| 钢材产业期现日报 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可 【2011】1292号 2025年6月27日 | | | 問敏波 | Z0010559 | | | 钢材价格及价差 | | | | | | | 品种 | 现值 | 前值 | 涨跌 | 基差 | 单位 | | 螺纹钢现货(华东) | 3060 | 3070 | -10 | 82 | | | 螺纹钢现货(华北) | 3160 | 3180 | -20 | 185 | | | 螺纹钢现货(华南) | 3170 | 3160 | 10 | 192 | | | 螺纹钢05合约 | 2978 | 2978 | 0 | 82 | | | 螺纹钢10合约 | 2973 | 2976 | -3 | 87 | | | 螺纹钢01合约 | 2978 | 2978 | O | 82 | | | 热卷现货(华东) | 3180 | 3180 | 0 | 79 | 元/吨 | | 热卷现货(华北) | 3100 | 3100 | 0 | -1 | | | 热卷现货(华南) | 3170 ...

免贡声明 本报告中的信息均来源于被广发期货有限公司认为可称的已公开资料，但广发明货对这些信息的准确性及完整性不作任何保证。本报告反映研究人员的不同观点、见解及 分析方法，并不代表广发期货或其附属机构的立场。在任何情况下，报告内容仅供参考，报告中的信息或所表达的意见并不构成所述品种买卖的出价或向价，投资者偶比 投资，风险自担。本报告旨在发送给广发期货特定客户及其他专业人士，版权归广发期货所有，未经广发期货书面授权、任何人不得对本报告进行任何形式的发布、复制 。如引用、刊发，需注明出处为"广发期货"。 | 材产业期现日报 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可 [2011] 1292号 2025年6月26日 | | | 問敏波 | Z0010559 | | | 钢材价格及价差 | | | | | | | 品种 | 现值 | 前值 | 张跃 | 其差 | 单位 | | 螺纹钢现货(华东) | 3070 | 3080 | -10 | 92 | | | 螺纹钢现货(华北) | 3180 | 3190 | -10 | 202 | ...

黑色建材日报 | 2025-06-25 钢材：淡季预期仍在，钢价维持震荡 市场分析 昨日，螺纹钢期货主力合约收于2977元/吨，热卷主力合约收于3099元/吨。现货方面，昨日全国建材成交额9.32万 吨。 综合来看：螺纹方面，中东战事扰动反复，消费淡季建材自身供需矛盾慢慢积累。 热卷方面，目前板材利润优于建材，产销表现出较强韧性，市场担忧后期抢出口情绪退坡后影响板材消费，虽然 出口略有下滑，但是短期仍保持高位。整体来看，钢材目前供需矛盾不大，后期关注中东地缘冲突进展及后续库 存及消费状况。 策略 单边：无 跨期：无 淡季预期仍在，钢价维持震荡 策略 跨品种：无 期现：无 期权：无 风险 宏观政策、关税政策、成材需求情况、钢材出口、钢厂利润、成本支撑等。 铁矿：消费进入淡季，铁矿震荡运行 市场分析 期现货方面：昨日铁矿石期货盘面价格震荡运行。截至收盘，铁矿石主力2509合约收于703元/吨，跌幅0.42%。现 货方面，唐山港口进口铁矿主流品种价格小幅下跌，贸易商报价积极性一般，市场交投情绪一般，钢厂采购多以 按需补库为主。供给方面，本期全球铁矿石发运小幅增加，全球发运总量3507万吨。本期45港到港总量2563 ...

