Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent developments in China's voluntary greenhouse gas emission reduction trading market (CCER), highlighting the introduction of new methodologies that expand the market's coverage and emphasize China's innovative approach in the oil and gas sector [3][5]. Group 1: New Methodologies and Market Expansion - The Ministry of Ecology and Environment and the National Energy Administration have released three new methodologies for voluntary emission reduction projects, focusing on oil and gas recovery [3][5]. - This marks the first time methodologies related to the oil and gas industry have been introduced, which is significant as there is currently no market-based incentive mechanism for gas recovery projects globally [5][6]. - The new methodologies aim to enhance the CCER market's scope and support China's commitment to reducing greenhouse gas emissions by 7%-10% from peak levels by 2035 [5][6]. Group 2: Market Dynamics and Challenges - The CCER market is experiencing a recovery and expansion, with an increasing number of projects being registered and a growing demand driven by compliance needs and green finance [8][10]. - However, the price of CCER has been consistently higher than that of carbon allowances, leading to low trading activity and creating challenges for companies in lower carbon price regions [10][12]. - Suggestions for improving the market include enhancing collaboration with allowance trading, introducing new trading entities, and promoting carbon futures to increase liquidity [10][12]. Group 3: Future Directions and International Integration - The CCER market is expected to play a crucial role in achieving China's dual carbon goals by encouraging diverse participation in emission reduction efforts [12][13]. - There is a need for methodologies in the transportation sector, particularly for green fuels like green methanol and sustainable aviation fuel, to facilitate decarbonization in hard-to-abate industries [12][13]. - Long-term projections indicate that the CCER market will not only support domestic emission reduction goals but also contribute to international emission reduction efforts, enhancing China's influence in global carbon pricing [12][13].

Report Overview - Report Title: Carbon Market Weekly Report - Date: November 21, 2025 Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report Core Viewpoints - The Chinese government is actively promoting the construction of the carbon market, with policies aiming to expand coverage, control quota总量, and increase market vitality [9][10] - The expansion of the national carbon emissions trading market will gradually cover major industrial emission - intensive industries by 2027, marking a new stage in using market - based mechanisms for deep - emission reduction [10] Summary by Directory 1. Carbon Market Weekly Overview - In October, the national carbon market's comprehensive price had a high of 59.30 yuan/ton, a low of 50.34 yuan/ton, and a closing price of 51.96 yuan/ton, down 10.37% from the previous month. The trading volume and turnover of different trading methods were also reported [7] - In the 3rd week of November, the national carbon market quota had a high of 70.14 yuan/ton, a low of 60.02 yuan/ton, and a closing price of 65.27 yuan/ton, with a weekly increase of 8.48%. The total trading volume was 1169.44 million tons, and the total turnover was 701.0284 million yuan. Price expectations for November and December 2025 were also given [8] 2. Market News - The central government issued an opinion to expand the carbon market's coverage, implement quota总量 control and paid distribution, and improve market vitality [9] - China's carbon market construction aligns with the "dual - carbon" goal, and will gradually implement quota总量 control and paid distribution as the carbon - peak process advances [10] - The expansion schedule of the national carbon emissions trading market was announced, with major industrial sectors to be included by 2027, covering about 75% of CO2 emissions [10] - The "Chengdu Declaration" at the 2025 8th China International Photovoltaic and Energy Storage Industry Conference called for anti - "involution" in the industry and promoted high - quality development [10]

Core Insights - The national carbon market is experiencing a downward trend in prices, with a significant drop of 10.37% in October, closing at 51.96 yuan per ton [1] - The trading volume in October reached 41.5625 million tons, showing a nearly 30% increase despite fewer trading days compared to September [1] - The average closing price for carbon emission allowances (CEA) in October was approximately 54.76 yuan per ton, down 12.4% from September [1] Market Dynamics - The fluctuations in carbon prices are attributed to market forces such as supply and demand, market expectations, trading behaviors, and psychological factors [2] - The Ministry of Ecology and Environment plans to enhance the carbon market's pricing function and optimize resource allocation for carbon reduction [2] Future Developments - The national carbon market aims to expand its coverage to major industrial sectors by 2027 and shift from intensity control to total volume control [3] - There will be a gradual tightening of allowances, enhancing their scarcity to better reflect the true cost of emissions reduction [3] - Efforts will be made to develop a voluntary emission reduction trading market and increase the market's vitality through green financial products [3]

