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前三季度国内生产总值同比增长5.2% 经济运行保持稳中有进态势
Ren Min Ri Bao· 2025-10-20 21:57
Economic Overview - The preliminary data for the first three quarters indicates that the GDP reached 10,150.36 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.2% at constant prices, demonstrating a stable and progressive economic operation with positive outcomes in high-quality development [1] Agriculture Sector - The agricultural production situation is favorable, with the value added in agriculture (planting) increasing by 3.6% year-on-year. The summer grain and early rice production increased by 190,000 tons compared to the previous year, and the overall autumn grain production remains stable, suggesting a potential for another bumper harvest for the year [1] Industrial Sector - The industrial production has shown rapid growth, with the value added of large-scale industrial enterprises increasing by 6.2% year-on-year in the first three quarters. Specifically, the value added in equipment manufacturing and high-tech manufacturing grew by 9.7% and 9.6% respectively [1] Service Sector - The service industry has experienced steady growth, with the value added increasing by 5.4% year-on-year. Notably, the information transmission, software, and IT services sector saw an increase of 11.2%, while leasing and business services, as well as transportation, warehousing, and postal services, grew by 9.2% and 5.8% respectively [1] Consumer Spending and Investment - The total retail sales of consumer goods reached 3,658.77 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year growth of 4.5%. Additionally, manufacturing investment increased by 4.0% year-on-year [1] Income Growth - The per capita disposable income of residents reached 32,509 yuan, reflecting a nominal year-on-year growth of 5.1%, and a real growth of 5.2% after adjusting for price factors [2]
权威数读|5.2%!前三季度经济延续稳中有进态势
Xin Hua She· 2025-10-20 08:33
Economic Overview - The Chinese economy has shown resilience and vitality, maintaining a steady development trend despite external pressures and internal challenges [1]. Agriculture Sector - The added value of agriculture (planting industry) increased by 3.6% year-on-year, with the total summer grain and early rice output reaching 178.25 million tons, an increase of 190,000 tons or 0.1% compared to the previous year [7]. Manufacturing Sector - The industrial added value of enterprises above designated size grew by 6.2% year-on-year, with the added value of equipment manufacturing increasing by 9.7% and high-tech manufacturing by 9.6% [11]. Service Sector - The modern service industry has developed well, with the added value of information transmission, software, and IT services growing by 11.2%, leasing and business services by 9.2%, and transportation, warehousing, and postal services by 5.8% [15]. Retail Sector - The total retail sales of consumer goods reached 3.65877 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.5%, while online retail sales amounted to 1.1283 trillion yuan, growing by 9.8% year-on-year [18]. Trade Sector - The import and export of goods continued to grow, with an ongoing optimization of the trade structure [19].
2025年前三季度与9月宏观经济数据
Guan Tong Qi Huo· 2025-10-20 07:26
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the content. 2. Core Viewpoints - China's economy showed stable growth in the first three quarters of 2025, with GDP growing by 5.2% year - on - year at constant prices. The service and industrial sectors played important roles, and consumption, investment, and net exports all contributed to economic growth [3]. - Industrial production was stable, and the service industry was on an upward trend, strongly supporting economic growth. Consumption potential continued to be released, and investment played a key role in promoting traditional industrial transformation and upgrading. Net exports maintained stable growth [3][4][5][6]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs GDP - In the first three quarters of 2025, China's GDP was 1,015,036 billion yuan, growing by 5.2% year - on - year at constant prices. In Q3, GDP was 354,500 billion yuan, growing by 4.8% year - on - year and 1.1% quarter - on - quarter [3]. - The added values of the primary, secondary, and tertiary industries in the first three quarters were 58,061 billion yuan, 364,020 billion yuan, and 592,955 billion yuan respectively, with year - on - year growth rates of 3.8%, 4.9%, and 5.4%, and contributions to economic growth of 4.7%, 34.6%, and 60.7% [3]. Industry - In the first three quarters, industrial added value increased by 6.1% year - on - year, driving economic growth by 1.8 percentage points. Manufacturing added value grew by 6.5%, higher than the industrial growth rate. In Q3, industrial added value increased by 5.8% year - on - year, driving economic growth by 1.7 percentage points [3]. - The capacity utilization rate of large - scale industrial enterprises in Q3 2025 was 74.6%, up 0.6 percentage