Summary of Food Safety Supervision and Inspection in Quanzhou City Core Viewpoint The Quanzhou Market Supervision Administration announced the results of food safety supervision and inspection for 2025, indicating that all 198 batches of food tested were compliant with safety standards, with no batches failing the inspection. Group 1: Inspection Overview - The inspection covered 17 categories of food products, totaling 198 batches, including items such as biscuits, tea, condiments, and meat products [3][4][5]. - All 198 batches were found to be compliant, resulting in a 0% failure rate [3][4]. Group 2: Categories of Food Inspected - The inspected food categories included: - Biscuits - Tea and related products - Condiments - Bean products - Convenience foods - Pastries - Canned foods - Alcoholic beverages - Grain processing products - Meat products - Dairy products - Edible oils (including fats and related products) - Vegetable products - Aquatic products - Frozen foods - Candy products - Beverages [3][4][5]. Group 3: Specific Products and Companies - Specific products inspected included various types of meatballs, fish balls, tofu, and frozen foods from local companies such as: - An Gong Kou Huan Chao (Fujian) Food Co., Ltd. - Jinjiang Shenhuh Town Yuguo Fish Ball Shop - Huian Zhenggang Brothers Food Factory [3][4][5][6]. - The inspection results were part of the routine monitoring by the Quanzhou Market Supervision Administration to ensure food safety compliance in the region [3][4].

Core Viewpoint - The industry has experienced high prosperity from 2019 to 2022, but since 2023, the downturn in market conditions has led to declining performance and pessimistic expectations, resulting in a gradual decline in valuations, with the current PE around 20 times. However, the long-term development logic of the industry remains solid, and leading companies are actively adjusting to seek incremental growth, which could lead to a rebound if performance exceeds expectations [1][2]. Group 1: Industry Performance - The restaurant industry's revenue growth is significantly slowing to low single digits from 2019 to 2024, leading to noticeable pressure on the demand side for the frozen food industry. This has resulted in a decline in the performance of listed companies in the sector over the past two years, with no clear turning point in sight. Market expectations regarding the long-term development space and growth ceiling of leading companies are pessimistic [2]. - The industry is facing a mismatch between supply and demand, exacerbated by increased competition due to prior optimistic expansion. The combination of weak demand and increased supply has led to intensified competition, with mainstream manufacturers prioritizing market share over profit, resulting in increased promotional discounts and higher expenditure, which has decreased the capital return rate in the sector [3]. Group 2: Strategic Adjustments - Some companies within the sector are actively seeking solutions to break the current impasse by expanding product categories, launching new products, and exploring emerging channels for growth. For instance, Anjuke Foods, as a leading player in the frozen food sector, has shown strong operational resilience and plans to emphasize product-driven growth by increasing new product launches and focusing on the consumer end to enhance profit margins by 2025 [4]. - Qianwei Central Kitchen, which has a higher proportion of restaurant business, faces greater short-term performance pressure but has been increasing its R&D and sales personnel in recent years. The company is also enhancing its channel capabilities in both large and small B-end markets while embracing new retail channels and expanding into dish and baking categories to seek incremental growth [4].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating to several companies in the essential consumer goods sector, including Haidilao, Youran Dairy, Jiumaojiu, Modern Farming, Dasheng Holdings, Yihai International, Aoyou, and China Feihe, while Budweiser APAC is rated as "Neutral" [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights a general decline in spot cost indices for six categories of consumer goods, while futures indices primarily increased [38]. - The spot cost indices for dairy products, soft drinks, frozen foods, beer, instant noodles, and condiments changed by -2.92%, -2.46%, -1.88%, -1.78%, -1.58%, and -1.29%, respectively, while the futures cost indices changed by -1.52%/+1.64%/-1.77%/+3.57%/+0.84%/+2.89% [38]. Summary by Category Beer - The spot cost index decreased by 1.78% month-on-month, while the futures index increased by 3.57% [39]. - Year-to-date, the spot and futures indices have changed by -4.54% and -5.08%, respectively [39]. Seasonings - The spot cost index decreased by 1.29% month-on-month, while the futures index increased by 2.89% [40]. - Year-to-date, the spot and futures indices have changed by -1.7% and -3.2%, respectively [40]. Dairy Products - The spot cost index decreased by 2.92% month-on-month, and the futures index decreased by 1.52% [41]. - Year-to-date, the spot and futures indices have changed by -3.87% and -1.08%, respectively [41]. Instant Noodles - The spot cost index decreased by 1.58% month-on-month, while the futures index increased by 0.84% [42]. - Year-to-date, the spot and futures indices have changed by -4.43% and -3.07%, respectively [42]. Frozen Foods - The spot cost index decreased by 1.88% month-on-month, and the futures index decreased by 1.77% [43]. - Year-to-date, the spot and futures indices have changed by -2.95% and -3.6%, respectively [43]. Soft Drinks - The spot cost index decreased by 2.46% month-on-month, while the futures index increased by 1.64% [44]. - Year-to-date, the spot and futures indices have changed by -5.91% and -5%, respectively [44].

