Group 1 - The Australian dollar (AUD) is experiencing a technical pullback against the US dollar (USD), with a daily decline of 0.19% to 0.6455, following a previous close of 0.6467 [1] - Despite the pullback, the recent rally has left significant technical marks, with the AUD/USD breaking the key psychological level of 0.6488, reaching a five-month high [1][3] - The strength of the AUD is supported by three main factors: expectations of a shift in Federal Reserve policy, collective appreciation of Asian currencies, and positive signals from Australia's domestic political landscape [3] Group 2 - The AUD/USD has broken through the critical resistance level of 0.6490, with short-term technical indicators showing signs of overheating, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 62.97 and the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) at 259.86 [4] - The breakthrough of 0.6490, which coincides with the 200-day moving average and last December's high, requires further validation through subsequent trading volume [4] - Upcoming Australian employment data, with expectations of 35,000 new jobs and an unemployment rate of 3.7%, could strengthen the Reserve Bank of Australia's normalization policy expectations, providing new upward momentum for the AUD [4]

Group 1 - The US dollar index fell, closing down 0.69% at 98.93, while US Treasury yields continued to decline, with the 10-year yield at 4.211%, a three-week low [1] - Spot gold reversed its earlier decline, rising 0.75% to close at $3344.08 per ounce, supported by buying interest after a drop of 1.8% [1] - The long-term outlook for gold remains positive due to ongoing central bank purchases, expectations of a shift in Federal Reserve policy, and geopolitical risks [1] Group 2 - WTI crude oil futures fell 2.03% to $61.89 per barrel, marking a near two-week low, amid uncertainties regarding OPEC+ production plans and concerns over the organization's unity [3] - Oil prices are expected to remain in a narrow trading range due to the lack of significant positive or negative news, with support confirmed around the $55 level and resistance near $65 [5] - The market sentiment indicates a preference for a cautious approach in trading, focusing on trend analysis and strategic entry points rather than emotional trading [5]