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奥特曼点名“AGI最后一块拼图”,记忆,才是硅谷2026新共识
3 6 Ke· 2026-01-09 07:49
虽然局势不利,但奥特曼还是放了狠话: OpenAI留了大招,2026年赢的还是我们! 2026年,AI竞争焦点从Scaling转向记忆。OpenAI率先布局,谷歌紧跟持续学习,Claude已开始追赶——记忆革命已悄然打响。 最近,奥特曼的焦虑肉眼可见。 去年年底,谷歌Gemini 3横空出世,一举横扫各大榜单,将ChatGPT狠狠拽下了神坛。 为了抢回AI皇冠,奥特曼不得不拉响「红色警报」。 不只是跑分,看数据更扎心! 2026年最新的全球AI报告显示,谷歌正在全面「超车」。 奥特曼这次押注的是记忆。 他预计,ChatGPT产品线将在未来一年内取得进展。 他说:「现在,记忆仍然非常粗糙,非常初级」。 而一旦AI能够记住用户生活的每一个细节,包括他们没有明确表示的微小偏好,它将变得「非常强大」。 这是奥特曼最期待的未来功能之一,但他不是唯一一个这样认为的人。 AI的记忆能力,正成为继Scaling之后的解锁超级智能的新共识。 AGI最后一块拼图 人类在日常生活中暂存、调用和操作信息的能力,依赖工作记忆(working memory)。 对人类而言,工作记忆与整体智能水平高度相关。 这意味着,AI是否具备「记住事 ...
硅谷豪赌2万亿,DeepSeek登顶Nature,Meta却成2025最大输家?
3 6 Ke· 2025-12-29 02:15
Anthropic高管Jack Clark警告:巨变在即,而AI将把世界撕裂为两个平行宇宙。 这一切都是一个长期发展过程的产物,是AI技术、资本、就业和生活交织变革在一起的产物。 通用人工智能不是终点,超级智能才是起点。 2025年,AI从幻想到现实,AGI祛魅而ASI初现端倪。科技巨头们竞相追逐超级智能,世界正被撕裂成两个平行宇宙:AI拥抱者与旁观者。投 资热潮涌动,模型能力跃升……这不仅仅是技术革命,更是人类命运的转折点。 2025年,全球AI领域风起云涌。 通用人工智能(Artificial general intelligence,AGI)开始祛魅,超级人工智能(Artificial Super Intelligence,ASI)开始登上舞台。 当真正的AI竞赛始于通用人工智能之后! AI一年,人类千年 至今,自然界的一切智能都是生物智能,都是碳基智能。 但今年的LLM可能是人类有史以来第一次创造出的全新智能形态。 在2025年度回顾中,Karpathy直言: 2025年是我(以及我认为整个行业)首次开始以更直观的方式内化理解LLM智能的「形态」。 在推理、多模态处理和智能体上,2025年AI模型取得 ...
日本的“AI大业”全靠疯狂砸钱?
Tai Mei Ti A P P· 2025-12-25 10:01
文 | 深观商业 12月12日,软银集团被传再寻求AI布局,考察包括数据中心运营商Switch在内的潜在收购。11月份,软 银曾探讨过收购美国芯片制造商Marvell Technology的潜在交易,旨在将其与旗下芯片设计公司ARM合 并,以在人工智能竞赛中打造一个半导体巨头。 今年3月,软银收购数据中心处理器设计公司Ampere Computing。 全球AI发展如火如荼之际,软银的"AI大业"似乎一直没有停止砸钱。 2024年5月,软银宣布计划向人工智能项目投资高达90亿美元。 截至2025年6月底,软银通过愿景基金1号和2号共投资了335家公司,其中大部分都与AI相关。英伟 达、OpenAI、Pepper、波士顿动力、思灵、优艾智合、傅利叶……这些AI产业链上的明星企业,都曾 是软银AI布局中的一环。 至今,软银几乎构建了涵盖算力、芯片制造、数据中心、具身智能等在内的完整AI基础设施。但仅靠 砸钱,孙正义能砸出AI时代的头部地位吗?在AI资本屡次失望的当下,这一问题的答案,正变得愈发 模糊。 尽管在当今世界,AI已经是不可逆转的大趋势,可是成本、应用、盈利……几乎重要的环节都有待解 决。成本,始终是整个 ...
人工智能赶考
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2025-12-10 12:13
2025年,中国人工智能产业正站在一个新的历史拐点上。截至2025年6月,我国生成式人工智能用户规 模5.15亿人,较2024年12月增长2.66亿人。截至2025年8月,共有538款生成式人工智能服务完成备案, 相关应用或功能应用于智能搜索、内容创作等领域,并向农业生产、工业制造等场景延伸。 国家层面的计划已经出台,2025年8月国务院印发的《关于深入实施"人工智能+"行动的意见》提出6大 重点行动、8项基础支撑能力,给行业发展明确了方向。 资本市场敏锐地捕捉到了这一趋势。据IT桔子统计数据,2025年至今,中国人工智能领域共发生709起 投资事件,是2024年全年投资事件数量的136%,投资金额合计约591.45亿元,是2024年全年投资总金 额的94.5%。自动驾驶双雄实现美股+港股双重主要上市,其中小马智行以绿鞋后77亿港元集资额,成 为2025年港股AI领域募资额最高的新股,大模型赛道的MiniMax完成近3亿美元融资,走在上市路上的 智谱获得10亿元人民币融资。 这个拐点同样是资本与产业的残酷交汇点。头部企业凭借技术护城河和场景落地能力赢得资本青睐,加 速登陆资本市场接受公开检验;估值虚高、缺乏造 ...
