1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the content 2. Core Viewpoints - Last week (from November 17 to November 21, 2025), the median weekly return of stock - type ETFs was -4.57%. Among broad - based ETFs, the Shanghai 50 ETF had the smallest decline; among sector ETFs, the large - finance ETF had the smallest decline; among hot - topic ETFs, the bank ETF had the smallest decline [1][12][59]. - Last week, stock - type ETFs had a net subscription of 49.12 billion yuan. Among broad - based ETFs, the GEM - type ETF had the largest net subscription; among sector ETFs, the technology ETF had the largest net subscription; among theme ETFs, the pharmaceutical ETF had the largest net subscription [2][59]. - As of last Friday, Huaxia, E Fund, and Huatai - Peregrine were the top three fund companies in terms of the total scale of listed non - monetary ETFs. This week, GF CSI All - Index Food ETF and GF CSI A50 ETF will be issued [5][59]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs ETF Performance - Stock - type ETFs had a median weekly return of -4.57%. The median returns of Shanghai 50, CSI 300, A500, CSI 500, CSI 1000, Sci - tech Innovation Board, and GEM - type ETFs were -2.69%, -3.72%, -4.24%, -5.71%, -5.77%, -5.77%, and -6.01% respectively. The median returns of money - type, bond - type, commodity - type, and cross - border ETFs were 0.01%, 0.01%, -2.50%, and -4.87% respectively [12]. - Among sectors, the median returns of large - finance, technology, consumption, and cyclical sector ETFs were -4.42%, -4.43%, -5.31%, and -5.32% respectively. Among hot - topics, bank, liquor, and AI ETFs had median returns of -0.91%, -2.39%, and -2.53% respectively, showing relatively strong performance, while photovoltaic, new energy vehicle, and pharmaceutical ETFs had median returns of -11.19%, -8.28%, and -6.12% respectively, with relatively weak performance [15]. ETF Scale Change and Net Redemption/Subscription - As of last Friday, the scales of stock - type, cross - border, and bond - type ETFs were 3550.6 billion yuan, 921 billion yuan, and 718.8 billion yuan respectively. The scales of commodity - type and money - type ETFs were relatively small, at 230.5 billion yuan and 176.7 billion yuan respectively [17]. - Among broad - based ETFs, the CSI 300 and Sci - tech Innovation Board ETFs had relatively large scales of 1148.2 billion yuan and 201.8 billion yuan respectively. The scales of A500, Shanghai 50, CSI 500, GEM - type, and CSI 1000 ETFs were relatively small, at 189.4 billion yuan, 184.6 billion yuan, 171.4 billion yuan, 170.3 billion yuan, and 163.7 billion yuan respectively [17][20]. - Among sectors, the technology sector ETF had a scale of 404.9 billion yuan, followed by the cyclical sector ETF with a scale of 210.9 billion yuan. The large - finance and consumption ETFs had relatively small scales of 203.5 billion yuan and 186.9 billion yuan respectively. Among hot - topics, chip, securities, and pharmaceutical ETFs had the highest scales of 145.6 billion yuan, 139.4 billion yuan, and 102.1 billion yuan respectively [24]. - Last week, stock - type ETFs had a net subscription of 49.12 billion yuan and a total scale decrease of 115.443 billion yuan; money - type ETFs had a net subscription of 7.923 billion yuan and a total scale increase of 7.938 billion yuan. Among broad - based ETFs, the GEM - type ETF had the largest net subscription of 6.729 billion yuan, and its scale decreased by 4.125 billion yuan; the Shanghai 50 ETF had the smallest net subscription of 0.316 billion yuan, and its scale decreased by 4.83 billion yuan [27][28]. - Among sectors, the technology ETF had the largest net subscription of 5.694 billion yuan, and its scale decreased by 14.492 billion yuan; the large - finance ETF had the largest net redemption of 0.172 billion yuan, and its scale decreased by 8.739 billion yuan. Among hot - topics, the pharmaceutical ETF had the largest net subscription of 2.21 billion yuan, and its scale decreased by 3.886 billion yuan; the bank ETF had the largest net redemption of 1.849 billion yuan, and its scale decreased by 2.17 billion yuan [32]. ETF Benchmark Index Valuation - As of last Friday, the price - to - earnings ratios of Shanghai 50, CSI 300, CSI 500, CSI 1000, GEM - type, and A500 ETFs were at the 84.67%, 80.38%, 94.64%, 93.90%, 54.82%, and 83.67% quantile levels respectively, and the price - to - book ratios were at the 66.20%, 62.90%, 92.00%, 51.11%, 46.83%, and 83.09% quantile levels respectively. Since December 31, 2019, the price - to - earnings and price - to - book ratios of Sci - tech Innovation Board - type ETFs are currently at the 83.51% and 67.19% quantile levels respectively. Compared with the previous week, the valuation quantiles of A500 and CSI 300 ETFs decreased significantly [35]. - As of last Friday, the price - to - earnings ratios of cyclical, large - finance, consumption, and technology sector ETFs were at the 69.33%, 35.53%, 19.62%, and 88.79% quantile levels respectively, and the price - to - book ratios were at the 65.79%, 58.78%, 21.60%, and 75.19% quantile levels respectively. Compared with the previous week, the valuation quantiles of large - finance, cyclical, and consumption ETFs decreased significantly [38]. - As of last Friday, the price - to - earnings quantiles of bank, dividend, and military - industry ETFs were relatively high, at 99.84%, 99.26%, and 93.16% respectively; the price - to - book quantiles of dividend, AI, and robot ETFs were relatively high, at 96.54%, 94.39%, and 89.78% respectively. Compared with the previous week, the valuation quantiles of pharmaceutical and new energy vehicle ETFs decreased significantly [39]. - Overall, among broad - based ETFs, the GEM - type ETF had relatively low valuation quantiles; among sectors, the consumption and large - finance ETFs had relatively moderate valuation quantiles; among sub - topics, the liquor ETF had relatively low valuation quantiles [40]. ETF Margin Trading - As of last Thursday, the margin trading balance of stock - type ETFs increased from 47.328 billion yuan in the previous week to 48.368 billion yuan, and the short - selling volume decreased from 2.681 billion shares in the previous week to 2.608 billion shares [44]. - Among the top 10 ETFs with the highest average daily margin trading purchase amount from last Monday to Thursday, the Sci - tech Innovation Board ETF and GEM - type ETF had relatively high average daily margin trading purchase amounts. Among the top 10 ETFs with the highest average daily short - selling volume, the A500 ETF and CSI 300 ETF had relatively high average daily short - selling volumes [45][49][52]. ETF Managers - As of last Friday, Huaxia Fund ranked first in the total scale of listed non - monetary ETFs, and had a relatively high management scale in multiple sub - fields such as scale index ETFs, theme, style, and strategy index ETFs, and cross - border ETFs. E Fund ranked second, with a relatively high management scale in scale index ETFs and cross - border ETFs. Huatai - Peregrine Fund ranked third, with a relatively high management scale in scale index ETFs and theme, style, and strategy index ETFs [53]. - Last week, 8 new ETFs were established, and this week, GF CSI All - Index Food ETF and GF CSI A50 ETF will be issued [56].