| 材产业期现日报 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可 【2011】1292号 2025年6月24日 | | | 周敏波 | ZOOJOSSO | | | 钢材价格及价差 | | | | | | | 品种 | 现值 | 削值 | 涨跌 | 基差 | 单位 | | 螺纹钢现货(华东) | 3090 | 3090 | 0 | ਰੇਰੇ | | | 螺纹钢现货(华北) | 3200 | 3200 | 0 | 209 | | | 螺纹钢现货(华南) | 3180 | 3180 | 0 | 189 | | | 螺纹钢05合约 | 2992 | 2987 | 5 | ರಿ8 | | | 螺纹钢10合约 | 2995 | 2992 | 3 | ਰੇਟ | | | 螺纹钢01合约 | 2991 | 2985 | 6 | ਰੇਰੇ | | | 热卷现货(华东) | 3190 | 3200 | -10 | 18 | 元/吨 | | 热卷现货 (华北) | 3110 | 3110 | 0 | -2 | | | 热卷现货(华南) | 31 ...

| 材产业期现日报 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可 【2011】1292号 2025年6月23日 | | | 周敏波 | Z0010559 | | | 钢材价格及价差 | | | | | | | 品种 | 现值 | 前值 | 涨跌 | 基差 | 单位 | | 螺纹钢现货(华东) | 3090 | 3090 | O | 105 | | | 螺纹钢现货(华北) | 3200 | 3200 | 0 | 215 | | | 螺纹钢现货(华南) | 3180 | 3170 | 10 | 195 | | | 螺纹钢05合约 | 2987 | 2979 | 8 | 103 | | | 螺纹钢10合约 | 2992 | 2986 | 6 | 08 | | | 螺纹钢01合约 | 5985 | 2979 | 6 | 105 | | | 热卷现货(华东) | 3200 | 3190 | 10 | ਰੇਤੇ | 元/吨 | | 热卷现货 (华北) | 3110 | 3100 | 10 | 3 | | | 热卷现货(华南) | 318 ...

数据来源：Wind、Mystee、富宝资讯、广发期货发展研究中心。请仔细阅读报告尾端免责声明。 免责声明 本报告中的信息均来源于被广发期货有限公司认为可你的已公开资料，但广发明货对这些信息的准确性及完整性不作任何保证。本报告反映研究人员的不同观点、见解及 分析方法，并不代表广发明货或其附属机构的立场。在任何情况下，报告内容仅供参考，报告中的信息或所袁达的意见并不构成所选品种买夹的出价或狗价，投资者偶比 投资，风险自担。本报告旨在发送给广发期始特定客户及其他专业人士，版权归广发期货所有，未经广发期货节面授权，任何人不得对本报告进行任何形式的发布、复制 。如引用、刊发,需注明出处为"广发期货"。 知识图强,求实奉献,客户至上,合作共赢 矿石产业期现日报 | 钢材产业期现日报 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可 [2011] 1292号 2025年6月19日 | | | 問敏波 | Z0010559 | | | 钢材价格及价差 | | | | | | | 品种 | 现值 | 前值 | 涨跌 | 基差 | 单位 | | 螺 ...

【钢材】价格来到 20 日均线压力处,关注重新套保机会 周三价格小涨,价格来到 20 日均线压力处,可关注是否有新的套保入场机会。 产业土看,黑色品种近期期现基差都很 大,反弹带一波基差修复（期货贴水修复）,是合理的。而在基差修复之后,若产业还没有找到更好的做多故事,则价格可 能会重新面临压力。热卷和螺纹反弹压力位关注盘面20日均线附近,重新入场套保的点位区间。 器色盒属数据日报 2025/06/12 | 5/06/12 | | 国贸期货出品 TG 国贸期货 | | --- | --- | --- | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可[2012] 31号 | | | | 黑色金属研究中心 | 执业证号 | 投资咨询证号 | | 张宝慧 | F0286636 | Z0010820 | | 黄志鸿 | F3051824 | Z0015761 | | 市千雪加 | F03094002 | Z0020036 | | | 远月合约收盘价 | RB2601 | HC2601 | 12601 | J2601 | JM2601 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | ...

