Core Insights - The national carbon market in China has shown significant growth in 2025, with key indicators achieving remarkable results, including the inclusion of 3,378 major emission units and a total transaction volume of 8.65 billion tons, reflecting a 24% year-on-year increase in trading volume [2][3] - The market has effectively supported the green transition in key industries such as electricity and steel, establishing a solid foundation for achieving carbon neutrality goals [1][4] Group 1: Market Performance - In 2025, the carbon market included 3,378 major emission units across high-emission sectors, with the electricity sector having 2,087 units, steel 232, cement 962, and aluminum 97 [2] - The total transaction volume reached 8.65 billion tons, with a cumulative transaction value of 576.63 billion yuan, and the average trading price was 62.36 yuan per ton [2][3] - The market maintained rational price fluctuations, closing at 74.63 yuan per ton at year-end, indicating effective reflection of carbon emission scarcity [2] Group 2: Compliance and Regulation - The compliance rate for carbon quota clearance was approximately 99.99%, demonstrating the increasing awareness of carbon reduction among major emission units [3] - Regulatory frameworks are in place to ensure compliance, with penalties for companies failing to meet their obligations under the carbon trading management regulations [3] Group 3: Industry Transition - The electricity sector has been a leader in the green transition, utilizing its experience in quota management and data quality to drive low-carbon development [4][5] - The steel industry, as a new participant, faces challenges in adapting to the carbon market, necessitating a proactive approach to compliance and internal carbon management [6][7] Group 4: Carbon Finance Development - Experts suggest enhancing the financial attributes of the carbon market to better utilize market mechanisms, including the development of carbon financial products [8][9] - Carbon finance can facilitate liquidity, price discovery, and risk management, supporting the transition to a low-carbon economy [8][10] - Local carbon markets have begun experimenting with carbon forward contracts, which could enhance pricing mechanisms and risk management for enterprises [9]

Group 1 - The national carbon market in China has seen a cumulative trading volume of 865 million tons and a total transaction value of 57.663 billion yuan as of December 31, 2025 [1] - The number of key emission units included in the national carbon market is 3,378, with the power generation sector having the highest representation at 2,087 units [1] - The trading volume for 2025 is projected to reach 235 million tons, representing a year-on-year increase of approximately 24%, with a transaction value of 14.63 billion yuan [1] Group 2 - The development and release of methodologies for voluntary greenhouse gas reduction projects are accelerating, with 12 methodologies published, including oilfield gas recovery and salt marsh vegetation restoration [2] - As of December 31, 2025, there are 33 registered voluntary reduction projects with a total reduction volume of 17.7637 million tons [2] - The cumulative transaction volume of certified voluntary reduction amounts is 9.2194 million tons, with a transaction value of 650 million yuan [2]

Group 1 - The national carbon market is expected to operate smoothly and steadily enhance market vitality by 2025, with a focus on increasing awareness of carbon reduction among key emission units [1] - By the end of 2025, there will be 3,378 key emission units included in the carbon emission trading market, with 2,087 from the power generation sector, 232 from the steel sector, 962 from the cement sector, and 97 from the aluminum smelting sector [1] - The cumulative trading volume of carbon emission rights in the national market reached 865 million tons, with a total transaction value of 57.663 billion yuan by the end of 2025 [1] Group 2 - The completion rate for the 2024 annual quota clearance is approximately 99.99%, with a total quota of 8.194 billion tons [1] - The voluntary emission reduction project methodology has accelerated, with 12 methodologies published, including oilfield gas recovery and salt marsh vegetation restoration [1] - As of the end of 2025, 33 voluntary emission reduction projects have been registered, resulting in a reduction of 1.77637 million tons, with a cumulative transaction volume of 921.94 thousand tons and a transaction value of 6.50 million yuan [2]

Core Insights - The national carbon market is expected to operate smoothly and steadily enhance market vitality by 2025, with a focus on increasing awareness of carbon reduction among key emission units [1] - The total number of key emission units under carbon emission trading market management is projected to reach 3,378 by 2025, with significant representation from the power generation, steel, cement, and aluminum industries [1] - The cumulative trading volume of carbon emission rights is anticipated to reach 865 million tons by the end of 2025, with a total transaction value of 57.663 billion yuan [1] Group 1: Carbon Market Overview - By the end of 2025, the carbon emission trading market will include 3,378 key emission units, with 2,087 from the power generation sector, 232 from steel, 962 from cement, and 97 from aluminum [1] - The market is expected to operate for 243 trading days, with a high completion rate of quota submissions, achieving approximately 99.99% for the 2024 quota of 8.194 billion tons [1] Group 2: Voluntary Emission Reduction Projects - As of December 2025, 33 voluntary emission reduction projects have been registered, resulting in a total reduction of 1.77637 million tons [2] - The cumulative trading volume of verified voluntary emission reductions is 921.94 thousand tons, with a transaction value of 6.5 million yuan and an average annual trading price of 70.76 yuan per ton [2] - The registration system has opened accounts for 6,106 entities, including project owners, key emission units, and financial institutions [2]