美联储内部分歧在12月政策会议前加剧，主席鲍威尔保持沉默之际，投票委员会成员立场出现明显分 化。 纽约联储主席威廉姆斯周五发出支持降息信号，而此前已有多位政策制定者倾向不降息。这一表态提升 了市场对12月降息的预期，联邦基金期货显示的降息概率从低于30%反弹至60%以上。 自10月29日政策会议以来，鲍威尔本人尚未公开发言。目前12名有投票权的联邦公开市场委员会成员 中，已有5人表态倾向维持利率不变，几乎形成势均力敌的局面，这意味着无论12月10日做出何种决 定，都可能出现反对票。 这一局面凸显出美联储在支持疲弱劳动力市场与遏制通胀之间的两难处境。政府关闭导致关键经济数据 发布延迟，进一步增加了政策制定的复杂性。 市场转向"数票"模式 投资者正从关注美联储整体共识转向计算个别政策制定者的投票倾向。进入10月政策会议前，市场曾认 为12月降息板上钉钉。但随着鹰派声音爆发，降息概率一度跌破30%，威廉姆斯周五的表态令局势再度 逆转。 这一反复波动打乱了市场对下一步利率走向的判断。长期以来，美联储以共识决策为荣，这也是鲍威尔 自2018年执掌美联储以来的标志性特征。但眼下这种模式正面临考验。 New Century ...

