Battery Industry - In the first half of 2025, global lithium battery production reached 986.47 GWh, representing a year-on-year growth of 48.29% [1] - The top 10 companies in lithium battery production include CATL, BYD, LG, Zhongchuang Xinhang, Yiwei Lithium Energy, Guoxuan High-Tech, Ruipu Lanjun, Xiamen Haicheng, Samsung SDI, and Hive Energy [1] Energy Storage - Global energy storage battery production in the first half of 2025 was 258 GWh, showing a significant year-on-year increase of 106% [2] - The leading companies in energy storage battery production are CATL, Yiwei Lithium Energy, Haicheng Storage, BYD, Zhongchuang Xinhang, Ruipu Lanjun, Guoxuan High-Tech, Envision Energy, Ganfeng Lithium, and Chuangneng New Energy [2] Lithium Iron Phosphate - Global lithium iron phosphate production in the first half of 2025 reached 163.2 million tons, with a year-on-year growth of 66.6% [3] - The top 10 companies in lithium iron phosphate production include Hunan Youneng, Wanrun New Energy, Defang Nano, Youshan Technology, Fulian Shenghua, Guoxuan High-Tech, Changzhou Lithium Source, Anda Technology, Taifeng First, and Dandeng Technology [3] NCM Materials - Domestic NCM (Nickel Cobalt Manganese) material production in the first half of 2025 was 32.1 million tons, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 7.3% [4] - The top 5 companies in NCM material production are Nantong Ruixiang, Rongbai Technology, Tianjin Bamo, Guangdong Bangpu, and Dandeng Technology [5] NCM Precursor - Domestic NCM precursor production in the first half of 2025 was 40.0 million tons, showing a year-on-year decline of 8.6% [8] - The top 5 companies in NCM precursor production include Hunan Bangpu, Zhongwei Co., Huayou Cobalt, Lanzhou Jintong, and Greeenmei [8] Lithium Manganese Oxide - Domestic lithium manganese oxide shipments in the first half of 2025 reached 6.4 million tons, with a year-on-year growth of 6.6% [9] Lithium Cobalt Oxide - Domestic lithium cobalt oxide production in the first half of 2025 was 5.37 million tons, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 27.8% [10] - The top 5 companies in lithium cobalt oxide production are Xiamen Tungsten New Energy, Tianjin Bamo, BASF Shanshan, Tianjin Mengguli, and Keheng Co. [11] Anode Materials - Domestic anode material production in the first half of 2025 reached 128.1 million tons, with a year-on-year growth of 34.56% [12] - The top 12 companies in anode material production include Betterray, Shanghai Shanshan, Shangtai Technology, Zhongke Xingcheng, Guangdong Kaijin, Jiangxi Zicheng, Hebei Kuntian, Carbon One New Energy, Xiangfenghua, Guangdong Dongdao, Jinhui Energy, and Huiyang New Energy [12] Electrolytes - Domestic electrolyte production in the first half of 2025 was 941,000 tons, showing a year-on-year growth of 54.57%; global production reached 1,005,000 tons, with a year-on-year growth of 46.71% [13] - The top 6 companies in electrolyte production are Tianci Materials, BYD, New Zobon, Zhuhai Saiwei, Xianghe Kunlun, and Shida Shenghua [14] Lithium Hexafluorophosphate - Global lithium hexafluorophosphate production in the first half of 2025 reached 125,000 tons, with a year-on-year growth of 38% [15] - The top 5 companies in lithium hexafluorophosphate production are Tianci Materials, Duofluor, New Tai New Materials, Jiangxi Shilei, and Zhejiang Yongtai [16] Separators - Domestic separator production in the first half of 2025 was 13.62 billion square meters, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 49%; wet-process separator production was 11.18 billion square meters, with a year-on-year growth of 60%; dry-process separator production was 2.43 billion square meters, with a year-on-year growth of 11% [17] - The top 5 companies in wet-process separator production are Enjie Co., Jinli New Energy, China National Materials, Xingyuan Material, and Housheng New Energy [18] - The top 3 companies in dry-process separator production are Xingyuan Material, Zhongxing New Materials, and Huqiang New Energy [19] Copper Foil - Domestic lithium battery copper foil production in the first half of 2025 was 466,900 tons, with a year-on-year growth of 30.4% [20] - The top 5 companies in copper foil production are Longdian Huaxin, Defu Technology, Huachuang New Materials, Jiayuan Technology, and Nord Co. [20] Aluminum Foil - Domestic battery aluminum foil production in the first half of 2025 was 228,000 tons, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 32.9% [21] - The top 5 companies in aluminum foil production are Dingsheng New Materials, North Aluminum, Shenlong Baoding, Anhui Jinyu, and Nannan Aluminum Foil [21] Sodium Batteries - Domestic sodium-ion battery production in the first half of 2025 was 2.1 GWh [22] - The top 5 companies in sodium-ion battery production are CATL, Zhongke Haina, BYD, Haishida, and Weike Technology [23] Sodium Battery Cathode - Domestic sodium-ion battery cathode material production in the first half of 2025 was 720 tons [24] - The top 5 companies in sodium battery cathode production include Jiana New Energy, Zhongke Haina, Wanrun New Energy, Yingna New Energy, and Dandeng Technology, with polyionic cathode materials accounting for 69.18%, layered oxide cathode materials for 28%, and Prussian blue/white cathode materials for 2.79% [25]

