Core Insights - The report by Zhiyan Consulting highlights the dynamics and investment opportunities in the xylene industry in China from 2026 to 2032 [1] Import Data Summary - In April 2025, China's xylene imports amounted to 720,000 tons, representing a year-on-year decrease of 0.2% [1] - The import value for the same period was $58.2 million, showing a significant year-on-year decline of 23.3% [1] Industry Analysis - Zhiyan Consulting is recognized as a leading industry consulting firm in China, specializing in in-depth industry research and providing comprehensive consulting services [1] - The firm has over a decade of experience in the industry research field, focusing on delivering tailored solutions to empower investment decisions [1]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the report 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The escalation of the China - US trade war has led to a volatile downward trend in crude oil prices. The overall valuation of styrene is moderately low. The supply side of styrene faces significant pressure, while the demand side enters a seasonal peak season. After the large - scale downstream production of styrene is launched in the fourth quarter, the supply - demand gap may increase, and the futures price may reach the bottom [11][13]. - This week's forecast: For pure benzene (BZ2603), the reference volatility range is (5800 - 6100); for styrene (EB2511), the reference volatility range is (6800 - 7100). The recommended strategy is to wait and see [13]. 3. Summary According to the Table of Contents 01. Weekly Assessment and Strategy Recommendation - **Market Conditions**: The China - US trade war has escalated again, causing crude oil prices to fluctuate downward. The weekly decline of styrene shows (futures > cost > spot), the basis strengthens, the BZN spread rises, and the profit of non - integrated EB plants decreases [11]. - **Cost**: Last week, the price of pure benzene in East China fell by - 3.12%, and the pure benzene operating rate remained high and volatile [11]. - **Supply**: The utilization rate of EB production capacity is 73.61%, a month - on - month increase of 0.56% and a year - on - year increase of 8.73%, but a decrease of - 7.99% compared with the five - year average. According to the production plan, the greatest production pressure for the whole year is in the fourth quarter, and the supply side may face pressure under the background of high operating rates [11]. - **Imports and Exports**: In August, the domestic import volume of pure benzene was 4.412 million tons, a month - on - month decrease of - 13.13% and a year - on - year increase of 8.38%, mainly from the Middle East. The import volume of EB in August was 269,200 tons, a month - on - month increase of 21.77% and a year - on - year increase of 29.29%. The port inventory of pure benzene and the EB inventory in Jiangsu ports have been reduced from high levels [11]. - **Demand**: The weighted operating rate of downstream three S products is 38.81%, a month - on - month increase of 0.70%. The operating rate of PS is 55.00%, a month - on - month increase of 0.73% and a year - on - year decrease of - 2.36%. The operating rate of EPS is 41.00%, a month - on - month increase of 0.64% and a year - on - year decrease of - 31.28%. The operating rate of ABS is 73.00%, a month - on - month increase of 0.69% and a year - on - year increase of 19.09%. With the arrival of the seasonal peak season, downstream demand has slightly improved [11]. - **Inventory**: The in - plant inventory of EB is 186,900 tons, a month - on - month decrease of - 3.62% and a year - on - year increase of 6.48%. The EB inventory in Jiangsu ports is 196,500 tons, a month - on - month decrease of - 2.67% and a year - on - year increase of 372.36%. The port inventory has been reduced from high levels [12]. - **Strategy**: The recommended strategy is to wait and see, with a forecast range of 5800 - 6100 for pure benzene (BZ2603) and 6800 - 7100 for styrene (EB2511) [13]. 02. Futures and Spot Markets - The styrene price has been continuously declining, and multiple charts show the historical trends of styrene spot price, futures contract price, basis, trading volume, open interest, and spreads [16][20][22]. 03. Profit and Inventory - **Inventory**: Multiple charts show the historical trends of styrene port inventory, factory inventory, and pure benzene port inventory [37][39]. - **Profit**: The profit of styrene is fluctuating at a low level compared to the same period in history. Charts show the profit trends of ethylbenzene dehydrogenation and POSM processes, as well as the production capacity share of the top ten styrene producers [43][48]. 