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暴跌23%,日本铠侠暴雷带崩全行业,存储热潮要凉了吗?
Feng Huang Wang· 2025-11-14 03:49
Core Viewpoint - The disappointing financial results of Kioxia, a Japanese storage giant, have raised concerns across the storage industry, contrasting with the overall positive sentiment driven by the AI boom [2][5]. Group 1: Kioxia's Financial Performance - Kioxia reported a significant decline in adjusted net profit for Q2 FY2025, dropping over 60% year-on-year to 40.7 billion yen, falling short of the market analysts' expectation of 47.4 billion yen [2]. - The company's revenue for the same quarter decreased by 7% to 448.3 billion yen, while operating profit fell by 48% to 85.9 billion yen [2]. - Despite the recent stock price drop, Kioxia's stock has seen a remarkable increase of 477% year-to-date, even after the recent decline [3]. Group 2: Market Reaction - Kioxia's poor performance triggered a sell-off in the U.S. storage sector, with Seagate's stock dropping by 7.29%, Western Digital by 5.39%, and Micron Technology by 3.25% following the news [2]. - Kioxia's stock plummeted by 23% in the Japanese market after the earnings report was released [2]. Group 3: Industry Implications - The unexpected decline in Kioxia's profits raises questions about whether this is an isolated incident or indicative of broader challenges facing the storage industry [5]. - Analysts attribute Kioxia's disappointing results to a fixed-price agreement with Apple, which limited profit potential despite rising market prices for NAND chips [6]. - Changes in Kioxia's product mix, including a higher revenue share from lower-margin smartphone storage chips, have also negatively impacted profitability [7]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Kioxia has indicated that demand for its flash products remains strong and plans to adjust its product mix to improve profitability [8]. - The company anticipates record revenue and strong profit recovery in Q4 FY2025, driven by rising average selling prices and robust NAND flash demand fueled by AI [8]. - Micron, another major U.S. storage company, is set to release its latest financial results next month, which will serve as a key indicator for overall storage industry demand [9].
收购标的嘉合劲威业绩波动原因、持续盈利能力以及存货遭问询 时空科技回复
Core Viewpoint - The company, Shikong Technology, is responding to inquiries from the Shanghai Stock Exchange regarding its major asset acquisition plan, specifically addressing the performance fluctuations, sustainable profitability, and merger value of the target company, Jiahe Jingwei [1] Group 1: Acquisition Details - The transaction aims to acquire 100% equity of Jiahe Jingwei through a combination of share issuance and cash payment, intending to diversify into the storage industry to improve the company's weak main business performance [1] - Jiahe Jingwei specializes in the research, design, and sales of storage products such as memory modules and solid-state drives, showing significant performance volatility [1] Group 2: Financial Performance - In 2023, Jiahe Jingwei reported a net loss of 20.16 million yuan, but is projected to turn profitable in 2024 with a net profit of 42.26 million yuan, and continued profitability in the first eight months of 2025 with a net profit of 42.11 million yuan [1] - The performance fluctuations are attributed to the cyclical nature of the storage industry, which typically operates on a 3-4 year cycle, significantly influenced by supply and demand dynamics [1] Group 3: Market Conditions - The storage industry is currently at the bottom of its cycle in 2023, with low global market prices leading to reduced revenues and increased expense ratios for companies, including Jiahe Jingwei [1] - A recovery in demand, particularly driven by increased investments in infrastructure such as GPUs, is expected to boost the overall market and Jiahe Jingwei's revenue by 57.36% year-on-year in 2024 [1] Group 4: Inventory and Risk Management - Jiahe Jingwei has a large inventory scale, but the current high industry sentiment suggests a low risk of inventory impairment [2] - The company has emphasized that its business does not engage in high value-added areas, indicating a need for improved profitability, while being constrained by international trade conditions and supply chain concentration [2] - As the second-largest player in the global third-party memory module market, Jiahe Jingwei maintains stable supply chain partnerships and possesses strong core competitiveness through proprietary testing technologies [2]
铠侠暴雷,希捷暴跌,“最火”的美国存储股全线重挫
硬AI· 2025-11-14 02:12