Group 1 - Li Daxiao suggests that the Chinese stock market may enter a "short squeeze bull market," indicating a strong upward movement driven by major funds [3] - Recent market performance shows the Shanghai Composite Index stabilizing above 3500 points, with significant net inflows from northbound funds, particularly in growth sectors like batteries and semiconductors [3] - The total market turnover has exceeded 1.5 trillion, indicating a recovery in trading volume, although it still falls short of the 1.6 trillion needed for a stable 3500 points [3] Group 2 - The policy environment is supportive, with a financial "combination punch" targeting consumption and technology sectors, particularly benefiting commercial real estate and lithium battery industries [3] - The establishment of a "Chinese version of a stabilizing fund" with an 800 billion yuan quota from the central bank is seen as a safety net for the market [3] - Historical context suggests that short squeeze markets can rise quickly but may also decline rapidly, highlighting the need for caution among investors [4] Group 3 - Three investment directions are recommended for medium to long-term investors: consumption upgrade sectors, technology growth stocks with a focus on fundamentals, and high-dividend blue-chip stocks [4] - The current price-to-earnings ratio of the A-share market is approaching historical averages, with some technology stocks, like Nvidia, showing high valuations that warrant caution [4] - The overall economic recovery remains fragile, and the ability of corporate earnings to keep pace with market movements is crucial [4]

Report Industry Investment Rating - The report suggests going long on industrial products on dips [5] Core Viewpoints - The "anti-involution" trading in the industrial product sector is heating up, with prices of some commodities rebounding due to policy expectations. The market is awaiting the July Politburo meeting for potential further pro - growth policies. The US is implementing new tariff policies on multiple countries, and there are signs of inflation trading both overseas and domestically, but it faces challenges [2][3] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Analysis - In May, domestic investment data weakened, especially in the real - estate sector, which may drag down fiscal revenue and the entire real - estate chain. Exports were under pressure, while consumption showed resilience. The June manufacturing PMI rebounded, but the economic stabilization foundation needs to be strengthened. "Anti - involution" policy expectations in industries like photovoltaic, lithium - battery, and others are rising [2] - On July 10, the A - share market rose in the afternoon, with the Shanghai Composite Index standing firm at 3500 points, hitting a 9 - month high. Real - estate stocks had a涨停潮, and large - financial stocks strengthened [2] - The US will impose tariffs ranging from 25% to 40% on imports from 14 countries starting August 1, and a second batch of tariffs on 8 countries will also take effect on the same day. The US Commerce Secretary plans to talk with China in early August [2][7] - Trump issued an executive order on clean energy and announced a 50% tariff on copper starting August 1, 2025, and investigations in the pharmaceutical and semiconductor sectors will be completed by the end of the month [2] Macro - inflation - Trump signed the "Great Beautiful" tax and spending bill, which may increase US government debt by $3.4 trillion in the next decade, shifting the US from a "tight fiscal expectation + neutral monetary" phase to a "loose - prone" policy phase [3] - Overseas, the core is the currency - led inflation expectation. The US one - year inflation expectation in June dropped from 3.2% to 3.0%, a five - month low. In China, the Central Financial and Economic Commission's meeting has reignited inflation trading, but it faces challenges both overseas and domestically [3] Commodity Sector - Domestically, the black and new - energy metal sectors are most sensitive to the supply - side. Overseas, the energy and non - ferrous sectors benefit significantly from inflation expectations [4] - The black sector is still dragged down by downstream demand expectations. The supply shortage in the non - ferrous sector persists. In the energy sector, the short - term geopolitical premium is over, and the medium - term supply is expected to be relatively loose. OPEC + will increase production by 548,000 barrels per day in August, and OPEC has lowered its global oil demand forecast for the next four years [4] - The EIA expects the 2025 Brent crude oil price to be $69 per barrel. The ninth OPEC International Seminar was held from July 9 - 10 [4] - There are no short - term weather disturbances in the agricultural product sector, so the price fluctuation range is relatively limited [4] Strategy - For commodities and stock index futures, it is recommended to go long on industrial products on dips [5]