铁矿石六月报 煤炭持续让利 铁矿建议观望 长江期货股份有限公司交易咨询业务资格：鄂证监期货字[2014]1号 2025/6/3 【产业服务总部 | 黑色金属团队】 研究员 张佩云 执业编号：F03090752 投资咨询号：Z0019837 联系人 殷玮岐 执业编号：F03120770 白天霖 执业编号：F03138690 投资策略：观望为宜 主要逻辑 行情回顾：五月份铁矿盘面先涨后跌，整体呈现震荡走势。涨是因为中美贸易紧张关系缓和，关税下调引发市场再 度抢出口预期。跌是因为月末铁水见顶，叠加钢材淡季需求预期。供给方面，月内全球发运呈现季节性回升趋势，主流 澳巴发运同样回升至高位水平。疏港量维持情况下，港口铁矿库存保持下滑趋势。需求方面，月末河北山东零星高炉降 负减产，叠加前期大型高炉检修，铁水产量降幅扩大，但钢厂盈利仍维持在中等水平。 后市展望：原料端煤炭持续让利，钢厂生产得以维持，因此铁矿表现相对强势。价格整体波动不大，基本面影响较 小，更多的是宏观消息面的扰动。海外主流矿山的财年末高产运，效果一般会在七月初才会显现，因此预计港口库存会 继续维持降库趋势。技术上，盘面多空力量均不明显。综上，预计铁矿盘面震荡 ...

Group 1: Research Background - Steel mills are showing high production enthusiasm, with pig iron output reaching the highest level for the same period since March before starting to decline, leading to accumulated supply pressure [1] - Hebei, as the largest steel production base in China, accounts for 20%-30% of the national output, primarily in plate products, making its production dynamics significantly influential on the national market [1] - The demand for steel is expected to decline seasonally, but the "export rush" effect has shown strong resilience in steel demand, with export volumes increasing year-on-year [1] Group 2: Production and Output - Most steel mills have adopted an over-ordering strategy, with orders from downstream processing plants typically ranging from 15 to 30 days, and some products scheduled for production until the end of July [2] - Steel mills are currently enjoying decent profits, with immediate profits around 100-200 yuan per ton, and some mills achieving net profits exceeding 100 yuan per ton [2] Group 3: Export Situation - Export profits remain acceptable, with increases in the export volumes of rebar, steel billets, and wire rods, particularly to the Middle East and Africa, while reductions are noted in exports to South Korea and Japan [4] - There is potential for screening orders in steel billet exports, and while some believe that the export rush may deplete future demand, the actual impact may not be as significant as anticipated [4] Group 4: Inventory and Expectations - Inventory levels among steel mills and traders are low, with steel mill inventories dropping from 20,000 tons to 4,000 tons, indicating a need for inventory building based on market fluctuations [6] - Some anticipate that upcoming events such as the Shanghai Cooperation Organization summit in July and the World University Games in August may impact short-term supply, while others doubt the effectiveness of policy-driven production restrictions due to local GDP pressures [6] Group 5: Seasonal Demand Outlook - The negative feedback from the industrial sector in June may be difficult to realize, as steel mills are currently profitable and production is stable, making significant production cuts unlikely [7] - The resilience of plate demand is a key variable influencing the overall demand for steel during the off-season, with expectations that plate demand may outperform market predictions [7] Group 6: Specific Situations in Steel Mills and Processing Plants - A hot-rolled processing enterprise reported a production capacity of 4 million tons, with a focus on color-coated products, and is experiencing high demand, with orders extending to the end of July [9] - A steel mill's trading department noted that orders for various steel products are generally over 25 days, with net profits ranging from 50 to 100 yuan per ton, and a positive outlook on the market despite regional pressures [10] - A cold-rolled sales department indicated that exports are primarily directed towards Southeast Asia and the Middle East, with a notable increase in orders, although the overall export volume is slightly weaker compared to previous months [11] Group 7: Market Dynamics and Price Trends - The current market is characterized by strong realities and weak expectations, with healthy inventory levels and order volumes, suggesting that the anticipated negative feedback may not materialize [8] - The steel price may experience fluctuations, with potential upward movement if the current strong reality persists, despite the overall market sentiment being cautious [12]