Core Viewpoint - Kioxia Holdings reported a more than 60% year-on-year decline in adjusted net profit for Q2, leading to a significant drop in stock prices for U.S. peers in the storage sector, including Seagate, Western Digital, and Micron Technology [2][3][5]. Group 1: Financial Performance - Kioxia's net profit for the quarter was 41.7 billion yen (approximately $284 million), a substantial decrease compared to the same period last year [5]. - The company is facing dual pressures of declining revenue and rising costs, raising concerns about the overall health of the storage industry [5]. Group 2: Market Impact - The poor performance of Kioxia has triggered a sell-off in the storage sector, with Seagate's stock dropping by 7.29%, Western Digital by 5.39%, and Micron by 3.25% [2][4]. - Despite the declines, the overall market has not shown severe concern about the industry's outlook, as evidenced by the relatively small pullback compared to the significant gains these stocks have seen this year [9]. Group 3: Supply Chain Issues - Analysts suggest that Kioxia's disappointing results may stem from its fixed-price supply agreement with Apple for mobile NAND chips, which has prevented the company from benefiting from the surge in spot market prices [8][11]. - This pricing mechanism has made Kioxia an outlier in an otherwise booming market, where demand has been driven by investments in artificial intelligence and cloud computing [9][11]. Group 4: Industry Outlook - Western Digital and Seagate have recently reported earnings that exceeded market expectations, while Micron is set to release its Q4 results next month, which will provide further insights into the overall demand in the industry [12].
对近期重要经济金融新闻、行业事件、公司公告等进行点评:晨会纪要-20251114
Xiangcai Securities· 2025-11-14 01:30
Group 1 - The report highlights the launch of LPDDR5X by Changxin Storage, which is expected to enhance the domestic storage industry chain [2][3] - LPDDR5X offers significant improvements in capacity, speed, and power consumption, with a maximum speed of 10667Mbps, a 66% increase over the previous generation, and a 30% reduction in power consumption [2][3] - The product's innovative uPoP® packaging meets the demand for lighter and thinner mobile flagship phones, optimizing user experience and breaking performance bottlenecks [2][3] Group 2 - The report indicates that Changxin's LPDDR5X product launch is synchronized with international competitors, achieving leading speed levels and a thickness of only 0.58mm, positioning it among the thinnest in the industry [3] - The report expresses optimism about the potential for Changxin to gain a larger share in the global DRAM market, reflecting the technological advancements of domestic storage manufacturers [3] - Investment opportunities are identified in AI infrastructure, end-side SOC, foldable smartphone supply chains, and the storage industry chain, maintaining an "overweight" rating for the electronics sector [3]
X @外汇交易员
外汇交易员· 2025-11-14 01:13
中芯国际:当前存储器市场供不应求,价格涨幅非常大。从代工行业和存储行业来看,来年行业产能扩充的速度只会提高不会降低。存储升级利好制造环节,但对下游原始设备制造商不利。无论是在汽车、智能手机还是其他消费领域,使用存储器的原始设备制造商都将面临价格压力。 ...
实探华强北:“一天几个价”,内存条炒成“黑金条”
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-11-14 00:38
Core Viewpoint - The price of various storage products has significantly increased since April, with some products experiencing price hikes of up to three times, leading to concerns about the impact on the consumer electronics market and the sustainability of this price surge [1][2][3]. Price Trends - Storage product prices have generally doubled since April, with specific examples showing a 300% increase in prices, such as a 64GB LPDDR5 memory module rising from around 1000 yuan to 4200 yuan [3][4]. - The price of 16GB DDR4 memory modules has also more than doubled, increasing from under 200 yuan to over 400 yuan [4]. Market Dynamics - The current price surge is attributed to a supply-demand imbalance, primarily driven by increased demand from AI data centers and significant investments from major tech companies like Alibaba and Microsoft in AI infrastructure [8][9]. - The demand for high-end storage products, such as HBM and high-capacity DDR5 RDIMM memory, is outpacing supply, as major manufacturers prioritize these products over lower-margin offerings [9]. Impact on Consumer Electronics - The rising prices of storage components are affecting the prices of consumer electronics, leading to increased costs for assembling computers and smartphones, with some products seeing price increases of 200 yuan or more for assembly [11]. - Major smartphone brands, including Xiaomi and OPPO, have raised prices for new models due to increased storage costs, with specific examples showing price hikes of up to 600 yuan for certain configurations [11]. Opportunities for Domestic Manufacturers - The current shortage in the storage market presents a valuable opportunity for domestic manufacturers to capture market share as global competitors reduce their presence [12].