Core Insights - The national carbon market in 2025 is operating smoothly and steadily, with increasing market vitality and a high level of compliance in quota clearance [1][2] - The carbon emissions trading market is showing a low-cost reduction function for society, with significant growth in both the volume and value of transactions [1] Group 1: Carbon Emissions Trading Market - In 2025, a total of 3,378 key emission units are included in the carbon emissions trading market, with 2,087 from the power generation sector, 232 from the steel sector, 962 from the cement sector, and 97 from the aluminum smelting sector [1] - The cumulative transaction volume of carbon emission rights reached 865 million tons by December 31, 2025, with a cumulative transaction value of 57.663 billion yuan [1] - The transaction volume for the year 2025 was 235 million tons, representing a year-on-year increase of approximately 24%, with a transaction value of 14.630 billion yuan [1] Group 2: Voluntary Emission Reduction Market - The voluntary greenhouse gas emission reduction market is expanding rapidly, with 12 methodologies published for projects such as oilfield gas recovery and salt marsh vegetation restoration [2] - By the end of December 2025, 33 voluntary emission reduction projects were registered, with a total reduction volume of 17.7637 million tons [2] - The cumulative transaction volume of verified voluntary reduction amounts reached 9.2194 million tons, with a transaction value of 650 million yuan and an average transaction price of 70.76 yuan per ton [2]

Core Insights - The national carbon market is expected to operate smoothly and steadily enhance market vitality by 2025, with a continuous increase in carbon reduction awareness among key emission units [1] - The total number of key emission units under carbon emission trading market management is 3,378, with significant representation from the power, steel, cement, and aluminum industries [1] - The cumulative transaction volume of carbon emission rights reached 865 million tons by the end of 2025, with a total transaction value of 57.663 billion yuan [1] Group 1 - In 2025, the carbon emission rights trading market recorded a transaction volume of 235 million tons, a year-on-year increase of approximately 24%, with a transaction value of 14.630 billion yuan [1] - The average trading price for the year was 62.36 yuan per ton, with the year-end closing price at 74.63 yuan per ton [1] - The market conducted eight single-direction auctions to meet diverse trading needs [1] Group 2 - The completion rate for the 2024 annual quota was approximately 99.99%, with a total quota of 8.194 billion tons [2] - The voluntary greenhouse gas reduction trading market saw the release of 12 methodologies for projects, including oilfield gas recovery and salt marsh vegetation restoration, leading to rapid market expansion [2] - By the end of 2025, 33 voluntary reduction projects were registered, with a total reduction volume of 1.776 million tons and a cumulative transaction volume of 921.94 thousand tons in verified voluntary reduction [2]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent developments in China's voluntary greenhouse gas emission reduction trading market (CCER), highlighting the introduction of new methodologies that expand the market's coverage and emphasize China's innovative approach in the oil and gas sector [3][5]. Group 1: New Methodologies and Market Expansion - The Ministry of Ecology and Environment and the National Energy Administration have released three new methodologies for voluntary emission reduction projects, focusing on oil and gas recovery [3][5]. - This marks the first time methodologies related to the oil and gas industry have been introduced, which is significant as there is currently no market-based incentive mechanism for gas recovery projects globally [5][6]. - The new methodologies aim to enhance the CCER market's scope and support China's commitment to reducing greenhouse gas emissions by 7%-10% from peak levels by 2035 [5][6]. Group 2: Market Dynamics and Challenges - The CCER market is experiencing a recovery and expansion, with an increasing number of projects being registered and a growing demand driven by compliance needs and green finance [8][10]. - However, the price of CCER has been consistently higher than that of carbon allowances, leading to low trading activity and creating challenges for companies in lower carbon price regions [10][12]. - Suggestions for improving the market include enhancing collaboration with allowance trading, introducing new trading entities, and promoting carbon futures to increase liquidity [10][12]. Group 3: Future Directions and International Integration - The CCER market is expected to play a crucial role in achieving China's dual carbon goals by encouraging diverse participation in emission reduction efforts [12][13]. - There is a need for methodologies in the transportation sector, particularly for green fuels like green methanol and sustainable aviation fuel, to facilitate decarbonization in hard-to-abate industries [12][13]. - Long-term projections indicate that the CCER market will not only support domestic emission reduction goals but also contribute to international emission reduction efforts, enhancing China's influence in global carbon pricing [12][13].

