智通财经APP获悉，有媒体在周四援引知情人士透露的消息报道称，全球石油与天然气巨头沙特阿美 (ARMCO)非常接近达成协议，从美国资管巨头贝莱德(BLK.US)牵头并领导的大型金融财团筹集大约 100亿美元资金，主要用于投资沙特阿美位于贾富拉(Jafurah)超大型天然气项目的基础设施，还将用于 其他的非石油类型基础设施项目。 对于全球能源版图而言，随着各国寻求比石油和煤炭更清洁的能源替代品，天然气资源，尤其是液化天 然气(LNG)的资源重要性可谓逐渐超过石油体系。尤其是对于AI数据中心而言，同属清洁能源属性且更 加高效能源范畴的天然气，未来几年将是数据中心无比庞大电力系统的核心重要能源之一。 在一些华尔街分析师看来，人工智能训练/推理系统乃驱动天然气能源需求增长的重要因素。谷歌、微 软以及亚马逊AWS等大型数据中心对于天然气等清洁能源的近年来无比强劲需求，主要在于全球，尤 其是欧洲发达国家脱碳化大趋势之下，聚焦于清洁属性的风电、地热等可再生资源，以及同属清洁能源 属性且更加高效的能源——天然气。 此外，这笔沙特阿美面向贾富拉(Jafurah)天然气项目基础设施的约100亿美元融资既是能源领域筹资举 措，也是 ...

上天天基金APP搜索【777】注册即可 领500元券包，优选基金10元起投！限量发放！先到 先得！ 7月中旬，全球最大资管公司贝莱德集团在上海举办了2025年下半年投资展望分享会。贝莱 德首席中国经济学家，贝莱德建信理财、贝莱德基金的相关投研人士分享了对中国经济、股 票市场、债券市场的最新观点，以及资产配置策略。 王晓京称，股票在低利率环境下的投资逻辑要更加偏向于分析现金流价值。基于此，建议关 注三类资产：一是具备绝对现金流价值的股票，比如高股息、强自由现金流企业；二是广义 消费行业，比如汽车、电子、家电等在"以旧换新"等政策推动下，显现出良好现金流能力； 三是传统的高增长板块，比如AI、医药、银发经济等，虽然短期尚不盈利，但具备远期估值预 期和增长空间。 贝莱德建信理财副总经理、首席多资产投资官刘睿表示，坚守长期逻辑，黄金等作为"资产配 置对冲工具"的重要性将持续增强。另外，美股短期胜率较高，值得关注。虽然美股当前估值 略贵，但其基本面支撑扎实。人工智能（AI）领域的二季报有望超预期，大型科技公司资本开 支依然强劲。此外，美国宏观数据尚可，尽管有边际走弱迹象，但整体不差，同时市场对下 半年美联储降息预期较强 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that despite global economic uncertainties and geopolitical tensions, Hong Kong is strengthening its position as an asset management hub in Asia through targeted tax reforms, a robust IPO market, and progressive virtual asset regulation [1][2] - The total assets under management in Hong Kong's asset and wealth management sector are projected to increase by 13% in 2024, reaching HKD 35.1 trillion [1] - Recent optimizations to the Unified Fund Exemption (UFE) regime in Hong Kong have expanded the exemption scope to include private credit and other alternative assets, enhancing the competitiveness of Hong Kong [1][2] Group 2 - Hong Kong is actively working to establish a clear regulatory framework for virtual assets, with significant progress expected by 2025 as the number of local virtual asset trading platforms increases [1] - The report highlights Hong Kong's potential to act as a "super connector" by optimizing cross-border initiatives, thereby deepening ties with mainland Chinese investors [2] - The ongoing development of cross-border mutual recognition is significant, allowing Hong Kong advisory firms to offer a wider range of products in mainland China, positioning Hong Kong asset management firms favorably to serve emerging markets [2]

Group 1 - International gold is currently trading around $3340.39 per ounce, with a slight increase of 0.04% and a trading range between $3334.99 and $3343.90 [1] - The short-term outlook for international gold appears to be a sideways trend, with key resistance at $3375 [3] Group 2 - Pacific Investment Management Company (Pimco) is aware that potential actions by Trump could lead to significant volatility in the U.S. Treasury market but has not adjusted its positions [2] - Following reports of Trump's possible attempt to dismiss Powell, U.S. stock markets and long-term bond prices experienced a decline, but the market rebounded quickly after Trump denied the reports [2] - Pimco cautioned that Trump's pressure on the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates could encourage other investors to sell bonds, which would contradict Trump's objectives [2]

多位大银行 CEO 也公开表达了对美联储独立性的维护。他们警告，破坏美联储的独立性可能带来危险后果：短期会引发市场恐慌，长期则会削弱美元的储 备货币地位和美国金融市场的全球吸引力。摩根大通、高盛等华尔街巨头的掌门人纷纷表态，强调美联储不受政治干预是美国经济稳定的基石，这种共识形 成了强大的舆论压力，让特朗普在采取实际行动前不得不三思。 从市场反应来看，投资者的押注已得到初步验证。在特朗普升级施压后的几个交易日里，美国国债市场虽出现短暂波动，但 10 年期国债收益率仅小幅上升 5 个基点，远低于 2018 年美联储主席被公开批评时的波动幅度。这表明市场已部分消化了政治噪音，对美联储政策的信任度仍在。同时，美元指数保持稳 定，美股也未出现恐慌性抛售，显示出市场对 "政治威胁难落地" 的预期已成为主流。 深入分析可见，投资者的信心源于多重约束条件。从法律层面看，美联储主席的任免程序并非总统单方面决定，需经过参议院批准，而当前参议院的政治格 局使得解雇鲍威尔的提案难以通过。从政治逻辑看，特朗普若强行推动撤换，可能引发与司法系统的对峙，分散其竞选精力，得不偿失。从经济现实看，当 前美国经济虽有韧性，但尚未到需要紧急降息 ...