盘后暴跌近20%!存储大厂铠侠Q3营收盈利指引不及预期,净利润同比跌超60%,股价大跌!
美股IPO· 2025-11-14 00:37
营收4483亿日元,环比增长30.8% Non-GAAP营业利润872亿日元,利润率19.4%,环比提升6个百分点 连续第七个季度实现正自由现金流413亿日元 净负债权益比降至107% 铠侠2025财年第二财季营收环比增30.8%至4483亿日元,但同比下滑6.8%,净利润同比降62%,主因低毛利智能设备占比提升拖累。同时,第 三财季盈利指引亦低于预期,Non-GAAP营业利润指引为1000–1400亿日元,低于市场预期的1410亿日元及买方预期的1500亿日元以上。 受 业绩不达预期影响, 日股盘后大跌18cm ! 11月13日,苹果iPhone主要存储供应商铠侠公布2025财年第二财季的财报。财报显示,公司在AI需求推动下实现营收4483亿日元,环比增长 30.8%,但同比下滑6.8%。 盈利方面表现承压,当季净利润为407亿日元,同比下降超60%,主要受低利润的智能设备业务占比提升影响。 财报亮点数据如下: 公司给出的指引亦低于市场预期。 具体来看,公司预计2025财年第三财季营收为5000–5500亿日元,创历史新高,市场预期为5300亿日元; 但是Non-GAAP营业利润指引为1000–1400亿日 ...
实探华强北:内存条炒成“黑色金条” 有人待价而沽有人开始回笼资金
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-11-13 17:49
Core Viewpoint - The memory market is experiencing a significant price surge, with some products seeing price increases of up to three times since April 2023, driven by supply shortages and rising demand from AI infrastructure investments [1][2][4]. Price Surge Details - Prices for various memory products have doubled or tripled, with a 64GB LPDDR5 memory module increasing from around 1000 yuan to 4200 yuan [2]. - The price of 16GB DDR4 memory has risen from under 200 yuan to over 400 yuan as of November 13, 2023 [2]. - Many shop owners in Huaqiangbei have seen their paper wealth increase by millions within six months due to this price surge [2]. Market Dynamics - The price increase is attributed to a mismatch between supply and demand, primarily driven by the expansion of AI data centers [4][6]. - Major tech companies like Alibaba and Microsoft are significantly increasing their investments in AI infrastructure, further driving demand for high-capacity memory products [4][5]. - The demand for memory in AI servers is reported to be 3 to 8 times higher than that of regular servers, leading to tight supply for high-end storage products [4]. Supply Chain Adjustments - Major memory manufacturers such as SK Hynix, Samsung, and Micron are prioritizing high-margin products and reducing production of lower-margin items like DDR4 [6]. - The current price increase cycle is expected to last until supply and demand reach equilibrium, potentially extending for 1 to 2 years [6]. Impact on Consumer Electronics - The rising prices of memory products are affecting the costs of consumer electronics, leading to increased prices for assembled computers and smartphones [7]. - For instance, the price of the Redmi K90 series smartphones has increased significantly due to higher storage costs, with some models seeing price hikes of up to 600 yuan [7]. - Companies like Xiaomi have publicly acknowledged the impact of rising memory costs on their pricing strategies [7]. Opportunities for Domestic Manufacturers - The current shortage in the memory market presents a valuable opportunity for domestic manufacturers to capture market share as global supply chains face disruptions [8]. - The low domestic production rates of NAND and DRAM products indicate potential for growth as local firms enhance their technology and product offerings [8].
