计算机行业 行业研究 | 动态跟踪 太空算力未来可期，关注核心收益环节 核心观点 投资建议与投资标的 我们认为 AI 算力以及卫星信息基础设施相关标的都有望受益太空算力的发展： AI 算力：海光信息(688041，买入)、寒武纪-U(688256，未评级)； 卫星基础设施：中科星图(688568，未评级)、佳缘科技(301117，未评级)、航天宏图 (688066，增持)、盛邦安全(688651，未评级)。 风险提示 研发进展不及预期； 商业化进展不及预期。 国家/地区 中国 行业 计算机行业 报告发布日期 2025 年 12 月 02 日 看好（维持） | 陈超 | 执业证书编号：S0860521050002 | | --- | --- | | | chenchao3@orientsec.com.cn | | | 021-63326320 | | 浦俊懿 | 执业证书编号：S0860514050004 | | | pujunyi@orientsec.com.cn | | | 021-63326320 | | 宋鑫宇 | 执业证书编号：S0860524090002 | | | songxinyu@orient ...

截至12月1日，北交所融资融券余额合计75.69亿元，较前一交易日增加4194.95万元，其中，融资余额 75.69亿元，较前一交易日增加4184.58万元，为连续3个交易日增加；融券余额为60.17万元，较前一交 易日增加10.36万元。 | 代码 | 简称 | 12月1日涨跌幅 | 最新融资余额 | 较上一日增加 | 占流通市值比例 | 所属行 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | （%） | （万元） | （万元） | （%） | 业 | | 920640 | 富士达 | 3.84 | 8768.74 | 1857.51 | 1.47 | 通信 | | 920522 | 纳科诺 | -4.47 | 18602.66 | 1454.39 | 2.47 | 电力设 | | | 尔 | | | | | 备 | | 920116 | 星图测 控 | 8.22 | 8102.84 | 799.85 | 2.53 | 计算机 | | 920405 | 海希通 | 4.28 | 9624.42 | 720.66 | 3.23 | 机械设 | | | 讯 ...

Group 1: Market Performance - On December 1, the A-share market experienced a rebound, with the computer and chip sectors rising significantly. The CSI Computer Theme Index increased by 1.28%, with notable gains from companies like Runze Technology (over 6% increase) and others like Tuobang Co., Hongsoft Technology, and Zhongke Chuangda (each over 3% increase) [1] - The CSI Chip Industry Index rose by 1.97%, with Beijing Junzheng hitting the daily limit, and companies like China Resources Microelectronics, Nanda Optoelectronics, and Amlogic showing strong performance [1] - The Computer ETF (159998) saw a net inflow of over 60 million yuan in the last five trading days, while the Chip ETF Tianhong (159310) had a net inflow rate of 3.60% over the past 20 trading days, leading among similar products [1] Group 2: Industry Outlook - The Tianhong Chip ETF (159310) tracks the CSI Chip Industry Index, which is expected to see a 37.62% year-on-year growth in net profit attributable to shareholders in the first half of 2025, driven by policy support and surging demand [1] - The Computer ETF (159998) reflects the overall performance of the computer industry, covering software development, computer equipment, and IT services. Key AI application areas include AI hardware, software for consumer markets, enterprise services, and private deployment of large models for government [1] - According to reports, ByteDance's Doubao team has released a technical preview of the Doubao Phone Assistant, collaborating with phone manufacturers on AI assistant software, indicating a growing trend in AI integration within consumer electronics [2] - The "Beijing Action Plan for Promoting High-Quality Development of the 'AI + Audiovisual' Industry (2025-2029)" aims to leverage Beijing's cultural and AI advantages for the development of the audiovisual industry, highlighting the intersection of AI and cultural initiatives [2] - Looking ahead to December, the industry is advised to focus on "policy expectations and cross-year layouts," with recommendations to invest in AI and hard technology sectors, particularly in core areas like optical modules, consumer electronics, and semiconductor equipment [2]