阿里最新架构变动!
证券时报· 2025-12-10 00:11
证券时报·券商中国记者日前获悉,阿里已成立千问C端事业群,由阿里巴巴集团副总裁吴嘉负责。 据悉,该事业群由原智能信息与智能互联两个事业群合并重组而来,包含千问APP、夸克、AI硬件、UC、书 旗等业务。 这也是今年9月宣布的额外AI基础设施投入的一部分。今年9月,吴泳铭概述了他自己推出新模型和"全栈"AI 技术的计划,这反映了阿里巴巴既要开发服务,也要开发支撑该技术的基础设施的意图。 9月24日,阿里巴巴集团CEO、阿里云智能集团董事长兼CEO吴泳铭在云栖大会演讲中表示,大模型是下一代 操作系统,而AI云是下一代计算机。也许未来全世界只会有五六个超级云计算平台。目前阿里正积极推进 3800亿元的AI基础设施建设,并计划追加更大的投入。 吴泳铭认为,实现AGI(通用人工智能)已是确定性事件,但这仅是起点,终极目标是发展出能自我迭代、 全面超越人类的ASI(超级人工智能),以解决气候、能源、星际旅行等重大科学难题。 通往超级人工智能之路分为三个阶段:一是"智能涌现",AI通过学习人类知识具备泛化智能;二是"自主行 动",AI掌握工具使用和编程能力以"辅助人",这是行业当前所处的阶段;三是"自我迭代",AI通过连接 ...
孙正义描述超级人工智能未来,李在明笑着回应:现在有点担心了
Huan Qiu Wang· 2025-12-06 04:28
法新社称,李在明对此笑着回应,他"现在有点担心了"。 【环球网报道 记者 索炎琦】据法新社报道,韩国总统李在明5日在首尔龙山总统府接见日本软银集团首席执行官孙正义,二人谈及超级人工智能(ASI)等 话题。会面期间,孙正义描述了关于ASI的未来,称先进的人工智能(AI)可能会超越人类,以至于"让我们变成鱼",ASI甚至可能获得诺贝尔文学奖。 "人脑和……鱼缸里的鱼之间的差距有1万倍。"孙正义当天对李在明称,"但(未来)情况将会不同,我们将变成鱼,而它们(指人工智能)将变得像人类一 样……它们将比我们聪明1万倍。" 报道称,孙正义将ASI与人类之间的关系比作人类与宠物的关系。"我们努力让它们快乐……我们努力与它们和平共处。"他称,"我们不需要吃掉它们…… ASI不吃蛋白质,它们也不需要吃掉我们——别担心。" 报道称,李在明询问孙正义ASI是否有可能获得诺贝尔文学奖,该奖项去年得主是韩国作家韩江。李在明说,"我不认为这是一个理想的情况。"孙正义则回 答称,"我想会(获得)的。" 法新社介绍称,ASI是一个描述"人工智能超越人类"的假设情景。科学家普遍认为距离实现这一目标还有很长的路要走,但作为关键一步,通用人工智能 ...
官宣!饿了么正式改名“淘宝闪购”,阿里巴巴放弃外卖补贴、转型AI巨头?
