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A股喜迎开门红
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-05 16:08
交易行情显示,1月5日,A股三大股指集体高开,开盘后三大股指全天震荡拉升,上证综指盘中突破 4000点。截至当日收盘,上证综指收涨1.38%,报4023.42点,录得"12连阳",创逾30年最长连阳纪录; 深证成指、创业板指分别收涨2.24%、2.85%,分别报13828.63点、3294.55点。另外,当日科创50指数 表现亮眼,最终收涨4.4%,报1403.41点。 盘面上,人脑工程板块领涨,板块内掀起涨停潮,三博脑科、博拓生物、道氏技术等多股"20cm"涨 停;保险板块全天活跃,板块内权重股全线飘红;第四代半导体、医疗器械、AI制药(医疗)等板块 涨幅居前。"科技牛是2025年贯穿全年的一个重要特征,2026年科技牛行情有望继续延续。"前海开源基 金首席经济学家杨德龙进一步谈道,除了科技板块之外,更多板块有望在2026年开始轮番上涨。 成交金额方面,投资者交易氛围浓厚。截至收盘,沪市成交金额10673.34亿元,深市成交金额14790.13 亿元,两市合计成交金额约2.55万亿元。北交所当日成交金额211.38亿元。 从单只个股成交金额来看,中国卫星居首,达194.54亿元;三花智控则紧随其后,当日成交 ...
近4200股上涨 沪指重回4000点
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2026-01-05 15:43
2026年首个交易日,A股喜迎开门红。1月5日,A股三大股指涨势如虹,放量大涨,上证综指时隔逾30 个交易日再度站上4000点整数关口。截至收盘,上证综指收涨1.38%,报4023.42点;深证成指、创业板 指双双涨超2%。指数大涨之下,A股交投氛围火爆,沪深两市当日合计成交额约2.55万亿元;A股近 4200只个股上涨,投资者赚钱效应明显。 交易行情显示,1月5日,A股三大股指集体高开,开盘后三大股指全天震荡拉升,上证综指盘中突破 4000点。截至当日收盘,上证综指收涨1.38%,报4023.42点,实现"12连阳",创逾30年最长"连阳"纪 录;深证成指、创业板指分别收涨2.24%、2.85%,分别报13828.63点、3294.55点。另外,当日科创50 指数表现亮眼,最终收涨4.4%,报1403.41点。 盘面上,人脑工程板块领涨,板块内掀起涨停潮,三博脑科、博拓生物、道氏技术等多股"20cm"涨 停;保险板块全天活跃,板块内权重股全线飘红;第四代半导体、医疗器械、AI制药(医疗)等板块 涨幅居前。"科技牛是2025年贯穿全年的一个重要特征,2026年科技牛行情有望继续延续。"前海开源基 金首席经济学 ...
A股喜迎开门红!沪指“12连阳”重回4000点,近4200股上涨
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2026-01-05 09:01
交易行情显示,1月5日,A股三大股指集体高开,开盘后三大股指全天震荡拉升,上证综指盘中突破4000点。截至当日收盘,上证综指收涨1.38%,报 4023.42点,录得"12连阳",创逾30年最长连阳纪录;深证成指、创业板指分别收涨2.24%、2.85%,分别报13828.63点、3294.55点。另外,当日科创50指数 表现亮眼,最终收涨4.4%,报1403.41点。 盘面上,人脑工程板块领涨,板块内掀起涨停潮,三博脑科、博拓生物、道氏技术等多股"20cm"涨停;保险板块全天活跃,板块内权重股全线飘红;第四 代半导体、医疗器械、AI制药(医疗)等板块涨幅居前。"科技牛是2025年贯穿全年的一个重要特征,2026年科技牛行情有望继续延续。"前海开源基金首席 经济学家杨德龙进一步谈道,除了科技板块之外,更多板块有望在2026年开始轮番上涨。 2026年首个交易日,A股喜迎开门红!1月5日,A股三大股指涨势如虹,放量大涨,上证综指时隔逾30个交易日再度站上4000点整数关口。截至收盘,上证 综指收涨1.38%,报4023.42点;深证成指、创业板指双双涨超2%。指数大涨之下,A股交投氛围火爆,沪深两市当日合计成交额 ...