points from Q2 and down 0.5 percentage points from the same period last year [3]. Service - In the first three quarters, service industry added value was 592,955 billion yuan, growing by 5.4% year - on - year, accounting for 58.4% of GDP, up 0.8 percentage points from the same period last year, and contributing 60.7% to national economic growth, driving GDP growth by 3.1 percentage points [4]. - In Q3, service industry added value was 202,641 billion yuan, growing by 5.4% year - on - year, accounting for 57.2% of GDP, contributing 61.8% to national economic growth, and driving GDP growth by 3.0 percentage points [4]. Consumption - Consumption potential continued to be released. In the first three quarters, the contribution rate of final consumption expenditure to economic growth was 53.5%, driving GDP growth by 2.8 percentage points. In Q3, it was 56.6%, driving GDP growth by 2.7 percentage points [4]. Investment - Investment played a key role. In the first three quarters, the contribution rate of capital formation to economic growth was 17.5%, driving GDP growth by 0.9 percentage points. In Q3, it was 18.9%, driving GDP growth by 0.9 percentage points [5]. - In the first three quarters, infrastructure investment increased by 1.1% year - on - year, driving total investment growth by 0.2 percentage points. Internet and related service investment grew by 20.6%, and water transportation investment grew by 12.8% [5]. - From January to September, real estate development investment was 677.06 billion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 13.9%. Residential investment was 520.46 billion yuan, a decrease of 12.9% [5]. Import and Export - Net exports maintained stable growth. In the first three quarters, the contribution rate of goods and services net exports to economic growth was 29.0%, driving GDP growth by 1.5 percentage points. In Q3, it was 24.5%, driving GDP growth by 1.2 percentage points [6]. Prices - In the first three quarters, consumer prices were generally stable, with CPI down 0.1% year - on - year. Core CPI increased by 0.6% year - on - year, with the growth rate expanding by 0.2 percentage points compared to the first half of the year [6]. - PPI was down 2.8% year - on - year in the first three quarters, with a decline of 2.9% in Q3, narrowing by 0.3 percentage points compared to Q2 [6].
服务业调查中心主任:服务业经济平稳运行,新动能加快发展
Guo Jia Tong Ji Ju· 2025-10-20 02:44
Group 1: Economic Growth of the Service Sector - The service sector's contribution to economic growth is significant, with a value added of 592,955 billion yuan in the first three quarters, representing a year-on-year growth of 5.4% [2] - The service sector accounted for 58.4% of GDP, an increase of 0.8 percentage points from the previous year, contributing 60.7% to national economic growth [2] - In September, the service production index grew by 5.6% year-on-year, indicating sustained growth [2] Group 2: Innovation and New Momentum - The modern service industry is thriving, with significant growth in information transmission, software, and IT services, which saw a year-on-year increase of 11.2% and 9.2% respectively [3] - These sectors contributed 1.7 percentage points to the growth of the service sector's value added [3] - The high-tech service industry is also expanding, with fixed asset investment growing by 6.1% year-on-year [4] Group 3: Service Consumption Upgrade - Service retail sales increased by 5.2% year-on-year, outpacing the growth of goods retail sales by 0.6 percentage points [5] - Online retail sales grew by 9.8% in the first three quarters, reflecting a shift towards digital consumption [5] - The cultural and tourism sectors are experiencing robust growth, with significant increases in revenue for cultural arts and travel services [5] Group 4: High-Level Opening of the Service Sector - Service trade is steadily increasing, with a total import and export value of 52,476.9 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 7.4% [6] - The number of foreign visitors benefiting from visa-free policies increased by 52.1% [6] - The actual use of foreign capital in the service sector reached 3,661.9 billion yuan, accounting for over 70% of total foreign capital utilization [6] Group 5: Business Activity and Future Outlook - The business activity index for the service sector was at 50.1% in September, indicating expansion [7] - The business activity expectation index remained stable and optimistic at 56.3% [7] - Overall, the service sector is maintaining a steady operational trend, with ongoing improvements in development quality [8]
2025年前三季度服务业增加值同比增长5.4%
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2025-10-20 02:34
北京商报讯(记者 和岳)10月20日,国家统计局发布数据显示,前三季度,服务业增加值同比增长 5.4%。其中,信息传输、软件和信息技术服务业,租赁和商务服务业,交通运输、仓储和邮政业,批 发和零售业增加值分别增长11.2%、9.2%、5.8%、5.6%。9月份,全国服务业生产指数同比增长5.6%。 其中,信息传输、软件和信息技术服务业,金融业,租赁和商务服务业,交通运输、仓储和邮政业生产 指数分别增长12.8%、8.7%、7.8%、5.7%。1-8月份,规模以上服务业企业营业收入同比增长7.7%。9月 份,服务业商务活动指数为50.1%,服务业业务活动预期指数为56.3%。其中,邮政、电信广播电视及 卫星传输服务、货币金融服务等行业商务活动指数位于60.0%以上高位景气区间。 ...