Market Overview - In November, the A-share market exhibited a downward trend, contrasting with optimistic expectations at the beginning of the month [1] - Major indices, including the Shanghai Composite Index, fell by 1.67%, the CSI 300 by 2.46%, and the Wind All A Index by 2.22% [2] - The ChiNext Index dropped by 4.23%, and the Sci-Tech 50 fell by 6.24%, indicating a significant adjustment in growth-style sectors [2] Sector Performance - Defensive sectors such as comprehensive services, banking, textiles, petrochemicals, and light manufacturing showed relative stability, while sectors like computers, automobiles, electronics, and non-bank financials experienced substantial declines [2] - Over 60% of stocks recorded negative returns, highlighting a marked reduction in market profitability [2] Market Adjustment Reasons - The decline in the market is attributed to multiple factors, including a cooling global AI investment theme, which negatively impacted growth sectors [3] - Concerns over the domestic economic recovery were underscored by a manufacturing PMI drop to 49.0 in October and a 5.5% year-on-year decline in industrial profits [3] - An unexpected tightening of overseas liquidity, driven by strong U.S. employment data, has also contributed to market pressures [3] December Market Outlook - The A-share market is expected to maintain a volatile pattern in December, with a focus on economic fundamentals and liquidity events [4] - The upcoming Federal Reserve meeting in mid-December and the Central Economic Work Conference in China are critical for market direction [4] Investment Strategy Recommendations - A "defensive + growth" allocation strategy is recommended, focusing on high-dividend, low-valuation sectors such as banking and utilities for stability [5] - Growth sectors with reasonable valuations, including energy storage, military, AI computing, power grid equipment, and semiconductors, are identified as having mid-term investment value [5][6] Sector-Specific Insights - The energy storage sector is projected to grow over 40% due to increased demand and policy support [6] - The military sector benefits from the transition between the 14th and 15th Five-Year Plans, showing high earnings visibility [6] - The AI computing sector has seen a doubling in domestic server shipments year-on-year, driven by surging demand [6] - The power grid equipment sector is supported by accelerated construction and increased overseas exports [6] - The semiconductor sector is driven by demand from AI chips and automotive semiconductors, indicating strong earnings elasticity [6] Conclusion - The market will continue to navigate between "overseas liquidity pressures" and "domestic policy support capabilities" in December [7] - Investors are advised to monitor key domestic and international policy signals while maintaining a defensive position and gradually increasing allocations in high-growth areas [7]

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the technology sector, particularly focusing on the TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications) industry, with a strong emphasis on AI applications and infrastructure [1][2][4]. Key Points and Arguments 1. **Market Sentiment and Economic Conditions** - After a period of low market sentiment, a rebound is expected due to an 80% probability of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, alongside global liquidity easing and domestic monetary conditions [1][2]. 2. **Investment Opportunities in Technology** - The technology sector is anticipated to lead the market in the upcoming bull market, particularly in the AI industry chain and Google’s computing power [1][2][4]. 3. **Performance of Growth Factors** - Strong performance of mid to large-cap growth styles is expected, with the ChiNext and Sci-Tech Innovation Board showing significant investment value due to low valuations and improving earnings expectations [1][4]. 4. **Focus on TMT Sector** - Key areas of interest include AI infrastructure, particularly in computing power, storage, and electricity. Storage chip prices have surged by 360% since the beginning of the year, and DRAM contract prices have increased by up to 30% [1][4]. 5. **AI Application Growth** - Several A-share AI application companies have shown performance inflection points, with notable increases in net profit growth, indicating a rise in AI application penetration and mature business models [1][4][5]. 6. **2026 AI Industry Chain Investment Focus** - Investment in the AI industry chain will focus on power and storage capacity shortages, as well as AI application tracks. The overseas market will concentrate on Google’s computing infrastructure supply chain, while the domestic market will focus on TSMC’s allocation of computing chips [6][7]. 7. **Key Players in PCB and Optical Module Sectors** - Important companies in the PCB sector include Shenghong Technology and Huitian Technology, while leading firms in the optical module sector are expected to benefit from a supply-demand imbalance [8]. 8. **Emerging Materials Technology** - New materials technology is expected to see significant upgrades, with high-performance materials like new copper foils and quartz fabrics becoming increasingly important in both traditional electronics and new computing demands [9]. 9. **AI Edge Application Ecosystem** - The AI edge application ecosystem is projected to accelerate with improvements in large model accuracy, with companies like ByteDance and Meta making significant investments in smart glasses [10]. 10. **Consumer Electronics Market Trends** - Anticipated price increases in storage may lead to higher consumer product prices and lower shipment volumes, but strong demand from Apple and Samsung is expected to provide resilience [11][12]. 11. **Computer Sector Development** - The computer sector is poised for growth, particularly in emerging technologies like quantum computing and brain-computer interfaces, with significant market potential projected for the coming years [13][14]. 12. **Recent Advances in AI Applications** - Notable advancements in AI applications include Google’s Gemini 3 and Alibaba’s AI assistant, indicating a strong growth trajectory in the sector [15]. 13. **Trends in Autonomous Driving and Humanoid Robots** - The autonomous driving sector is witnessing significant developments, with companies like Tesla and Huawei making strides in Robot Taxi services. The humanoid robot industry is also moving towards commercialization, with several contracts signed for industrial applications [16][17]. 14. **Brain-Computer Interface Developments** - The brain-computer interface sector is gaining traction with increased policy support and the introduction of new medical devices, indicating a promising future for this technology [18]. 15. **Investment Targets in the Computer Sector** - Potential investment targets include companies involved in AI applications, humanoid robots, autonomous driving, and brain-computer interfaces, all of which show strong growth potential [19][20].

