Core Insights - Domestic polypropylene (PP) production capacity has significantly increased in recent years, with expectations for over 20 million tons of new capacity to be released in the next five years, particularly in 2026 when capacity is projected to exceed 50 million tons, leading to increased supply pressure [1][2]. Group 1: Capacity Expansion - The domestic PP production capacity is expected to continue expanding at a rapid pace over the next five years, with an estimated new capacity of 23.145 million tons and an average growth rate of 8.19%, which is a decrease of 3.02 percentage points compared to the previous five years [2]. - In 2026, the new capacity is projected to reach 5.65 million tons, pushing total domestic capacity to over 50 million tons, resulting in increased supply pressure from domestic sources [2][4]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The period from 2026 to 2030 will see continued growth in domestic PP capacity, enhancing supply and increasing the self-sufficiency rate, thereby reducing reliance on imports [4]. - The new capacity in 2026 will primarily utilize oil and propane as raw materials, with a notable increase in coal-based production, which will enhance market share [4]. - Competition among producers is expected to intensify, with local refineries and light hydrocarbon enterprises being the main contributors to new capacity, while major state-owned enterprises like Sinopec and PetroChina will have a relatively smaller share [4]. Group 3: Supply Impact - The timing of new capacity releases in 2026 indicates limited supply in the first half of the year, with a significant increase expected in the second half, which will exert considerable pressure on the supply side [5]. - The ongoing expansion of PP capacity is anticipated to lead to increased market competition and contribute to maintaining low price levels for PP in 2026 [5].

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the growth of China's primary plastic production, indicating a significant increase in both monthly and cumulative production figures for 2025, suggesting a robust market outlook for the plastic products industry in China [1] Industry Summary - In August 2025, China's primary plastic production reached 12.66 million tons, marking a year-on-year growth of 12.8% [1] - From January to August 2025, the cumulative production of primary plastics in China totaled 97.073 million tons, reflecting a cumulative growth of 11.6% [1] - The data indicates a positive trend in the plastic products industry, with expectations for continued growth in the coming years [1] Company Summary - Listed companies in the plastic sector include Hengyi Petrochemical, Rongsheng Petrochemical, Shanghai Petrochemical, Sinopec, China National Petroleum, Huajin Co., Tongkun Co., Hengli Petrochemical, Satellite Chemical, and ST Hongda [1] - The report is part of a comprehensive industry analysis provided by Zhiyan Consulting, which specializes in in-depth industry research and consulting services [1]

Core Insights - Covestro has been awarded the "Good Design Award" for its achievements in transforming recycled engineering plastics into high-end design elements through Color, Material, and Finish (CMF) solutions, highlighting the company's ability to turn sustainability into a design advantage [1] Group 1: Award and Recognition - The "Good Design Award" is an internationally recognized design award originating from Japan, aimed at honoring outstanding designs that contribute to improving quality of life and social development across various fields including products, architecture, software, and services [1] - Covestro's award-winning project, "Transforming Sustainable Materials into Ideal Designs," is a result of deep collaboration with Tsinghua University's Institute of Color Research [1] Group 2: Innovation and Technology - The technological foundation of this design innovation lies in the excellent recyclability of polycarbonate, which allows waste products like buckets to be collected, sorted, crushed, cleaned, and reprocessed into high-performance plastic pellets [1] - These CMF solutions have been successfully applied in various high-end applications, from luggage to premium furniture, demonstrating the commercial value of sustainable design approaches [1] Group 3: Market Feedback - Market feedback indicates that recycled materials are no longer seen as a compromise in design but can instead become a high-end feature and highlight of products [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the advancements in bio-based polycarbonate (PC) technology in China, particularly through a newly authorized patent by Sinopec, which signifies a significant step towards local commercialization of bio-based materials [2][8]. Group 1: Patent and Technology Development - On October 3, Sinopec received authorization for a patent titled "A Bio-based Polycarbonate and Its Preparation Method and Application," indicating progress in bio-based material innovation [2]. - The patented method utilizes isosorbide and diphenyl carbonate (DMC) as raw materials, incorporating cyclic dimer fatty acids to enhance the properties of the resulting bio-based PC, achieving a molecular weight of ≥35,000 and a glass transition temperature of ≤100℃ [3][6]. Group 2: Industrial Production and Market Potential - In early September, a subsidiary of Sinopec, Puyang Shengtong Juyuan New Materials Co., showcased China's first bio-based PC specialty engineering plastic product, with industrial production set to commence by February 2025 [4]. - The bio-based PC production process replaces the co-monomer bisphenol A with renewable isosorbide, achieving surface hardness close to glass and a light transmittance of up to 92%, indicating strong commercial viability [4]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Internationally, companies like Mitsubishi Chemical, Covestro, and Teijin are leading in bio-based PC products, with Covestro's bio-based Makrolon® containing 60% bio-based carbon content and Teijin planning to mass-produce 100% bio-based PC by 2025 [7]. - Mitsubishi Chemical has been producing bio-based materials since 2015, utilizing isosorbide in various automotive components, showcasing the competitive edge of international players in the bio-based PC market [7]. Group 4: Industry Challenges and Opportunities - The Chinese PC industry faces a challenge of "high-end shortage and low-end surplus," with 2024 production capacity projected at 3.81 million tons, accounting for 48% of global capacity, while 70% of high-end products are reliant on imports [7]. - The advancements by Sinopec and the local production efforts by Shengtong Juyuan represent critical steps in addressing these challenges and enhancing the domestic bio-based PC market [8].