2025 年 7 月 11 日 碳酸锂：累库加速但仓单偏少，震荡格局或延续 | 邵婉嫕 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0015722 | shaowanyi@gtht.com | | --- | --- | | 刘鸿儒（联系人） 期货从业资格号：F03124172 | liuhongru@gtht.com | 【基本面跟踪】 碳酸锂基本面数据 | | | | T | T-1 | T-5 | T-10 | T-22 | T-66 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 2509合约（收盘价） | 64,400 | 520 | 440 | 3,520 | 3,440 | -11,560 | | | | 2509合约（成交量） | 350,125 | -195,280 | -190,310 | -16,618 | 284,794 | 346,679 | | | | 2509合约（持仓量） | 326,895 | -11,139 | 1,321 | -23,511 | 138,865 | 309,525 | | | 盘面 | 2511合约 ...

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the electric new energy industry, particularly focusing on the electric vehicle (EV), wind power, and energy storage sectors for the year 2025 [1][4][19]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Electric Vehicle Market Growth**: The domestic passenger car market is expected to grow by 40% in 2025, while the European power market is projected to grow by approximately 20%. The overall demand in the energy storage market is anticipated to increase by nearly 30% [1][4]. - **Wind Power Development**: Domestic offshore wind power projects are expected to reach an installation scale of around 10GW in 2025, with over 30GW of reserve projects ensuring high growth. The overseas market is stable at 4-5GW annually, with expectations to reach 10GW by 2026 [1][5]. - **Energy Storage Sector Outlook**: The energy storage industry is expected to perform well in the second half of 2025, with new technological advancements and policy support likely to address supply-demand imbalances. Data from January to May indicates a total of 32GWh, with projections for the first half of the year to reach 40-50GWh [1][8][10]. Notable Companies and Performance - Companies such as Daikin and New Strong Union are highlighted for their strong performance. Tian Shun and Hai Li are noted for their potential turnaround, while Lu Feng shows promising profitability improvement. Hai Feng is recognized for its robust performance, with a recommendation for higher weight in investment [1][7]. Additional Important Insights - **Telecom Industry Strategy**: The mid-term strategy for the telecom industry in 2025 focuses on three main directions: theme continuation, bottom reversal, and exploring new directions, particularly in lithium batteries, wind power storage, and power equipment [2]. - **AI and Robotics Investment Opportunities**: The AI and robotics sectors are identified as significant future investment opportunities, impacting traditional industries and creating new application scenarios [6][17]. - **Seasonal Market Changes**: The market experiences seasonal variations that can affect stock prices, with expectations for new technology catalysts, such as solid-state battery technology, to influence market dynamics [13]. - **Solar Industry Challenges**: The solar industry is facing challenges with a basic structure showing signs of bottoming out after seven consecutive quarters of losses. New technologies and policy support are crucial for recovery [14][16]. Conclusion - The electric new energy industry is poised for significant growth in 2025, driven by advancements in electric vehicles, wind power, and energy storage. Companies demonstrating strong performance and potential for recovery are highlighted as key investment opportunities. The integration of AI and robotics is expected to further enhance industry dynamics, while the solar sector faces challenges that require strategic adjustments.