04. Cost Side - **Pure Benzene Industry Chain**: The profit of naphtha has rebounded significantly. Pure benzene has maintained inventory reduction in 2025, and the supply - demand gap will increase quarter - on - quarter in the fourth quarter. The price difference between the US and South Korea for pure benzene is fluctuating upward, and the inventory of caprolactam plants is oscillating at a high level [55][59][66]. - **Production and Demand**: A table shows the production and demand situation of pure benzene and its downstream products in 2025, including production capacity, production time, and supply - demand gaps [60]. 05. Supply Side - **Production Capacity and Supply - Demand Gap**: The supply - demand gap of styrene will increase in the fourth quarter of 2025. Tables show the production and demand situation of styrene and its downstream products, including production capacity, production time, and supply - demand gaps [106][108]. - **Production and Import - Export**: The styrene production volume is oscillating at a high level compared to the same period. Charts show the historical trends of styrene production, import volume, export volume, and operating rate [114][116][118]. 06. Demand Side - **Downstream 3S Production Capacity**: Charts show the production capacity, output, and growth rate trends of ABS, PS, and EPS [126]. - **Operating Rate and Profit**: The operating rates of EPS and PS are oscillating at a low level compared to the same period, while the operating rate of ABS has rebounded from a low level. Charts show the operating rates and production profits of EPS, PS, and ABS, as well as the inventory situations of downstream products [129][133][135]. - **End - User Demand**: The production volume of washing machines has a moderately high year - on - year growth rate, and charts show the sales volume, production volume, and inventory trends of household refrigerators and washing machines [157][158][150].

Core Points - The article highlights the benefits of the RCEP (Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership) for Erdos City Zhongxuan Biochemical Co., Ltd, particularly in reducing import tariffs for xanthan gum exports to countries like Australia and Japan [1][2] - The Erdos Customs has implemented various supportive measures to help local businesses take advantage of RCEP policies, including personalized consultations and a "cloud signing" service for origin certificates [2] Group 1 - The production of xanthan gum at Erdos City Zhongxuan Biochemical Co., Ltd has increased, with the company benefiting from a 2% reduction in import tariffs in Australia due to the RCEP origin certificate [1] - The company reported a tax savings of over 360,000 yuan from exports to Japan and Australia in the first three quarters of the year, thanks to the RCEP origin certificate [1] - From January to September, Erdos City’s foreign trade enterprises have enjoyed a total of approximately 31.234 million yuan in tariff reductions through the RCEP origin certificate [1] Group 2 - Erdos Customs has launched the "Intelligent Customs Strong Nation" initiative and implemented the "cloud signing" model for RCEP origin certificates, allowing businesses to apply for certificates without leaving their premises [2] - A total of 122 RCEP origin certificates have been issued by Erdos Customs from January to September, with a total value of 539 million yuan [2]

Market Performance - The Sci-Tech 50 Index experienced a decline of nearly 4% on October 17, closing at 1363.17 points, with a drop of 3.77% and a fluctuation of 3.90% [1] - The total trading volume reached approximately 72.84 billion yuan, with 588 stocks on the Sci-Tech board averaging a decline of 3.49% and an average turnover rate of 2.78% [1] Stock Performance - Among individual stocks, Shenlian Bio led the gainers with an increase of 10.65%, while Shijia Photon recorded the largest drop at 18.58% [2] - In terms of trading volume, Cambrian Technology topped the list with a transaction volume of 10.61 billion yuan, while ST Guandian had the lowest at 863.2 thousand yuan [3] Turnover Rate - Saifen Technology achieved the highest turnover rate at 24.67%, whereas Longteng Optoelectronics had the lowest turnover rate at 0.25% [4]

