行业 MEG 日报 日期 2025 年 5 月 20 日 料油） 021-60635738 lijie@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3031215 021-60635737 renjunchi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3037892 业硅）028-8663 0631 penghaozhou@ccb.ccbfutures.c om期货从业资格号：F3065843 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.c om期货从业资格号：F3075681 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03094925 021-60635730 lijin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3015157 021-60635727 fengzeren@ccb.ccbfutures.com 能源化工研究团队 研究员：李捷,CFA（原油燃 研究员：任俊弛（PTA、MEG） 研究员：彭浩洲（尿素、工 研究员：彭婧霖（聚烯烃） 研究员：刘悠然（纸浆） 研究员 ...

行业 PTA 日报 日期 2025 年 5 月 20 日 油） 021-60635738 lijie@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3031215 021-60635737 renjunchi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3037892 硅）028-8663 0631 penghaozhou@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3065843 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3075681 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03094925 021-60635730 lijin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3015157 021-60635727 fengzeren@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03134307 能源化工研究团队 研究员：李捷,CFA（原油燃料 研究员：任俊弛（PTA、MEG） 研究员：彭浩洲（尿素、工业 研究员：彭婧霖（聚烯 ...

Core Insights - The rapid development of the Luogou Riverside Agricultural Market in Erqi District has attracted nearly 400 merchants since its trial operation began in January last year, achieving an average daily transaction volume of 15 million yuan, making it the largest distribution center for agricultural products in the southwestern region of Zhengzhou [2][3] Group 1: Financial Support and Coordination - The Erqi District has initiated a "thousand enterprises, ten thousand households" outreach program to address the financing needs of local businesses, particularly the Luogou Market, which faced funding pressures for its second phase of construction [3][4] - A specialized financial service plan was quickly developed by the district's Development and Reform Commission in collaboration with the financial office, resulting in a 2 million yuan loan being disbursed within two working days [3][4] - The Jin Yuan Petrochemical Company, a small enterprise in Xiangyun Community, successfully coordinated with the bank to clear old debts and secure a new loan of 1.5 million yuan to expand production [3][4] Group 2: Service Network and Innovation - Since October 2024, the Erqi District government has prioritized the coordination of financing for small and micro enterprises, establishing a three-tier service network that combines local management with industry oversight [4][5] - The district has implemented a grassroots service approach, utilizing community workers to identify businesses in need of funding and provide detailed explanations of small loan policies [4][5] - A face-to-face communication platform has been created to facilitate direct interactions between government, banks, and enterprises, enhancing the understanding of financing options among small business owners [5][6] Group 3: Economic Impact and Growth - As of April 2025, the Erqi District has assisted nearly 26,000 enterprises in applying for financing, with over 23,000 entering the recommendation list and more than 20,000 receiving credit, totaling 7.86 billion yuan in loans [6] - These financial resources have been crucial in revitalizing market entities and fostering new economic growth points, particularly in sectors like electronic information and smart logistics [6]

Core Viewpoint - The controversy surrounding the qualification requirements for a bidding project by China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC) raises questions about the integrity of public procurement processes, particularly regarding the legitimacy of non-official certificates used as qualifications [2][3][4]. Group 1: Bidding Project Details - A bidding project for brand communication services by China Petroleum Lubricating Oil Company was awarded to Shanghai Yunhong Advertising Co., Ltd. for approximately 2.14 million yuan [2][4]. - The qualification requirement for bidders included a non-official certificate for "Internet news information editing and publishing service," which has sparked debate over its validity compared to the official "Internet News Information Service License" issued by the State Internet Information Office [3][4][6]. Group 2: Qualification Certificate Controversy - The questioned certificate can be purchased online for 1,500 yuan, raising concerns about its authenticity and the potential for misuse in the bidding process [3][14][20]. - The certificate's issuing organizations, such as the "China Small and Medium Enterprises Integrity Alliance," lack clear official recognition, leading to confusion about their legitimacy [9][19]. Group 3: Regulatory Framework - According to China's regulations, only news organizations or those supervised by news propaganda departments can apply for the official "Internet News Information Service License," which is valid for three years [6][8]. - The lack of clarity in the bidding documents regarding the required qualifications may have allowed for the acceptance of non-official certificates, potentially undermining the procurement process [12][13]. Group 4: Industry Practices - Other state-owned enterprises typically require the official "Internet News Information Service License" in their bidding documents, highlighting a deviation in CNPC's approach [6][7]. - The use of non-official qualifications in public procurement could lead to unfair advantages and questions about the transparency of the bidding process [12][21].