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [4]. Core Views - The company has a solid foundation in the instant noodle market, with a strong position in the high-end segment, and is leveraging overseas expansion for new growth [1][2]. - The company is experiencing a recovery in revenue and profit, driven by continuous product innovation and effective marketing strategies [2][3]. - The financial outlook is positive, with expected earnings per share (EPS) growth from 0.27 to 0.34 HKD from 2025 to 2027, indicating a resilient business model [3]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company has been a pioneer in the instant noodle industry since its establishment in 1984, defining global standards and leading the high-quality instant meal trend [1][17]. - It has a concentrated ownership structure, with the majority shareholder holding 72.05% of the shares, ensuring efficient strategic decision-making [24]. Financial Performance - The company’s revenue is projected to be 38.12 billion HKD in 2024, with a net profit of 2.07 billion HKD, reflecting stable profitability [1][3]. - The gross margin is expected to increase to 34.42% in 2024, with a recent recovery in the net profit margin to 10.45% [1][3]. - The company has maintained a stable expense ratio, indicating efficient operational management [2][30]. Industry Analysis - The instant noodle market in China has seen a slowdown in growth, with the market size reaching approximately 1240.14 billion HKD in 2024, but still presents opportunities for innovation and high-end transformation [2][46]. - The frozen food sector is entering a high-growth phase, with the market size expected to reach 2130.9 billion HKD by 2025, driven by evolving consumer preferences and improved logistics [2][46]. Investment Highlights - The core instant noodle business remains robust, while other food segments provide additional growth momentum [2][4]. - The company is effectively controlling costs and maintaining a strong cash flow, supporting consistent dividend payouts [2][3]. - The company is strategically exiting underperforming markets and focusing on Southeast Asia and Australia for expansion [21][24].

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - **Food and Beverage Sector**: The overall situation in the food and beverage sector is currently at a historical low in institutional holdings, with the food and beverage index declining for four consecutive years since 2021. The fundamentals and expectations are also at low levels, making it a potential time for bottom-fishing opportunities [2][3][4]. Key Insights and Arguments - **Snack Sector**: The snack sector is expected to rebound as new products are launched and the third quarter enters a peak sales season. Short-term data is anticipated to improve, with a significant verification point in Q1 2026 during the Chinese New Year, which is expected to show impressive growth due to a low base [1][3]. - **Konjac Products**: The konjac category continues to grow, with companies like Wei Long and Yan Jin adjusting their SKUs and channels, leading to short-term performance pressure. Yan Jin is expected to maintain a growth rate of 20-25% in the second half of the year [1][4]. - **Wan Chen Company**: The resignation of the chairman and the appointment of new management is seen as a positive development. The company is expected to open 1,000 to 2,000 new stores in the first half of the year, with a projected net profit of around 250 million RMB [1][5]. - **Frozen Food Sector**: The frozen food sector is under pressure, with Anji experiencing single-digit revenue growth and profit decline due to various factors including a ban on alcohol and price fluctuations. The company aims for close to 10% revenue growth in the second half of the year [1][7]. Additional Important Content - **Diverse Performance Among Snack Companies**: Companies like Yan Jin and Wei Long are performing well, while others like Gan Yuan are facing challenges due to channel changes. Gan Yuan's revenue is expected to remain flat or slightly decline, and the company is focusing on new product promotions [1][6]. - **Beer and Seasoning Sectors**: The beer sector faced challenges in Q2 due to external factors and a ban on alcohol, but cost reductions have helped maintain overall industry profits. Recommended companies include Yanjing, Zhujiang, and China Resources [2][9]. - **Dairy Sector**: The dairy sector is experiencing a high level of activity, driven by travel and hot weather. Companies like Yili and Mengniu are expected to show improved performance, with Yili's liquid milk revenue expected to remain stable [2][20]. - **Market Dynamics**: The market for soft drinks and dairy products is competitive, with companies like Nongfu Spring recovering from a low base and showing significant growth. The decline in PET prices is beneficial for profit margins [2][16][17]. Conclusion The food and beverage sector is currently navigating through a challenging environment, with varying performances across different categories. Opportunities for investment exist, particularly in the snack and dairy sectors, while caution is advised in the frozen food and beer sectors due to ongoing pressures.