Report Overview - Report Title: Carbon Market Weekly Report - Date: November 21, 2025 Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report Core Viewpoints - The Chinese government is actively promoting the construction of the carbon market, with policies aiming to expand coverage, control quota总量, and increase market vitality [9][10] - The expansion of the national carbon emissions trading market will gradually cover major industrial emission - intensive industries by 2027, marking a new stage in using market - based mechanisms for deep - emission reduction [10] Summary by Directory 1. Carbon Market Weekly Overview - In October, the national carbon market's comprehensive price had a high of 59.30 yuan/ton, a low of 50.34 yuan/ton, and a closing price of 51.96 yuan/ton, down 10.37% from the previous month. The trading volume and turnover of different trading methods were also reported [7] - In the 3rd week of November, the national carbon market quota had a high of 70.14 yuan/ton, a low of 60.02 yuan/ton, and a closing price of 65.27 yuan/ton, with a weekly increase of 8.48%. The total trading volume was 1169.44 million tons, and the total turnover was 701.0284 million yuan. Price expectations for November and December 2025 were also given [8] 2. Market News - The central government issued an opinion to expand the carbon market's coverage, implement quota总量 control and paid distribution, and improve market vitality [9] - China's carbon market construction aligns with the "dual - carbon" goal, and will gradually implement quota总量 control and paid distribution as the carbon - peak process advances [10] - The expansion schedule of the national carbon emissions trading market was announced, with major industrial sectors to be included by 2027, covering about 75% of CO2 emissions [10] - The "Chengdu Declaration" at the 2025 8th China International Photovoltaic and Energy Storage Industry Conference called for anti - "involution" in the industry and promoted high - quality development [10]

Core Insights - The national carbon market is experiencing a downward trend in prices, with a significant drop of 10.37% in October, closing at 51.96 yuan per ton [1] - The trading volume in October reached 41.5625 million tons, showing a nearly 30% increase despite fewer trading days compared to September [1] - The average closing price for carbon emission allowances (CEA) in October was approximately 54.76 yuan per ton, down 12.4% from September [1] Market Dynamics - The fluctuations in carbon prices are attributed to market forces such as supply and demand, market expectations, trading behaviors, and psychological factors [2] - The Ministry of Ecology and Environment plans to enhance the carbon market's pricing function and optimize resource allocation for carbon reduction [2] Future Developments - The national carbon market aims to expand its coverage to major industrial sectors by 2027 and shift from intensity control to total volume control [3] - There will be a gradual tightening of allowances, enhancing their scarcity to better reflect the true cost of emissions reduction [3] - Efforts will be made to develop a voluntary emission reduction trading market and increase the market's vitality through green financial products [3]

Core Insights - The national carbon emissions trading market in China has seen a cumulative trading volume of nearly 700 million tons and a transaction value of approximately 48 billion yuan as of the end of August 2024, marking a record high since the market's launch in 2021 [1] - The market's trading activity is increasing, with a daily average trading volume of carbon emission allowances rising by 43.55% compared to the previous compliance cycle, resulting in a total trading volume of 18.9 million tons and a transaction value of 18.114 billion yuan for the year 2024 [1] - The carbon intensity of electricity generation in China has decreased by 10.8% compared to 2018 levels [1] Market Developments - In March 2024, the steel, cement, and aluminum smelting industries were included in the national carbon emissions trading market, leading to the addition of over 1,300 new key emission units, which now account for over 60% of the total carbon dioxide emissions in the country [1] - The voluntary greenhouse gas reduction trading market has been introduced as a significant policy tool to achieve China's "dual carbon" goals, with the first batch of newly registered certified voluntary emission reductions starting trading in March 2024 [1] - As of the end of August 2024, the voluntary trading market has recorded a cumulative trading volume of 2.7061 million tons and a transaction value of 22.9 million yuan, with transaction prices exceeding 100 yuan per ton multiple times [1]