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每日投行/机构观点梳理(2025-12-08)
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-12-08 12:39
Group 1: Monetary Policy Insights - Bank of America suggests that the market may soon start betting on a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in January, despite cautious signals from the Fed [1] - The bank anticipates a 25 basis point rate cut in December, along with stronger guidance and dissenting opinions, projecting stronger growth and lower inflation [1] - Analysts believe that with significant data releases before January, Chairman Powell will find it difficult to suppress market expectations for further easing [1] Group 2: Economic Outlook in Thailand - Barclays economists report that the Bank of Thailand may resist rate hikes in 2026 due to lower-than-potential growth prospects and inflation rates below the 1%-3% target range [2] - The central bank aims to maintain a loose monetary policy and focus on addressing structural economic issues [2] - Even with rising price pressures, the central bank is unlikely to change its policy stance, prioritizing economic growth and financial stability over inflation [2] Group 3: Investment Opportunities in Technology and Commodities - China International Capital Corporation (CICC) sees significant investment opportunities in the technology sector within the machinery industry for 2026, driven by domestic demand recovery and high export growth [3] - CITIC Construction points out that copper, aluminum, and gold have clear long-term investment logic due to global macroeconomic uncertainties and geopolitical risks [4] - The report highlights that copper will benefit from supply tightness and green economy demand, while aluminum is constrained by domestic capacity limits [4] Group 4: Energy Storage and AI Development - CITIC Construction expects the energy storage industry to see a rise in both volume and price by 2026, with manufacturing profitability currently at unsustainable low levels [5] - The ongoing development of AI large models and applications is noted, with a recommendation to continue focusing on the AI computing power sector [6] - The report emphasizes the potential for new application scenarios and business models arising from the construction of space data centers [8] Group 5: Market Predictions for Copper and Panel Industry - CITIC Securities predicts that LME copper prices could accelerate towards $12,000 per ton, driven by narratives of U.S. copper stockpiling and domestic production cuts [8] - The panel industry is expected to see a positive long-term outlook due to improved competition dynamics and a shift from price-driven profit to value creation [9]
电网侧独立储能融资租赁-直租
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-08 12:31
1、融资额度与实控人实力相匹配。 2、区域:陕甘宁晋冀鲁蒙 3、手续齐全具备开工条件,或落实电力接入,预先接触准备。 4、民营实控人准入具有产业实业背景或风电光伏储能过往业绩及在持电站。 5、测算收益能够覆盖本息,且达到乘以1.4系数后的收益。 6、不全融不超融,业主自筹资本金。 7、央企运维方硬兜底优先,设备厂商加持的优先。 8、符合常规门槛准入。 V:13916017140 1、融资额度与实控人实力相匹配。 2、区域:陕甘宁晋冀鲁蒙 3、手续齐全具备开工条件,或落实电力接入,预先接触准备。 4、民营实控人准入具有产业实业背景或风电光伏储能过往业绩及在持电站。 5、测算收益能够覆盖本息,且达到乘以1.4系数后的收益。 6、不全融不超融,业主自筹资本金。 7、央企运维方硬兜底优先,设备厂商加持的优先。 8、符合常规门槛准入。 V:13916017140 ...
5年120GWh!储能长单背后的新态势
行家说储能· 2025-12-08 12:06
新型储能产业如何把握电力市场改革与数智化机遇?行家说储能正联合 中车株洲所、弘正储能、海辰储能、为恒智能、融和元储 等头部企业, 编 撰 《2025电力市场与数智化储能调研报告》,该报告将于1月8日行家说储能峰会上发布。欢迎更多企业参与,共抓产业风口。 近日,又有企业签储能长期大单。 据海辰储能消息指出, 海辰储能与中车株洲电力机车研究所有限公司综合能源事业部(以下简称"中车株洲所")正式签署 5年120GWh的储能相关合作。 ☆ 激活 星标 , 第一时间掌握前沿趋势 对于 中车株洲所 而言,作为央企旗下重要的综合能源解决方案提供商,相关数据显示,中车株洲所国内储能订单容量规模位于前列, 接连斩获包括河南信 阳的70MWh储能设备、中国绿发若羌500MW/2GWh等大型项目订单。 此次锁定5年120GWh储能电芯超级订单,不仅展现了中车株洲所对未来储能市场前景的信心,更 直观地反映了头部集成商在产能紧张预期下,为确保交付 与成本优势、对核心电池供应链进行前瞻性战略锁定的决心。 值得注意的是,此次合作主要为314Ah、∞Cell 587Ah、∞Cell 1175Ah等大容量电芯,而海辰储能在大容量电芯的量产速度 ...
