Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for Yadea Holdings [3][5]. Core Views - The industry is expected to experience a resurgence in demand driven by the "old-for-new" policy and the implementation of new national standards, with projected sales of 56 million and 61.75 million units in 2025 and 2026 respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth of 12% and 10% [1][40]. - Yadea and Aima dominate the market, with a combined market share of approximately 47% in 2024, indicating strong competitive advantages in pricing and distribution channels [2][42]. - The company is anticipated to recover its sales and profitability rapidly following a period of aggressive expansion and subsequent adjustments in 2024, aided by the launch of new products and the easing of channel pressures [3][19]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The electric two-wheeler industry is poised for growth due to favorable policies and changing consumer demands, with the new national standards set to enhance safety and performance requirements [10][34]. - The "old-for-new" policy has shown significant results, with over 334,100 units exchanged by April 2025, indicating strong consumer interest and government support [38][40]. Company Analysis - Yadea Holdings has a robust product lineup, including the Classic, Modern, and Crown series, catering to various market segments with a focus on quality and innovation [21][19]. - The company has experienced fluctuations in revenue, with a projected revenue of 38.34 billion RMB in 2025, rebounding from a decline in 2024 [4][19]. - Profitability is expected to improve significantly, with net profit forecasts of 2.93 billion, 3.55 billion, and 4.11 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting a recovery from previous lows [4][3]. Financial Projections - The report outlines financial forecasts with a projected revenue growth rate of 35.8% in 2025, followed by more moderate growth in subsequent years [4][19]. - The company's earnings per share (EPS) is expected to rise from 0.94 RMB in 2025 to 1.32 RMB in 2027, indicating a positive outlook for shareholder returns [4][3].

Group 1 - The event focuses on new technologies and expanding new markets in the electric two-wheeler and battery sectors [4][5] - The conference will feature the release of the "2025 China Two-Wheeler Battery and Swap Industry White Paper," which includes rankings of top manufacturers and operators in the industry [4] - The global two-wheeler battery swap market is experiencing rapid growth driven by policy support, demand for instant delivery, and technological upgrades [4][6] Group 2 - The event will include discussions on high-safety, high-rate, high-energy density, long-cycle life, and low-cost battery products [4] - Emerging applications such as low-altitude flight, mobile electric tools, humanoid robots, and smart homes are driving the growth of lightweight power and small-scale energy storage markets [4][8] - AI technology is accelerating the development of new battery technologies such as sodium batteries and full-tab cylindrical batteries for two-wheeler applications [4] Group 3 - The agenda includes specialized forums on electric two-wheeler technology, battery technology, and battery swap technology [6][8] - Key topics will cover trends in lithium battery development, challenges in battery safety, and the impact of new national standards on battery technology [8] - The event will host over 500 participants, including electric two-wheeler manufacturers, battery companies, and equipment suppliers [7][9]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to Luyuan Group Holdings (2451.HK) with a target price of HKD 13.41, indicating a potential upside of 61.2% from the current price of HKD 7.99 [2][4]. Core Insights - Luyuan Group is a pioneer in the electric two-wheeler industry, focusing on technological innovation and industry transformation since its establishment in 1997. The company has introduced significant technologies such as liquid-cooled motors and digital battery systems, enhancing product durability and range [4][7]. - The transition to new national standards is expected to stimulate demand for electric two-wheelers, with a projected recovery in sales starting in 2025 due to government incentives for trade-ins [4][25]. - The company is strategically repositioning itself as a leader in "all-scenario light mobility solutions," aiming to transform from a traditional manufacturer to a mobility service provider, with a focus on high-end markets and an integrated service ecosystem [4][12]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for Luyuan Group are as follows: - 2024: CNY 50.72 billion (YoY -0.22%) - 2025: CNY 60.2 billion (YoY +18.69%) - 2026: CNY 73.2 billion (YoY +21.59%) - 2027: CNY 88.5 billion (YoY +20.90%) - Net profit forecasts are: - 2024: CNY 1.16 billion (YoY -20.29%) - 2025: CNY 1.75 billion (YoY +50.86%) - 2026: CNY 3.23 billion (YoY +84.57%) - 2027: CNY 4.58 billion (YoY +41.80%) - The report indicates a significant improvement in earnings per share (EPS) from CNY 0.29 in 2024 to CNY 1.07 in 2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios decreasing from 25.72 to 6.68 over the same period [3][4][19]. Industry Overview - The electric two-wheeler market in China is projected to experience a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.32% from 