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform the Market" rating for the food and beverage sector [5][6][79]. Core Views - The second quarter saw a decrease in the allocation ratio for the liquor sector, reflecting weak fundamental expectations. The white liquor index rose by 1.0%, but the allocation ratio for actively managed equity funds fell by 2.07 percentage points to 4.50% [2][14]. - The beverage sector is entering a peak season, with strong performance expected from leading companies in basic condiments. The report recommends focusing on companies that are accelerating nationalization and platformization, such as Dongpeng Beverage [3][20]. Summary by Sections 1. Liquor Sector - The allocation ratio for the liquor sector has decreased, indicating weak expectations for fundamentals. The white liquor price index remained stable at 100.00, with a slight increase in the index [2][12]. - Major liquor companies are focusing on market health, with strategies aimed at destocking and promoting sales in the short term, while emphasizing consumer engagement and internationalization in the long term [2][14]. - Recommended stocks include leading companies with proven risk resilience like Kweichow Moutai, Shanxi Fenjiu, and Wuliangye, as well as those with improving digital strategies like Luzhou Laojiao [2][14]. 2. Consumer Goods - The beer sector is entering a peak season, with a slight decrease in fund allocation ratios. Yanjing Beer is prioritized for recommendation due to ongoing internal reforms [3][15]. - The snack sector has seen an increase in fund allocation, with a focus on companies like Salted Fish and Wanchen Group. The report highlights the importance of product differentiation and channel penetration [3][16]. - In the condiment sector, leading companies are expected to perform steadily, with a focus on the upcoming mid-year performance reports. Recommended stocks include Haitian Flavoring and Yihai International [3][17]. 3. Frozen Foods and Dairy - The frozen food sector is stable, with companies actively developing new products to cater to both B-end and C-end markets. Recommendations include stable operators like Anjijia and Qianwei Central Kitchen [3][18]. - The dairy sector is expected to recover gradually, with potential policy catalysts and improved supply-demand dynamics anticipated in 2025. The report recommends focusing on leading dairy companies with a safety margin in valuations [3][19]. 4. Beverage Sector - The beverage industry is expected to maintain its growth momentum, particularly in the no-sugar tea and energy drink segments. Dongpeng Beverage is highlighted for its strong performance, with a reported revenue increase of 36% year-on-year [3][20].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the food and beverage sector is "Outperform the Market" [5][6][78]. Core Views - The report indicates a decrease in the allocation ratio for the liquor sector, reflecting weak fundamental expectations. The second quarter performance is expected to show demand pressure, with companies focusing on market health and inventory reduction [2][12][14]. - The beer and beverage sectors are entering a peak season, with stable performance from leading companies in basic condiments. The report recommends companies that are accelerating nationalization and platformization, such as Dongpeng Beverage [3][15][20]. - The report highlights three investment lines in the liquor sector: leading companies with strong risk resistance, companies showing digital transformation feedback, and those with market share growth potential [2][14]. Summary by Sections Liquor Sector - The liquor sector's allocation ratio has decreased, with the white liquor index rising by 1.0%. The allocation ratio for actively managed equity funds fell by 2.07 percentage points to 4.50% [2][14]. - Key recommendations include Guizhou Moutai, Shanxi Fenjiu, and Wuliangye, which have shown strong dividend yields and growth potential [2][14]. Consumer Goods - The beer sector is experiencing a slight decrease in fund allocation, with Yanjing Beer seeing an increase in its fund holding ratio. The report recommends Yanjing Beer due to its ongoing internal reforms [3][15]. - The snack sector has seen a significant increase in fund allocation, particularly for Salted Fish and Wancheng Group. The report recommends products with high growth potential, such as those from Weilong and Salted Fish [3][16]. - In the condiment sector, leading companies like Haitian Flavoring are expected to perform steadily, with a focus on mid-year performance [3][17]. Frozen Foods and Dairy - The frozen food sector is stable, with companies actively developing new products to adapt to market demands. Recommendations include Anjui Foods and Qianwei Central Kitchen [3][18]. - The dairy sector is expected to recover gradually, with policies stimulating demand. The report suggests focusing on leading dairy companies with a safety margin in valuations [3][19]. Beverage Sector - The beverage sector is entering a peak season, with significant growth in no-sugar tea and energy drinks. Dongpeng Beverage is highlighted for its strong performance, with a reported revenue increase of 36% year-on-year [3][20].

