虽然AI投资周期正在从"投"走向"收"，但这不意味着"减速"就是"见顶"。 据追风交易台，高盛在最新AI报告中指出，尽管增速趋缓，AI基建投资未来2-3年具备持续性，市场过度关注"回报慢"可能忽略了成本红利已经开始释 放，且股价尚未反映这一结构性变化。 报告强调，尽管AI商业化变现仍处早期阶段，但基于成本削减的第一阶段回报已经显现。估计到2030年AI自动化可为财富500强企业节省约9350亿美元成 本。分析师认为，这一早期收益足以支撑当前AI基础设施投资水平，尽管增长率可能放缓。 分析师也指出，超大规模云服务商作为AI基础设施的主要投资方，其投资决策更多基于长期收入增长机会，而非短期成本节约。 AI投资回报争议，成本节约VS商业变现 生成式AI自2023年底掀起热潮以来，资本开支已累计超过3500亿美元。投资是否值得？回报是否可持续？这些问题正成为市场关注焦点。 高盛研究团队将AI价值创造分为三个阶段：第一阶段通过自动化实现成本削减（当前进行中），第二阶段重新投资并重建，第三阶段通过增量收入实现 变现。 报告分析显示，AI在客户服务、销售营销、IT等职能领域的自动化应用已开始产生实际效益。以客户服务为例，4 ...

美国签订中东 AI 芯片大单，主权 AI 拉动基建投资 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 5 月 18 日 证券研究报告 行业研究 [行业周报 Table_ReportType] | [Table_StockAndRank] 电子 | | | --- | --- | | 投资评级 | 看好 | | 上次评级 | 看好 | [Table_Author] 莫文宇 电子行业首席分析师 执业编号：S1500522090001 邮 箱：mowenyu@cindasc.com 杨宇轩 电子行业分析师 执业编号：S1500525010001 邮箱：yangyuxuan@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127号金隅 大厦B座 邮编：100031 [美国签订中东 Table_Title] AI 芯片大单，主权 AI 拉动基 建投资 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 5 月 18 日 本期内容提要: [Table_S [Table_Summary ummary] ] 请阅读最后一页免责声明及信息披露 ht ...

在人均都说是自己是i人的新兴方向，我们想和创业者一起搭建一个高质量闭门社交场域 ，一起探讨： 因此，从2月26日开始，我们每周五晚上18:00-22:00，在北京、深圳、上海三个地方，开始陆续组织了9场小饭桌。 我们希望这里没有PPT轰炸，没有西装革履的客套，只有： 事实证明：作为一个资深干饭团队，过去两个月的周五，带创业者吃的应该还不错。偷偷说，其实，曾有过一桌交流的founder们后来都接受了锦 秋的投资。 在信息的洪流中，我们始终相信：最有价值的洞察，往往诞生于真诚的对话；最具潜力的合作，常常始于一场面对面的共鸣。 下面是我们过去2个月的饭局笔记。因为保密问题、合规问题，我们就只能简单写写啦。当然，如果要了解更多信息，欢迎下次和我们一起吃饭， 偷偷告诉你。 今年2月底，我们锦秋基金决定搞点"不正经的正经事"——带创业者一起好好吃饭。 吃饱了，我们一起去改变世界！ 这里先发下5月9日的菜单——AI Infra限定套餐。如果你感兴趣，欢迎点击链接 （https://lh7ona58u3.feishu.cn/share/base/form/shrcnbvYmgHvhOeJQ7uBSEJq5ig）或者扫码报名。 ...

Core Insights - The report highlights a positive market sentiment driven by comments from former President Trump regarding trade tensions and the Federal Reserve, which has led to a rebound in U.S. stocks and increased risk appetite among investors [3][4] - The MSCI China Index has seen a recent decline, with an implied earnings downgrade of 4%-6%, while the current index PE stands at 11.4 times and a dividend yield of 2.8%, indicating relatively low valuations [3][4] - European markets are experiencing a rebound, but luxury goods companies are facing pressure due to tariff impacts and a strong euro, which may weaken overseas earnings [3][4] Company Analysis - Zhongji Xuchuang (300308 CH) reported a strong Q1 2025 performance with a revenue increase of 38% year-on-year, reaching RMB 6.7 billion, driven by growth in global cloud vendor capital expenditures and demand for 400G/800G optical modules [4] - The net profit for Zhongji Xuchuang increased by 57% year-on-year to RMB 1.6 billion, with a gross margin improvement to 36.7%, significantly above Bloomberg consensus expectations of 31.9% [4] - The management attributes the profit margin outperformance to product mix optimization, operational efficiency improvements, and better margins from overseas factories [4] Sector Performance - The Hang Seng Financial Index rose by 0.81% with a year-to-date increase of 23.67%, while the Hang Seng Real Estate Index saw a decline of 14.75% year-to-date [2] - The report indicates that sectors such as healthcare, materials, and integrated enterprises led the gains in the Hong Kong market, while telecommunications and discretionary consumption sectors faced declines [3] - In the U.S. market, financials, discretionary consumption, and communication services sectors outperformed, while staples, industrials, and healthcare lagged [3] Investment Recommendations - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Zhongji Xuchuang with a target price adjusted to RMB 151, based on a 21.5 times expected PE for 2025, reflecting geopolitical uncertainties and weaker sector sentiment [4] - Other recommended stocks include Geely Automobile (175 HK) with a target price of HKD 23.00, XPeng Motors (XPEV US) with a target price of USD 28.00, and Anta Sports (2020 HK) with a target price of HKD 119.08, all rated as "Buy" [5]