杨德龙:2026年我国经济形势与股市行情前瞻性分析
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-16 11:06
随着2026年临近,展望未来一年宏观经济与资本市场运行环境,一方面,稳增长政策仍将持续落地,经 济数据预计有望逐步改善,从而为本轮慢牛、长牛行情提供基本面支撑;另一方面,我国经济转型仍在 持续推进。在"十五五"规划中被重点强调的科技创新方向,包括芯片半导体、人工智能、低空经济、固 态电池、生物医药以及人形机器人等领域,仍将是未来经济增长的重要亮点。在整体工业增加值增速相 对偏低的背景下,这些新兴产业已呈现出较为明显的增速回升态势,预计在2026年仍将延续较快增长趋 势。因此,科技牛行情更偏向于中长期机会,而非短期主题炒作,在以科技创新为主导的经济增长模式 下,科技类资产仍值得长期关注。 与2025年科技股"一枝独秀"的结构性行情相比,2026年的市场环境更有可能呈现出板块轮动加快、参与 面扩大的特征,市场形态或更接近全面牛市。指数层面,有望在前期高点之上进一步拓展运行空间,新 能源、消费白马、有色金属、军工等板块也可能逐步活跃,带动整体赚钱效应改善。 居民储蓄向资本市场转移的趋势在2025年已经明显启动。过去10至11个月,公募基金发行规模已超过1 万亿元,其中权益类基金规模占比超过一半,逐步取代债券型基金成 ...
杨德龙:大盘突破4000点具有标志性意义
Xin Lang Ji Jin· 2025-10-29 09:33
Group 1 - The 10th Huashang Cultural Festival in Shangqiu has become a globally recognized cultural event, focusing on the heritage of Shang culture and supporting local economic development [1] - Shangqiu has developed distinctive industries such as chili, pear, superhard materials, refrigeration equipment, coal power, and renewable resources, achieving significant breakthroughs in new technologies and materials [2] - The introduction of chili futures on the Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange is proposed to enhance farmers' income and provide risk hedging tools for traders, indicating a strategic move towards financial empowerment of local industries [2] Group 2 - The Shanghai Composite Index has recently surpassed the 4000-point mark, marking a significant milestone and indicating the establishment of a bull market [2][4] - This bull market is expected to be more stable and prolonged, potentially lasting two to three years, driven by technological innovation, policy support, and a shift of household savings into capital markets [3] - Key sectors to watch include hard technology industries aligned with the "14th Five-Year Plan," as well as stable return sectors like banking and utilities, which are seen as valuable for long-term investment [3] Group 3 - The recent bull market is anticipated to stimulate consumption and economic recovery, acting as a fourth driver of economic growth, especially in light of the current downturn in the real estate market [4] - The transition from a real estate investment era to an equity investment era is suggested, with capital markets becoming a channel for wealth growth through quality stocks and funds [4] - There is a call for collective efforts to nurture this bull market to enhance China's economic strength and improve the attractiveness of Chinese assets on a global scale [4]
杨德龙:当前牛市走势确立 十月市场行情值得期待
Xin Lang Ji Jin· 2025-09-30 09:22
Group 1 - The current market is experiencing a second wave of a bull market, which began in late June and has shown increasing confidence among investors [1][2] - The first wave of this bull market was triggered by the "924 policy" last year, leading to a rapid increase in the market [1] - The market is expected to maintain a slow and steady growth trend for the next 2-3 years, indicating that it is still in the first half of the bull market [1] Group 2 - The driving factors behind the current bull market include supportive policies and inflows of capital, which are essential for economic growth [2][3] - The capital market is compared to a fourth engine driving economic growth, enhancing consumer spending and supporting technological innovation [2] - Key industries such as artificial intelligence, humanoid robots, and innovative pharmaceuticals are expected to receive significant policy support in the upcoming "15th Five-Year Plan" [2] Group 3 - The financial sector has achieved significant milestones during the "14th Five-Year Plan," with the banking sector's total assets reaching nearly 470 trillion yuan, ranking first globally [3] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) aims to deepen reforms and expand openness to promote the long-term healthy development of the capital market [3] Group 4 - The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) announced a new policy tool worth 500 billion yuan to support project capital, focusing on the application of new intelligent terminals and AI [4] - The PMI data for September indicates a slight improvement in manufacturing, with a PMI of 49.8%, while the non-manufacturing PMI remains stable at 50% [5] Group 5 - The overall economic situation is improving, but continued policy support is necessary to further enhance economic data [5] - The technology sector is identified as the leading force in the current bull market, with expectations for sustained growth driven by innovation [6][7]
