Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - The exhaustion of mandatory circulation allowances may support a carbon price reversal, with an expected depletion by mid - early October, but anticipatory trading could lead to signs of a reversal in Q3 [5] - Before August, carbon prices may fluctuate due to slow release of mandatory circulation allowances and low trading willingness; starting from September, as compliance pressure builds, prices may rise [5] - The report suggests that enterprises with a carbon allowance gap should make phased purchases at low prices before the end of August [3] Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs Carbon Emission Allowance (CEA) Market - CEA22 is stable, while the main target continues to decline. There are 160,000 tons for listing and 100,000 tons for bulk trading [3] - CEA19 - 20, CEA21, CEA22, CEA23, and CEA24 have closing prices of 71.34 yuan/ton, 70.00 yuan/ton, 70.80 yuan/ton, 72.42 yuan/ton, and 72.47 yuan/ton respectively, with CEA23 and CEA24 having a decline of - 0.29% and - 0.48% [7] - The total trading volume of CEA22, CEA23, and CEA24 are 100,000 tons, 56,900 tons, and 103,000 tons respectively [7] China Certified Emission Reduction (CCER) Market - The listing agreement trading volume is 80,000 tons, and the average trading price is 80.25 yuan/ton, a decrease of 2.53%. The trading amount is 6.5 million yuan, and the cumulative trading volume is 2.4808 million tons [3][9]

◎记者 宋薇萍 8月14日，《上海碳市场全面深化改革行动方案（2026—2030年）》（下称"行动方案"）正式发布。根 据行动方案，上海要建成规则完善、诚信透明、广泛参与的温室气体自愿减排管理体系，逐步形成以碳 市场为主体的碳定价机制，将上海碳市场打造成为具有一定国际影响力的碳交易、碳金融、碳定价和碳 创新中心。 行动方案明确，上海要实施碳排放权交易市场提质增效行动、温室气体自愿减排引导激励行动和碳市场 创新能力协同提升行动等三大行动，共提出16条具体举措。 一位碳市场行业资深人士对上海证券报记者表示，与今年3月发布的征求意见稿相比，行动方案在实施 细则上有了显著突破，不仅明确了纳管范围扩大的具体路径，还对有偿分配比例等关键指标设定了量化 的时间节点，特别是在退出行业配额结转管理等方面作出了更明确规定。这些制度性安排为上海碳市场 的长期稳健发展奠定坚实基础。 其中，围绕碳排放权交易市场提质增效，行动方案明确，上海将建立同碳排放总量与强度双控制度相衔 接的碳排放配额分配制度，对碳排放总量相对稳定的行业试点实施配额总量控制，为战略性新兴产业和 未来产业预留发展空间。同时，上海将稳妥有序提高有偿分配比例。到2027 ...

Core Viewpoint - Guangdong Province has introduced a systematic judicial guarantee policy for carbon emission quota pledge financing, marking a significant step in promoting a unified carbon financial market [1][4]. Group 1: Policy Development - The document titled "Opinions on Promoting Carbon Emission Quota Pledge Financing to Support Green Financial Development" outlines 13 specific regulations [1]. - It is the first provincial-level policy in China to clarify that carbon emission quotas are legitimate pledge assets and introduces a "dual registration" model for confirming carbon asset ownership [1][5]. Group 2: Market Activity - Guangdong is the most active regional pilot carbon market in China, with a cumulative transaction of 230.85 million tons of carbon emission quotas and a total transaction amount of 6.701 billion yuan as of July 2025 [2]. - However, the cumulative carbon quota pledge financing in Guangdong has only reached 31 cases, with a total of 5.6997 million tons pledged and a financing amount of 93.5281 million yuan [2]. Group 3: Challenges and Solutions - The legal status of carbon emission quotas as collateral is not clearly defined, leading to concerns among financial institutions regarding the handling of defaults [3][4]. - The new policy addresses these concerns by establishing a clear legal basis for carbon quota pledge contracts and outlining a default handling process [4][5]. Group 4: Financial Innovation - The policy encourages financial institutions to explore diverse financing scenarios, including annual pre-allocated quota pledge financing and carbon asset securitization products [5]. - It also introduces a mechanism for prioritizing the rights of pledge holders in case of default, thereby alleviating banks' concerns about lending [5].

