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基础化工行业周报:国产替代主线不动摇,看好MXD6、离子交换树脂、半导体材料
EBSCN· 2025-05-12 02:25
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the basic chemical industry [6] Core Viewpoints - The report continues to favor domestic alternative materials such as MXD6, ion exchange resins, and semiconductor materials amid the backdrop of US-China trade tensions [1][22] - The US has confirmed that additional tariffs on Chinese products have reached 145%, which is expected to tighten the supply of imported new materials, making domestic products more appealing due to better cost-performance and timely technical responses [1][22] - Downstream customers in high-tech fields are accelerating the validation of domestic new materials to ensure supply chain security [1][22] Summary by Sections MXD6 - MXD6 is a high-performance engineering plastic with applications in automotive and drone lightweighting, expected to grow from a market size of $410 million in 2024 to $760 million by 2033, with a CAGR of approximately 7.1% [2][30] - Domestic manufacturers like Sinochem International and Qicai Chemical are breaking through technical barriers, with Qicai Chemical's 5000 tons/year MXD6 project entering trial production in September 2024 [2][31][32] Ion Exchange Resins - The high-end market for ion exchange resins is dominated by international giants such as Dow Chemical and Lanxess, while domestic leaders like Bluestar Technology and Zhengguang Co. are making strides in domestic substitution [3][41] - The report highlights that the recent antitrust investigation into DuPont in China may accelerate the domestic substitution process for ion exchange resins, benefiting domestic leaders [40][41] Semiconductor Materials - Global semiconductor sales are expected to improve in 2024, with an estimated sales figure of $630.5 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of approximately 19.7% [4][43] - The semiconductor market's steady growth is anticipated to drive demand for semiconductor materials, with a projected market size of $697.1 billion by 2025 [4][43]