杨德龙:A股港股目前仍处于本轮牛市的前半场
Xin Lang Ji Jin· 2025-09-29 08:39
Market Overview - The A-share and Hong Kong stock markets have shown strong upward trends as the National Day holiday approaches, alleviating previous concerns about a potential significant correction after nearly three months of gains since late June [1] - The current market is believed to be in the second phase of a bull market, following the "924 market" last year, which was initiated by substantial policy support [1] Bull Market Characteristics - The Shanghai Composite Index is nearing the 3900-point mark, indicating a gradually established bull market driven by both policy and capital [2] - Margin trading balances have surpassed 2.4 trillion, a historical high, but the overall leverage ratio remains low compared to the total market capitalization of 100 trillion [2] Sector Performance - The ongoing market rally is characterized as a "technology bull market," with significant focus on sectors such as humanoid robots, chips, semiconductors, and innovative pharmaceuticals, which have become hot topics this year [4] - Traditional industries have shown mixed performance, with sectors like energy storage, lithium batteries, and new energy vehicles experiencing significant gains, while consumer sectors like liquor and food and beverage have lagged due to declining income growth [4] Future Outlook - The current market is still a structurally driven technology bull market, with expectations for a transition to a comprehensive bull market next year as capital flows into the market increase [5] - The depreciation of the US dollar by approximately 10% has led to the appreciation of non-US currencies, enhancing the attractiveness of Chinese assets [6] - International investment banks are increasingly optimistic about Chinese assets, raising target points for A-shares and Hong Kong stocks, indicating a potential influx of international capital [6]
杨德龙:A股本轮牛市行情愈演愈烈赚钱效应明显提升,可能会延续两三年时间!真正实现广大投资者期待的慢牛、长牛行情,而非快牛、疯牛行情
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-20 09:25
Market Overview - The A-share market has experienced continuous breakthroughs and significant increases, driven by low domestic interest rates, ample liquidity, policy support, and a shift of household savings to the capital market [1] - The market's strong performance is also influenced by heightened expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in September, leading to increased inflow of external capital [1][4] Index Performance - Major indices have shown positive movements, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by over 1% to 3766.21, and other indices such as the Shenzhen Component and ChiNext also recording gains [2] Federal Reserve Rate Cut Expectations - The probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut in September is considered very high, influenced by pressure from President Trump and disappointing employment data [4] - The Federal Reserve may lower the benchmark interest rate from the current range of 4.25%-4.5% to below 4% by the end of the year, which could support the recovery of the U.S. economy [4] Bull Market Confirmation - The current bull market trend is gradually being established, with significant policy support since last September signaling the start of this bull market [5] - Institutional investors have increased their allocations to equity assets, contributing to the market's upward momentum [5][6] Capital Market Dynamics - There is a noticeable trend of household savings moving towards the capital market, with nearly 60 trillion yuan added to savings over the past five years, driven by low interest rates [6] - The total market capitalization of A-shares has surpassed 100 trillion yuan, indicating strong market confidence and increased trading volumes [6] Technological Advancements - The fourth technological revolution is underway, with significant advancements in AI applications, particularly in the aerospace sector [7] - The "Wukong AI" model has been developed for space missions, showcasing the potential of AI in specialized fields [7] Investment Opportunities - The humanoid robot sector is gaining attention, with potential to become a major industry following home appliances, smartphones, and new energy vehicles [8] - Investors are encouraged to explore opportunities in the "AI + traditional industries" space, as the market for humanoid robots expands [8]