21世纪经济报道记者张欣 在国际贵金属价格持续高位震荡、个人投资热度攀升的背景下，工商银行、农业银行近期相继宣布，将代理个人贵金属延期业 务的保证金比例由80%统一上调至100%。 春节后，国际贵金属市场延续强劲走势。伦敦现货黄金在连续反弹后，于2月26日重新站上5200美元/盎司，最高触及5205.472美 元/盎司。国内沪金、沪银期货在马年首个交易日也同步大幅高开，市场情绪持续升温。 面对价格剧烈波动带来的风险累积，主要代理银行迅速响应。农业银行于2月25日发布通知，宣布自2月26日收盘清算时起，将 Au（T+D）、mAu（T+D）、Ag（T+D）等合约的保证金比例从80%上调至100%。该行表示，近期国际贵金属市场价格波动加 剧，个人客户交易类贵金属业务市场风险上升，此举是为防范风险、保护投资者利益。 （图源：农行官网） 同日，工商银行也发布公告，自2月27日收盘清算时起，将代理个人客户Au（T+D）、mAu（T+D）、Au（T+N1）、Au （T+N2）、NYAuTN06、NYAuTN12等合约的标准交易保证金比例由80%调整为100%，差异化保证金作同向、同幅度调整；代 理个人客户Ag（T+D）合约 ...

Core Viewpoint - Diageo PLC reported a decline in earnings and announced a significant dividend cut as part of a strategic reset under new CEO Sir Dave Lewis to enhance financial flexibility and support investments in competitiveness and portfolio growth [1][3]. Financial Performance - Adjusted basic earnings per share for the half-year ended December 31, 2025, were 95.3 cents, down 2.5% year-over-year [1]. - Net sales reached $10.46 billion, reflecting a 4.0% decline on a reported basis and a 2.8% decline organically [1]. - Organic operating profit declined 2.8% to approximately $3.256 billion, consistent with sales trends [2]. Dividend and Guidance - The interim dividend was halved to 20 cents per share from 40.5 cents, reflecting a revised payout policy targeting 30-50% of earnings [1]. - Diageo updated its fiscal 2026 outlook, now expecting organic net sales to decline 2-3% and organic operating profit growth to be flat to up low-single-digits [3]. Market Dynamics - The organic decline was primarily driven by weakness in North America, particularly in the U.S. spirits and tequila categories, and continued softness in Chinese white spirits [2]. - Strong growth was noted in Europe, Latin America & Caribbean, and Africa, partially offsetting declines in other regions [2]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is targeting around $3 billion in free cash flow and emphasizes deleveraging efforts, including proceeds from planned disposals [4]. - New CEO Sir Dave Lewis highlighted the need to address weak demand and enhance competitiveness while framing the dividend rebase as a step towards building flexibility for a turnaround [6]. Financial Metrics - Diageo's trailing price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is around 20-21x, with a price-to-sales ratio of approximately 2.4x and enterprise value to sales around 3.5x [5]. - Debt-to-equity remains elevated at roughly 2.2x, with a current ratio of 1.63 indicating solid short-term liquidity [5].

中化新网讯 近日，美国西方石油公司发布2025年第四季度财报。财报显示，出售OxyChem化工业务交 易完成后，公司自12月中旬以来已削减债务58亿美元，本金总额降至150亿美元，去杠杆进程取得关键 进展。当季净亏损6800万美元，合每股0.07美元。财务改善的同时，公司宣布季度股息提高8%以上至 每股0.26美元，4年内实现股息翻倍。 来源：市场资讯 （来源：中化新网） OxyChem的剥离标志着西方石油结构性转变，公司聚焦上游和中游业务并推进碳管理举措。随着杠杆 率显著降低和产量超预期，西方石油2026年财务灵活性增强，关键变量仍是大宗商品定价。 运营方面，季度产量平均148.1万桶油当量/日，超出指引上限，主要受二叠纪和落基山脉地区强劲表现 驱动。但疲软的大宗商品价格对盈利构成压力。中游和营销业务表现亮眼，税前收入从三季度的8100万 美元增至2.04亿美元，主要得益于二叠纪天然气运输利润改善和原油运输成本下降。运营现金流保持韧 性，达26亿美元，资本支出18亿美元，产生自由现金流10亿美元。 ...

