Core Viewpoint - Jinmoly Co., Ltd. experienced a stock price decline of 2.03% on October 16, with a current price of 14.96 CNY per share and a total market capitalization of 48.27 billion CNY [1] Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Jinmoly reported a revenue of 6.96 billion CNY, representing a year-on-year growth of 5.55%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 8.27% to 1.38 billion CNY [2] - Since its A-share listing, Jinmoly has distributed a total of 10.34 billion CNY in dividends, with 3.55 billion CNY distributed over the past three years [3] Shareholder Structure - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders decreased by 2.94% to 74,500, while the average number of circulating shares per person increased by 3.03% to 43,303 shares [2] - The top ten circulating shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited as the second-largest shareholder with 88.96 million shares, an increase of 8.27 million shares from the previous period [3]

Company Overview - Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co., Ltd. is located in Baotou, Inner Mongolia, and was established on September 12, 1997, with its listing date on September 24, 1997. The company specializes in rare earth raw materials, functional materials, and some terminal application products [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Northern Rare Earth achieved operating revenue of 18.866 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 45.24%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 931 million yuan, showing a significant year-on-year increase of 1951.52% [2]. - Since its A-share listing, the company has distributed a total of 5.358 billion yuan in dividends, with 994 million yuan distributed over the past three years [3]. Stock Performance - As of October 16, Northern Rare Earth's stock price decreased by 2.00% to 53.41 yuan per share, with a trading volume of 4.671 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 2.40%. The total market capitalization stands at 193.081 billion yuan [1]. - Year-to-date, the stock price has increased by 152.11%, with a 0.53% rise over the last five trading days, an 8.21% increase over the last 20 days, and an 83.92% increase over the last 60 days [1]. Shareholder Information - As of October 10, the number of shareholders for Northern Rare Earth reached 730,000, an increase of 4.58% from the previous period. The average circulating shares per person decreased by 4.38% to 4,952 shares [2]. - The top ten circulating shareholders include significant institutional investors, with Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited holding 139 million shares, an increase of 40.4142 million shares from the previous period [3].

Core Viewpoint - Zhangyuan Tungsten Industry's stock has experienced significant fluctuations, with a year-to-date increase of 90.06% but a recent decline of 8.09% over the past five trading days [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Zhangyuan Tungsten Industry Co., Ltd. is located in Chongyi County, Ganzhou City, Jiangxi Province, and was established on February 28, 2000, with its listing date on March 31, 2010 [2] - The company specializes in the tungsten industry chain, including products such as APT, tungsten oxide, tungsten powder, tungsten carbide powder, tungsten materials, and hard alloys [2] - The revenue composition of the main business includes tungsten carbide powder (34.10%), tungsten powder (31.47%), hard alloys (21.28%), and other products [2] Group 2: Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Zhangyuan Tungsten Industry achieved operating revenue of 2.399 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 32.27%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 115 million yuan, up 2.54% year-on-year [2] - The company has distributed a total of 862 million yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 269 million yuan distributed over the past three years [3] Group 3: Shareholder Information - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders in Zhangyuan Tungsten Industry was 54,300, a decrease of 3.46% from the previous period, with an average of 22,019 circulating shares per person, an increase of 3.58% [2] - Major shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, which holds 8.7857 million shares, and Silver Hua Xin Jia Two-Year Holding Period Mixed Fund, which holds 6.1986 million shares [3]

Core Viewpoint - The recent quota policy from the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) has established a total quota of 96,600 tons for cobalt exports, with a base quota remaining unchanged at 87,000 tons, impacting major companies in the industry [1][2]. Quota Distribution - The quota distribution is as follows: - Luoyang Molybdenum Company (Luoyang Moly) received 36% of the quota, equating to an annualized 31,200 tons - Glencore received 22%, or 18,800 tons - Eurasian Resources received 12%, or 10,000 tons - The local company EGC received 6.5%, or 5,640 tons - Other Chinese companies such as Northern Mining received 5.5% (4,800 tons), Shengton Mining 2% (1,680 tons), and Huayou Cobalt 1.24% (1,080 tons) [2][3]. Policy Implications - The quota allocation aligns with expectations based on historical export volumes from January 1, 2022, to December 31, 2024, although the allocation for EGC is notable given its lack of past exports [3]. - The introduction of a 10% royalty fee on sales value for companies receiving cobalt export quotas is expected to significantly increase local revenue [3]. Market Outlook - The total quota of 96,600 tons represents a 56% decrease compared to last year's exports of nearly 220,000 tons, indicating a tighter supply-demand balance for cobalt [4]. - Current inventory levels are critical, with an estimated four months of supply across the industry chain, which could lead to increased price pressures as inventory is consumed [5]. Price Trends - As of October 13, cobalt prices have seen significant increases, with prices for cobalt sulfate, lithium cobalt oxide, and battery-grade cobalt rising by 40%, 38%, and 29% respectively from September 22 to October 13 [5]. Investment Recommendations - The industry is expected to experience upward price movement due to ongoing inventory depletion and low stock levels, with a long-term view suggesting a potential increase in cobalt price stability [5]. - Companies less affected by DRC policies, such as Huayou Cobalt and Likin Resources, as well as low-cost producers like Luoyang Moly, are recommended for investment [5].