2019 to 2024, despite a decline in 2024 due to weak consumer demand and industry adjustments [4][25]. - The market is characterized by a shift from price competition to quality competition, with leading brands focusing on technological advancements and differentiated offerings to enhance product value [31][34]. - The introduction of new national standards in 2024 is expected to further elevate product quality and safety, driving the industry towards higher standards and compliance [40][41]. Technological Advancements - Luyuan Group has developed core technologies such as liquid-cooled motors and digital battery systems, which significantly improve product performance and longevity, addressing key industry challenges [47][48]. - The company is also enhancing its smart technology offerings, integrating features like real-time monitoring and AI-driven maintenance to improve user experience and safety [51][52]. Strategic Initiatives - The launch of the LYVA brand marks Luyuan's entry into the high-end market, with a focus on premium electric two-wheelers designed for various high-end scenarios [61]. - The company is expanding its production capacity with new manufacturing bases, aiming to meet future demand and enhance market share [53]. Sales and Distribution - Luyuan has established a comprehensive sales network with over 12,800 retail stores across China, supported by a robust online sales strategy that integrates e-commerce with traditional retail [54][57].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to Luyuan Group Holdings (2451.HK) with a target price of HKD 13.41, indicating a potential upside of 61.2% from the current price of HKD 7.99 [2][4]. Core Insights - Luyuan Group is a pioneer in the electric two-wheeler industry, leveraging technological innovation to lead market development. The company has introduced significant advancements such as liquid-cooled motors and digital battery technology, enhancing product durability and range [4][7]. - The transition to new national standards is expected to stimulate demand for electric two-wheelers, with a projected recovery in sales starting in 2025 due to government incentives for trade-ins [4][25]. - The company's strategic shift towards high-end markets and the establishment of a comprehensive mobility ecosystem is anticipated to drive growth and improve profitability [4][61]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for Luyuan Group are as follows: - 2024: CNY 50.72 billion (YoY -0.22%) - 2025: CNY 60.2 billion (YoY +18.69%) - 2026: CNY 73.2 billion (YoY +21.59%) - 2027: CNY 88.5 billion (YoY +20.90%) [3][4] - Net profit forecasts are: - 2024: CNY 1.16 billion (YoY -20.29%) - 2025: CNY 1.75 billion (YoY +50.86%) - 2026: CNY 3.23 billion (YoY +84.57%) - 2027: CNY 4.58 billion (YoY +41.80%) [3][4]. Industry Overview - The electric two-wheeler market in China is projected to experience a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.32% from 2019 to 2024, despite a decline in 2024 due to weak consumer demand and industry adjustments [4][25]. - The market is characterized by a significant shift from price competition to quality competition, with leading brands focusing on technological advancements and product differentiation [31][34]. - The introduction of new national standards in 2025 is expected to enhance product quality and safety, further driving the industry's evolution [40][41].

Core Viewpoint - Yadea's launch of the Crown S series emphasizes long-range capabilities and a three-year battery durability commitment, aiming to address diverse user needs in various riding scenarios [1][11]. Group 1: Product Launch and Features - The Crown S series has achieved cumulative sales of over 20 million units by April 2025, setting a record for single-series sales in the industry [1]. - The series introduces advanced technologies such as the TTFAR Evergreen Range Extension System and TTFAR High-Energy Lithium Battery System, enhancing battery durability and performance [4][6]. - The product lineup includes models like the White Shark 90 for daily commuting, White Shark 100 for performance enthusiasts, and the Starship Sodium Electric version for cold weather, catering to a wide range of user preferences [7][11]. Group 2: Technological Innovations - The TTFAR Evergreen Range Extension System features upgraded materials and patented technologies, significantly improving battery life and reducing user anxiety regarding range [4]. - The TTFAR High-Energy Lithium Battery System optimizes component integration to balance power and long-range capabilities, appealing to younger users [6]. - The iRide smart experience and Ark Safety Technology enhance user interaction and safety, creating a synergistic effect among the three technological systems [6][9]. Group 3: Industry Position and Future Outlook - Yadea is recognized as the leader in long-range electric two-wheelers in China, with a commitment to driving industry standards and technological advancements [3][9]. - The company aims to shift the industry focus from price competition to value competition, enhancing the global competitiveness of Chinese electric two-wheelers [9]. - Yadea's collaboration with Ant Forest and Zhejiang TV for the "Green Evergreen Crown Plan" demonstrates its commitment to social responsibility and sustainable transportation [11].

