前一交易日暴跌的金价、银价2月3日早盘全线飙升，截至发稿，伦敦金现、COMEX黄金双双涨近4%， 均站上4800美元/盎司。 与此同时，A股黄金板块继续下挫，四川黄金（001337）、招金黄金（000506）、盛达资源 （000603）、湖南白银（002716）等跌停。 2026年开年，贵金属市场上演"过山车"行情，前期金银价格一路冲高刷新历史高点，却在1月下旬至2月 初遭遇"世纪暴跌"。 市场观点普遍认为，此次金银价格暴跌并非单一因素导致，而是美联储政策转向预期、前期涨幅透支等 多重力量叠加的结果。 美联储政策预期的突然反转是此次大跌的核心导火索。国信期货顾冯达指出，1月29日美联储议息会议 暂停降息后，市场最初解读为"短暂休整、后续降息仍将持续"，进而推动金银价格冲高，但随后美联储 官员的表态及人事变动彻底扭转了市场预期。美联储主席鲍威尔在会中强调决策"依赖数据"，并建议继 任者"远离政治"，被视作对独立性的最后捍卫，但他的任期将于5月结束，市场对领导权更迭的猜测迅 速升温。 2月3日，在国际金银价格大幅上涨带动下，A股贵金属LOF高开。 具体来看，嘉实黄金LOF（160719）涨超5%，黄金LOF（16 ...

截至2月3日发稿，现货黄金报44783.385美元/盎司，涨2.66%；COMEX黄金涨4.14%，报4845美元/盎司；现货白银报82.642美元/盎司，涨 4.44%；COMEX白银涨8.06%，报83.215美元/盎司。 | | 国际贵金属 | | | --- | --- | --- | | 涨跌幅 年初至今 | 现价 涨跌 | 名称 | | 4783.385 | 124.10 2.66% 10.77% | 伦敦金现 | | | 82.642 3.511 4.44% 15.41% | 伦敦银现 | | | 4845.0d 192.4 4.14% 11.08% | COMEX黄金 | | 8.06% 17.24% | 83.215d 6.206 | COMEX白银 | 过去几个交易日，全球黄金、白银市场经历了一场惊心动魄的"过山车"行情。现货黄金价格从逼近5600美元，一路狂泻至4401美元；现货白 银更是一度抹去了今年超过40%的涨幅。 不过，金银价格狂泻后双双止跌反弹。 这场极端波动让投资者陷入迷茫：短暂的情绪宣泄后，贵金属是否仍具"倒车接人"的布局机会，还是长期调整已然开启？ 金银行情剧烈波动 20 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a sudden drop in precious metal prices, particularly silver and gold, triggered by three key factors [1] Group 2 - The first domino effect is the shift in expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's policy, with concerns about premature easing potentially exacerbating inflation, leading to a significant sell-off in precious metals [3] - The "double whammy" effect of a strengthening dollar and rising U.S. Treasury yields has created downward pressure on precious metals, evidenced by a sharp decline in silver prices from a high of $79.196 to $71.54 [5] - Technical indicators had already signaled an impending correction, with silver's RSI nearing the overbought threshold, and a surge in open interest for COMEX gold futures indicating potential volatility [7] Group 3 - Current focus is on critical support levels for gold at $4300 and silver at $68, with potential for further technical selling if these levels are breached, although long-term geopolitical risks and central bank demand may provide support [9]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that COMEX gold futures reached a record high of $3731.9 per ounce, driven by multiple factors including expectations of a shift in Federal Reserve policy, increased demand for safe-haven assets, and imbalances in supply and demand [1][3] - Domestic gold futures in Shanghai closed at 842.08 yuan per gram, with a cumulative increase of 7.37% since September [1][3] - Analysts suggest that the bull market for precious metals may be entering an accelerated phase, with some foreign institutions predicting that gold prices could rise to $5000 per ounce in the future [1][3]