Core Insights - The "14th Five-Year Plan" period has seen a surge in Chinese companies going global, transitioning from "manufacturing exports" to "intelligent manufacturing exports" and from "single operations" to "industry chain collaboration" [1][2] - A total of 3,667 A-share listed companies disclosed overseas business income in 2024, accounting for 68% of A-share companies, with total overseas income reaching 9.52 trillion yuan, a 56.58% increase from 2020 [2] - Manufacturing companies have shown remarkable performance, with overseas income reaching 6.39 trillion yuan in 2024, a 75.42% increase from 2020 [2] Industry Performance - The new growth drivers in foreign trade include new energy vehicles, lithium batteries, and photovoltaics, with companies like Great Wall Motors and Changan Automobile seeing over 600% growth in overseas income compared to 2020 [3] - CATL's overseas income reached 110.34 billion yuan in 2024, growing over 14 times since 2020, with significant investments in Indonesia [3] - The engineering machinery sector has seen overseas income share rise from 11.38% in 2020 to 47.48% in 2024, with major companies like SANY Heavy Industry and Zoomlion contributing over half of their revenue from overseas [3] Strategic Trends - The trend of "industrial chain going overseas" and "ecosystem going overseas" has become prominent, with leading companies enhancing efficiency by leveraging their chain advantages [4] - ASEAN has become China's largest export market, with significant investments in production capacity in Southeast Asia, such as Changan Automobile's new energy vehicle base in Thailand [4] - Latin America is emerging as a new growth area, with companies like BYD and Linglong Tire making substantial investments in Brazil [5] Cross-Border M&A Activity - Cross-border mergers and acquisitions (M&A) have seen a resurgence, with 216 disclosed cases in 2024, a 32.52% increase year-on-year, marking a five-year high [6] - M&A activities are categorized into three types: acquiring overseas brands, core technology acquisition, and channel acquisition, with significant examples in advanced manufacturing and biomedicine [6] Capital Market Developments - In 2025, leading companies in hard technology are accelerating their overseas strategies, with over 50 A-share companies announcing plans to list in Hong Kong [7] - Notable companies like CATL and Hengrui Medicine have successfully listed in Hong Kong, with CATL raising 35.3 billion HKD, the largest IPO globally for the year [7] Future Outlook - Industry experts express optimism about the future of Chinese companies going global, highlighting opportunities in green exports, capacity expansion, and infrastructure projects [10] - The focus on protecting national security and intellectual property while targeting high-end markets is emphasized for companies in high-tech sectors [10]

Group 1 - The upcoming disclosure of mid-year reports by listed companies is expected to become a mainstream market focus, with Zhongyan Chemical set to report on July 15 [1] - Companies with significantly better-than-expected performance, such as Huayin Power with a projected increase of over 40 times in earnings, have seen substantial stock price increases, with a 76.72% rise in July [1] - Investors are advised to focus on companies with sustained earnings growth during the mid-year report season, particularly in sectors like artificial intelligence, biomedicine, machinery, and Huawei's supply chain [1] Group 2 - Investors should pay attention to companies with large absolute net profit increases, while also considering the sustainability of future earnings growth and valuation levels [2] - The market is expected to maintain a slow bull trend in the second half of the year, with a focus on blue-chip stocks in banking, non-bank financials, and high-dividend sectors [2] - Investment strategies should consider three main lines: sectors with mid-year report highlights like gold and technology hardware, high-growth opportunities less affected by economic cycles such as the AI industry, and industries that have achieved supply-side clearing in a mild recovery environment [2]