5月27日，新日股份（603787）召开公司2024年年度暨2025年第一季度业绩说明会，公司表示，2025年 以来，随着市场回暖、新国标修订实施、以旧换新政策带动以及公司在细分市场领域研发推出了一些契 合消费者需求的新产品，带动了公司销量增长，驱动一季度业绩提升。2025年第一季度，公司实现营业 收入10.54亿元，同比上升39.47%；归母净利润为2992.49万元，同比上升19.08%。 同时，公司将继续实施渠道下沉策略，加强城市社区和乡镇网点的建设，重点改善经销网点零售运营能 力，加强劣质网络优化力度，侧重于帮助经销商提升零售销量、零售利润，稳固终端渠道，具体通过直 播支持、宣传物料、促销活动、下级渠道开拓等方面加大对终端的帮扶力度，结合产品结构组合、营销 力提升、流量加载、服务保障等方面来综合性提高门店运营效率。 年报显示，2024年公司研发费用率约3.12%，有投资者提问，公司研发投入是否有进一步提升计划？对 此，公司表示，2024年，公司在技术研发与应用领域持续发力，取得以下方面主要成果：一是动力技 术，双芯双动力电机升级至3.0，拥有5项国家专利，通过8项国家认证检测，实现赛道级加速、越野级 ...

Group 1 - The event focuses on new technologies and expanding new markets in the electric two-wheeler and battery sectors [4][5] - The conference will feature the release of the "2025 China Two-Wheeler Battery and Swap Station TOP Rankings and Industry White Paper," which includes rankings for top manufacturers and operators in the industry [4] - The global two-wheeler battery swap market is experiencing rapid growth driven by policy support, demand for instant delivery, and technological upgrades [4] Group 2 - The event will include discussions on high-safety, high-rate, high-energy density, long-cycle life, and low-cost battery products [4] - Emerging applications in low-altitude flight, mobile electric tools, humanoid/robotic technology, smart homes, and energy storage are driving the growth of lightweight power and small-scale energy storage markets [4] - AI technology is accelerating the development and optimization of new battery technologies such as sodium batteries and full-tab cylindrical batteries for two-wheeler applications [4] Group 3 - The agenda includes specialized sessions on electric two-wheeler technology, battery technology, and the impact of new national standards on battery safety [6][7] - Key topics will cover trends in lithium battery development, challenges in battery safety, and the application of manganese iron phosphate in two-wheeler batteries [6][7] - The event will host various industry players, including electric two-wheeler manufacturers, battery companies, equipment suppliers, and material providers [9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the industry, specifically recommending companies such as Yadea Holdings, Aima Technology, and Ninebot [11]. Core Insights - The Chinese electric two-wheeler industry is entering a mature development phase characterized by "stock replacement dominance and structural incremental support." The domestic market is seeing high ownership levels, and the implementation of new national standards is accelerating industry consolidation, with both cost and supply pressures squeezing smaller brands [3][6]. - Incremental growth is focused on B-end commercial scenarios (instant delivery/shared mobility) and C-end smart upgrades. The expansion of the old-for-new subsidy program in 2025 is expected to stimulate replacement demand [3][6]. - The overseas market, particularly in Europe and North America, is centered around electric bicycles (E-bikes), benefiting from environmental policies and low consumer price sensitivity. The Southeast Asian market shows long-term potential for electric motorcycles, although performance limitations and inadequate infrastructure hinder short-term replacement [3][8]. Summary by Sections Scale: Dominated by Stock Demand, Driven by Smartization and Policy - The electric two-wheeler market includes electric bicycles, electric light motorcycles, and electric motorcycles. The current market ownership is at a high level, with the average penetration rate reaching maturity. Although demand in high-tier cities and motorcycle replacement in lower-tier markets will support steady growth, the growth rate is expected to slow down [6][30]. - Incremental space is concentrated in two areas: B-end instant delivery and shared mobility, benefiting from the economic and flexible nature of electric two-wheelers, and C-end smart upgrades that drive consumer segmentation and product price increases [6][30]. Structure: New National Standards Implementation Optimizes the Landscape - The past changes in industry structure show that policy regulations (like new national standards) and market competition (price wars, channel expansion) create a dual selection mechanism. Leading companies can leverage scale effects to reduce costs and enhance R&D and distribution networks, while weaker brands face exit pressures due to compliance costs and low margins [7][9]. - The new national standards are expected to increase costs by 10%-15%, putting significant pressure on financially weak brands while allowing leading companies to expand market share [7][9]. Incremental Growth: Southeast Asia Policy Drives Potential, E-bike Opportunities in Europe and America - With the domestic market stabilizing, overseas markets are becoming core growth areas. The North American and European markets are primarily driven by mid-to-high-end E-bikes, with a favorable growth trend supported by consumer interest in sustainable transportation and government support [8][9]. - The Southeast Asian market focuses on high-cost-performance electric motorcycles, driven by commuting needs and "oil-to-electric" policies. However, performance gaps and infrastructure issues limit short-term penetration, with fuel vehicles remaining dominant [8][9]. Investment Recommendations: Domestic and International Synergy, Positive Demand Outlook - The domestic market is seeing accelerated concentration due to the new national standards, which pressure smaller brands while allowing leading companies to strengthen their market share through scale effects and technological differentiation [9]. - The overseas market presents opportunities, particularly in the E-bike sector in Europe and North America, where the fragmented competitive landscape offers entry points for Chinese brands [9].

