected to affect semiconductor technology development, with new players like Intel and Rapidus entering the 2nm process node market [13]. - The article suggests that the semiconductor market has not yet recovered from excess inventory and long-term agreements, complicating recovery efforts [13].

Group 1 - Shiba Inu (SHIB) has formed its first daily golden cross in 2025, indicating a bullish signal as the 50-day moving average crosses above the 200-day moving average, suggesting potential upward momentum [2] - The last occurrence of a golden cross led to an approximate 85% increase in SHIB, although significant volatility typically follows such events, necessitating attention to trading volume and market sentiment [2][8] - Bitcoin faces a potential "double top" risk due to a recent whale sell-off of approximately 24,000 BTC, which has increased supply and pressured the current price [4][5] Group 2 - The key price level to avoid confirming the "double top" pattern for Bitcoin is $117,570, which it has not yet reached [5] - A whale's transfer of approximately 52.9 million DOGE (around $12 million) from Binance to a new address has reduced immediate liquidity on the exchange, potentially impacting price dynamics [6][8] - The withdrawal of DOGE from exchanges may lead to a tighter supply, which could provide short-term price support, but the actual price movement will depend on future demand [11][12]