远东研究·债市研究 2025 年 6 月 27 日 债市"科技板"发行首月运行情况显示，市场兴起迅猛。一是 发行市场规模激增，Wind 资讯统计显示，债市"科技板"上市首月 发行合计 3897.77 亿元，同比增长 308.63%。二是发行主体多样性 增强，金融机构发行科创债券成为重要亮点，股权投资机构、科技 型企业踊跃发行科创债券。三是从不同角度助力科技创新，通过支 持科技企业、银行和证券机构、股权投资机构等发行主体，发挥科 创债券直接、间接支持科技创新的作用。四是融资成本相对较低， 样本券发行平均利率为 1.95%，低于同期信用债（不含科创债） 2.25%的水平，与科创债发行主体整体上信用等级较高有关。五是 评级服务积极作为。评级公司纷纷推进科技型企业、股权投资企业 评级方法模型，但针对不少科创债主体评级，普遍采用发行人所属 行业（例如商业银行、金融投资公司、电子行业）评级模型。 展望未来，债券市场"科技板"发展前景广阔，可从政策、市 场等角度展望其前景。首先，债券市场制度管理日臻完善，需注重 市场准入门槛设置合理性、维护信息披露质效、建立良好的市场反 馈和调整机制等方面。其次，市场主体结构仍有多样化空间 ...

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】669号 市场情绪偏暖，商品多数上涨 ——中信期货晨报20250627 中信期货研究所 仲鼎 从业资格号F03107932 投资咨询号Z0021450 重要提示：本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务，其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用，不构成对任何人的投资建议。 我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户；市场有风险，投资需谨慎。 | 板块 | 品种 | 现代 | | | 日度涨跌幅周度涨跌幅月度涨跌幅季度涨跌幅今年涨跌幅 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 沪深300期货 | 3904.2 | -0.47% | 3.46% | 4.06% | 1 18% | -0.43% | | 股指 | 上证50期货 | 2711 | -0.43% | 2.874 | 3.104 | 1.69% | 1 234 | | | 中证500期货 | 5809.2 | -0.43% | 3.95% | 4.49% | -0 18% | 2044 | | | 中证1000期货 | 6097.8 | -0.3 ...

Core Viewpoint - The 2025 Energy Conservation Promotion Week emphasizes "energy conservation and efficiency improvement" as a key to green transformation across various sectors, with a focus on the petrochemical industry as a major energy consumer and carbon emitter [1] Group 1: Energy Consumption and Efficiency Goals - In 2024, China's primary energy consumption reached 5.96 billion tons of standard coal, with oil and natural gas import rates exceeding 70% and 40% respectively, highlighting energy security risks [2] - The State Council's "2024-2025 Energy Conservation and Carbon Reduction Action Plan" sets a target for over 30% of energy-efficient capacity in refining, ethylene, synthetic ammonia, and calcium carbide industries by the end of 2025, while controlling crude oil processing capacity to within 1 billion tons [2] - The National Development and Reform Commission's plan aims to achieve energy savings of approximately 2 million tons of standard coal and a reduction of 5 million tons of carbon dioxide emissions through energy conservation and carbon reduction transformations in the refining industry [2] Group 2: Local Government Initiatives - Gansu Province's 2022 plan mandates that by 2025, over 30% of petrochemical and chemical enterprises must meet energy efficiency standards, listing 11 key renovation projects [3] Group 3: Corporate Actions and Commitments - China National Petroleum Corporation signed a "Key Areas Energy Conservation and Carbon Reduction Commitment" during the Energy Conservation Promotion Week, showcasing the industry's commitment to green transformation [4] - Since the 14th Five-Year Plan, China National Petroleum has achieved energy savings of 3.51 million tons of standard coal and saved 40.5 million cubic meters of water, exceeding planned targets [4] - Qilu Petrochemical has implemented strict energy consumption assessment indicators and energy monitoring systems to enhance energy efficiency and reduce costs [4] Group 4: Employee Engagement in Energy Conservation - A mechanism for employee participation in energy conservation is being established in chemical enterprises, with initiatives like "suggestion savings jars" and the "three checks and three adjustments" operational method being promoted [5] Group 5: Digital and Innovative Solutions - The Shanghai Chemical Industry Park showcases an integrated wastewater treatment model that reduces carbon consumption to 1/40 of traditional methods, benefiting over 70% of enterprises [6] - The Kaos Smart Energy Dual Carbon Park solution demonstrates the potential of digital empowerment, achieving an average energy saving rate of over 30% across 18 industrial parks and 55 interconnected factories [7]

