AI播客：换个方式听新闻 下载mp3 音频由扣子空间生成 托克（Trafigura）、摩科瑞（Mercuria）、嘉能可（Glencore）和IXM四大大宗商品贸易商，因在铜关税生效前向美国运输创纪录数量的 铜，有望斩获超3亿美元的巨额利润。 随着特朗普政府关税政策到制作大量铜涌入美国市场，美国与国际基准铜价价差扩大，催生了诱人的套利机会，贸易商成为这一趋势的 核心玩家。 周二，特朗普宣布自8月1日起对铜加征50%关税，为预期的两倍，消息公布后几分钟内，美国铜价飙升13%。目前美国铜价比伦敦金属 交易所（LME）的价格高出约28%，这使得贸易商的押注——本质上是以LME的价格买入铜，运往美国，再以纽约商品交易所 （Comex）的价格卖出——成为近几十年来最赚钱的金属交易之一。 美铜和伦铜价差拉大 尽管分析师质疑铜关税对美国制造商的影响，但大宗商品贸易公司已成为明确的企业赢家。 尽管具体利润因交易结构差异很大，但保守估算显示，四大贸易商60万吨铜的总利润可达3.12亿美元。 根据《金融时报》计算及市场参与者信息，以2月美国铜进口量开始上升以来LME与Comex价差均值为基础，减去每吨约500美元的总成 本，每吨 ...

Core Viewpoint - Dongjian International (stock code: 0329) announced a financing plan through the placement of new shares, aiming to raise approximately HKD 0.8 billion, net of expenses [1] Group 1: Financing Details - The company plans to issue 299,949,984 shares (approximately 300 million shares) at a placement price of HKD 0.28, representing a discount of about 18.8% compared to the previous trading day's closing price of HKD 0.345 [1] - The placement price also reflects a discount of approximately 19.5% compared to the average closing price over the last five trading days [1] - The new shares will account for about 20.0% of the existing issued share capital and approximately 16.7% of the enlarged share capital after completion [1] Group 2: Use of Proceeds - Approximately HKD 0.6 billion of the proceeds will be used for investments aligned with the company's general business activities and to enhance asset management financing [1] - Around HKD 0.1 billion will be allocated to expand the wine and beverage business [1] - Approximately HKD 0.2 billion will be utilized for general operating funds of the group [1] Group 3: Company Overview - Dongjian International is an investment holding company, with subsidiaries primarily engaged in asset management, investment and financial consulting, securities underwriting and placement, securities trading and investment, as well as wine and beverage trading [1]

日本首相石破茂与韩国总统李在明周二均乐观地表示，有望在8月1日之前达成双方都能接受的协议。 亚洲其他市场方面，截至美国东部时间凌晨3:30，香港恒生指数上涨1%；印度Nifty 50指数持平；澳大 利亚S&P/ASX 200指数亦收于持平。 2025年7月1日，唐纳德·特朗普总统在"空军一号"专机上接受媒体采访。图片来源：ANDREW CABALLERO- REYNOLDS—AFP/GETTY IMAGES 亚洲市场对特朗普政府最新宣布的对部分贸易伙伴的关税税率普遍反应平淡。与此同时，美国总统似乎 也将新关税的生效日期推迟至8月1日。 周一，特朗普政府宣布对日本和韩国这两个贸易伙伴统一征收25%的关税，这与特朗普在4月最初威胁 实施的税率大致相同。但目前，美国贸易伙伴的新贸易协定谈判期限延长至8月1日，而非先前设定的7 月9日最后期限。 日本日经225指数周二收涨0.3%，韩国Kospi指数上涨1.8%。 特朗普在致日本和韩国的信函中指出，被认定为"为逃 避更高关税"而转运的商品"将适用更高关税"， 但他并未提供具体细节。 此前特朗普政府与越南达成的协议规定，对通过该东南亚国家转运的商品征收40%的关税，但特 ...

泰山石油（000554）公告，2025年半年度预计归属于上市公司股东的净利润为8,000万元–9,800万元，同 比增长123%-173%。扣除非经常性损益后归属于上市公司股东的净利润为8,100万元–9,900万元，同比增 长120%-169%。 ...

Performance Forecast - The company expects a net profit of approximately 9 million yuan for the current reporting period, a decrease of about 59.81% compared to the same period last year, which was 22.39 million yuan [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is expected to be around 1.6 million yuan, down approximately 93.40% from 24.25 million yuan in the previous year [1] - Basic earnings per share are projected to be about 0.02 yuan, compared to 0.04 yuan in the same period last year [1] Reasons for Performance Changes - The decline in net profit is attributed to decreased transportation demand, increasing penetration of new and alternative energy sources, and intensified competition in the refined oil industry, leading to a reduction in the price difference and sales volume of refined oil [1] - The company is undergoing a transformation in its trading business, with a contraction in chemical product trading and an overall decline in chemical product sales [1] - The company reported non-recurring gains of approximately 7.4 million yuan, a significant increase of about 497.91% compared to a loss of 1.86 million yuan in the previous year, primarily due to increased gains from the disposal of trading financial assets and changes in fair value [2]

