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日本央行维持0.5%政策利率,继续观望关税影响
日经中文网· 2025-10-30 06:49
Core Viewpoint - The Bank of Japan (BOJ) has decided to maintain its policy interest rate at 0.5% during its monetary policy meeting on October 30, following six consecutive meetings without change since the rate was raised in January. The BOJ is closely monitoring the impact of U.S. tariff policies on the Japanese economy [2][4]. Group 1: Monetary Policy Decisions - The BOJ has kept the uncollateralized overnight call rate target at 0.5% since its increase in January [2]. - Two policy board members opposed maintaining the rate, advocating for an increase to 0.75%, citing that the inflation stability target has been largely achieved and that inflation risks are increasing [4]. - The BOJ plans to update its economic and price outlook report every three months, providing forecasts for real GDP growth and consumer price index changes [5]. Group 2: Economic Forecasts - The BOJ forecasts real GDP growth rates of 0.7% for both 2025 and 2026, and 1.0% for 2027 [5]. - The consumer price index, excluding fresh food, is projected to be 2.7% in 2025, 1.8% in 2026, and 2.0% in 2027 [5]. - The BOJ maintains its prediction for achieving the 2% inflation stability target between the latter half of 2026 and 2027 [6]. Group 3: Market Expectations - There is a significant market expectation for a rate hike in December, with a 60% probability according to recent statistics [6]. - The BOJ's President, Ueda, is under scrutiny regarding how he will articulate the rate hike policy [6].
欧元区通胀持稳2%目标线,食品价格猛涨5.4%
Shang Wu Bu Wang Zhan· 2025-08-06 16:08
(原标题:欧元区通胀持稳2%目标线,食品价格猛涨5.4%) 波黑《新闻报》8月3日报道。欧盟统计局初步数据显示,欧元区7月通胀率稳定在2.0%(与6月持 平),符合欧洲央行设定的物价稳定目标。然而新鲜食品价格同比猛涨5.4%,创下当月最高涨幅,而 服务价格涨幅则小幅收窄,从6月份的3.3%降至7月份的3.1%。能源价格降幅达2.5%。(驻波黑使馆经 商处) ...