Group 1 - Major automotive companies are shifting their electrification strategies, with Audi and Mercedes-Benz announcing a more pragmatic approach to electric vehicle (EV) sales, focusing on a coexistence of fuel and electric vehicles [1] - The automotive industry's pivot towards a dual strategy necessitates the petrochemical industry to adapt to both fuel and electric vehicle developments, presenting new challenges [1] - Companies in the petrochemical sector are adjusting their strategies to align with automotive needs, particularly in the development of new materials and chemicals for electric vehicles [2] Group 2 - The petrochemical industry is responding to the automotive sector's demand for specialized materials, particularly in areas like battery systems and thermal management for electric vehicles [2] - The continuation of fuel vehicles requires the petrochemical industry to maintain its supply chain while also focusing on low-carbon innovations, such as improving engine efficiency and developing low-carbon fuels [2] - The petrochemical sector faces pressure to innovate and enhance its existing systems to support the automotive industry's low-carbon transformation efforts [2]

Core Insights - The 2025 (13th) Asian Refining and Chemical Technology Conference was held in Panjin, attracting over 1,200 attendees, the highest in history, focusing on the transformation direction of the petrochemical industry and the development path for Panjin's petrochemical sector [1] - Panjin's petrochemical industry is foundational to its economy, with the city winning a national-level green petrochemical industry cluster designation, being the only one themed around "petrochemicals" among 35 selected clusters in the 2024 advanced manufacturing cluster competition [1] - The conference emphasized the theme "Technology Leading Development, Innovation Building the Future," aligning with Panjin's goal to strengthen its petrochemical and fine chemical industries as a priority for modern industrial system construction [1] Industry Development - The conference gathered industry leaders, technical experts, and corporate representatives from various countries, sharing achievements in green and low-carbon technologies, and analyzing industry structural shortcomings and technological transformation directions [1] - Panjin aims to leverage the conference to enhance cooperation with domestic and international peers, establishing a long-term collaborative mechanism for "joint technology research, standard co-construction, and market sharing," creating an innovative ecosystem for technology demand, results docking, and industrial implementation [1] - The city is positioning itself as a "best test field" for the green transformation and low-carbon development of the petrochemical industry [1] Project Initiatives - In line with the "Project Tackling Year," Panjin engaged with participating companies for project recruitment, with the Huajin Amoco fine chemical and raw material engineering project expected to complete mechanical construction within the year [2] - Panjin has planned a 3.57 square kilometer downstream fine chemical industrial park to extend the downstream industrial chain, promoting a healthy industrial ecosystem [2] - As of now, Panjin has connected with 125 target enterprises, negotiated 98 projects, and reached cooperation intentions for 15 projects, effectively advancing several key projects including the Weishi New Materials Fund project [2]