本次下调落实后，2 0 2 5年以来，国内成品油零售限价已达5次下调，国内多地9 2 #汽油将有望 自 2 1 年 底 之 后 重 新 进 入 " 6 元 时 代 " ， 0 # 柴 油 亦 有 望 进 入 2 1 年 以 来 的 低 位 水 平 ， 部 分 省 份 进 入" 6 . 5元"以内。 作 者丨费心懿 编 辑丨骆一帆 国家发展改革委今日消息，根据近期国际市场油价变化情况，按照现行成品油价格形成机制， 2 0 2 5年5月1 9日2 4时汽、柴油零售限价分别下调2 3 0元/吨、2 2 0元/吨，折升价9 2 #汽油、9 5 # 汽油、0 #柴油分别下调0 . 1 8元、0 . 1 9元、0 . 1 9元。 消费者用油成本减少， 以油箱容量为5 0升的家用轿车为例，加满一箱9 2 #汽油将少花 9 元 。 以 月 跑 2 0 0 0 公 里 ， 百 公 里 平 均 油 耗 8L 的 燃 油 汽 车 为 例 ， 下 次 调 价 窗 口 开 启 前 （ 6 月 3 日 2 4 时 ） ， 单 辆 车 的 燃 油 成 本 将 减 少 1 4 元 左 右 。 物 流 行 业 ， 以 月 跑 1 0 0 0 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several companies including Xinyangfeng, Senqilin, Ruifeng New Materials, Sinopec, and others [10]. Core Viewpoints - The report highlights significant price increases in products such as butadiene (up 21.98%) and styrene (up 12.11%), while products like liquid chlorine and p-nitrochlorobenzene saw notable declines [4][18]. - It suggests focusing on investment opportunities in import substitution, domestic demand, and high-dividend assets due to the current international oil price stabilization and geopolitical uncertainties [6][19]. - The report emphasizes the mixed performance across different sub-sectors within the chemical industry, with some sectors like tires and lubricants showing better-than-expected results [21]. Summary by Sections Industry Tracking - International oil prices have stabilized, with WTI at $61.62 per barrel and Brent at $64.53, reflecting a 2.85% and 2.69% increase respectively [6][22]. - The downstream demand has shown a noticeable decline, particularly in the propane market, which has seen a price drop of 1.43% [25]. - The coking coal market has experienced a price decline of 1.87% due to limited steel demand and expectations of reduced production [26]. Price Movements - Significant price increases were noted in butadiene, styrene, and hydrochloric acid, while liquid gas and natural gas prices fell [4][18]. - The PTA market saw a rise, with prices increasing by 6.74% in the East China market, driven by strong demand and rising costs [30]. Key Companies and Profit Forecasts - Companies such as Xinyangfeng, Senqilin, and Sinopec are highlighted for their strong earnings per share (EPS) growth and favorable price-to-earnings (PE) ratios, making them attractive investment options [10]. - The report suggests that companies in the tire industry, such as Senqilin and Sailun Tire, are well-positioned to benefit from global trade dynamics and tariff exemptions [21]. Investment Opportunities - The report recommends focusing on sectors that can benefit from import substitution, such as lubricating oil additives and special coatings, as well as domestic fertilizer production which is less affected by tariffs [21][8]. - It also highlights the potential of high-dividend stocks in the oil sector, particularly Sinopec, PetroChina, and CNOOC, as attractive investment options in the current market environment [6][21].