晚报 | 11月14日主题前瞻
Xuan Gu Bao· 2025-11-13 14:47
Group 1: 6G Technology - China has completed the first phase of 6G technology trials, forming over 300 key technology reserves [1] - The consensus on 6G standards is deepening, with expectations for a relatively quick determination of system architecture decisions [1] - The communication industry is anticipated to experience a period of technological iteration and policy dividends by 2025, with new growth drivers from AI, quantum communication, and low-altitude economy [1] Group 2: Memory Market - Memory chip prices for DDR5 16G, DDR4 16Gb, and DDR3 4Gb have increased by 0.66%, 0.18%, and 1.05% respectively as of November 13 [2] - The storage market is undergoing a significant price increase cycle driven by explosive growth in enterprise storage demand due to AI applications and structural supply tightness in traditional storage [2] - If AI demand remains strong and supply does not effectively expand, the tight supply-demand relationship in the storage market may persist into 2026 [2] Group 3: GPU Development - The China Securities Regulatory Commission has approved the IPO registration of Muxi Integrated Circuit Co., which plans to raise 3.904 billion yuan for high-performance GPU projects [3] - Muxi is focused on developing high-performance GPU chips and computing platforms to support national AI public computing platforms and commercial intelligent computing centers [3] - Domestic GPU leaders like Muxi and Moore Threads are expected to break the overseas computing power monopoly and accelerate development in the domestic computing chip sector [3] Group 4: Tencent and Apple Agreement - Tencent has reached an agreement with Apple, allowing Apple to handle payments and take a 15% cut from purchases made in WeChat mini-games and apps [4] - Tencent's Q3 report shows total revenue of 192.87 billion yuan, a 15% year-on-year increase, with net profit rising 19% to 63.13 billion yuan [4] - Tencent's investment in AI continues to grow, with R&D spending reaching a record high of 22.82 billion yuan in the latest quarter [4] Group 5: Magnetic Storage Technology - The China Electronics Standardization Association will hold a conference on data storage industry trends, focusing on magnetic storage technology's potential due to its speed, low power consumption, and non-volatility [5] - The global data storage market is valued at over 2.6 trillion yuan, with a focus on enhancing China's industry competitiveness in the digital economy [5] Group 6: Alibaba's AI Project - Alibaba has secretly launched the "Qianwen" project, aiming to create a personal AI assistant app to compete with ChatGPT [6] - This move signifies a shift in Alibaba's AI strategy from B-end services to targeting the C-end consumer market [6] - The Qianwen app is expected to become a new high-frequency entry point for Alibaba's ecosystem within one to two years [6] Group 7: Hong Kong's Ensemble Project - The Hong Kong Monetary Authority has launched the Ensemble project, marking a significant step in real transactions using tokenized deposits and digital assets [7] - Ensemble will operate continuously until 2026, enhancing the financial transaction efficiency and transparency through tokenization [7] - This project is expected to have a profound impact on the global financial landscape, particularly in the context of RMB internationalization and the restructuring of the global payment system [7]
AI需求推动,铠侠Q3营收环比增30.8%,净利润同比跌超60%,盈利指引不及预期|财报见闻
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-11-13 14:37
产品结构调整影响短期盈利表现 第二季度智能设备营收占比升至35%,环比增99%,主要受益于智能手机季节性需求和向第八代BiCS闪存技术转型。SSD及存储业务营收占比 55%,其中数据中心/企业级业务约占60%,PC及其他业务占40%。 智能设备业务的快速增长虽推动整体营收增长,但其相对较低的利润率拖累了公司整体盈利表现。部分超大规模云服务商客户要求从SSD产品转 向NAND芯片供应,进一步影响了产品结构和平均售价。 公司管理层预计,第四季度和第一季度产品结构将向SSD业务倾斜,届时盈利能力有望改善。公司将在服务器SSD与PC/智能手机业务之间保持平 衡配置。 11月13日,苹果iPhone主要存储供应商铠侠公布2025财年第二财季的财报。财报显示,公司在AI需求推动下实现营收4483亿日元,环比增长 30.8%,但同比下滑6.8%。盈利方面表现承压,当季净利润为407亿日元,同比下降超60%,主要受低利润的智能设备业务占比提升影响。 财报亮点数据如下: 公司给出的指引亦低于市场预期。具体来看,公司预计2025财年第三财季营收为5000–5500亿日元,创历史新高,市场预期为5300亿日元;但是 Non-GAA ...