Market Overview - The small metal sector experienced a decline of 1.67% on October 15, with Northern Rare Earth leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3912.21, up 1.22%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13118.75, up 1.73% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Shenghe Resources (600392) saw a closing price of 26.26, with an increase of 5.04% and a trading volume of 3.19 million shares, amounting to a transaction value of 8.597 billion [1] - Anning Co. (002978) closed at 33.85, up 2.05%, with a trading volume of 68,400 shares and a transaction value of 231 million [1] - Northern Rare Earth (600111) closed at 54.50, down 4.05%, with a trading volume of 3.03 million shares and a transaction value of 1.6617 billion [2] Capital Flow Analysis - The small metal sector experienced a net outflow of 2.092 billion from main funds, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 2.265 billion [2] - The main funds showed a significant outflow in several stocks, including Baotai Co. (600456) with a net outflow of 27.17 million [3] - Retail investors contributed positively to stocks like Shenghe Resources (600392) with a net inflow of 65.96 million [3]

Market Overview - Major A-share indices experienced slight fluctuations in the morning and rose in the afternoon, with the Shanghai Composite Index increasing by 1.22% to close at 3912.21 points, the Shenzhen Component Index rising by 1.73%, and the ChiNext Index up by 2.36% [1][2]. Trading Volume - The total market turnover reached 2.09 trillion yuan, a decrease of 506.2 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day, with over 4300 stocks rising [1]. Sector Performance - The robotics sector surged following the release of a document by Shanghai supporting the research and mass production of humanoid robots, with Sanhua Intelligent Control hitting the daily limit [3]. - The automotive sector also performed well, with Zhongtong Bus and Haima Automobile both reaching the daily limit [3]. - The recombinant protein and CRO sectors were active, led by Sai Sheng Pharmaceutical and Boteng Co., Ltd. [3]. - The aviation and airport sectors saw gains, with Huaxia Airlines hitting the daily limit [3]. - Other sectors with notable increases included high-pressure fast charging, Kirin batteries, precious metals, automotive parts, and chemical pharmaceuticals [3]. Declining Sectors - The shipping and port sector declined, with Nanjing Port dropping over 7% [3]. - The small metals and rare earth permanent magnet sectors retreated, with Galaxy Magnetic Materials leading the decline [3]. - The photolithography machine sector weakened, with New Lai Material falling over 12% [3]. - Other sectors with significant declines included grain concepts, genetically modified organisms, cultivated diamonds, and electronic chemicals [3].

Core Insights - The A-share market indices collectively rose, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3912.21 points, up 1.22%, and a total trading volume of 961.55 billion yuan [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13118.75 points, up 1.73%, with a trading volume of 1111.31 billion yuan [1] - The ChiNext Index closed at 3025.87 points, up 2.36%, with a trading volume of 488.64 billion yuan [1] Sector Performance - The automotive sector led the gains with a rise of 3.46%, total trading volume of 203.94 million hands, and a net inflow of 2.68 billion yuan [2] - The airport and shipping sector increased by 3.35%, with a trading volume of 129.84 million hands and a net inflow of 1.68 billion yuan [2] - The electric grid equipment sector rose by 3.16%, with a trading volume of 376.60 million hands and a net inflow of 5.13 billion yuan [2] - Conversely, the port shipping sector declined by 1.43%, with a trading volume of 172.13 million hands and a net outflow of 1.11 billion yuan [2] - The small metals sector fell by 0.73%, with a trading volume of 137.17 million hands and a net outflow of 1.62 billion yuan [2] - The agriculture and forestry sector decreased by 0.60%, with a trading volume of 72.54 million hands and a net outflow of 0.50 billion yuan [2]