Core Insights - The national carbon emissions trading market in China has seen a cumulative trading volume of nearly 700 million tons and a transaction value of approximately 48 billion yuan as of the end of August 2024, marking a record high since the market's launch in 2021 [1] - The market's trading activity is increasing, with a daily average trading volume of carbon emission allowances rising by 43.55% compared to the previous compliance cycle, resulting in a total trading volume of 18.9 million tons and a transaction value of 18.114 billion yuan for the year 2024 [1] - The carbon intensity of electricity generation in China has decreased by 10.8% compared to 2018 levels [1] Market Developments - In March 2024, the steel, cement, and aluminum smelting industries were included in the national carbon emissions trading market, leading to the addition of over 1,300 new key emission units, which now account for over 60% of the total carbon dioxide emissions in the country [1] - The voluntary greenhouse gas reduction trading market has been introduced as a significant policy tool to achieve China's "dual carbon" goals, with the first batch of newly registered certified voluntary emission reductions starting trading in March 2024 [1] - As of the end of August 2024, the voluntary trading market has recorded a cumulative trading volume of 2.7061 million tons and a transaction value of 22.9 million yuan, with transaction prices exceeding 100 yuan per ton multiple times [1]

Group 1 - The national carbon emissions trading market in China has achieved a cumulative trading volume of nearly 700 million tons and a transaction value of approximately 48 billion RMB as of the end of August 2023, with the 2024 annual transaction value reaching a new high since the market's launch in 2021 [1] - In 2024, the carbon emissions trading market operated for 242 trading days, with an average daily trading volume of carbon emission allowances increasing by 43.55% compared to the previous compliance cycle, resulting in a total trading volume of 18.9 million tons and a total transaction value of 18.114 billion RMB, marking the highest level since the market's inception [1] - The carbon emissions intensity in the power sector decreased by 10.8% in 2024 compared to 2018, with the carbon market playing a significant role in this reduction [1] Group 2 - The national voluntary greenhouse gas emission reduction trading market has been introduced as an important policy tool to support the achievement of China's "dual carbon" goals, with the first batch of newly registered certified voluntary emission reductions starting trading in March 2025 [2] - As of the end of August 2023, the cumulative trading volume of the national voluntary greenhouse gas emission reduction trading market reached 2.7061 million tons, with a transaction value of 229 million RMB, and the average transaction price frequently exceeding 100 RMB per ton [2]

Core Viewpoint - The national carbon market in China has made significant progress over the past four years, becoming a key mechanism for carbon pricing and promoting carbon peak and carbon neutrality goals [1] Group 1: National Carbon Market Development - The Ministry of Ecology and Environment has outlined plans to accelerate the construction of a unified national carbon market, improve the institutional framework, and expand market coverage [1][2] - The first central document on carbon market development was released, setting clear goals and tasks for the market's advancement by 2027 and 2030 [2][3] Group 2: Key Goals and Tasks - By 2027, the carbon emissions trading market aims to cover major industrial sectors, with a focus on total quota control for stable emission industries [2][3] - The voluntary emission reduction trading market will achieve full coverage in key areas, supporting low-carbon technologies [2][3] Group 3: Market Expansion and Performance - The carbon market has expanded its industry coverage, adding over 1,300 new key emission units, which increases the controlled greenhouse gas emissions by approximately 3 billion tons [4] - The trading volume in 2024 reached a historical high, with an average daily transaction volume up by about 44% compared to the previous compliance cycle [5] Group 4: Data Quality and Management - The Ministry emphasizes data quality as crucial for carbon market construction, implementing a three-tier review mechanism and utilizing big data and blockchain for enhanced regulatory efficiency [6] - The number of non-compliant greenhouse gas emission reports decreased by about 24% year-on-year, indicating improved data quality management [6] Group 5: Impact on Emission Reduction - The carbon market has contributed to a 10.8% reduction in carbon emission intensity in the power sector compared to 2018, highlighting its role in guiding corporate emission reduction strategies [7]