证券研究报 告 【策略专题】 分红能力盘点：周期&公用篇 ——自由现金流资产系列 12 工业金属：25Q1 现金流比例 33%，具备较大股东回报提升空间 石化：25Q1 现金流比例 26%，盈利周期熨平、现金流稳定 港口： 25Q1 现金流比例 33%，市场或已充分认知其稳定现金创造能力 2）行业逻辑演变带来现金流改善：航运受益于近年来地缘事件频繁、运价 大波动的时代背景，农业则正发生开支周期转向平稳阶段的积极变化： 航运：25Q1 现金流比例 41%，地缘事件频繁、运价大波动时代 农业：25Q1 现金流比例 34%，开支周期进入平稳阶段 3）景气周期承压：虽然资本开支力度下降，但 EPS 压力较大，包括煤炭、 钢铁、建材、航空机场、地产： 煤炭：25Q1 现金流比例 25%，煤价下跌与开支高位持续矛盾 钢铁：25Q1 现金流比例 42%，去库影响显著 建材：25Q1 现金流比例 28%，股东回报提升空间有限 航空机场：25Q1 现金流比例 64%，盈利规模与疫情前接近 地产：25Q1 现金流阶段性修复，去库补充现金流 4）仍处高资本开支阶段：资本开支力度均在 2 以上，行业逻辑仍以扩张为 主，包括贵金属、能 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Ministry of Ecology and Environment of China is advancing the establishment of a product carbon footprint management system, focusing on key sectors such as coal, electricity, oil, gas, steel, cement, petrochemicals, and transportation, aiming to enhance the carbon footprint accounting standards and factor research [1][6]. Group 1: Carbon Footprint Management System - The carbon footprint of a product encompasses the total carbon emissions generated throughout its entire lifecycle, from raw material acquisition to disposal, serving as a crucial indicator of a company's and product's green and low-carbon level [2][5]. - As of 2024, over 70 national standards for carbon footprint accounting are in development, alongside more than 100 group standards for specific sectors, addressing the urgent need for carbon footprint accounting in various industries [1][2]. Group 2: Government and Industry Initiatives - The government is integrating carbon footprint requirements into procurement standards, promoting green procurement practices that emphasize environmental protection and resource conservation [2][3]. - Major e-commerce platforms are encouraged to display product carbon footprint information, with initiatives like Alibaba's "88 Carbon Account" and JD's "Green Plan" aimed at promoting low-carbon consumption [3][5]. Group 3: Financial Innovations - Financial institutions are innovating in carbon footprint management, with products like "Carbon Number Loan" aimed at supporting small and micro enterprises in green transformation by linking loan rates to carbon footprint levels [5][6]. - In 2024, significant loans were issued based on carbon footprint metrics, including a 20 million yuan loan for a car rental company and a 29 million yuan loan for a cable manufacturing enterprise, demonstrating the financial sector's role in incentivizing low-carbon practices [5][6]. Group 4: Future Directions - The Ministry of Ecology and Environment plans to enhance the carbon footprint accounting standards and factor research, focusing on key sectors and aiming for international recognition of domestic standards [6][7]. - There is an emphasis on local and industry enterprises to innovate in carbon footprint management and certification, with a goal to establish a comprehensive carbon footprint management system [6][7].

济南市生态环境局党组成员、副局长刘培启25日表示，该市作为全国首批、山东省唯一一个碳监测评估 试点城市，重点围绕温室气体监测网络建设、温室气体排放清单编制、碳排放同化反演等工作持续开展 探索研究。济南通过卫星遥感、无人机、地基遥感、激光雷达等监测方式，初步掌握了温室气体浓度时 空变化趋势，明确了温室气体排放源构成及种类构成，初步识别了温室气体排放重点行业和重点区域， 为城市"双碳"工作提供重要依据。 资讯编辑：祝蓉 021-66896654 资讯监督：乐卫扬 021-26093827 资讯投诉：陈跃进 021-26093100 赵波称，济南还大力发展循环经济，为城市可持续发展注入新动能。该市深入推进大规模设备更新和消 费品以旧换新，争取超长期特别国债资金支持，推动高质量耐用消费品更多进入居民生活。同时，该市 畅通资源循环利用链条，制定《济南市加快构建废弃物循环利用体系实施方案》，推进废弃物精细管 理、有效回收、高效利用。推进园区绿色循环发展，推动省级以上园区实施循环化改造，持续提升园区 综合竞争力和可持续发展能力。 "我们将地热作为重点勘查开采矿种纳入矿产资源总体规划，完成商河县19宗地热采矿权的出让登记工 ...

中化集团炼厂 盛虹石化厂区。 记者 费天元 摄 □ 业内人士认为，纯苯期货和期权的上市，不仅是企业规避价格风险的"刚需工具"，更是产业从"粗放 博弈"向"精细化管理"转型的关键节点 □ 对企业而言，纯苯期货和期权的核心价值在于锁定利润、增强抗风险能力；对产业而言，则通过价格 发现、模式创新，推动中国整个化工链条向高效化、标准化、绿色化演进，最终在全球化工产业链中构 建更具韧性的"中国定价体系" ◎记者 费天元 苯是有机化工的基本原料之一，在常温下是无色透明、带有特殊香味的液体，其终端应用涵盖了人们的 衣食住行，包括建筑材料、包装材料、汽车零部件、纺织、鞋材、家电、医药及医疗器材等行业。 我国是世界最大的纯苯生产国、消费国及进口国，2024年纯苯产量2513万吨，表观消费量2926万吨，市 场规模2086亿元。其中，纯苯进口量超400万吨，对填补国内缺口有着重要作用。但在外贸中，纯苯定 价主要参考FOB Korea （Free on Board Korea，韩国离岸价格）等外盘价格，中国企业的话语权相对薄 弱。 "期待纯苯期货市场形成多层次参与者结构，为实体企业打造风险'减震器'与效益'稳定锚'。"龙梦德 说。 ...