Market Performance - Major A-share indices experienced slight fluctuations in the morning and surged in the afternoon, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 1.22% to 3912 points, the Shenzhen Component Index increasing by 1.73%, and the ChiNext Index climbing by 2.36% [1] - The total market turnover was 2.09 trillion yuan, a decrease of 506.2 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day, with over 4300 stocks rising [1] Sector Performance - The robotics sector saw gains following the issuance of a document by Shanghai supporting the research and mass production of humanoid robots, with Sanhua Intelligent Control hitting the daily limit [1] - The automotive sector also performed well, with Zhongtong Bus and Haima Automobile both reaching the daily limit [1] - The recombinant protein and CRO sectors were active, led by Sai Sheng Pharmaceutical and Boteng Co., Ltd. [1] - The aviation and airport sectors rose, with Huaxia Airlines hitting the daily limit [1] - Other sectors with notable gains included high-pressure fast charging, Kirin batteries, precious metals, automotive parts, and chemical pharmaceuticals [1] Declining Sectors - The shipping and port sector declined, with Nanjing Port dropping over 7% [1] - The small metals and rare earth permanent magnet sectors retreated, with Galaxy Magnetic Materials leading the decline [1] - The photolithography machine sector weakened, with Xinlai Materials falling over 12% [1] - Other sectors with significant declines included grain concepts, genetically modified organisms, cultivated diamonds, and electronic chemicals [1] Recent Fund Inflows - Recent net inflows were observed in sectors such as precious metals, engineering machinery, and electrical power networks, with respective increases of 2.93%, 3.26%, and 3.18% [2] - Other sectors with notable increases included motorcycles and electronic components, with increases of 2.70% and 2.68% respectively [2]

Market Overview - The market continues to experience fluctuations, with technology stocks undergoing adjustments while individual stock performances dominate [2] - The pharmaceutical sector, which had previously seen significant adjustments, is rebounding alongside consumer goods, becoming a new focus for funds [2] - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.1%, while the Shenzhen Component Index remained flat, and the ChiNext Index increased by 0.22% [2] Pharmaceutical Sector - Pharmaceutical stocks are experiencing a rebound, particularly in cell immunotherapy, innovative drugs, and medical services [4] - Notable stocks include Guangsheng Tang, which hit a "20CM" limit up, and Shutaishen, which rose over 14% [2][4] - The innovative drug sector has been strong in the first half of the year but has seen fluctuations since mid-August [6] Investment Logic in Innovative Drugs - Institutions believe the investment logic for the innovative drug sector may shift from sentiment-driven to fundamentals-driven [7] - Market focus is expected to shift towards leading companies with actual benefits, especially those with established products or strong clinical trial progress [7] - The European Society for Medical Oncology (ESMO) conference, scheduled for October 17-21, 2025, is anticipated to be a key catalyst for the innovative drug sector [7] Quantum Technology Sector - The quantum technology sector is witnessing an uptick, with stocks like Hexin Instruments and Geer Software experiencing significant gains [8] - Recent announcements, including the Nobel Prize in Physics awarded for contributions to quantum mechanics, are expected to enhance interest in quantum technology [9][10] - The global quantum computing market is projected to grow from $1.1 billion in 2022 to approximately $7.6 billion by 2027 [10]

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Outperform the Market (maintained rating) [7] Core Viewpoints - The recent quota policy from the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) has set a total quota of 96,600 tons, with a base quota remaining unchanged at 87,000 tons. Major companies receiving quotas include Luoyang Molybdenum (36% share), Glencore (22% share), and Eurasian Resources (12% share) [2][3] - The quota distribution aligns with expectations, although the local DRC company EGC received a quota despite minimal past exports, likely due to local policy support. The introduction of a 10% royalty fee on cobalt sales will significantly increase local revenue [3][4] Summary by Sections Quota Distribution - The quota distribution is based on historical export volumes from January 1, 2022, to December 31, 2024. The current quota aligns with expectations, with the DRC's local company EGC receiving a quota despite limited past exports [3] - The total quota of 96,600 tons represents a 56% decrease compared to last year's exports of nearly 220,000 tons, indicating a tightening supply-demand balance [4] Market Outlook - The current inventory situation is critical, with an estimated four months of inventory across the supply chain. This could lead to increased supply tension if any segment of the chain holds excess stock [4] - As of October 13, prices for cobalt sulfate, lithium cobalt oxide, and battery-grade cobalt have increased by 40%, 38%, and 29% respectively from September 22 to October 13, indicating strong downstream demand [4] Investment Recommendations - Short-term expectations include continued inventory depletion and potential price increases due to low inventory levels. The long-term logic suggests a direct supply-demand balance or even a shortage, leading to an upward adjustment in cobalt prices [5] - Companies not significantly affected by DRC policies, such as Huayou Cobalt and Likin Resources, as well as Luoyang Molybdenum, which has now clarified its quota status, are recommended for investment [5]