350MWh!华为、能辉披露储能重要合作
行家说储能· 2025-12-08 12:06
Core Insights - Two companies have recently signed significant energy storage cooperation agreements, indicating a growing trend in the energy storage sector [1] Group 1: Energies and Contracts - Nenghui Technology has signed a framework contract for 350MWh of energy storage with a European company, effective until December 31, 2026 [2] - The first batch of 20MWh sales under this contract has been executed, amounting to €2.5 million (approximately 20 million RMB), with a delivery period of 135 days post-payment [2] - Nenghui Technology is enhancing its efficiency through organizational changes and is focusing on large-scale energy storage, commercial energy storage, and solar-storage microgrid businesses [2] Group 2: Partnerships and Projects - Huawei Digital Energy has completed a project signing with Shenzhen Energy Group for the Shenzhen Energy Mawan Power Plant [3] - The collaboration aims to develop a new energy storage project that will support high-load density grid peak regulation and frequency modulation, enhancing power supply reliability and equipment operational safety [5]
ETF日报:当前储能行业呈现供需两旺态势,国内外需求共振,头部电池企业持续满产,关注新能源车ETF
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-08 11:45
今日A股震荡走高,上证指数上涨0.54%,报收3924.08点;深证成指上涨1.39%,报收13329.99点。两市上涨个 股超3400家,共计成交2.05万亿元,较上一交易日明显放量。板块方面通信、非银金融领涨,煤炭行业跌幅居 前。 今日中共中央政治局召开会议,指出明年经济工作要坚持稳中求进、提质增效,继续实施更加积极的财政政策 和适度宽松的货币政策。后市预计在政策支持下A股市场将保持韧性,延续慢牛格局。 //// A股市场近期持续回暖,深证成指、创业板指率先收复11月以来跌幅。今日政治局会议提出继续实施更加积极 的财政政策和适度宽松的货币政策,发挥存量政策和增量政策集成效应,加大逆周期和跨周期调节力度,切实 提升宏观经济治理效能。在此背景下,明年财政赤字率或将不低于2025年的4%,财政政策将继续发挥稳增 长、扩内需、惠民生的重要作用。 在政策的积极推动下,市场风格或将向高弹性、成长板块切换。会议强调"内需主导",复苏逻辑下顺周期消 费、以化工与有色为代表中上游周期股的利润弹性有望爆发。"新质生产力"作为顶层设计的核心,叠加宽松的 货币环境,对科技股构成显著利好。 在成长占优期,A500相对沪深300往往 ...
百川畅银:公司参股公司百川光热在关注熔盐储能技术并寻找市场机会
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-12-08 11:37
证券日报网讯 12月8日,百川畅银在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示,熔盐储能作为一种大容量、长周 期的高温储热技术,在多个能源领域发挥着关键作用:在光热发电中,它将白天富余的太阳能以熔盐形 式储存,实现夜间或阴雨天持续发电,保障电站24小时稳定运行;在电网调峰方面,它可快速响应负荷 变化,通过储存或释放热能来平衡电力供需,提升电网灵活性与稳定性;在工业余热回收中,它能高效 吸收并存储高温废气、废热,在需要时重新利用,大幅提升能源效率;对于风电、光伏的弃电消纳,它 可将原本被浪费的过剩电力转化为热能储存,再按需转换为电能输出,有效提升可再生能源利用率,是 实现多能互补与低碳转型的重要技术手段。百川畅银参股公司百川光热在关注熔盐储能技术并寻找市场 机会。 (文章来源:证券日报) ...