Core Viewpoint - LianKe Technology reported revenue and profit growth in the first three quarters of 2025, alongside a cash dividend plan to reward shareholders [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, LianKe Technology achieved revenue of 1.788 billion yuan, an increase of 8.66% compared to 1.645 billion yuan in the same period last year [1] - The net profit for the same period was 230 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 15.26%, which is higher than the revenue growth rate [1] - The net cash flow from operating activities significantly improved to 320 million yuan, a 208.98% increase from 104 million yuan in the previous year [1] Group 2: Industry Context - LianKe Technology operates in the silica and carbon black sectors, with performance exceeding the industry average [2] - The carbon black industry is facing supply-demand challenges, while the silica industry benefits from structural growth driven by emerging sector demands [2] - LianKe Technology is the second-largest producer of silica in China, with increasing market demand due to the rapid development of industries like new energy vehicles and green tires [2] Group 3: Strategic Initiatives - The company is actively pursuing a circular economy strategy, implementing waste heat and photovoltaic power generation to reduce production costs and enhance profitability [2] - LianKe Technology is advancing production line upgrades to strengthen its scale advantages and sustainable development capabilities [2] - In August, the company received approval for a refinancing application to fund a project aimed at producing 100,000 tons of nano-carbon materials for high-voltage cable shielding, which is part of its strategic development plan [3]

Core Viewpoint - The market experienced significant activity with 34 stocks hitting the daily limit up, indicating strong investor interest and momentum in certain sectors [1] Group 1: Market Performance - A total of 34 stocks reached the daily limit up, with 11 stocks achieving consecutive limit ups [1] - 16 stocks attempted to hit the limit but failed, resulting in a limit-up rate of 68% (excluding ST and delisted stocks) [1] Group 2: Focus Stocks - Shanghai Microelectronics concept stock Huajian Group achieved 10 consecutive limit ups over 20 days [1] - Storage chip sector stocks such as Hefei Urban Construction recorded 5 limit ups in 9 days, while Sanfu Co. had 2 consecutive limit ups [1] - Palm oil price increase concept stock Yuanda Holdings achieved 3 consecutive limit ups [1] - Asia-Pacific Pharmaceutical, which underwent a change in actual controller, also saw 3 consecutive limit ups [1] - Agricultural chemical stock Xinong Co. recorded 3 consecutive limit ups [1]

Core Insights - The report highlights a positive outlook for the telecommunications industry, driven by the approval of eSIM mobile phone commercial trials and a recovery in global telecom equipment revenue [18][21] - The report indicates a strong performance in the lithium battery sector, with a significant increase in electric vehicle sales and battery installations [23] - The petrochemical industry is expected to benefit from new growth stabilization plans, enhancing quality and efficiency [24][34] Domestic Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3,912.21, with a daily increase of 1.22%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 1.73% to 13,118.75 [4] - The A-share market is experiencing a steady upward trend, with average P/E ratios for the Shanghai Composite and ChiNext at 15.82 and 47.50, respectively, indicating a favorable long-term investment environment [9][10] International Market Performance - Major international indices showed mixed results, with the Dow Jones down by 0.67% and the S&P 500 down by 0.45%, while the Nikkei 225 increased by 0.62% [5] Economic Indicators - China's CPI decreased by 0.3% year-on-year in September, while the PPI fell by 2.3%, indicating ongoing deflationary pressures [9] - The report emphasizes the importance of expectation management in macroeconomic governance to support economic recovery [9] Industry Analysis - The telecommunications sector saw a 0.96% increase in the industry index in September, underperforming compared to the broader market indices [18] - The lithium battery sector experienced a 24.63% year-on-year increase in electric vehicle sales, with a notable rise in battery installations [23] - The petrochemical industry index rose by 5.02% in September, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index [24][25] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on sectors such as telecommunications, AI-enabled smartphones, and electric vehicle batteries for potential investment opportunities [21][23] - It recommends a balanced investment strategy across growth and value styles, particularly in the TMT and pharmaceutical sectors [16]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints - For soda ash, supply is expected to be abundant and demand to weaken. Without production cut expectations, prices are likely to continue falling, but there may be variables with the "anti - involution" hype. It shows some signs of bottom - building, and investors are advised to short - term go long on the main soda ash contract at low levels [2]. - For glass, in October, the supply is relatively stable, and there are expectations of production line cold - repairs due to factors like rising natural gas prices and environmental policies. The demand showed a short - term rebound during the National Day but may not be sustainable. Prices are likely to rise with a pattern of post - holiday supply contraction, reduced inventory pressure, and policy expectations. Investors are advised to short - term go long on the main glass contract at low levels [2]. Summary by Directory Futures Market - Soda ash main contract closing price is 1,232 yuan/ton, down 2 yuan; glass main contract closing price is 1,129 yuan/ton, down 9 yuan [2]. - The price difference between soda ash and glass is 103 yuan/ton, up 7 yuan; soda ash main contract open interest is 1,377,333 lots, down 7,021 lots; glass main contract open interest is 1,464,845 lots, up 55,157 lots [2]. - Soda ash top 20 net open interest is - 267,465 lots, up 766 lots; glass top 20 net open interest is - 179,438 lots, down 40,952 lots [2]. - Soda ash exchange warehouse receipts are 7,856 tons, down 26 tons; glass exchange warehouse receipts are 0 tons, unchanged [2]. - Soda ash basis is - 64 yuan/ton, up 33 yuan; glass basis is - 13 yuan, up 1 yuan [2]. - The spread between January and May glass contracts is - 142 yuan, down 8 yuan; the spread between January and May soda ash contracts is - 87 yuan, up 2 yuan [2]. Spot Market - North China heavy soda ash is 1,170 yuan/ton, up 20 yuan; Central China heavy soda ash is 1,300 yuan/ton, unchanged [2]. - East China light soda ash is 1,250 yuan/ton, unchanged; Central China light soda ash is 1,145 yuan/ton, down 70 yuan [2]. - Shahe glass sheets are 1,124 yuan/ton, down 8 yuan; Central China glass sheets are 1,200 yuan/ton, down 20 yuan [2]. Industry Situation - Soda ash plant operating rate is 88.41%, down 0.76 percentage points; float glass enterprise operating rate is 76.01%, unchanged [2]. - Glass in - production capacity is 16.07 million tons/year, up 0.05 million tons; the number of in - production glass production lines is 225, unchanged [2]. - Soda ash enterprise inventory is 168.46 million tons, up 2.48 million tons; glass enterprise inventory is 62.824 million weight boxes, up 3.469 million weight boxes [2]. Downstream Situation - Cumulative real estate new construction area is 398.0101 million square meters, up 45.9501 million square meters; cumulative real estate completion area is 276.9354 million square meters, up 26.5954 million square meters [2]. Industry News - Many soda ash plants have production adjustments, including production cuts, startups, and load changes. For example, Henan Zhongyuan Chemical's soda ash plant reduced production, Hubei Shuanghuan's plant started up, and Shandong Hualu - Hengsheng's plant restored production [2]. - Overall, the domestic soda ash operating rate is rising, and production is increasing. In the long - term, some backward production capacity may be phased out, while natural - soda ash production capacity is rising [2]. - The Sichuan - Chongqing soda ash market is stable, and supply is expected to increase with plant restarts [2]. Glass Market - In October, glass production lines are relatively stable. Rising natural gas prices may lead to more cold - repairs, and environmental policies may limit capacity release [2]. - During the National Day, the real estate sales situation improved, but the overall price recovery is limited, and demand may not be sustainable [2].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - PTA: After the holiday, the spot market trading atmosphere was average, and the spot basis weakened slightly. Some PTA device maintenance and production cuts, combined with the delay of new device commissioning, improved the supply - demand outlook. It is expected that the short - term spot price will still fluctuate mainly following the cost side. Attention should be paid to device changes and downstream production and sales [5]. - MEG: This week, the arrival at the main port of ethylene glycol is still high, and it is expected that the port inventory will still rise at the beginning of next week. In October, the supply - demand pattern of ethylene glycol turned to inventory accumulation, with an overall increase of about 50,000 tons, and there is continuous inventory accumulation pressure in the far - month. The market sentiment is under obvious pressure. It is expected that the short - term ethylene glycol market will operate weakly. Attention should be paid to external and device changes [8]. - Overall: The short - term commodity market is greatly affected by the macro - level. Attention should be paid to the cost side, and the upper resistance level should be monitored for the market rebound [13]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1. Previous Day's Review No information provided. 