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index opened up by 1.06% and the Hang Seng Tech Index opened up by 1.31% [1] - GCL-Poly Energy opened over 14% higher, driven by news of a strategic cooperation with Taiping Asset Management in Hong Kong regarding the global issuance of RWA [1]

Group 1: Economic Outlook - BlackRock's Chief China Economist highlighted that China's export data exceeded expectations in the first half, with June exports growing by 5.8% year-on-year, but pressures are expected to increase in the second half due to a weakening real estate market and softening consumption in the restaurant sector [3] - The company noted that while there are short-term pressures on demand, recent policy adjustments could benefit long-term economic structure improvements, enhancing foreign investment interest in the Chinese market [3] - The expectation is for policy measures to gain momentum towards the end of September, with nominal interest rates having significantly decreased, although real interest rates remain high [3] Group 2: Investment Strategy - BlackRock's investment strategy in the current low-interest-rate environment favors equities, suggesting a core allocation to stocks, with interest rate bonds serving as stabilizers and credit bonds maintained at a neutral stance [3][4] - The focus is on three asset categories: stocks with strong cash flow value, broad consumption sectors benefiting from policy support, and traditional high-growth sectors like AI and healthcare [4] - The importance of gold as a hedging tool in asset allocation is expected to continue to rise, with a positive outlook on U.S. stocks despite their current high valuations due to solid fundamentals [4] Group 3: A-Share and Hong Kong Market Outlook - BlackRock's Chief Equity Investment Officer expressed optimism for the A-share market in the second half, citing government policies aimed at stimulating consumption and improving the operating environment for listed companies [6] - For the Hong Kong market, potential opportunities are identified in the Hang Seng Technology sector and high-quality traditional enterprises, with expectations for valuation improvements if mid-year reports show strong performance [6] Group 4: Debt Market Insights - The debt market is experiencing an "asset shortage," with extreme compression of term spreads and credit spreads, leading to high valuations and low yield levels [7] - The expectation is for the central bank to maintain liquidity support, which will underpin the debt market, although the current high valuations make the market sensitive to risks [7]

Core Viewpoint - BlackRock maintains a positive outlook on the Chinese market, anticipating a "bull market" in both stocks and bonds in the second half of 2025, driven by gradually warming policy expectations [2][3]. Economic Outlook - China's export data exceeded expectations in the first half, with a year-on-year growth of 5.8% in June, but pressures are expected to increase in the second half due to a weakening real estate market and softening consumption in the restaurant sector [3]. - The macroeconomic environment shows resilience, with companies demonstrating strong adaptability and product innovation. Positive changes in macro control and industry regulation since September last year have increased foreign investment interest in China [3]. - Policy expectations are anticipated to rise, particularly after September, with nominal interest rates having significantly decreased, yet real interest rates remain high. Monetary policy is expected to stabilize, with potential for increased support [3]. Asset Allocation Strategy - In the current low-interest-rate environment, BlackRock favors a "bull market" in stocks over bonds, recommending a portfolio centered on equities, with government bonds serving as stabilizers and credit bonds maintained at a neutral level [3][4]. - Investment focus should be on three asset categories: high dividend and strong free cash flow stocks, broad consumption sectors like automotive and electronics benefiting from policy support, and traditional high-growth sectors such as AI and healthcare, which have long-term growth potential despite short-term profitability concerns [4]. A-Share Market Expectations - The emphasis on economic development by the government and the introduction of policies to stimulate consumption are expected to alleviate profit pressures on listed companies compared to last year, leading to an improved operating environment [7]. - The Hong Kong stock market presents opportunities in the Hang Seng Technology sector, which is currently reasonably valued, and in high-quality traditional enterprises that may see valuation increases if they report strong mid-year results [7]. Bond Market Insights - The bond market is experiencing an "asset shortage," with extreme compression of term spreads and credit spreads, leading to high valuations and low yield levels [8]. - The central bank is expected to maintain liquidity support, which underpins the bond market's fundamentals. Despite high valuations, as long as the policy tone remains unchanged, the outlook for the bond market remains positive [8].

Group 1 - A consortium led by BlackRock will invest $10 billion in Saudi Aramco's Jafurah infrastructure project [1]

Group 1 - The core point of the article is the strategic cooperation memorandum signed between GCL-Poly Energy Holdings Limited and China Pacific Insurance (601601) Investment Management (Hong Kong) Limited to develop infrastructure for real-world asset (RWA) tokenization solutions [1] - The collaboration aims to promote the adoption of compliant digital asset products and services, including the development of stablecoin applications and integration of decentralized finance [1]