Core Viewpoint - The report by Zhiyan Consulting highlights the growth of China's primary plastic production, projecting a significant increase in output and market potential from 2025 to 2031 [1] Industry Summary - According to the National Bureau of Statistics, China's primary plastic production reached 11.69 million tons in April 2025, marking a year-on-year growth of 12% [1] - From January to April 2025, the cumulative production of primary plastics in China was 46.01 million tons, reflecting a cumulative growth of 10.1% [1] - The report emphasizes the ongoing expansion and future prospects of the plastic products industry in China, indicating a robust market environment for investment [1] Company Summary - Listed companies in the plastic industry include Hengyi Petrochemical (000703), Rongsheng Petrochemical (002493), Shanghai Petrochemical (600688), Sinopec (600028), China National Petroleum (601857), Huajin Co. (000059), Tongkun Co. (601233), Hengli Petrochemical (600346), Satellite Chemical (002648), and ST Hongda (002002) [1] - These companies are positioned to benefit from the anticipated growth in the plastic production sector, aligning with the overall market trends identified in the report [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese Ministry of Commerce expresses strong opposition to Mexico's recent anti-dumping investigations against Chinese products, emphasizing the need to adhere to WTO rules and protect the legitimate rights of Chinese enterprises [2]. Group 1: Anti-Dumping Investigations - Mexico has initiated four anti-dumping investigations against Chinese products, including float glass, self-adhesive tape, PVC coated cloth, and steel bolts, based on applications from domestic companies [2]. - This year, Mexico has conducted a total of 11 anti-dumping investigations against Chinese products, nearly double the total from the previous year [2]. Group 2: Trade Relations and Responses - The Chinese side has been cautious and restrained in initiating trade remedy investigations, despite the increase in Mexico's actions [2]. - The Ministry of Commerce has launched an investigation into Mexico's proposed increase in import tariffs and other trade restrictions against China, in accordance with relevant laws and regulations [2]. - China will take necessary measures across trade and investment sectors based on the investigation results to firmly protect the legitimate rights of its enterprises [2].

Core Viewpoint - ADNOC's optimism regarding the EU's ongoing review of its acquisition of Covestro, emphasizing the need for a balance between reasonable demands and excessive requests [1] Group 1 - A senior executive from ADNOC expressed a positive outlook on the EU's scrutiny of the Covestro acquisition [1] - ADNOC's Chief Investment Officer, Klaus Froehlich, highlighted the company's position as a strategic long-term investor as a reason for this optimism [1] - The executive stressed the importance of regulatory requirements being reasonable and moderate [1]