当下，全球经济格局深度调整、新质生产力加速崛起，商品市场正迎来前所未有的变革。 薛鹤翔认为，与传统周期中"黄金—工业金属—原油"的轮动路径相比，本轮轮动呈现出显著的独特性。 驱动源上，传统轮动由地产、基建等传统周期主导，而本轮轮动则由AI、新能源等新兴需求驱动；品 种结构上，铂、锡、电力等趋势新星加入"战局"，碳酸锂"反内卷"，镍、橡胶、棉花"低位掘金"，轮动 更加细分、多元；节奏把控上，保证金高频调整与跨市场联动加剧，轮动周期从年度级压缩至季度级， 对投资者的交易节奏提出了更高要求。 极端行情应对：风控纠偏下的市场新生态 2026年年初，贵金属市场上演了惊心动魄的一幕，白银价格单日暴跌超35%，创46年来纪录，芝商所一 周内两度调整贵金属期货保证金。对此，薛鹤翔表示，此次保证金调整呈现出"高频动态、精准差异 化"的显著特征，本质是极端行情下的风控纠偏。 市场基调之变：从政策托底到基本面兑现 "当前商品市场最核心的特征，是'万物通胀'背景下的结构分化与轮动加速。"薛鹤翔开门见山地表示， 站在百年维度，通胀回升、中美经济共振以及AI应用的蓬勃兴起，共同推动商品市场发生深刻变革。 曾经单一的品种行情逐渐退出舞台， ...

市场基调之变：从政策托底到基本面兑现 "当前商品市场最核心的特征，是'万物通胀'背景下的结构分化与轮动加速。"薛鹤翔开门见山地表示，站在百年维度，通胀回升、中美经济共振以及AI应 用的蓬勃兴起，共同推动商品市场发生深刻变革。曾经单一的品种行情逐渐退出舞台，取而代之的是"金融属性—产业属性"双轮驱动的全新格局。黄金、 工业金属、新能源等品种价格轮番领涨，芝商所保证金的"高频动态调整"成为市场常态，投资者对尾部风险的定价愈发敏感。 回顾2025年，市场呈现出"商品轮动启动、政策持续发力"的鲜明特征，政策托底与预期先行成为主导，商品价格更多地反映稳增长政策与流动性宽松带来 的红利。然而，步入2026年，市场基调迎来本质转变。"2026年是基本面兑现、轮动深化的一年，市场驱动力从'政策驱动'全面转向'供给稀缺+新兴需 求'驱动。"薛鹤翔认为，黄金、工业金属的趋势性行情将延续，特别是铂、锡等品种异军突起，成为新的市场主线。与此同时，保证金的高频调整倒逼市 场"去杠杆"，波动与风控一跃成为市场核心矛盾，投资者必须适应这一全新节奏。 轮动逻辑解码：三重共振催生独特路径 薛鹤翔表示，当前商品市场已完成从黄金到工业金属再到新能 ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q4 2025, normalized FFO attributable to common shareholders was $29.5 million or $0.29 per diluted share, exceeding expectations [25] - FFO attributable to common shareholders was $23.1 million or $0.23 per diluted share, while AFFO was $17.8 million or $0.17 per diluted share [26] - Same-store NOI for the portfolio increased 6.3% on a GAAP basis and 7.1% on a cash basis [26] - For the full year 2025, normalized FFO attributable to common shareholders was $110.1 million or $1.08 per diluted share, above guidance [26] - Same-store NOI for the full year increased 2.8% on a GAAP basis and 2% on a cash basis [27] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Retail same-store NOI for Q4 was up 5.6% on a GAAP basis and 3.4% on a cash basis, driven by new leasing and rent commencements [15] - Office same-store NOI for the quarter was up over 10% GAAP and nearly 17% cash, supported by leasing and rent commencements [19] - Year-over-year, office same-store NOI increased 6% GAAP and 7% cash [19] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Retail same-store results year-over-year were up 1% GAAP and down 1% cash, impacted by anchor space vacancy due to bankruptcies [15] - Year-end occupancy was just under 95%, affected by temporary seasonal tenants [16] - The office portfolio fundamentals remain strong, with nearly 8 years of vault and only 1.7% rollover in 2026 [24] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company announced a rebranding to AH Realty Trust, effective March 2, marking a significant transformation [5] - Plans include exiting the multifamily portfolio and fee income businesses to simplify operations and improve income predictability [6][9] - The focus will be on retail and office assets in growing markets, with a strategy to enhance shareholder value through disciplined capital allocation [6][9] - The company aims to reduce leverage by approximately two full turns, strengthening the balance sheet [11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in maintaining full dividend coverage from cash flows generated by operating properties while reducing debt [11] - The transition year of 2026 is expected to focus on discipline, high quality, and consistent growth, with a simplified operating model [12] - Management believes the transformation will lead to predictable earnings and sustainable cash flow growth [13] Other Important Information - The company is under an LOI for 11 of its 14 multifamily assets, indicating strong interest from credible parties [7] - The exit of the construction business is nearly complete, and discussions are ongoing for the exit of real estate financing investments [8] Q&A Session Summary Question: Long-term growth trajectory and financing plans - Management indicated a balanced approach to leverage and capital allocation, emphasizing the need for shares to trade at the right level relative to NAV for future acquisitions [37][38] Question: Future retail to office NOI split - The company plans to operate where it can add the most value, focusing on both retail and office, with a $50 million capital allocation for acquisitions [40][41] Question: Mixed-use communities and office investments - Management confirmed a focus on mixed-use communities while remaining open to selling office assets if pricing is favorable [46][48] Question: Multifamily dispositions and pricing - The company is under LOI for 11 assets, targeting mid-5 cap range pricing, with significant progress made in negotiations [50][51] Question: Dividend payout ratio trends - Management aims to maintain a conservative approach to capital and dividend payouts, focusing on deleveraging and simplifying the company [52][53] Question: Development as part of long-term strategy - While open to development opportunities, the company currently prioritizes acquisitions due to higher capital costs [57]