Core Viewpoint - The company has experienced a significant recovery in revenue and a reduction in loss margins in the first quarter of 2025, with a revenue increase of 35.1% year-on-year, reaching 680 million yuan [1][6][7]. Revenue and Profitability - From 2016 to 2021, the company's revenue compound annual growth rate (CAGR) was 59.8%, but revenue declined to 2.652 billion yuan in 2023 due to rising lithium carbonate prices and increased competition [1][7]. - The company is expected to achieve a revenue of 3.288 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 24%, and continue to recover in 2025 [1][7]. - The net loss narrowed to 39 million yuan in the first quarter of 2025, compared to a loss of 272 million yuan in 2023 [1][6][7]. Margin Analysis - The company's gross margin remained stable above 20% from 2019 to 2023, but is projected to decline to 17.3% in the first quarter of 2025 due to tariffs on scooters [3][8]. - The net margin improved to -5.7% in the first quarter of 2025, an increase of 5.2 percentage points year-on-year, driven by increased sales scale and reduced expense ratios [2][3][8]. Product and Channel Strategy - The company has actively adjusted its product and channel strategies since 2024, launching high-end lead-acid electric two-wheelers to enhance competitiveness and improve sales [4][5][14]. - The introduction of new models, such as the NT/MT Play series, has been well-received, with significant sales achieved shortly after launch [17][20]. - The company has expanded its distribution network, increasing the number of terminal stores to 4,119 in the first quarter of 2025, up from 3,735 in 2024 [23]. Sales Performance - The company reported a total sales volume of 203,000 units in the first quarter of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 57.4%, with domestic sales reaching 183,000 units [13][14]. - The company has successfully navigated challenges in overseas markets, achieving 165,000 units in exports in 2024, primarily to the US and Europe [13][14]. Brand and Market Position - The company has established a strong brand presence and competitive edge in the high-end electric two-wheeler market, recognized as a leading brand in smart electric vehicles [5][14].

Investment Rating - The report does not provide a specific investment rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company has launched a restricted stock incentive plan for 2025, aiming to grant approximately 14.18 million shares to 421 individuals, which is about 1.65% of the total share capital, at a price of 20.6 yuan per share. This plan is expected to motivate the core team and stimulate growth [1] - The incentive plan sets performance targets for revenue and net profit growth from 2024 as a base, requiring growth rates of at least 15%/32.25%/52.09% for the years 2025-2027, indicating a strong emphasis on sustained growth [2] - The company is focusing on product upgrades and has partnered with ByteDance and Midea to enhance its smart strategy, aiming for a transformation towards full-chain intelligence and user operation [3] - The company anticipates steady sales growth in Q2 2025, with supply chain issues previously encountered now resolved, and aims to leverage its strengths to increase market share [3] Financial Summary - The projected total revenue for the company is expected to grow from 21.036 billion yuan in 2023 to 34.158 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 8.3% [6] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to increase from 1.881 billion yuan in 2023 to 3.348 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of about 12.7% [6] - The company's gross margin is expected to improve from 16.5% in 2023 to 18.6% in 2027, indicating enhanced profitability [6] - The projected earnings per share (EPS) are expected to rise from 2.18 yuan in 2023 to 3.89 yuan in 2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios decreasing from 17.67 to 9.93 over the same period [4][6]