Market Overview - In November, major A-share indices experienced varying degrees of adjustment, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 1.67%, the ChiNext Index down 4.23%, and the STAR 50 Index down 6.24% [1] - The overall market activity has cooled, with the average daily trading volume across A-shares decreasing by 249.2 billion compared to the previous month [1] - The primary reason for the market adjustment is attributed to changes in overseas expectations leading to increased risk aversion, rather than an actual deterioration in liquidity conditions [1] Sector Performance - Sectors such as banking, oil and petrochemicals, and textiles performed well, while electronics, automotive, and computer industries lagged behind [1] - The adjustment in the A-share market aligns with global market trends, primarily due to concerns that expectations for overseas liquidity easing may not materialize in December, alongside fears of a bubble and risks in the AI sector [2] Investment Sentiment - The fluctuating expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's policies have become a key variable affecting market sentiment, with recent comments from Fed officials increasing uncertainty [2] - The market has shown signs of recovery as expectations for a rate cut by the Fed in December have been somewhat restored, leading to a gradual warming of global capital markets [2] Future Outlook - The short-term market is characterized by a "waiting for profit-driven" pattern, with the potential for upward movement still present [3] - The current valuation levels are constraining upward momentum, with the median PE ratio for A-shares at the 84th percentile and the median PB ratio at the 85.5th percentile over the past three years [3] - Investment strategies should focus on three main areas: low-crowding sectors within technology, opportunities in global pricing resources like gold and copper, and manufacturing sectors benefiting from a restart in overseas credit cycles [3]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform" [1] Core Insights - The report highlights the emergence of space computing as a critical solution to the computational bottlenecks faced in the AI era, with significant advancements in technology and infrastructure [4][5] - Major global tech giants are actively competing in the space computing arena, with initiatives such as NVIDIA's H100 GPU deployment in space and SpaceX's plans for a space data center [5] - Domestic advancements in space computing are progressing well, with companies like ADASpace launching satellites equipped with AI chips, marking the practical application of space computing [6] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The closing index is at 5224.25, with a 52-week high of 5841.52 and a low of 3963.29 [1] Relative Index Performance - The report includes a performance chart showing a range of percentage changes in the industry relative to the CSI 300 index over time, indicating fluctuations from -17% to +19% [3] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies such as Xingtum Control, Zhongke Xingtum, Aerospace Hongtu, and others as potential investment opportunities in the space computing sector [7]