百川畅银:熔盐储能属于新型储能技术的重要类别之一
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-12-08 11:36
Core Viewpoint - The company Baichuan Changyin emphasizes that molten salt energy storage is a significant category of new energy storage technology, contributing to a diversified energy storage system alongside lithium batteries and flow batteries [2] Group 1 - Molten salt energy storage is recognized as an important type of new energy storage technology [2] - The technology is part of a diverse energy storage system that includes lithium batteries and flow batteries [2]
果下科技(02655):IPO申购指南
Guoyuan Securities2· 2025-12-08 11:08
Investment Rating - The report suggests a cautious subscription for the company, GuoXia Technology (2655.HK) [1]. Core Insights - The company is a provider of renewable energy solutions and products driven by platform technology and AI, with applications in both domestic and international markets [2]. - It is recognized as one of the early participants in integrating internet cloud solutions and developing a digital energy management platform in the energy storage industry [2]. - The company has a competitive edge through technological innovation, being the first to develop IoT platform solutions for its industry and AI-driven energy storage models [2]. - R&D expenses have been a significant part of the company's revenue, accounting for 2.7%, 5.3%, 3.1%, and 2.4% over the past years [2]. Financial Performance - The company's revenue has shown rapid growth, with figures of RMB 142 million, 314 million, 1.026 billion, and 691 million for the years 2022, 2023, 2024, and the first half of 2025, respectively [3]. - Gross margins have fluctuated, recorded at 25.1%, 26.7%, 15.1%, and 12.5% for the same periods [3]. - Net profits were RMB 24.28 million, 28.15 million, 49.12 million, and 5.58 million for the respective years [3]. - The company faces significant cost pressures, with lithium carbonate being a major raw material, constituting over 90% of sales costs, and the price of lithium iron phosphate significantly impacting operational performance [3]. - As of June 2025, accounts receivable surged to RMB 952 million, and the company has experienced negative operating cash flow in recent years [3]. - The company's IPO valuation is approximately HKD 10.2 billion, with a PE ratio of about 189 for 2024, which is considered high compared to industry peers, leading to the cautious subscription recommendation [3].
华宝新能(301327):公司深度研究:新品放量在即,消费级储能龙头归来
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-12-08 10:43
Investment Rating - The report gives an "Accumulate" rating for the company [4]. Core Views - The portable energy storage industry continues to grow, with the company's new product launches expected to drive market share growth. The company aims for revenue growth of no less than 39%/40.3%/39.5% for 2025-2027, reflecting confidence in business expansion [2][4]. - The household energy storage market presents significant opportunities, with the company's 5 kWh portable home storage product expected to contribute to incremental performance. The global household storage market is projected to reach approximately $16 billion in 2023 [3][4]. - The company is enhancing its brand influence and profitability through channel expansion and product innovation, with expected revenue of 50.11 billion, 76.32 billion, and 94.83 billion RMB for 2025-2027 [4]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Huabao New Energy is a leading portable energy storage brand, primarily selling products under the Jackery brand in multiple countries, with North America accounting for about 50% of sales. The company plans to launch large-capacity, lightweight new products in 2025 to capture differentiated market segments [2][4]. Portable Energy Storage - The industry shows sustained growth potential, with projected penetration rates of approximately 10% in the U.S. and 11% in Japan by 2025. The decline in lithium iron phosphate prices in 2023 is expected to stabilize, allowing the company's gross margin to gradually return to a steady state [2][3][4]. - The company is expanding its channel matrix, with significant growth in independent website revenue, which increased by 55.25% year-on-year in the first half of 2025 [3]. Household Energy Storage - The global household storage market is expected to reach a scale of approximately $16 billion in 2023, with the company's 5 kWh portable home storage product offering differentiated advantages [3][4]. - The company is actively expanding its channels and has seen significant revenue growth in its independent website, which is expected to enhance profitability [3]. Financial Analysis - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 50.11 billion, 76.32 billion, and 94.83 billion RMB for 2025-2027, with corresponding net profits of 1.85 billion, 4.06 billion, and 6.14 billion RMB [4][8].
湖南“两个细则”征求意见:新型储能调峰补偿300元/MWh,违规运行将面临考核
12月5日, 国家能源局湖南监管办公室 印发《湖南电力辅助服务管理实施细则(征求意见稿)》《湖南电力并网运行管理实施细则(征求 意见稿)》。 辅助服务管理实施细则 《湖南电力辅助服务管理实施细则》适用于并入湖南电网运行的接入 35kV 及以上电压等级并网主体,其中新型储能指具有法人资格的 独立电化学储能电站。压缩空气、飞轮等独立新型储能电站参照执行。纳入本细则管理的独立新型储能容量不低于 2 MW/ 2 MWh 。 以配建形式存在的新型储能项目,在完成站内计量、控制等相关系统改造并符合相关技术要求的情况下,鼓励与所配建的其他类型电源 联合并视为一个整体,参与电力市场。也可通过技术改造满足同等技术条件和安全标准时,选择转为独立储能项目。 独立新型储能调峰补偿: 电力调度机构结合系统调峰需要调用,下达调度计划(含调度指令)要求独立新型储能电站进入充电状态时,对其充电电量进行补偿, 具体补偿标准为 H 2 × 300 (元 / 兆瓦时)。 H 2 为独立新型储能参与调峰补偿系数。 | 序号 | 参数指标 | 系数 | 取值 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 燃煤机组深度调峰补偿系数 ...