Core Viewpoint - The frozen food industry is facing significant challenges in 2024, with Sanquan Foods experiencing a decline in both revenue and net profit for the second consecutive year, marking a notable downturn since its IPO in 2008 [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2024, Sanquan Foods' revenue decreased by 6% to 6.632 billion yuan, while net profit fell by 27.64% to 542 million yuan [1] - The company reported its worst first-quarter performance since 2021, continuing the trend of declining earnings [1] - The revenue from frozen staple foods, which has historically contributed over 80% to the company's income, has shown significant volatility from 2020 to 2024 [2][4] Group 2: Market Dynamics - The decline in revenue for frozen staple foods is attributed to weak consumer demand, a decline in supermarket channels, and intensified industry competition [1] - The sales volume of frozen staple foods saw a slight increase, but revenue fell nearly 4% year-on-year, indicating a strategy of price reduction to maintain market share [1] - The core products "tangyuan, dumplings, and zongzi" experienced revenue fluctuations, with declines of -8.07%, 3.92%, -15.74%, and -5.84% from 2021 to 2024 [4] Group 3: Product and Channel Strategy - Despite a 2.04% increase in sales volume for frozen staple foods, revenue decreased by 3.95%, highlighting a "volume increase but weak profit" scenario [5] - The company is attempting to diversify its product offerings and has launched new series of dumplings and tangyuan in 2024 [9] - Sanquan Foods is also focusing on e-commerce, which saw a revenue increase of 58.5% in 2024, although it still represents less than 6% of total revenue [5][9] Group 4: International Expansion - In response to domestic market pressures, Sanquan Foods plans to invest in a production base in Australia and expand into markets in Australia, New Zealand, and Southeast Asia [11] - The planned investment for the overseas production base is approximately 2.8 billion Australian dollars (about 1.32 billion yuan), which poses challenges related to consumer preferences, supply chain integration, and regulatory compliance [11]

Core Viewpoint - Company has completed the acquisition of 70% equity in Jiangsu Dingweitai Food Co., Ltd. and 100% equity in Dingyifeng Food (Taicang) Co., Ltd. to enhance product and channel structure while maintaining stable development of its main business [1][2] Group 1: Acquisition Details - The total payment for the acquisition was 444.5 million yuan for Dingweitai and 50.24 million yuan for Dingyifeng, with all necessary registration procedures completed [1] - The acquisitions do not require approval from the board of directors or shareholders, and do not constitute a related party transaction or a major asset restructuring as per relevant regulations [1] Group 2: Financial Impact and Strategic Integration - Following the acquisition, Dingweitai and Dingyifeng will be included in the consolidated financial statements, with no significant impact expected on the company's performance for the current year [2] - The integration focuses on category and channel complementarity, leveraging Dingweitai's strengths in high-end cod fish products and frozen baking, as well as its established partnerships with premium supermarkets and convenience stores [2] - The operational models of both companies differ, allowing for mutual learning in channel promotion and operational experience, positively influencing the overall strategic layout of the company [2] Group 3: Business Development - The company’s subsidiary, Honghu Anjixin Food Co., Ltd., has expanded its business scope to include various activities such as primary agricultural product acquisition, food import and export, and low-temperature storage [2]

Core Viewpoint - Sanquan Foods, as a leading enterprise in the domestic frozen food industry, has significant growth potential due to its strong historical foundation, robust R&D capabilities, and diversified channel layout [1] Group 1: Industry Overview - The frozen food market in China reached a scale of 168.9 billion yuan in 2022 and is expected to grow to 198.6 billion yuan by 2024 [1] - The market for frozen rice and noodle products, the largest category in the industry, is projected to be approximately 81.6 billion yuan in 2023, with Sanquan Foods, Si Nian, and Wan Zai Ma Tou forming a competitive triad [1] - The pre-prepared dish market is experiencing explosive growth, driven by the pandemic and the standardization of the restaurant industry, becoming a new growth driver for the sector [1] Group 2: Company Strategy - Sanquan Foods employs a dual-brand strategy with "Sanquan" and "Longfeng," focusing on the traditional frozen rice and noodle business while accelerating the layout of frozen cooked meat products as a second growth curve [2] - The company is enhancing its product matrix to meet diverse consumer needs through a strategy of large single products and scenario-based extensions in its traditional frozen rice and noodle business [2] - The company is also expanding its product offerings in frozen prepared foods, aligning with trends in the restaurant industry towards standardization and convenience [2] Group 3: Operational Excellence - Sanquan Foods operates a refined full-chain strategy for both B2B and B2C segments, combining distributor and direct sales models in retail, and offering customized services to bind large clients in the restaurant channel [3] - The company is actively expanding into e-commerce and new retail channels, enhancing market penetration and brand influence through collaborations with leading influencers and community group buying [3] - Continuous investment in R&D has led to the successful development of microwave and air fryer product lines, catering to consumer demands for convenience and health [3] Group 4: Financial Performance and Forecast - The company maintains a stable revenue structure with collaborative growth in frozen rice and noodle products and frozen prepared foods, despite intense market competition [3] - Revenue projections for Sanquan Foods are estimated at 6.874 billion yuan, 7.204 billion yuan, and 7.625 billion yuan for the years 2025-2027, with net profits of 558 million yuan, 601 million yuan, and 649 million yuan respectively [4] - The company’s price-to-earnings ratios are forecasted to be 17.88, 16.59, and 15.38 for the same period, indicating a valuation below the average of comparable companies [4]