专题：财经年会2026：预测与战略暨2025全球财富管理论坛 以下为演讲实录： 尊敬的各位领导，各位来宾，大家上午好！非常高兴能够参加《财经》年会2026：预测与战略暨2025全 球财富管理论坛，我谨代表市金融管理局对活动的成功举办表示热烈的祝贺，向长期以来关心支持首都 金融发展的新老朋友表示衷心的感谢！ 金融是国民经济的血脉，关系中国式现代化建设的全局。党的二十届四中全会对我国十五五时期经济社 会发展做出了顶层设计和战略擘画，全会通过的建议也就金融强国做出了重要的部署。12月10日，中央 经济工作会强调要坚定信心用好优势应对挑战，不断巩固扩展经济稳中向好的优势，为我们当前和今后 一个时期的经济金融工作指明了方向。 北京作为国家金融管理中心，目前北京金融业总资产规模约占全国的一半，金融业法人机构数、从业人 员数、保险密度和深度等指标均居全国第一。一批金融五篇大文章创新举措协同发力，截至三季度末全 市金融五篇大文章合计贷款余额6.8万亿元，北京地区银行间市场科创债发行规模位居全国前位，北京 绿色交易所获批建设全国温室气体自愿减排交易中心和国家绿色技术交易中心，多层次的资本市场功能 持续得到完善。北交所提质扩容成 ...

当前，我国网民规模体量巨大，自媒体平台也为数众多，不少资本市场的"小作文"都呈现出跨平台传播 的特征。头部自媒体平台的治理能起到很好的带头引领作用，未来也期待更多的自媒体平台效仿加入， 更好形成合力，为资本市场信息的净化添砖加瓦。 整治资本市场"小作文"是一项系统性工程。自媒体平台处于最前端，理应切实当好"守门员""把关人"， 扛起平台的主体责任。在后端，行政、司法也在归位尽责。今年5月，最高人民法院、证监会印发《关 于严格公正执法司法服务保障资本市场高质量发展的指导意见》。其中明确表示，对于通过编传"小作 文"等虚假信息扰乱市场秩序、损害他人权益的行为，受害人提起民事诉讼要求损害赔偿的，人民法院 依法予以支持。相信经过各方的不懈努力，资本市场"小作文"的治理水平及治理能力都将显著提升。 近日，抖音发布了《抖音社区财经行业公约（试行）》，进一步加强对抖音平台财经内容发布的管理。 作者资质方面，倡导完成平台财经专业资质认证，禁止未经平台资质认证的账号发布财经专业内容。内 容方面，禁止造谣传谣，禁止编造虚假财经信息误导用户。 一直以来，资本市场上各种"小作文"层出不穷，对市场正常秩序造成了一定冲击，有的甚至还导致 ...

Group 1 - The central economic work conference has identified key tasks for next year's economic work, emphasizing the continuous deepening of comprehensive reforms in capital market investment and financing, marking a clear direction for high-quality development in the capital market as the "14th Five-Year Plan" begins [1] - The focus on capital market reforms for two consecutive years highlights the central government's high regard for the capital market, with an emphasis on moving into deeper reforms that are more core and critical, and paying greater attention to overall stability and coordination [1] - Investment and financing are two sides of the same coin in the capital market, and promoting a dynamic balance between the two has been a significant focus of recent reforms [1] Group 2 - The current high proportion of indirect financing compared to direct financing has not seen substantial change, indicating that the role of "long money and long investment" is still insufficient to meet the needs of high-quality economic development [2] - The establishment of a growth tier on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board and the formal implementation of a third listing standard for the ChiNext have accelerated the capital market's service to technological innovation, allowing many hard-tech and innovative companies to successfully list on the A-share market [2] - The capital market serves not only as a financing platform for companies but also as a competitive arena for survival of the fittest, necessitating an open entry for valuable companies and a streamlined exit mechanism for underperforming firms [2] Group 3 - On the investment side, it is crucial to attract long-term capital while also building a supportive ecosystem, as a market dominated by short-term speculation cannot meet the expectations for wealth preservation and growth [3] - Institutional innovation is needed to optimize the assessment and investment constraints of long-term funds such as insurance and social security funds, thereby expanding the pool of long-term capital [3] - The central economic work conference emphasizes that the reforms on the investment and financing sides should not be isolated but should be coordinated and complementary, requiring a holistic approach in institutional design [3] Group 4 - As reforms in investment and financing deepen and stabilize, a long-term ecosystem will be gradually established, promoting a balance in quantity and continuous improvement in quality within the capital market, which will better support employment stability, enterprise stability, market stability, and expectation stability [3]