Core Insights - The national carbon emissions trading market in China has seen significant growth, with a cumulative trading volume of nearly 700 million tons and a transaction value of approximately 48 billion RMB as of the end of August 2023, marking a record high for annual transaction value since the market's inception in 2021 [1] - The market's trading activity is increasing, with a 43.55% rise in average daily trading volume compared to the previous compliance cycle, resulting in a total trading volume of 18.9 million tons and a total transaction value of 18.114 billion RMB in 2024, the highest since the market started [1] - The carbon intensity of electricity generation in China decreased by 10.8% in 2024 compared to 2018, highlighting the significant role of the carbon market in achieving emissions reductions [1] Market Expansion - In March 2025, the State Council approved the inclusion of the steel, cement, and aluminum smelting industries into the national carbon emissions trading market, expanding the market's coverage [1] - This expansion added over 1,300 new key emission units, increasing the proportion of carbon dioxide emissions covered by the market to over 60% of the national total [1] Voluntary Emission Reduction Market - The national voluntary greenhouse gas emission reduction trading market was launched as a significant policy tool to support China's "dual carbon" goals, with the first batch of newly registered certified voluntary emission reductions starting trading in March 2025 [2] - As of the end of August 2023, the voluntary emission reduction market recorded a cumulative trading volume of 2.7061 million tons and a transaction value of 229 million RMB, with transaction prices frequently exceeding 100 RMB per ton [2] - The Ministry of Ecology and Environment plans to steadily expand the coverage of the carbon market, enrich trading varieties and methods, and enhance international cooperation in the carbon market sector [2]