Group 1 - The market is entering a window of expectation for the Central Economic Work Conference, with a lack of clear direction and consensus, leading to high volatility [3][4] - It is anticipated that the GDP growth target for 2026 will remain the same as 2025, with an increase in macro policy strength, including a potential rise in the deficit ratio and special long-term bonds [4][12] - The banking sector is facing significant adjustment pressure after a recent rally, with a current dividend yield around 3.9%, which is below the critical support level of 4% for high dividend logic [6][30] Group 2 - Historical analysis shows that before market bottoms, banks typically experience a phase of rising followed by a decline, with an average rise of 5-10% and a subsequent drop of 3-9% [6][20] - The recent performance of banks has diverged from major indices, with the banking index rising 8.3% while the ChiNext and Shanghai Composite indices have seen declines of 10.5% and 2.5% respectively [18][19] - The AI industry is currently in a "darkest hour," but long-term confidence remains strong, with a focus on sectors with clear performance support such as energy storage, military, storage, and engineering machinery [31][32]

11月17日至21日，A股市场震荡调整，成交规模维持在1.7万亿元上方。指数方面，上证指数一周下跌3.9%，最新报3834.89点；深证成指累计下跌5.13%， 创业板指累计下跌6.15%。北证50指数一周累计下跌9.04%，为一周跌幅最高的A股主要指数。 本周A股赚钱效应不佳 11月22日，数据宝发布调查报告《下周能否止跌？》，非常感谢各位粉丝的热投票与支持。 从仓位变化来看，本周26%的受访者进行了"加仓"，18%的受访者进行了"减仓"，11%的受访者进行了"清仓"；其余45%持仓不动。 从仓位管理来看，参与调查的投资者仓位整体向下。"满仓加融资""50%—100%"所占比例分别环比下降1个百分点、7个百分点，最新分别为8%、 28%；"50%以下""空仓"所占比例分别环比上升6个百分点、3个百分点，最新分别为18%、7%；"满仓"占比不变，保持为39%。 | 名称 | 年初至今 | 本周涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | | | (%) | (%) | | 沪深300 | 13.18 | -3.77 | | 上证指数 | 14.41 | -3.90 | | 深证成指 | 20.39 | ...

债券研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 【债券周报】 存单周报（1117-1123）：月末关注银行负债 边际变化 债券周报 2025 年 11 月 23 日 华创证券研究所 证券分析师：周冠南 电话：010-66500886 邮箱：zhouguannan@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360517090002 证券分析师：宋琦 电话：010-63214665 邮箱：songqi@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360523080002 相关研究报告 《【华创固收】政策双周报（0530-0612）：买断 式逆回购前置操作，中美经贸磋商原则上达成框 架 》 2025-06-12 《【华创固收】评级披露仍较缓慢，关注权益轮 动向转债传导——可转债周报 20250609》 2025-06-09 《【华创固收】央行开始买债了吗？——债券周 报 20250608》 2025-06-08 《【华创固收】存单周报（0602-0608）：资金预 期有所缓和，关注存单配置价值》 2025-06-08 《【华创固收】关注震荡市场利差被动走阔的加 仓机会——信用周报 20250607》 2025-06-07 证监会审核华创证券投资咨 ...

证券研究报告 策略点评（R2） 短期保持谨慎，静待市场企稳 财信证券宏观策略周报（11.24-11.28） 2025 年 11 月 23 日 上证指数-沪深 300 走势图 % 1M 3M 12M 上证指数 -0.75 1.82 13.86 沪深 300 -1.86 4.27 11.74 -7% 3% 13% 23% 33% 2024-11 2025-02 2025-05 2025-08 上证指数 沪深300 黄红卫 分析师 执业证书编号:S0530519010001 huanghongwei@hnchasing.com 相关报告 投资要点 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明 大势研判。上周在海外市场调整影响下，万得全 A 指数阶段性向下调整，跌 破震荡调整区间，短期仍需合理控制仓位，静待指数企稳信号出现。一是从 资金面来看，11 月底之前机构倾向于守住全年收益，加仓意愿不强，但 12 月 中旬开始，机构资金将逐步开始布局 2026 年方向，存在"抢跑"的预期；二 是中央经济工作会议通常在 12 月中旬召开，将为明年经济工作指明方向，预 计在中央经济工作会议前后，政策预期利好将支撑市场；三是从技术形态来 看，201 ...