Report Overview - Report Title: National Carbon Market Market Briefing (Issue 136, 2025) [1] - Release Date: August 12, 2025 [2] Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - CEA shows a decline in volume and price, with CEA22 dropping significantly and the main targets remaining weak; CCER has light trading volume [2] - It is recommended that enterprises with carbon quota gaps make phased low - price purchases before the end of August [3] - The depletion of mandatory circulation quotas may support a carbon price reversal. Expected depletion is in mid - early October, but signs of reversal may appear in Q3. Before August, carbon prices may fluctuate, and from September, prices may rise due to increasing compliance pressure [5] Summary by Relevant Catalogs CEA Market - CEA22 dropped by 3.01%, with a closing price of 70.80 yuan/ton. CEA23 and CEA24 also declined slightly, by 0.23% and 0.05% respectively. CEA19 - 20 and CEA21 remained unchanged [7] - The total CEA volume includes 29.3 tons in the listing market and 19.0 tons in the bulk market [2] CCER Market - The CCER listing agreement trading volume was 0.21 tons, with an average transaction price of 82.33 yuan/ton, a year - on - year increase of 4.26%, and a transaction amount of 17,500 yuan [2][9]

Core Viewpoint - Shuangliang Group and Beijing Green Exchange have signed a strategic cooperation framework agreement to promote green transformation and high-quality industrial development through collaboration in various fields related to carbon neutrality and sustainability [1] Group 1: Strategic Cooperation - The agreement focuses on deep cooperation in areas such as green low-carbon methodology development, zero-carbon park/factory construction, carbon asset management capability building, CCER development, ESG, and talent cultivation [1] Group 2: Goals and Impact - The collaboration aims to support the achievement of "dual carbon" goals, injecting new momentum into the green transformation of enterprises and the high-quality development of industries [1]

Market Overview - The cumulative trading volume of carbon emission allowances in the national carbon market increased to 3.2428 million tons, with a transaction amount of 225.8395 million yuan, reflecting an increase of 30.17% and 23.92% respectively compared to the previous week[18] - The average daily transaction price of carbon emission allowances (CEA) was 69.59 yuan/ton, down by 4.85% from the previous week[18] International Carbon Market Trends - In the European market, EUA spot prices rose by 3.36% to 72.56 euros/ton, while trading volume decreased by 55.17% to 104,000 tons[6] - The EUA futures price increased by 3.35% to 73.22 euros/ton, with a slight decrease in trading volume of 0.07% to 2.87 million tons[6] - In the US market, EUA futures prices rose by 3.33% to 73.21 euros/ton, with trading volume increasing by 0.75% to 136.29 million tons[9] Domestic Market Insights - The trading volume in domestic pilot carbon markets decreased by 64.00% to 211,700 tons, with major trading concentrated in Shenzhen, Shanghai, Hubei, and Guangdong, accounting for 97.47% of total trading volume[24] - The average transaction price in Guangdong's carbon market dropped by 4.53%, marking the largest decline among pilot markets[22] Policy Developments - The People's Bank of China and six other departments issued guidelines to support new industrialization, focusing on enhancing technological innovation and supply chain resilience[25] - Shanghai's new policy for market-oriented pricing of renewable energy will ensure that all new energy projects will participate in market trading by the end of 2025, promoting a sustainable energy system[28] Risk Factors - Economic recovery may not meet expectations, and there are risks associated with unexpected policy relaxations and climate anomalies[29]

Report Summary Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints - It is recommended that deficit enterprises make batch purchases at low prices before the end of August [4] - The depletion of mandatory circulation quotas may support a carbon price reversal, with signs possibly seen in Q3. Carbon prices may fluctuate before August and start to rise in September due to increasing compliance pressure [6] Summary by Directory Market Quotes - CEA: The main target continued to be weak, with 72,000 tons listed and 746,000 tons in bulk transactions [13] - CCER: The listed agreement trading volume was 80 tons, and the average transaction price was 78.97 yuan/ton (up 1.24%) [10][13] Carbon Quota (CEA) Latest Market Information | Quota | Closing Price (yuan/ton) | Change (%) | New-Old Price Difference (yuan/ton) | Bulk Transaction Average Price (yuan/ton) | Total Transaction Volume (10,000 tons) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | CEA19 - 20 | 71.34 | 0.00% | - | N/A | 0.00 | | CEA21 | 70.00 | 0.00% | -1.34 | N/A | 0.00 | | CEA22 | 73.00 | 0.00% | 3.00 | N/A | 0.00 | | CEA23 | 72.80 | -0.18% | -0.20 | 55.25 | 76.67 | | CEA24 | 72.86 | -0.46% | 0.06 | N/A | 5.08 | [8] Voluntary Emission Reduction (CCER) Transaction Information - Average transaction price: 78.97 yuan/ton, up 1.24% - Transaction amount: 59,300 yuan - Transaction volume: 80 tons - Cumulative transaction volume: 2,477,900 tons [10]