3.2. Daily Hints - **PTA** - Fundamental: Yesterday, PTA futures fluctuated and declined. The spot market trading atmosphere was average, and the spot basis weakened. The trading was mainly among traders. The price negotiation range for October goods was around 4,340 - 4,425, and the current mainstream spot basis is 01 - 82 [5]. - Basis: The spot price is 4,385, and the 01 contract basis is - 55, with the futures price higher than the spot price [6]. - Inventory: The PTA factory inventory is 4.22 days, a week - on - week increase of 0.47 days [6]. - Market: The 20 - day moving average is downward, and the closing price is below the 20 - day moving average [6]. - Main Position: Net short position, with short positions increasing [6]. - **MEG** - Fundamental: On Tuesday, the price center of ethylene glycol fluctuated and weakened, and the market trading was average. The night - session of ethylene glycol declined, and the buying sentiment was average. The intraday market continued to be weak, with the low - level spot transactions around 4,110 - 4,115 yuan/ton, and the spot basis moderately weakened [8]. - Basis: The spot price is 4,150, and the 01 contract basis is 89, with the spot price higher than the futures price [9]. - Inventory: The total inventory in East China is 445,100 tons, a week - on - week increase of 40,800 tons [9]. - Market: The 20 - day moving average is downward, and the closing price is below the 20 - day moving average [9]. - Main Position: Net short position, with short positions decreasing [8]. 3.3. Today's Focus No information provided. 3.4. Fundamental Data - **PTA Supply - Demand Balance Sheet** - From 2024 to 2025, PTA production capacity showed an increasing trend, with the production capacity reaching 9.472 billion tons in December 2025. The production capacity utilization rate and production volume also fluctuated. The demand from polyester also showed an upward trend, and the inventory and inventory - to - consumption ratio also changed accordingly [14]. - **Ethylene Glycol Supply - Demand Balance Sheet** - From 2024 to 2025, the total production and supply of ethylene glycol showed an increasing trend, and the demand from polyester also increased. The port inventory and inventory - to - consumption ratio also changed over time [15]. 3.5. Impact Factor Summary - **Positive Factors** - Before the holiday, driven by the rebound in demand and oil prices, the polyester market sales were booming. The inventory of POY and FDY in the pre - spinning of filament yarns quickly decreased to about half a month, and the prices rebounded by 100 - 150 yuan. During the holiday, the polyester prices were stable [10]. - Some PTA device maintenance and production cuts, combined with the delay of new device commissioning [11]. - **Negative Factors** - A 3.6 - million - ton PTA device in East China is currently gradually increasing its production to over 90%, and this device reduced its load around October 7 [12].

Core Viewpoint - The company Huicheng Environmental Protection (300779.SZ) reported that its production and operational status is normal as of October 15 [1] Group 1: Production and Operations - The company has a project for the comprehensive utilization of 200,000 tons/year of mixed waste plastics, producing liquefied plastic cracking gas and plastic cracking light oil [1] - The customer for plastic cracking light oil is Fujian United Petrochemical, which is currently testing the product [1] - The customers for liquefied plastic cracking gas include Litop New Materials and Maohua Shihua [1] Group 2: Partnerships and Collaborations - The company has established deep cooperation with several companies, including Amco, in the areas of raw material supply and chemical recycling products (liquefied plastic cracking gas and plastic cracking light oil) [1] - The company commits to timely information disclosure in accordance with relevant regulations for any new agreements signed in the future [1]