【环球网财经综合报道】北京时间2月13日凌晨，国际贵金属期货大幅下跌，COMEX黄金期货跌3.08%报4941.4美元/ 盎司，COMEX白银期货跌10.62%报75.01美元/盎司。现货黄金一度跌超4%，现货白银一度跌超11%，尾盘跌幅稍微收 窄。 分析人士称，黄金大跌没有明确催化因素，算法交易员的卖盘似乎放大了跌势；但对于白银，随着市场避险需求减 弱，工业金属需求预期下调，白银作为工业属性更强的贵金属跌幅尤为显著。 据芝加哥商品交易所发布，银价2025年全年大涨300%，进入2026年仅一周多的时间又经历瀑布式腰斩；1月30日， COMEX白银期货一度暴跌35%，创历史最大单日跌幅，并在其后的几个交易日波动加剧、脉冲式下挫。在白银这轮 史诗级行情里，大量投资者参与其中，有人大幅盈利，也有人背负巨大亏损，在波澜壮阔的涨势背后，既有新型工业 需求爆发式增长导致的供不足需，也有金银比的修复逻辑。 值得关注的是，白银史上历次重大行情的见顶，无一例外都伴随着交易所的连续上调保证金等历史关键指标。而本轮 白银行情中，为了抑制过度投机，芝加哥商品交易所也不断加强监管措施，尤其在2026年1月28日，其将白银保证金 收取 ...