Group 1 - The report emphasizes that the Chinese stock market is entering a favorable zone, with a significant opportunity for investment in the upcoming months due to a convergence of policy, liquidity, and fundamentals [12][14][13] - The report identifies key sectors to focus on, including technology, financial services, and consumer goods, suggesting a strategic shift towards more aggressive investment positions [14][12] - The anticipated growth in the Chinese capital market is supported by a reduction in previous valuation discounts, with expectations of double-digit profit growth in the non-financial sector by 2026 [13][12] Group 2 - In the technology sector, companies like Tencent and Alibaba are highlighted for their robust revenue and profit growth, driven by advancements in AI and cloud services [20][24] - The electronics industry is seeing accelerated demand for domestic AI solutions, with companies like Haiguang Information benefiting from this trend [32][8] - The communication sector is expected to thrive due to increased capital expenditure on AI infrastructure, with significant growth anticipated in light communication technologies [39][40] Group 3 - The machinery sector is experiencing growth, with companies like Changying Precision and Hengli Hydraulic showing improved profitability and market positioning [6][8] - The automotive industry, particularly Weichai Power, is noted for steady revenue and performance improvements, indicating a positive outlook [6][8] - The healthcare sector, with a focus on innovative pharmaceuticals, is recommended for investment, particularly in companies like Ying'en Bio [6][8] Group 4 - The consumer sector is poised for recovery after a three-year adjustment period, with low valuations and potential policy support creating structural opportunities [14][12] - Companies in the retail and food & beverage sectors, such as Shoulu Hotel and Yanjing Beer, are highlighted for their improving performance metrics [6][8] - The financial sector, particularly non-bank financial institutions like Huatai Securities and China Ping An, is expected to benefit from market reforms and improved profitability [6][8]

国家知识产权局信息显示，慈溪市甬联电子有限公司取得一项名为"一种跳线自动收卷机构"的专利，授 权公告号CN223592118U，申请日期为2024年10月。 专利摘要显示，本实用新型公开了一种跳线自动收卷机构，属于自动收卷机构技术领域，其包括底板， 所述底板顶部的左侧固定安装有支撑板，所述支撑板的左侧设置有电机，所述电机输出端的外侧固定套 设有第一转轮，所述电机的输出端贯穿支撑板并固定连接旋转座，所述旋转座的右侧转动连接有双向丝 杆，所述双向丝杆外侧的左右两侧均螺接有移动块，左右两侧的所述移动块的外侧转动连接有连接杆， 所述连接杆的一侧转动连接有限位杆，所述底板顶部后侧的左右两侧均固定安装有垫块。本实用新型能 够对不同直径的线材筒进行限位，避免了只能使用一种尺寸的线材筒，提高了装置的使用多样性，也可 以对线材进行限位，避免了线材缠绕在一起，提高了线材收卷的整齐性。 天眼查资料显示，慈溪市甬联电子有限公司，成立于2008年，位于宁波市，是一家以从事计算机、通信 和其他电子设备制造业为主的企业。企业注册资本500万人民币。通过天眼查大数据分析，慈溪市甬联 电子有限公司参与招投标项目10次，财产线索方面有商标信息6 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Shenzhen State-Owned Enterprises ESGR Index (470055) closed at 1569.4 points on December 1, with a gain of 0.83% and a trading volume of 25.363 billion yuan, indicating a positive market sentiment for state-owned enterprises [1] Group 1: Index Performance - The ESGR Index had 32 stocks rising and 16 stocks falling on the reporting day, with the top gainer being AOC Technology, which rose by 9.89%, while Digital Certification led the declines with a drop of 3.22% [1] - The index's turnover rate was 1.02%, reflecting moderate trading activity among investors [1] Group 2: Major Constituents - The top ten constituents of the ESGR Index include Hikvision (10.20% weight, market cap of 280.262 billion yuan), BOE Technology Group (9.22% weight, market cap of 145.914 billion yuan), and Wuliangye Yibin (8.57% weight, market cap of 456.671 billion yuan) [1] - Other notable constituents include Weichai Power (7.34% weight, market cap of 151.355 billion yuan) and Inspur Information (6.49% weight, market cap of 91.950 billion yuan) [1] Group 3: Capital Flow - On the reporting day, the net inflow of main funds into the ESGR Index constituents totaled 599 million yuan, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 315 million yuan [1][2] - The main funds showed significant interest in AOC Technology with a net inflow of 410 million yuan, while retail investors had a notable outflow of 228 million yuan from the same stock [2] Group 4: Recent Adjustments - The ESGR Index underwent adjustments, adding 15 new stocks and removing 15 stocks, indicating a dynamic rebalancing of the index [3] - New additions include Yunda Co., Ltd. (market cap of 137.46 billion yuan) and Taisheng Wind Power (market cap of 73.76 billion yuan), while notable removals include Zhongke Sanhuan and BOE Technology Group [3]