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-12-05 03:29
Group 1 - Alibaba's Ele.me has officially rebranded to "Taobao Flash Purchase," aiming to integrate deeper into Alibaba's "big consumption platform" strategy to unlock greater value [1] - The "takeout war" has impacted profitability across Alibaba, Meituan, and JD.com, leading to stock price adjustments [1] - JD.com's adjusted net profit for Q3 was 5.8 billion yuan, a 56% year-on-year decrease; Meituan reported a record net loss of 16 billion yuan, compared to a net profit of 12.8 billion yuan in the same period last year; Alibaba's net profit was 21 billion yuan, down 52% year-on-year, with a non-GAAP profit of 10.4 billion yuan, a 72% decrease [1] Group 2 - Alibaba is transitioning from "takeout subsidies" to embrace the "AI era," covering the entire chain from computing power to application ecosystems [2] - Alibaba's Qwen model has surpassed Meta's Llama, becoming the world's leading open-source model family; plans are underway to integrate various life scenarios into the Qwen app [2] - Alibaba's semiconductor design unit, Tianshu, has developed an AU chip comparable to Nvidia's H20 GPU; the company aims for a long-term goal of advancing towards "super artificial intelligence" (ASI) [2] - Alibaba holds a significant weight of 17.62% in the Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology Index, making it a key stock in the tech sector [2]
自主行动,开启 AI 进化新篇章
Tai Mei Ti A P P· 2025-12-02 05:30
Core Insights - The article emphasizes that AGI is not the endpoint but the starting point towards ASI, with Alibaba Group's CEO categorizing the evolution into three stages: intelligent emergence, autonomous action, and self-iteration, currently in the autonomous action phase [2][3] Group 1: AI Development Stages - The current phase of AI is characterized by a shift from perception and generation to decision-making and action, driven by intelligent agent technology [3] - The transition to autonomous action is seen as a critical bridge towards self-iteration, enabling AI to create real-world value [3][19] Group 2: Technological Breakthroughs - Continuous breakthroughs in technology are essential for releasing AI's value, focusing on building foundational capabilities such as computing power, basic models, and technical ecosystems [4] - The integration of cloud computing and AI is creating a full-stack technology ecosystem, addressing resource and cost bottlenecks for scalable AI deployment [5][6] Group 3: Model Innovations - Large models are evolving from single-modal to multi-modal capabilities, enhancing AI's application scope across various fields such as education and healthcare [9][10] - Innovations like reinforcement learning from human feedback (RLHF) are improving models' abilities to solve complex tasks autonomously [10] Group 4: Application and Ecosystem Development - The rise of intelligent agents is reshaping software ecosystems, enabling dynamic decision-making and task execution [11][16] - Open-source initiatives are crucial for democratizing AI technology, with Alibaba contributing over 300 open-source models to lower development costs [13][14] Group 5: Industry Transformation - AI is driving systemic innovation across industries, enhancing operational efficiency and consumer experiences [20] - The global collaboration in AI innovation is reshaping industry structures and optimizing resource allocation, facilitated by AI cloud platforms [21] Group 6: Responsible AI Development - The article highlights the importance of a governance framework to ensure AI's sustainable development, addressing challenges like data privacy and algorithmic bias [25][26] - A collaborative approach involving industry, academia, government, and the public is essential for achieving responsible AI development [27]
B端C端全面进击,阿里打响AI未来之战
炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报,权威,专业,及时,全面,助您挖掘潜力主题机会! 从2月宣布投入3800亿元建设AI基础设施,到9月宣布向超级人工智能(ASI)进发至上周开启千问APP 正式公测,今年以来阿里巴巴在AI领域的密集布局与多线叙事,以及持续投入的进取姿态,正推动其 业绩增长与资本市场估值重回巅峰。 11月25日阿里发布的2026财年第二季度财报,阿里巴巴集团收入2477.95亿元,剔除已出售业务影响, 收入同比增长15%,超市场预期。 AI+云、消费两大战略领域业务强劲增长。阿里云季度收入同比加速增长34%,AI相关产品收入连续第 九个季度实现三位数增长;大消费平台协同效应显著,即时零售带动淘宝App月活跃消费者快速增长。 随着阿里AI战略在今年全面铺开,一条从AI算力、云平台、大模型再到应用层面的完整布局的全栈AI 能力已清晰浮现,阿里正向B端与C端全面发力。 在财报分析师电话会上,阿里巴巴集团CEO吴泳铭分享了AI战略进展,阿里正在AI to B 和AI to C两大 方向齐发力——在AI to B领域,做世界领先的全栈AI服务商,服务千行百业不断增长的AI需求;在AI to C领域,基于性能领先的A ...
B端深耕,C端猛进:阿里AI双线出击
Feng Huang Wang· 2025-11-25 14:51
Core Insights - Alibaba is aggressively expanding in both AI to B and AI to C sectors, aiming to establish a dominant position in the AI landscape [1][5][19] Group 1: AI Strategy - Alibaba's CEO, Wu Yongming, outlined a clear AI strategy focusing on becoming a leading full-stack AI service provider for enterprises while also developing AI applications for consumers [1][3] - The dual approach is expected to create significant synergies that will drive Alibaba's sustained growth and elevate its market position [3][4] Group 2: Market Performance - In the latest fiscal quarter, Alibaba Cloud reported a robust 34% year-on-year revenue growth, driven by strong AI demand, with AI-related product revenue achieving triple-digit growth for nine consecutive quarters [5][7] - Alibaba Cloud holds a commanding 35.8% market share in China's AI cloud market, surpassing the combined share of its closest competitors [7][19] Group 3: Product Development - The Qwen3-Max model has reached a global top-tier performance level, surpassing competitors like GPT-5 and Claude Opus 4, establishing Alibaba's technological edge [11][12] - The rapid growth of the Qwen App, which surpassed 10 million downloads in its first week, highlights the timely emergence of consumer AI applications [8][9] Group 4: Ecosystem Integration - Alibaba's strategy involves integrating the Qwen App into its broader ecosystem, including e-commerce, maps, and local services, enhancing user interaction and service delivery [13][16] - This integration aims to redefine user experiences, allowing for seamless interactions across various services [16][17] Group 5: Competitive Landscape - Alibaba's unique approach of leveraging both model performance and ecosystem advantages differentiates it from domestic competitors, positioning it favorably in the global AI competition [12][19] - The company's open-source strategy and ecosystem integration are seen as critical factors in its ability to compete effectively on a global scale [18][19]