Global Market Overview - Global markets have shown weakness over the past two weeks, influenced by geopolitical tensions and international market deleveraging[2] - The Iranian situation has escalated tensions in the Middle East, leading to rising oil prices[2] - The US dollar has weakened, with non-US currencies generally appreciating[2] Stock Market Performance - Major indices have experienced declines: the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 1.27%, while the Hang Seng Index dropped by 3.02%[4] - The Nasdaq Composite Index decreased by 1.84%, contrasting with the Dow Jones Industrial Average, which rose by 2.50%[4] - The ChiNext Index saw a significant decline of 3.28% over the two-week period[4] Valuation Metrics - The Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio for the Shanghai Composite Index is at 90.6, indicating a high valuation compared to historical averages[6] - The Hang Seng Technology Index has a low PE ratio of 46.9, suggesting potential undervaluation relative to other indices[6] - The Price-to-Book (PB) ratio for the Shanghai Composite Index stands at 91.4, reflecting a high valuation compared to its historical performance[8] Bond Market Insights - The yield on 10-year US Treasury bonds is at 4.20%, while China's 10-year government bond yield is significantly lower at 1.80%[12] - The probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut in March-April is below 50%, with expectations for two rate cuts in June and September 2026[15] Commodity Market Trends - Precious metals have seen significant declines, with silver prices dropping by 8.77% recently, while gold prices have remained stable[37] - Oil prices have shown strength, with WTI crude oil priced at $63.55 per barrel, reflecting a robust performance compared to other commodities[36] - Agricultural products have shown mixed results, with soybeans experiencing a notable increase of 4.1%[36]

Core Viewpoint - The CME Group's margin adjustments, effective after the market close on February 6, are seen as an emergency response to extreme market conditions rather than a routine risk control measure, significantly impacting the global commodity market and investor operations [2][3]. Group 1: Margin Adjustments - The initial margin for non-high-risk accounts in gold futures has increased from 8% to 9%, while for high-risk accounts, it has risen from 8.8% to 9.9% [2]. - In silver futures, the initial margin for non-high-risk accounts has been raised from 15% to 18%, and for high-risk accounts, from 16.5% to 19.8% [2]. Group 2: Market Impact - Experts believe that the high-frequency margin adjustments will lead to forced liquidations in precious metals and increased volatility, shifting the funding structure towards institutional dominance [3][4]. - The adjustments are a response to extreme price drops in precious metals, with silver experiencing a more than 35% drop on January 30, marking the largest single-day decline in 46 years [3]. Group 3: Future Market Dynamics - The tightening of liquidity due to margin increases is expected to lead to short-term price crashes in precious metals, but mid-term volatility is likely to decrease as leverage is reduced [4]. - As investors focus more on fundamentals, the influence of pure sentiment and momentum trading will diminish, leading to a rational pricing logic for precious metals [4].

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights a significant market reaction in the Asia-Pacific financial markets following a sell-off in the US tech sector, indicating a re-pricing process rather than risk dissipation [1][2] - The initial trigger for the market volatility was the decline in tech stocks, driven by weak US employment data, leading to a reassessment of economic resilience and monetary policy [1][2] - The Asia-Pacific markets showed signs of stabilization after initial pressure, but the recovery was uneven, with South Korea experiencing a sharp decline before rebounding slightly [2][3] Group 2 - The cryptocurrency and precious metals markets exhibited heightened vulnerability due to high leverage, with Bitcoin experiencing significant volatility and forced liquidations impacting market structure [3][4] - Over the past 24 hours, billions of dollars in long positions were forcibly liquidated, contributing to downward pressure on prices [3][4] - The characteristics of these assets reveal that they rely on momentum and leverage during uptrends but lack buffers during downturns [4][5] Group 3 - A "V-shaped rebound" in assets does not equate to risk being resolved, as the market has not completed a clearing process [4][5] - The critical question for the market is whether the deleveraging process has concluded, with indications suggesting caution [5][6] - The market may continue to experience oscillations characterized by downward pressure, rebounds, and reassessments [6][10] Group 4 - In the current environment, operational difficulty has increased significantly for investors [7][8] - A more reliable strategy involves distinguishing between trading rebounds and trend opportunities, emphasizing the importance of clear discipline and risk boundaries [9][10] - The stabilization in the Asia-Pacific markets appears to be more of an emotional pause rather than a trend reversal, with high valuations and leverage still not fully digested [10][12]