【导读】 中信 银行全资子公司 信 银 金投 获准开业，注册资本 为 1 0 0亿元 中国基金报记者 王思文 又一家股份行金融资产投资公司（AIC），来了！ 11月23日晚间，中信银行发布公告称，其收到《国家金融监督管理总局关于信银金融资产投 资有限公司开业的批复》。根据该批复，中信银行筹建的 信银金融资产投资有限公司（以下 简称信银金投） 获准开业。 早在今年5月初，中信银行宣布投资设立全资子公司信银金投。中信银行彼时表示，本次投资 是该行积极响应国家号召，大力支持"科技金融"发展的关键举措。本次投资的资金来源为该 行自有资金，该行资本可支撑设立信银金投，对该行各项流动性指标影响较小。 随后，国家金融监督管理总局在6月份作出批复，同意中信银行筹建信银金投。 中信银行表示，设立信银金投，有利于该行围绕战略性新兴产业、"专精特新"等重点领域， 开展市场化债转股及股权投资业务，发挥股权投资对科创企业、民营经济支持作用，帮助企 业降低杠杆率，进一步推动该行高质量、可持续发展。 11月23日，信银金投正式取得开业批复。对于此次获准开业，中信银行称，后续信银金投将 依照有关规定办理开业手续。 据悉，信银金投的注册资本为 ...

"比特币进入极端恐慌区间，市场悲观情绪回到近十年少见的低位。"11月21日，加密金融服务公司 Matrixport发布的市场分析报告如此写道。就在同一天，比特币最低触及81111美元，创下自4月7日以来 的新低。 这场暴跌并非毫无征兆。在过去一个月里，比特币已累计下跌约20%，加密货币总市值蒸发超过1万亿 美元。这场席卷加密货币的风暴，剥离了市场主要的投机泡沫，也正考验着每一位持币者的信仰。 一片恐慌中，比特币24小时内最高跌去11000美元，近40万人爆仓。 11月21日，虚拟货币市场跌幅不断扩大，盘中再度上演跳水行情。比特币日内大跌近10%，以太坊跌 10.8%，SOL币跌11.7%，其他主要加密货币也纷纷跟跌。 Coinglass数据显示，过去24小时内，加密货币全网合约爆仓19.14亿美元，爆仓人数高达39.2万人。其 中，多单爆仓17.8亿美元，空单爆仓1.3亿美元。 这场暴跌不仅清算了大量杠杆头寸，也使比特币价格跌破了美国比特币ETF的平均购买价格，这意味着 大多数通过ETF投资比特币的投资者现在都处于亏损状态。 背后原因：多重因素交织 宏观压力：美联储降息预期降温 美联储降息预期大幅降温是导致比 ...

2025 年 11 月 23 日 证券研究报告 | 策略周报 全球共振高位调整，耐心等待情绪企稳 策略周报 分析师：郝一凡 分析师登记编码：S0890524080002 电话：021-20321080 邮箱：haoyifan@cnhbstock.com 分析师登记编码：S0890524100002 电话：021-20321091 邮箱：liufang@cnhbstock.com 021-20515355 1、《沪指围绕 4000 点震荡整固，轮动 有所加快 —策略周报》2025-11-09 2、《波动再度放大，如何应对？ —策略 周报》2025-10-12 3、《长假期间国内外大事一览—策略周 报》2025-10-09 4、《节前波动有所放大，持股还是持币 过节？ —策略周报》2025-09-29 5、《长假临近，震荡分化延续 —策略周 报》2025-09-21 投资要点 分析师：刘芳 【债市方面】月末资金面扰动上升，中期仍偏震荡。当前债市整体偏震荡， 市场多、空动能均不足，但跨月、政府债缴款、大量公开市场操作到期等因素 叠加之下，月末扰动明显上升。考虑到央行或将投放资金缓解资金面压力，预 计中期来看仍延续震 ...

Core Viewpoint - The current market is in a "three-phase overlap" characterized by a mid-bull market consolidation period, a critical phase for verifying economic conditions, and a performance policy gap, leading to increased market volatility and year-end profit-taking by investors [1][2]. Market Environment - Recent overseas disturbances have affected market liquidity expectations, with fluctuating predictions regarding the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions for December [1][3]. - The strong performance of Nvidia's earnings report has been overshadowed by concerns over the sustainability of AI spending, impacting investor sentiment in the A-share market [1][4]. Investment Strategy - The long-term slow bull market trend remains unchanged, while short-term strategies should focus on opportunistic positioning, particularly in anticipation of the Federal Reserve's meeting and the Central Economic Work Conference in mid-December [1][5]. - Investors are advised to monitor support levels at the 60-day and half-year moving averages, as well as market volume conditions during potential adjustments [1][5]. Sector Focus - Key sectors to watch include banking, oil and petrochemicals, steel, agriculture, lithium batteries, and new materials, reflecting areas of potential growth and stability [1][5].