郑学工:前三季度国民经济运行保持总体平稳
Guo Jia Tong Ji Ju· 2025-10-20 02:17
Economic Overview - In the first three quarters, China's GDP reached 10,150.36 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 5.2% [2] - The contribution rates to economic growth from the primary, secondary, and tertiary industries were 4.7%, 34.6%, and 60.7% respectively [2] Industry Performance - Agricultural production showed stability with a year-on-year increase of 4.0%, contributing 0.3 percentage points to economic growth [3] - Industrial production increased by 6.1% year-on-year, contributing 1.8 percentage points to economic growth, with manufacturing growing by 6.5% [3] - The service sector also performed well, with significant growth in information transmission, software, and IT services, which grew by 11.2% [3] Domestic Demand and Trade - Final consumption expenditure contributed 53.5% to economic growth, adding 2.8 percentage points to GDP [5] - Investment in key areas showed rapid growth, with capital formation contributing 17.5% to economic growth [5] - Net exports maintained stable growth, contributing 29.0% to economic growth [5] Market Dynamics - The digital economy showed significant support, with revenue from information transmission and IT services growing by 12.1% [6] - The manufacturing sector is accelerating its transformation, with high-tech manufacturing increasing by 9.6% [7] - Modern service industries are also improving, with high-tech service sector revenue growing by 9.4% [7]
彭永涛:服务业经济平稳运行 新动能加快发展
Guo Jia Tong Ji Ju· 2025-10-20 02:17
Core Insights - The service industry has shown significant growth, contributing notably to the overall economic performance, with a service value added of 592,955 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 5.4% [2] - The modern service sector is thriving, driven by innovations in technology and new business models, particularly in information transmission and software services [3][4] - Consumer demand for services has increased, particularly in tourism and cultural sectors, leading to a rise in service retail sales [5] Group 1: Economic Growth Contribution - The service sector's value added accounted for 58.4% of GDP, up 0.8 percentage points from the previous year, contributing 60.7% to national economic growth [2] - In the third quarter, the service sector's value added was 202,641 billion yuan, with a contribution rate of 61.8% to GDP growth [2] - The service production index grew by 5.6% year-on-year in September, indicating sustained growth [2] Group 2: Innovation and New Growth Drivers - The modern service industry is expanding rapidly, with information transmission and software services growing by 11.2% and 9.2% respectively in the first three quarters [3] - The strategic emerging service industries and high-tech service industries saw revenue growth of 10.6% and 9.4% respectively from January to August [4] - Fixed asset investment in high-tech services increased by 6.1%, with information services seeing a remarkable growth of 33.1% [4] Group 3: Service Consumption Trends - Service retail sales increased by 5.2%, outpacing the growth of goods retail sales by 0.6 percentage points [5] - Online retail sales grew by 9.8% in the first three quarters, reflecting a shift towards digital consumption [5] - The cultural and tourism sectors experienced significant growth, with revenue from cultural arts and travel services increasing by 13.3% and 9.5% respectively [5] Group 4: International Trade and Investment - Service trade imports and exports totaled 52,476.9 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 7.4%, and travel service exports surged by 57.6% [6] - The actual use of foreign capital in the service sector reached 3,661.9 billion yuan, accounting for over 70% of total foreign investment [6] - The execution of service outsourcing contracts remained robust, with significant growth in business operation and maintenance services [6] Group 5: Business Activity and Future Outlook - The business activity index for the service sector was at 50.1 in September, indicating expansion, with several industries exceeding 60.0 [7] - The business activity expectation index remained stable at 56.3, reflecting optimistic outlooks among service sector enterprises [8] - Overall, the service industry is expected to continue its stable performance, although challenges such as external uncertainties and insufficient domestic demand persist [8]
↑5.2%!重磅经济数据公布!