Core Viewpoint - The Reducing Volatility Dividend ETF (512890) has seen significant inflows and growth in fund size, driven by the performance of major banks and a favorable investment environment for dividend assets [1][3]. Fund Performance - On July 11, the Reducing Volatility Dividend ETF (512890) closed down 0.89% with a trading volume of 914 million yuan, while the overall weekly performance was up 0.66% with a total trading volume of 2.54 billion yuan [1]. - The fund has attracted over 520 million yuan in net inflows over four consecutive trading days, reaching a record high in fund size of 20.535 billion yuan as of July 10 [1][3]. Market Context - The banking sector continues to rise, with the stock prices of the four major banks breaking previous highs and setting historical records [1]. - Current dividend assets are considered valuable in a declining interest rate environment, with recommendations to focus on stocks with a dividend yield above 3% and low ROE volatility [1][3]. Fund Characteristics - The Reducing Volatility Dividend ETF (512890) was established on December 19, 2018, and has consistently achieved positive returns every full year since its inception, making it one of the few ETFs in the A-share market with such a track record [3]. - As of June 30, the fund ranked first in its category for five-year returns [3]. Holdings Overview - The fund's top holdings include Chengdu Bank, Yagor, and Shanghai Bank, with significant increases in their respective positions [4]. - The total market value of the top holdings amounts to approximately 3.722 billion yuan, representing 25.19% of the fund's net value [4]. Investment Opportunities - There are opportunities for rebound in sectors that have seen declines of over 4% since the beginning of the year, such as refining trade, white goods, and infrastructure [1]. - Financial stocks are transitioning from being undervalued to becoming a dynamic benchmark, with their low volatility and dividend yields exceeding 6% making them a core investment direction [1].

五矿发展（600058）公告，预计2025年半年度实现归属于母公司所有者的净利润1.07亿元，与上年同期 相比，将增加5624万元，同比增加111%。预计2025年半年度实现归属于母公司所有者的扣除非经常性 损益的净利润-1300万元，与上年同期相比，将增加1.31亿元。 ...

Core Points - The Hong Kong government has published the "Import and Export Ordinance 2025" to technically amend the existing import and export regulations, facilitating the transition to the third phase of the "Single Window" system [1][2] - The "Single Window" aims to streamline the submission of trade documents between businesses and government, enhancing customs clearance efficiency and reinforcing Hong Kong's position as an international trade and logistics hub [1][2] - The third phase will replace the long-standing "Government Electronic Trade Services" and will require businesses to submit relevant trade documents through the "Single Window" [2][3] Summary by Sections Implementation Phases - The "Single Window" is being implemented in three phases, with the first two phases launched in 2020 and 2023, covering 42 types of trade documents [2] - The third phase is the most complex, involving a wide range of stakeholders and a large volume of documents, including import/export declarations and cargo information [2] Features of the Third Phase - Businesses can submit trade documents directly or authorize value-added service providers to do so on their behalf [2] - There is an option for businesses to voluntarily submit import/export declarations and cargo manifests before shipment through the "Single Window" [2] - Electronic submission of road cargo manifests and receipts will reduce operational costs for businesses [2] Transition Arrangements - The revised ordinance includes transitional provisions allowing the third phase to operate alongside the "Government Electronic Trade Services" for a period [3] - The Hong Kong Customs will conduct promotional and training activities to ensure a smooth transition for businesses before the launch of the third phase [3]

Core Viewpoint - The successful implementation of the "Silver Futures Insurance" projects in Heilongjiang Province aims to provide comprehensive financial support and risk management for farmers, enhancing their income stability and agricultural production capabilities [1][2]. Group 1: Project Overview - The "Silver Futures Insurance" projects cover 80,000 acres of soybean and 30,000 acres of corn, with project amounts of 39.98 million yuan and 35.19 million yuan respectively [1]. - The projects involve collaboration among multiple financial institutions, including CITIC Futures, Guotou Futures, Wukuang Futures, Bohai Futures, and Southwest Futures, with insurance provided by China Pacific Property Insurance [1][2]. Group 2: Financial Support Mechanism - CITIC Bank and Industrial and Commercial Bank of China provide credit support to farmers, alleviating their financial pressure during the spring plowing season [1]. - The projects utilize a model that integrates leading enterprises, banks, insurance, and futures to create a comprehensive risk management solution for farmers [2]. Group 3: Agricultural Impact - The "Silver Futures Insurance" project enhances farmers' ability to withstand market fluctuations by combining futures price discovery and insurance guarantees [2]. - The initiative is seen as a significant step in supporting national food security and rural revitalization strategies, contributing to the modernization of the agricultural industry [2][3]. Group 4: Future Directions - CITIC Futures plans to continue exploring new financial support models for agriculture, aiming to further advance rural revitalization and agricultural development [3].

巴总统强硬回应特朗普：没有美国贸易，巴西也能生存 金十数据7月11日讯，巴西总统卢拉表示，巴西可以在没有与美国贸易的情况下生存，并将寻找其他伙 伴来取代它，这是对美国总统特朗普的尖锐回应，此前特朗普威胁要对巴西征收50%的关税。"我们将 不得不寻找其他合作伙伴来购买我们的产品。巴美贸易额占巴西GDP的1.7%，"卢拉说，"并不是说没有 美国我们就无法生存。"卢拉还表示，巴西没有义务继续使用美元进行贸易，他重申了他上周末在里约 热内卢举行的金砖国家峰会上的讲话，他呼吁世界各国领导人找到在国际贸易中减少对美元依赖的方 法。 ...