Core Viewpoint - The recent issuance of the "Opinions on Promoting Green and Low-Carbon Transition and Strengthening National Carbon Market Construction" marks a significant step in the development of China's carbon market, establishing a clear roadmap and enhancing its strategic position in national climate governance [1] Carbon Market Development - The national carbon market is identified as a crucial mechanism for achieving the "dual carbon" goals, with an emphasis on expanding industry coverage, improving quota allocation, and enhancing market mechanisms [1] - The document outlines a transition from intensity-based quota allocation to total control, prioritizing industries with relatively stable carbon emissions for total quota control by 2027 [2][3] Quota Allocation System - The quota allocation system is central to the carbon trading market, and its effectiveness directly impacts market fairness and efficiency [2] - The current system uses intensity-based allocation, which, while reducing the burden on companies, lacks sufficient constraints for carbon reduction [2] - The shift to total control aims to balance emission reduction targets with economic costs and industry differences [3] Information Disclosure and Transparency - The restructuring of carbon emission accounting and information disclosure is essential for connecting mandatory and voluntary reduction markets, addressing data quality issues, and enhancing carbon price signaling [1][6] - The "Opinions" propose improvements to the information disclosure system, requiring timely public reporting of emissions, compliance, and trading information from key market participants [7] - Current limitations in data disclosure and standardization hinder comparability and transparency, which could affect market efficiency [6][7] Financial Market Opportunities - The introduction of financial institutions and non-compliance entities into the carbon market is expected to enhance liquidity and pricing efficiency through diverse financial products and risk management tools [8][10] - The "Opinions" encourage the development of green financial products related to carbon emissions, aiming to establish a comprehensive carbon pricing mechanism [8][9] - The emphasis on cautious development highlights the importance of risk management in the expansion of financial instruments like futures and options [10]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the Chinese government's strategic plan to enhance the national carbon market, aiming for a more effective and internationally influential system to address climate change and promote green transformation in the economy [1][2]. Group 1: Overall Requirements - The plan emphasizes the integration of Xi Jinping's thoughts on ecological civilization and economic development, aiming for a balance between green transformation and economic growth [2]. - Key goals include achieving comprehensive coverage of major industrial sectors in the carbon trading market by 2027 and establishing a robust carbon pricing mechanism by 2030 [2]. Group 2: Carbon Emission Trading Market Development - The national carbon emission trading market will expand its coverage based on industry development, pollution reduction contributions, and carbon emission characteristics [3]. - A transparent carbon quota management system will be established, transitioning from intensity control to total volume control by 2027 for stable emission sectors [3]. Group 3: Voluntary Emission Reduction Market - The development of a voluntary emission reduction trading market will be accelerated, focusing on areas with significant sustainable development benefits [5]. - The government encourages the use of certified voluntary emission reductions in various sectors, including government and corporate social responsibility initiatives [6]. Group 4: Market Vitality Enhancement - Financial institutions will be encouraged to develop green financial products related to carbon emissions, enhancing support for greenhouse gas reduction [7]. - The introduction of new trading participants, including individuals and financial institutions, will be facilitated to broaden market engagement [7]. Group 5: Capacity Building for Carbon Market - A comprehensive management system will be established to support the carbon market's development, including digital and intelligent management systems [8]. - The article highlights the importance of accurate carbon emission accounting and reporting, with a focus on improving data quality and regulatory oversight [9]. Group 6: Organizational Implementation and Legal Support - Local governments are tasked with implementing the carbon market strategy, ensuring compliance and effective management of emission quotas [11]. - The government will strengthen legal frameworks to support carbon market operations and enhance regulatory measures against violations [11]. Group 7: International Cooperation - The article emphasizes the importance of participating in international climate agreements and promoting China's carbon market practices globally [12].

Core Viewpoint - The carbon market is a crucial policy tool for promoting green and low-carbon transformation in China, with a focus on establishing a robust national carbon market system that includes both mandatory and voluntary carbon markets to achieve the "dual carbon" goals [2][3]. Summary by Sections Carbon Market Development - China has established a national carbon emissions trading market that mandates key emission units to fulfill reduction responsibilities, alongside a voluntary carbon market that encourages self-reduction efforts. These two markets operate independently but are interconnected through a quota management system [4][5]. - As of August 22, 2023, the mandatory carbon market has seen a cumulative transaction volume exceeding 680 million tons, with a transaction value of 47.41 billion yuan. The voluntary carbon market has recorded a cumulative transaction of 2.49 million tons, amounting to 210 million yuan [4]. Future Plans and Roadmap - The "Opinions" document outlines a timeline and roadmap for the development of the national carbon market. By 2027, the mandatory carbon market will expand to cover major industrial sectors, while the voluntary market will broaden its scope to include biomass utilization and solid waste management [6][9]. Quota Management System - A clear and transparent carbon emissions quota management system is essential for the healthy operation of the national carbon trading market. The distribution of quotas will balance reduction targets with economic costs and industry differences, aiming for a stable total carbon emissions control by 2027 [7][8]. Market Vitality and Financial Integration - The Ministry of Ecology and Environment plans to enhance market vitality by collaborating with financial institutions to develop green financial products related to carbon emissions rights. This includes mechanisms like carbon pledges and carbon repurchase agreements to facilitate financing for key emission units [11]. Data Quality and Regulatory Framework - Accurate and reliable carbon emission data is critical for quota trading and compliance. The government is enhancing data quality management through a three-tier review system and utilizing advanced technologies like big data and blockchain to improve regulatory efficiency [9][12]. Systematic Improvement - The construction of the national carbon market is a complex system engineering task that requires a problem-oriented and goal-oriented approach. The focus will be on improving the reliability of data and inclusivity across industries [10].