证券时报· 2025-10-20 02:14
Economic Overview - In the first three quarters, China's GDP reached 10,150.36 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 5.2% [1] - The GDP growth rates for the first, second, and third quarters were 5.4%, 5.2%, and 4.8% respectively, with a quarter-on-quarter growth of 1.1% in Q3 [1] Agriculture - Agricultural value added grew by 3.6% year-on-year, with summer grain and early rice production totaling 178.25 million tons, an increase of 0.1% [2] - Livestock production saw a total output of 73.12 million tons, up 3.8%, with specific increases in pork, beef, and poultry [2] Industry - Industrial value added for large enterprises increased by 6.2% year-on-year, with manufacturing growing by 6.8% [3] - High-tech manufacturing and equipment manufacturing saw significant growth rates of 9.6% and 9.7% respectively [3] - In August, the total profit of large industrial enterprises was 46.93 billion yuan, reflecting a 0.9% increase year-on-year [3] Services - The service sector's value added grew by 5.4%, with notable increases in information transmission and software services at 11.2% [4] - The service industry business activity index was at 50.1%, indicating stable growth [4] Retail and Consumption - Total retail sales of consumer goods reached 3,658.77 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 4.5% [5] - Online retail sales amounted to 1,128.30 billion yuan, growing by 9.8% [6] Investment - Fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) was 371.54 billion yuan, showing a slight decline of 0.5% [7] - Manufacturing investment grew by 4.0%, while real estate investment saw a significant drop of 13.9% [7] Trade - Total import and export value reached 3,360.78 billion yuan, with exports growing by 7.1% [8] - Private enterprises accounted for 57.0% of total trade, marking a 2.0 percentage point increase from the previous year [8] Prices and Inflation - The national CPI decreased by 0.1% year-on-year, with food prices dropping by 0.8% [9] - The core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose by 0.6%, indicating a slight increase in inflationary pressure [9] Employment - The urban surveyed unemployment rate averaged 5.2%, with a slight decrease in September [10] - The total number of rural migrant workers reached 191.87 million, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 0.9% [10] Income - Per capita disposable income reached 32,509 yuan, with a nominal growth of 5.1% [11] - Rural residents experienced a faster income growth rate compared to urban residents, with rural income growing by 6.0% [11]
前三季度我国GDP同比增长5.2%,经济运行稳中有进
Guo Jia Tong Ji Ju· 2025-10-20 02:06
Economic Overview - The national GDP for the first three quarters reached 10,150.36 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 5.2% [1] - The GDP growth rates by quarter were 5.4% in Q1, 5.2% in Q2, and 4.8% in Q3, with a quarter-on-quarter growth of 1.1% in Q3 [1] Agriculture - Agricultural value added grew by 3.6% year-on-year, with summer grain and early rice production totaling 178.25 million tons, a slight increase of 0.1% [1] - Livestock production saw a total output of 73.12 million tons, up 3.8%, with specific increases in pork, beef, and poultry [1] Industrial Production - The industrial value added for large-scale enterprises increased by 6.2% year-on-year, with manufacturing growing by 6.8% [2] - High-tech manufacturing and equipment manufacturing sectors showed strong growth, with increases of 9.6% and 9.7% respectively [2] - In September, the industrial value added grew by 6.5% year-on-year and 0.64% month-on-month [2] Service Sector - The service sector's value added increased by 5.4% year-on-year, with significant growth in information technology services and leasing services [2] - The service industry production index rose by 5.6% year-on-year in September [2] Retail Sales - The total retail sales of consumer goods reached 3,658.77 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 4.5% [3] - Online retail sales amounted to 1,128.30 billion yuan, growing by 9.8% year-on-year [3] Fixed Asset Investment - Fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) totaled 3,715.35 billion yuan, a decrease of 0.5% year-on-year [5] - Manufacturing investment grew by 4.0%, while real estate development investment fell by 13.9% [5] Trade - The total import and export value reached 3,360.78 billion yuan, with exports growing by 7.1% and imports slightly declining by 0.2% [6] - In September, the import and export value increased by 8.0% year-on-year [6] Employment - The urban surveyed unemployment rate averaged 5.2% in the first three quarters, with a slight decrease in September [7] - The total number of rural laborers working outside their hometowns reached 191.87 million, a year-on-year increase of 0.9% [7] Income - The per capita disposable income reached 32,509 yuan, with a nominal growth of 5.1% [8] - Rural residents' income growth outpaced that of urban residents, with rural disposable income growing by 5.7% [8]
中国经济向好态势不断稳固
Jing Ji Wang· 2025-10-17 02:29
Group 1 - The implementation of a package of incremental policies since September 26 last year has led to a steady recovery in both invoice sales and tax revenue growth, indicating a positive trend in the Chinese economy [1][3] - From Q3 of last year to Q3 of this year, the quarterly sales revenue growth rates for enterprises were 0.4%, 2.6%, 2.1%, 3.1%, and 4.4%, showing a gradual increase [1] - Tax revenue has turned positive after seven months of negative growth, with a cumulative increase in tax revenue since February this year, reflecting improved fiscal income collection [1] Group 2 - Tax revenue from the manufacturing sector increased by 5.4%, accounting for 31% of total tax revenue, with high-end manufacturing sectors like railway and aerospace seeing significant growth [2] - The domestic value-added tax grew by 3.2%, indicating improved business operations, while corporate income tax rose by 4.1%, reflecting better profitability in certain industries [2] - The real estate sector's tax revenue decreased by 9.8%, but the decline has narrowed significantly compared to earlier periods, aided by tax incentives aimed at stabilizing the market [2] Group 3 - The acceleration of equipment updates and the continuation of the old-for-new consumption policy have boosted consumer activity, with machinery equipment purchases rising by 9.7% year-on-year [3] - Retail sales of household appliances, such as refrigerators and televisions, have seen substantial growth, with increases of 55.4% and 35.3% respectively [3] - The incremental policies are viewed as effective measures to address economic challenges, focusing on stimulating consumption, stabilizing the real estate market, and activating the capital market [3]