全国碳市场覆盖排放量预计超过40亿吨，将成为全球覆盖温室气体排放量规模最大的碳市场。但目前， 全国碳市场还限于碳排放企业，并只覆盖了电力行业。业内人士认为，未来的碳交易还将囊括更多的行 业和市场主体，形成更大的规模。 据了解，碳排放配额交易以"每吨二氧化碳当量价格"为计价单位，买卖申报量的最小变动计量为1吨二 氧化碳当量，申报价格的最小变动计量为0.01元人民币。结算方面，注册登记机构应选择符合条件的商 业银行作为结算银行，并在结算银行开立交易结算资金专用账户，提供结算业务的银行不得参与碳排放 权交易。 从更长的时间线来看，为推动本次全国碳市场的上线，许多配套工作早已展开，为正式启动搭好了框 架。其中，2020年底出台的《碳排放权交易管理办法(试行)》，规定了各级生态环境主管部门和市场参 与主体的责任、权利和义务，以及全国碳市场运行的关键环节和工作要求。 市场规模需进一步扩大 进入5月后，不仅全国碳市场建设快速推进，与碳市场、碳中和关联度高的各个行业，也出台了多个相 关政策，为行业低碳发展定调。与此同时，二级市场上的碳中和概念股也已异动多时。数据显示， Wind碳中和指数5月6日(本月第一个交易日)以来，已累 ...

Group 1 - The visit of the U.S.-China Business Council delegation to China reflects strong support from the U.S. business community for economic dialogue between the two countries, highlighting the importance of U.S. companies' confidence in the Chinese market despite tariff threats [1] - China's economy achieved a growth rate of 5.3% in the first half of the year, moving towards a total GDP of 140 trillion yuan, contributing approximately 30% to global economic growth over the years [1] - The Chinese government has implemented coherent policies and five-year plans, providing a clear and predictable development blueprint that enhances the resilience of businesses facing various challenges [1] Group 2 - China is committed to further opening its market, creating new opportunities for global companies, including U.S. firms, through initiatives such as expanding service sector access and promoting green transformation [2] - The country is experiencing a consumption upgrade, with the service sector expected to account for 46.1% of per capita consumption expenditure by 2024, indicating significant growth potential for foreign investment [2] - The presence of a large middle-income group and the second-largest consumer market globally positions China as a strategic hub for multinational companies seeking to enhance their global market share [2] Group 3 - China's innovation momentum is strong, with advancements in technology and a robust industrial support system making it an ideal testing ground for new technologies [3] - A recent report indicates that 82% of U.S. companies operating in China are profitable, countering the narrative of U.S. losses in trade with China [3] - The trade balance has significantly favored U.S. service exports to China, with a surplus increasing 11.5 times to $26.57 billion from 2001 to 2023, demonstrating a mutually beneficial economic relationship [3]

Group 1 - The national carbon market closed at 72.43 yuan/ton on August 1, showing a slight decrease of 0.07% from the previous day, and a decline of 3.39% from the end of June [1] - In July, the total trading volume of carbon emission allowances (CEA) was 11.6642 million tons, representing a significant decrease of 26.57% month-on-month, with the average daily trading volume dropping by 35.75% compared to June [1] - The Fudan University Sustainable Development Research Center noted that the carbon price fluctuated downwards in July, narrowing the price range from 74.28 yuan/ton at the beginning of the month to 72.33 yuan/ton by the end [1] Group 2 - The Fudan Carbon Price Index forecasts that by August 2025, the expected buying price for CEA will be 71.25 yuan/ton, while the selling price is expected to be 76.04 yuan/ton, with a midpoint of 73.65 yuan/ton [2] - As of July, the national carbon market has cumulatively traded 6.811 billion tons, with a total transaction value of 46.823 billion yuan [2] - The carbon market is set to expand in 2025 to include industries such as steel, cement, and aluminum smelting, with new trading methods introduced [2] Group 3 - The Chairman of the Shanghai Environment and Energy Exchange stated that efforts will continue to enhance the development and improvement of the national carbon emission trading market mechanisms [3]