Core Viewpoint - HSBC Bank suggests that due to geopolitical risks, fiscal uncertainties, and threats to the independence of the Federal Reserve, gold prices may potentially exceed $4000 per ounce in the short term [1] Group 1 - Geopolitical risks are contributing to the potential rise in gold prices [1] - Fiscal uncertainties are impacting market stability and investor confidence [1] - Concerns regarding the independence of the Federal Reserve are influencing gold market dynamics [1]

Group 1 - The U.S. Congress is facing a government shutdown threat as the Senate did not vote on a temporary budget passed by the House, with the fiscal year ending on September 30 [1][4] - The House, controlled by Republicans, passed a short-term funding bill to maintain current funding levels until November 21, including an additional $8.8 million for security for government officials [4] - Senate Democrats are resistant to the House's funding bill, citing the lack of provisions for critical healthcare needs and seeking to include restrictions on the Trump administration's fiscal powers [4][5] Group 2 - Both parties are reluctant to take responsibility for a government shutdown, with Republicans aiming to blame Democrats while Democrats accuse Republicans of excluding them from the legislative process [5] - Analysts suggest that a "tweaked" short-term funding bill is likely to pass at the last moment to avoid a complete government shutdown, but if both parties maintain their positions, market volatility may increase [5][6] Group 3 - Historical government shutdowns have caused significant economic losses, with the 2018-2019 shutdown resulting in an estimated $11 billion loss, including $3 billion considered permanent [7] - A potential shutdown could lower GDP growth, with estimates suggesting a weekly shutdown could reduce growth by approximately 0.13 percentage points [8]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the mixed performance of the U.S. stock market, driven by a strong rebound in technology stocks, particularly following Alphabet's legal victory in an antitrust case, which alleviated regulatory concerns and provided new momentum for tech valuations [1][5]. Market Performance - On Wednesday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 24.58 points, or 0.05%, closing at 45,271.23 points; the S&P 500 rose by 0.51% to 6,448.26 points; and the Nasdaq Composite saw the strongest performance, increasing by 1.03% to 21,497.73 points [1][2]. - Alphabet's stock surged by 9.1%, becoming a key driver of the market rebound, while Apple also benefited, with its stock rising by 3.8% due to its continued partnership with Google [2][5]. Regulatory Environment - A federal judge ruled that Google can retain its Chrome browser status but must not enter into exclusive search agreements and must share some search data, indicating that AI has created more consumer choices and reducing the need for severe regulatory interventions [2][5]. Economic Indicators - Recent job vacancy data showed a decline to a low not seen since 2020, suggesting a potential cooling in the labor market, which heightens the focus on the upcoming non-farm payroll report [5]. - The article notes that September is historically a poor month for U.S. stocks, with the S&P 500 averaging a decline of 0.7% since 1950, and highlights the potential for increased volatility due to economic slowdown and political uncertainties [7]. Debt Market and Fiscal Concerns - The U.S. federal debt currently stands at $37.18 trillion, with concerns about a potential government shutdown due to budget disagreements [9]. - The article mentions a significant issuance of bonds, with 27 companies selling $43.3 billion in debt, marking one of the highest levels of issuance [10]. Future Outlook - Analysts express mixed sentiments about the market's direction, with some remaining optimistic about AI investments, while others caution about the challenges posed by economic conditions and regulatory uncertainties [7][9].

#报告 富国银行：法国的财政不确定性对更广泛的欧元区经济和欧元的影响有限。None (@None):None ...

Group 1 - The French government is facing significant political uncertainty as Prime Minister Borne announced a confidence vote in the National Assembly on September 8 to facilitate the 2026 budget process, amid ongoing opposition [1] - The French stock market reacted negatively, with the CAC 40 index opening down 1.51%, reflecting concerns over political and fiscal instability, particularly among major banking stocks [1] - Major banks such as BNP Paribas, Société Générale, and Crédit Agricole saw significant declines in their stock prices, with drops of 6.19%, 6.31%, and 4.51% respectively [1] Group 2 - The French Economy Minister, Eric Lombard, indicated that if the government fails to secure the confidence vote, there is a possibility of intervention from the International Monetary Fund regarding France's finances [2] - Lombard warned of a potential sharp rise in French government bond yields, suggesting that France could become the weakest among EU countries in terms of debt burden [2] - He expressed concern that within two weeks, France's debt load could surpass that of Italy, which would be alarming for the country [2]

今日周二(6月3日)欧市盘中，现货黄金在昨日惊人暴涨后震荡下跌，目前金价位于3361.56美元/盎司， 跌幅0.57%。北京时间周二22:00，美国劳工统计局将公布职位空缺和劳动力流动调查(JOLTS)，预计这 一重量级就业数据将引发本交易日金价大行情。 City Index和FOREX.com的市场分析师Fawad Razaqzada指出，新的贸易战担忧、财务不确定性以及美国 债务上限问题，使得市场环境容易出现波动。 Razaqzada说道："对于黄金预测而言，这种避险情绪和财政不确定性的背景再有利不过了。" 本周投资者也将密切关注美联储政策制定者的评论，以寻找有关美国利率走势的线索。在低利率环境和 地缘政治紧张时期，黄金往往会受益。 【黄金技术分析】 从技术角度来看，黄金日线图显示，买家在无方向的20日简单移动平均线(SMA)附近进行了下行防御， 目前该均线为3296.00美元/盎司。100日均线和200日均线保持强劲的上升势头，技术指标在积极水平内 坚定地上行，所有这些都支持金价将出现又一波涨势。 【要闻速递】 美国总统特朗普上周五表示，从6月4日起，将把美国进口钢铁和铝的关税从目前的25%上调至50% ...

什么样的行情才是最难做的行情？明明看着行情在涨在跌，可就是鼓不起勇气跟上节奏，除了一声叹息， 什么都没有改变，无论行情怎么动，总有一个理由阻止你，市场策略那么多，那一条才是适合你的投资之 道？与其感慨交易无常，不妨静下心来看看兴言如何用经验老道的分析打败踌躇不前的犹豫，用精准的进 场点位捕捉一次波动中的利润。 黄金假期为何暴涨？ 最主要的原因还是由于特朗普上周五最新的关税威胁，包括计划将钢铁和铝关税提高一倍至50%，以及乌 克兰周末对俄罗斯腹地发动的袭击，直接加剧了全球加剧地缘政治风险，并助长避险情绪，引发避险资金 涌向黄金。 "对于黄金预测而言，这种避险情绪和财政不确定性的背景再有利不过了。"加之美元重挫，黄金昨日价格 暴涨近3%。 黄金：反弹3390做空，防守3400，目标看向3360-50一线！回撤3350附近做多，防守42，目标看向3380- 85！ 记住交易并非易事,而是一丝不苟的思路和严谨的操作,而若想早日脱离亏损泥潭,走上稳健收获的正轨，很 简单，找到兴言跟上指导！一样也能稳健拿捏利润！ 责任编辑：赵兴言 【以上观点，仅供参考，投资有风险，入市需谨慎】 黄金暴涨之后今天走势分析！ 假期开盘，黄金 ...