Core Insights - Hengli Petrochemical reported a revenue of 236.27 billion yuan for 2024, a slight increase of 0.63% year-on-year, indicating stable business growth despite a complex economic environment [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 7.04 billion yuan, reflecting a 2.01% increase from the previous year, suggesting improved profitability through effective cost control and market share expansion [3] - However, the net profit after excluding non-recurring gains and losses decreased by 13.14% to 5.21 billion yuan, highlighting potential pressures on core business performance [4] Financial Performance - Revenue growth was steady, with quarterly revenues of 58.39 billion yuan, 54.15 billion yuan, 65.23 billion yuan, and 58.51 billion yuan, showing a balanced performance throughout the year [2] - Basic earnings per share increased by 2.04% to 1.00 yuan, indicating enhanced profitability [3] - Research and development expenses rose significantly by 24.20% to 1.70 billion yuan, reflecting the company's commitment to innovation and competitiveness [4][6] Cash Flow Analysis - Operating cash flow net amount decreased by 3.41% to 22.73 billion yuan, indicating potential changes in cash collection speed or cost control [5] - Investment cash flow net amount improved significantly to -20.90 billion yuan from -38.81 billion yuan, suggesting a slowdown in fixed asset investments [5] - Financing cash flow net amount decreased by 21.11% to 7.82 billion yuan, indicating adjustments in the company's financing strategy [5] R&D and Personnel - The number of R&D personnel reached 3,779, accounting for 9.87% of the total workforce, providing a solid talent base for innovation [7] - The educational background of R&D staff includes 16 PhDs, 113 Master's degrees, and 3,650 with Bachelor's degrees or below, supporting a diverse skill set [7] Overall Assessment - Hengli Petrochemical maintained revenue and net profit growth in 2024, but the decline in net profit after excluding non-recurring items and operating cash flow warrants attention [4][5] - The significant increase in R&D investment is expected to drive future growth, while the company must navigate various risks related to macroeconomic conditions, raw material prices, and regulatory requirements [9][10][12]

| | | | | 燃料油早报 | | 研究中心能化团队 2025/05/19 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 燃 料 油 | | | | | | | | | 日期 | 鹿特丹3.5% HSF | 鹿特丹0.5% VLS | 鹿特丹HSFO-Br | 鹿特丹10ppm G | 鹿特丹VLSFO-G | LGO-Brent M1 | 鹿特丹VLSFO-H | | | O掉期 M1 | FO掉期 M1 | ent M1 | asoil掉期 M1 | O M1 | | SFO M1 | | 2025/05/12 | 402.21 | 442.91 | -1.29 | 591.43 | -148.52 | 16.89 | 40.70 | | 2025/05/13 | 408.43 | 452.25 | -1.39 | 602.56 | -150.31 | 16.66 | 43.82 | | 2025/05/14 | 406.15 | 451.49 | -1.58 | 606.04 | -154.55 | 17.57 | 45.34 | | ...

研究中心能化团队 2025/5/19 | | 指标 | 4/16 | 5/8 | 5/14 | 5/15 | 5/16 | 日度变化 | 間度变化 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | BU主力合约 | 3278 | 3383 | 3521 | 3466 | 3510 | 44 | 127 | | | BU06 | 3278 | 3383 | 3521 | 3466 | 3510 | 44 | 127 | | | BU09 | 3265 | 3318 | 3447 | 3395 | 3411 | 16 | ਰੇਤੇ | | | BU12 | 3183 | 3161 | 3267 | 3211 | 3228 | 17 | 67 | | CHITET | BU03 | 3200 | 3170 | 3256 | 3200 | 3203 | 3 | 33 | | | 成交量 | 263178 | 330465 | 288306 | 295386 | 256382 | -39004 | -74083 | | | 持仓量 | 42054 ...

摘要：【图】2025年3月湖北省原油加工量统计分析 2025年3月原油加工量统计： 原油加工量：133.9 万吨 同比增长：-4.6% 增速较上一年同期变化：低2.3个百分点 2025年1-3月原油加工量统计： 原油加工量：430.9 万吨 同比增长：4.9% 增速较上一年同期变化：高1.5个百分点 据统计，2025年1－3月，湖北省规模以上工业企业原油加工量与上年同期相比增长了4.9%，达430.9万 吨，增速较上一年同期高1.5个百分点，继续保持增长，增速较同期全国高3.3个百分点，约占同期全国 规模以上企业原油加工量18224.8万吨的比重为2.4%。详见下图： 图2：湖北省原油加工量分月（累计值）统计图 据统计，2025年3月湖北省规模以上工业企业原油加工量与上年同期相比下降了4.6%，达133.9万吨，增 速较上一年同期低2.3个百分点，增速较同期全国低5.0个百分点，约占同期全国规模以上企业原油加工 量6305.8万吨的比重为2.1%。 详见下图： 图1：湖北省原油加工量分月（当月值）统计图 石油化工行业最新动态 石油未来发展趋势预测 化工现状及发展前景 日化发展前景趋势分析 润滑油的现状和发展趋 ...