吴晓求 ◎记者 汤立斌 锚定三重目标 深化资本市场改革 "'十五五'时期是我国基本实现社会主义现代化夯实基础、全面发力的关键时期，具有承前启后的重要 地位。"吴晓求表示，这一时期，在推动经济结构转型和产业升级迭代的过程中，要发挥金融特别是资 本市场的重要枢纽作用。 在他看来，资本市场未来改革要实现三方面的目标，分别是基础目标、核心目标和愿景目标。 一是基础目标，即排除资本市场中的"雷区"。吴晓求表示，资本市场改革的首要任务是让市场"没有 雷"，即杜绝欺诈与造假行为。须对证券违法犯罪保持"零容忍"态度，通过严厉的刑事处罚，让违法 者"不敢想，不敢做"。同时，应建立有效的刑事处罚与民事赔偿机制，进一步净化资本市场生态。 二是核心目标，即加快资本市场成为中国经济增长和产业升级迭代的推动者，同时成为我国重要的社会 财富管理平台。资本市场应逐步成为居民财富配置的主要渠道。 当前，居民资产中房地产占比仍然较高，下一步要着重调整居民存量资产的结构，推动资本市场真正成 为承载居民财富、分享经济增长成果的核心平台。 三是愿景目标，即通过改革，将资本市场建设成为新的国际金融中心。资本市场高质量发展是实现金融 强国目标的重要载体。 ...

Group 1 - The core index sample stocks in the Shenzhen market underwent a periodic adjustment, resulting in a significant increase in the weight of strategic emerging industries, with the ChiNext index reaching 93% and the ChiNext 50 index at 98% [1] - The adjustment in sample stocks is not unique to the Shenzhen market, as similar trends have been observed in the Shanghai market, indicating a broader shift towards new productive forces [1] - The adjustment is expected to trigger synchronized rebalancing operations in the market, leading to a continuous and large-scale flow of funds into strategic emerging industries through various financial instruments [1] Group 2 - The continuous enhancement of the capital market's shift towards new forces is supported by a cohesive policy framework, with the central economic work conference emphasizing innovation-driven development and the integration of technology and industry [2] - The macroeconomic environment is improving, with GDP growth of 5.2% year-on-year in the first three quarters, supporting the development of strategic emerging industries and the transformation of traditional industries [3] - A surge in high-quality assets is attracting value investment, with companies in key sectors like artificial intelligence and biotechnology gaining market recognition, leading to a robust supply of quality assets in the capital market [4]

经过30多年的发展，我国资本市场从无到有、从小到大，当前正处在向高质量发展快速转变的关键阶段。上市公司是资本 市场之基，没有良好的公司治理，就难有优质的上市公司。开展新一轮公司治理专项行动，将进一步夯实资本市场根基，提升 资本市场竞争力，推动资本市场高质量发展。 提升上市公司质量，规范的公司治理是基础，良好的绩效是目标。开展新一轮公司治理专项行动非常有必要。这有助于进 一步形成"规则完善—治理优化—质量提升—市场稳健—投资者受益"的良性循环，更好释放上市公司高质量发展动能，服务经 济社会高质量发展。 上市公司作为公众公司，是规范治理的第一责任主体。因此，上市公司要在深刻认识公众公司姓"公"属性的基础上，对自 身规范发展提出更高要求，推动公司治理水平的提升。 一是要进一步健全内部控制。内部控制是公司治理框架中的核心要素，在维护公司的合法经营、防范化解各类风险、提升 运营效率和保障利益相关者权益等方面都发挥着至关重要的作用。这就要求上市公司一方面要紧盯"关键少数"，以点带面实现 公司治理水平的全面提升；另一方面，要实施动态内部控制缺陷监控与报告机制，一旦出现问题能及时发现、及时解决。 二是要提升治理透明度和规范性 ...

