Group 1 - China's September manufacturing PMI is expected to be 49.7%, slightly up from the previous value of 49.4%, while the non-manufacturing PMI is expected to be 50.5%, up from 50.3% [1] - A slight increase in both PMIs may support a rise in commodity futures and stock index futures prices, but could mildly suppress government bond futures prices [1] Group 2 - The USDA is set to release the quarterly grain inventory report, which will impact futures prices for corn, wheat, and soybeans [2] Group 3 - The US ISM manufacturing PMI for September is anticipated to be 49.2%, an increase from the previous 48.7% [3] - A slight rise in the ISM manufacturing PMI may support increases in prices for non-ferrous metals, crude oil, and related commodity futures, while potentially suppressing gold and silver futures prices [3] Group 4 - The EIA will announce the weekly crude oil inventory change, with the previous value showing a decrease of 607,000 barrels [4] - A continued decrease in crude oil inventory could support rising prices for crude oil and related commodity futures [4] Group 5 - The US Labor Department will report initial jobless claims, with expectations set at 215,000, down from the previous 218,000 [5] - A slight decrease in jobless claims may support increases in industrial commodity futures prices, except for gold and silver [5] Group 6 - The US non-farm payroll report for September is expected to show an increase of 39,000 jobs, up from 22,000 previously, with an unemployment rate forecasted to remain at 4.3% [6] - If the non-farm payrolls exceed expectations while the unemployment rate and average hourly wage growth remain stable, it may support increases in industrial commodity futures prices but suppress gold and silver futures prices [6] Group 7 - OPEC+ will hold a meeting regarding oil production policies, with expectations of an increase in production by 137,000 barrels per day and a potential lifting of a second batch of production cuts totaling 1.65 million barrels per day [7] - The outcomes of this meeting are anticipated to impact crude oil and related commodity futures prices [7]

Group 1 - The EIA reported a decrease in U.S. crude oil inventories by 3.169 million barrels for the week ending July 18, which was a larger decline than the expected decrease of 1.5 million barrels [1] - The previous week's inventory change was a decrease of 3.859 million barrels, indicating a significant shift in inventory levels [1]

Core Insights - The EIA reported a significant decrease in U.S. crude oil inventories for the week ending June 13, with a reduction of 11.473 million barrels, which was much larger than the expected decrease of 2.5 million barrels and the previous week's decline of 3.644 million barrels [1] Summary by Category - **Inventory Changes** - U.S. crude oil inventories fell by 11.473 million barrels [1] - The expected inventory change was a decrease of 2.5 million barrels [1] - The prior week's inventory change was a decrease of 3.644 million barrels [1]