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.04% on June 25, with 28 out of 31 sectors experiencing gains, led by non-bank financials and defense industries, which increased by 4.46% and 3.36% respectively [1] - The oil and petrochemical sector saw a decline of 0.57%, with a net outflow of 374 million yuan in capital [1] Oil and Petrochemical Sector Analysis - Within the oil and petrochemical sector, there are 48 stocks, with 19 rising and 28 falling, including 2 hitting the daily limit down [1] - The top three stocks with the highest net capital outflow are China Petroleum (-69.17 million yuan), Maohua Shihua (-63.72 million yuan), and Beiken Energy (-52.66 million yuan) [1] - The stocks with the highest net capital inflow include Intercontinental Oil and Gas (40.94 million yuan), Shanghai Petrochemical (18.95 million yuan), and PetroChina Oilfield Services (17.70 million yuan) [1] Capital Flow Summary - The following table summarizes the capital flow and performance of key stocks in the oil and petrochemical sector: | Code | Name | Price Change (%) | Turnover Rate (%) | Main Capital Flow (10,000 yuan) | |--------|--------------------|------------------|-------------------|----------------------------------| | 601857 | China Petroleum | -0.23 | 0.09 | -691.67 | | 000637 | Maohua Shihua | -9.96 | 16.35 | -637.17 | | 002828 | Beiken Energy | -9.69 | 41.32 | -526.63 | | 603619 | Zhongman Petroleum | -6.41 | 14.21 | -490.73 | | 000554 | Taishan Petroleum | -7.47 | 24.85 | -450.74 | | 600938 | China Offshore Oil | 0.31 | 1.14 | -421.91 | | 600256 | Guanghui Energy | 0.17 | 0.86 | -374.03 | | 300191 | Qianeng Hengxin | -0.96 | 8.45 | -296.05 | | 601808 | CNOOC Services | -0.22 | 0.53 | -248.34 | | 000096 | Guangju Energy | -0.53 | 2.69 | -192.31 | | 600506 | Unification Shares | -0.25 | 8.99 | -147.43 | | 000059 | Huajin Shares | 0.38 | 1.68 | -120.16 | | 300135 | Baoli International | -0.98 | 4.17 | -92.08 | | 002207 | Zhun Oil Shares | -9.98 | 1.96 | -83.15 | | 300055 | Wanbangda | -0.35 | 3.36 | -81.01 | | 600968 | CNOOC Development | 2.17 | 0.52 | -72.78 | | 002629 | Renzhi Shares | 0.35 | 5.55 | -63.25 | | 601233 | Tongkun Shares | 0.56 | 0.76 | -56.85 | | 600346 | Hengli Petrochemical | -0.21 | 0.18 | -56.52 | | 000301 | Dongfang Shenghong | 0.60 | 0.25 | -52.87 | | 000698 | Shenyang Chemical | -2.07 | 4.10 | -49.12 | | 300164 | Tongyuan Petroleum | -6.46 | 37.16 | -43.97 | | 603727 | Bomaike | -0.54 | 1.40 | -34.13 | | 002986 | Yuxin Shares | -0.69 | 2.27 | -21.43 | | 603353 | Heshun Petroleum | -3.11 | 7.16 | -18.35 | | 000985 | Daqing Huake | -0.22 | 3.86 | -16.92 | | 600339 | Zhongyou Engineering | 0.30 | 1.32 | -1.37 | | 000968 | Lanyan Holdings | -2.43 | 5.83 | 0.31 | | 600387 | Delisted Haiyue | -1.14 | 2.37 | 3.77 | | 603223 | Hengtong Shares | 2.91 | 2.00 | 5.31 | | 000819 | Yueyang Xingchang | -1.86 | 1.93 | 5.81 | [1][2]