Group 1 - The global gold market showed strong growth in Q2 2025, with gold ETF inflows reaching 170 tons, marking the highest demand for the first half of the year since 2020 at 397 tons [1] - The Chinese market performed exceptionally well, with gold ETF holdings increasing by 61 tons and asset management scale soaring to 152.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 116% [1] - Investors are increasingly recognizing gold's safe-haven properties amid complex geopolitical conditions and persistent inflation pressures, reinforcing its role as a "safety valve" in asset portfolios [3] Group 2 - International gold prices have shown a fluctuating upward trend since August, with physical gold prices reaching a peak of 1020 yuan per gram on August 11, and London gold prices experiencing daily increases of 0.7%-0.8% between August 24 and 27 [4] - The market anticipates an 86% probability of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September, which typically lowers the opportunity cost of holding gold [4] - Investors should be aware of the 24-hour trading nature of the global gold market, as policy changes in different time zones can lead to price fluctuations [4] Group 3 - A survey by the World Gold Council indicates that 95% of central banks plan to continue increasing their gold reserves, with 43% explicitly stating they will do so within the year [5] - This trend of increasing gold holdings over the past 15 years underscores gold's strategic value in the global monetary system [5] - The largest gold ETF, SPDR, saw its holdings exceed 964 tons in August, reflecting institutional investors' strong confidence in gold's long-term value [5] Group 4 - Choosing a compliant platform is crucial for capitalizing on gold investment opportunities in 2025, with Hong Kong Gold and Silver Exchange Company being a notable compliant member [6] - The platform offers exclusive trading codes for transactions over 0.1 lots, ensuring transparency and security for investors [7] - Measures such as separating client funds from operational funds and providing quick withdrawal services enhance the safety of capital flow, aligning with the core requirement of "choosing compliant channels" for risk control in gold investment [7] Group 5 - New investors in gold should adhere to three key principles: verify the regulatory qualifications of the platform, control investment proportions to no more than 30% of total assets, and set stop-loss and take-profit points [8] - It is recommended to start with small transactions of 0.1 lots and use stop-loss tools to limit losses to no more than 5% of the principal [8] - Investors should also focus on key factors influencing gold prices, such as Federal Reserve policies and geopolitical events, to establish a fundamental analysis framework for more stable investment decisions [8]

Group 1 - The Australian dollar (AUD) is experiencing a technical pullback against the US dollar (USD), with a daily decline of 0.19% to 0.6455, following a previous close of 0.6467 [1] - Despite the pullback, the recent rally has left significant technical marks, with the AUD/USD breaking the key psychological level of 0.6488, reaching a five-month high [1][3] - The strength of the AUD is supported by three main factors: expectations of a shift in Federal Reserve policy, collective appreciation of Asian currencies, and positive signals from Australia's domestic political landscape [3] Group 2 - The AUD/USD has broken through the critical resistance level of 0.6490, with short-term technical indicators showing signs of overheating, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 62.97 and the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) at 259.86 [4] - The breakthrough of 0.6490, which coincides with the 200-day moving average and last December's high, requires further validation through subsequent trading volume [4] - Upcoming Australian employment data, with expectations of 35,000 new jobs and an unemployment rate of 3.7%, could strengthen the Reserve Bank of Australia's normalization policy expectations, providing new upward momentum for the AUD [4]

Group 1 - The US dollar index fell, closing down 0.69% at 98.93, while US Treasury yields continued to decline, with the 10-year yield at 4.211%, a three-week low [1] - Spot gold reversed its earlier decline, rising 0.75% to close at $3344.08 per ounce, supported by buying interest after a drop of 1.8% [1] - The long-term outlook for gold remains positive due to ongoing central bank purchases, expectations of a shift in Federal Reserve policy, and geopolitical risks [1] Group 2 - WTI crude oil futures fell 2.03% to $61.89 per barrel, marking a near two-week low, amid uncertainties regarding OPEC+ production plans and concerns over the organization's unity [3] - Oil prices are expected to remain in a narrow trading range due to the lack of significant positive or negative news, with support confirmed around the $55 level and resistance near $65 [5] - The market sentiment indicates a preference for a cautious approach in trading, focusing on trend analysis and strategic entry points rather than emotional trading [5]