随着存款利率持续下行、权益市场热度提升，面对大量定期存款到期，银行一方面将在重定价中迎来 负债成本进一步下降，另一方面则面临存款流失压力。而作为"存款搬家"的一个重要方向，今年以 来资本市场对这一趋势的关注和讨论不断升温。 有机构测算结果显示，如果综合考虑历史经验和当前超额储蓄情况，未来"存款搬家"入市的潜在规 模至少是万亿级的。从定期存款到期规模来看，2024年之前存入、2026年之后到期的规模超过60 万亿元。但也有机构人士提示称，社会财富流向资本市场是一个长期过程，应该理性看待。相比之 下，超30万亿元规模的理财产品离资本市场更近，含权类理财的未来空间更值得关注。 2025.12. 17 本文字数：3361，阅读时长大约5分钟 作者 | 第一财经 亓宁 "女士，您有一笔定期存款快要到期了，目前我行3年期存款利率最高能到1.75%，1万（元）起存， 额度有限。一万（元）以下是1.6%，您可以考虑办理续存。"近期，家住北京的扬子（化名）收到 了来自某股份行客户经理的电话提示。这笔资金是她两年前以2.35%的年利率存入这家银行，手机 银行显示，目前该行2年期定存利率只有1.4%。 "存款 搬家"潜力来自哪里 ...

All right, I want to start off with some of the news of this morning. We're seeing oil prices move higher on sanctions on Venezuela and also potential sanctions on Russia. Uh, does this idea of the potential for oil to move higher, at least we're seeing that move this morning, does it change your view of any sectors or the markets in general.>> Sure. Look, I mean, oil prices has so far not contributed to the inflation pressures in the US, which obviously helped the Fed cut rates. This is a key indicator tha ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes that capital market reform is a crucial element in China's economic transformation by 2025, impacting both investor wealth expectations and the financing efficiency of innovative enterprises [2] - The discussion highlights the need for fundamental institutional innovation to rebuild market confidence and address deep-seated contradictions within the capital market ecosystem [2] Group 2 - The issue of "one-share dominance" and the controversy surrounding major shareholder reductions are significant, with 4,000 out of 5,400 listed companies being privately controlled, and 126 private enterprises having original shareholders holding over 90% [3][4] - There is a notable concern regarding the potential market pressure from major shareholder reductions, with 1,979 companies disclosing reduction plans amounting to 400 billion, which could lead to a total potential sell-off of 21.5 trillion if 20% of the main board's market value is reduced [4] - The discussion also touches on the IPO system design, noting that high-tech companies in China often skip multiple financing rounds, leading to concentrated shareholding, unlike the gradual dilution seen in U.S. companies [4][6] Group 3 - The current financing structure shows a significant imbalance, with capital market financing at approximately 1 trillion compared to 20 trillion in bank loans, indicating a need for reform to enhance direct financing [8] - The expected total dividend payout in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets is projected to exceed 2 trillion by 2025, signaling a gradual return of the market to its investment function [8] - Institutional reforms are proposed, including legal amendments to impose severe penalties for fraudulent activities, the development of institutional investors, and improvements in civil compensation mechanisms [8][9] Group 4 - The role of institutional investors is under scrutiny, with calls for aligning management fees with performance rather than fixed fees, which are seen as unreasonable [9] - The introduction of new policies to encourage insurance funds to enter the market is viewed as a critical step in improving the funding structure [9] - The overall restructuring of China's capital market ecosystem is deemed necessary to address issues from the asset side, funding side, and institutional side [9]

记者丨 冉黎黎 刘世锦。资料图 金融怎么为现阶段的高质量发展服务？刘世锦表示，很重要的一点，是需要有强大的资本市场 和强大的货币。 编辑丨 张伟贤 从资本市场来看，刘世锦指出，金融为实体经济服务，简单地说就是选项目，选出有市场、有 效益、有前景、风险可控的好项目，提升资源配置效率。随着我国经济进入高质量发展阶段， 经济增长复杂度是在增加的，金融体系选项目的能力也要相应提升，这就是由传统银行体系到 现代资本市场体系演进的底层逻辑。 由南方财经全媒体集团主办，21世纪经济报道承办，渣打银行战略支持，东方证券等支持 的"南方财经论坛2025年会"12月5日—6日在广州南方财经大厦举办。 在刘世锦看来，中国经济进入创新驱动阶段后，选项目的职能更多地由资本市场来承担。 与 此同时，也会看到全社会的资金更多地流向资本市场。按照法国经济学家皮凯蒂的研究，GDP 《中共中央关于制定国民经济和社会发展第十五个五年规划的建议》提出，加快建设金融强 国。这是"金融强国"首次写入五年规划建议。 与社会净资产的比例为1∶5—1∶6。"十五五"和以后更长一个时期，如果GDP能够保持4%—5% 的增长速度，每年将会形成不低于30万亿元的社 ...