Core Insights - The European automotive market is experiencing a significant shift towards hybrid vehicles, with plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs) leading the growth, marking 2025 as a pivotal year for the industry [1][2][3] Group 1: Market Trends - In May 2025, the market share of hybrid vehicles (including HEVs and PHEVs) reached 43.3%, surpassing traditional fuel vehicles for the first time [1] - PHEV sales saw a robust year-on-year growth of 46.9%, nearly double the growth rate of battery electric vehicles (BEVs) at 25% [1] - The market share of pure electric vehicles is slowly increasing to around 15%, indicating a preference for hybrid solutions among European consumers [1] Group 2: Chinese Automakers' Performance - Chinese automotive brands achieved total sales exceeding 60,000 units in Europe in May 2025, marking an 85% year-on-year increase and a market share rise to 5.4%-5.9% from 2.9% [2][3] - BYD's registrations in the EU and UK surged by 397% in May, leveraging a strategy that combines pure electric and hybrid models to navigate impending tariffs on pure electric vehicles [2] - The export volume of Chinese PHEVs grew by 240% year-on-year in May 2025, significantly outpacing pure electric vehicle exports [3] Group 3: Strategic Shifts - Leading Chinese automakers are shifting focus from product exports to local production and ecosystem development in Europe [4] - BYD announced the establishment of its European headquarters in Hungary, with plans for manufacturing facilities to be operational by 2026-2027 [4] - A collaborative ecosystem for lithium battery production is emerging in Hungary, with major players like CATL and others establishing operations [4] Group 4: Competitive Landscape - European automakers are responding to the rise of hybrids by launching new generations of hybrid models, intensifying competition in the hybrid technology market [3] - Local manufacturers are introducing affordable pure electric models, with new entries priced between €15,000 and €30,000, which could stimulate consumer demand [6] - The market is transitioning into a post-subsidy era, presenting challenges in balancing production costs, supply chain resilience, and stringent carbon emission regulations [6]

Market Overview - A-shares experienced a collective rise on July 10, with the Shanghai Composite Index surpassing the 3500-point mark, closing at 3509.68 points, up 0.48% [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index rose 0.47% to close at 10631.13 points, while the ChiNext Index increased by 0.22% to 2189.58 points [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 149.42 billion yuan, a slight decrease of 11 billion yuan compared to the previous day [1] Sector Performance - The majority of industry sectors saw gains, with real estate development, engineering consulting services, real estate services, cement and building materials, coal, small metals, diversified finance, and steel industries leading the increases [1] - Conversely, the jewelry, shipbuilding, and manufacturing sectors experienced declines [1] Stock Movement - A total of 2947 stocks rose, with 69 hitting the daily limit up, while 2279 stocks fell, with 14 hitting the daily limit down [1] - The market showed signs of volatility, with significant fluctuations observed during the trading day, particularly in blue-chip stocks such as banks, insurance, and real estate [1] Investment Trends - Market focus on sectors experiencing a turnaround, particularly in photovoltaic, lithium battery, and real estate concepts, with significant price increases in silicon wafer prices ranging from 8% to 11.7% due to upstream silicon material price hikes [2] - Despite positive technical indicators, including a bullish engulfing pattern in the Shanghai Composite Index, the overall buying strength remains insufficient, indicating caution in stock selection is necessary [2] Company Spotlight - Xiangguo's stock performance was notable, with 86 out of 147 stocks rising, including Qidi Pharmaceutical, which hit the daily limit up after a previous gain of over 9% [3] - Qidi Pharmaceutical's main business includes "Guhang Yangshengjing" series products and traditional Chinese medicine, reporting a net profit of -16.26 million yuan for Q1 2025, a year-on-year decline of 96.23% [3] - The company is preparing for a potential change in control due to the auction of 24.47% of shares held by its controlling shareholder, and it has signed a strategic cooperation agreement to develop a traditional Chinese medicine health and wellness tourism base [3]

证券代码：002240 证券简称：盛新锂能 公告编号：2025-038 盛新锂能集团股份有限公司 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露内容的真实、准确和完整，没有虚 假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 一、担保情况概述 盛新锂能集团股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）全资子公司盛威致远国际 有限公司（以下简称"盛威国际"）及控股子公司印尼盛拓锂能有限公司（以下 简称"印尼盛拓"）因业务发展需要，拟向汇丰银行（中国）有限公司（以下简 称"汇丰银行"）申请合计不超过 5,000 万美元（含本数，按合同签署日汇率折 合人民币约 35,770.5 万元）综合授信额度，其中 4,000 万美元为盛威国际、印尼 盛拓共用综合授信额度，1,000 万美元为盛威国际、印尼盛拓共用外汇衍生品交 易综合授信额度，期限不超过 12 个月。2025 年 7 月 9 日，公司与汇丰银行签署 了《保证书》，为上述事项提供连带责任保证。 公司分别于 2025 年 3 月 21 日、2025 年 4 月 11 日召开第八届董事会第十八 次会议和 2024 年年度股东大会，审议通过了《关于对下属子公司提供担保额度 预计的议案》，同意公司（含下属子公司） ...