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights that Shengli Co., Ltd. (SZ 000407) held a temporary board meeting on September 29, 2025, to review proposals regarding the revision of corporate governance systems [1] - For the first half of 2025, Shengli Co., Ltd. reported that natural gas and value-added services accounted for 76.33% of its revenue, while other plastic manufacturing contributed 23.67% [1] - As of the report date, Shengli Co., Ltd. has a market capitalization of 3.1 billion yuan [1] Group 2 - The article also discusses the competitive landscape in the beverage industry, noting that the launch of the Farmer Green Bottle has led to a significant decline in market share for Yibao, dropping nearly 5 percentage points [1] - The competition between Farmer and Yibao has intensified, with the former gaining a larger share of the market [1] - The article mentions that the winner in this competitive scenario appears to be Zong Fuli, who has benefited from the market dynamics [1]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - For polyolefins, view the market rationally before the holiday, expecting range - bound fluctuations. The LL main contract is expected to fluctuate within the range of 7200 - 7500, and the PP main contract within 6900 - 7200. The LP spread is expected to widen [8]. - For plastics, the supply - demand contradiction eases, and there is strong bottom support [9]. - For PP, there is significant upward pressure on the trend, and it is expected to fluctuate weakly in the short term [47]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Plastics 3.1.1 Weekly Market Review - On September 26, the closing price of the plastic main contract was 7159 yuan/ton, a week - on - week decrease of 0.14%. The average price of LDPE was 9556.67 yuan/ton (- 0.38% week - on - week), HDPE was 7912.50 yuan/ton (- 0.57% week - on - week), and the average price of LLDPE (7042) in South China was 7551.76 yuan/ton (- 0.33% week - on - week). The LLDPE South China basis was 392.76 yuan/ton (- 3.61% week - on - week), and the 9 - 1 month spread was 66 yuan/ton (- 22) [8][10]. 3.1.2 Key Data Tracking - **Month - spread**: On September 26, the 1 - 5 month - spread was - 38 yuan/ton (+ 2), the 5 - 9 month - spread was - 28 yuan/ton (+ 20), and the 9 - 1 month - spread was 66 yuan/ton (- 22) [16]. - **Spot price**: Different regions and varieties of plastics showed various price changes on September 28. For example, in Northeast China, the film price was 7780 yuan/ton (0% change) [18]. - **Cost**: WTI crude oil closed at 65.19 US dollars/barrel (+ 2.83 US dollars/barrel week - on - week), Brent crude oil at 68.82 US dollars/barrel (+ 2.77 US dollars/barrel week - on - week), and the price of anthracite at the Yangtze River port was 1080 yuan/ton (+ 20) [21]. - **Profit**: The profit of oil - based PE was - 366 yuan/ton (- 54 yuan/ton week - on - week), and that of coal - based PE was 521 yuan/ton (- 347 yuan/ton week - on - week) [25]. - **Supply**: The operating rate of polyethylene production in China this week was 81.84% (+ 1.48 percentage points week - on - week), with a weekly output of 64.26 tons (+ 1.84% week - on - week). The maintenance loss this week was 11.37 tons (- 1.15 tons week - on - week) [30]. - **2025 Commissioning Plan**: Many enterprises have completed or are scheduled to commission new PE production capacity in 2025, with a total planned capacity of 613 tons [33]. - **Maintenance Statistics**: Multiple enterprises' PE production lines are under maintenance, such as Yanshan Petrochemical's HDPE and LDPE production lines [35]. - **Demand**: The overall domestic agricultural film operating rate was 32.86% (+ 6.11% week - on - week), PE packaging film was 52.37% (+ 0.59% week - on - week), and PE pipe was 32.17% (+ 0.34% week - on - week) [8][37]. - **Downstream Production Ratio**: Currently, the production ratio of linear film is the highest, accounting for 37.1%, with a difference of 1.8% from the annual average [40]. - **Inventory**: This week, the social inventory of plastic enterprises was 53.48 tons (- 1.18 tons week - on - week, - 2.16% week - on - week) [42]. - **Warehouse Receipts**: As of September 26, the number of polyethylene warehouse receipts was 12736 lots (+ 0 lots week - on - week) [44]. 3.2 PP 3.2.1 Weekly Market Review - On September 26, the closing price of the polypropylene main contract was 6893 yuan/ton, a decrease of 21 yuan/ton from last week [48]. 3.2.2 Key Data Tracking - **Downstream Spot Price**: Different PP products in different regions showed various price changes on September 28. For example, the standard drawing material price was 6795 yuan/ton (- 2 day - on - day) [51]. - **Basis**: On September 26, the spot price of polypropylene reported by Shengyi.com was 6973.33 yuan/ton (- 0.66% week - on - week). The PP basis was 80 yuan/ton (- 26), and the 9 - 1 month spread was 15 yuan/ton (+ 1) [8][55]. - **Month - spread**: On September 26, the 1 - 5 month - spread was - 43 yuan/ton (+ 1), the 5 - 9 month - spread was 28 yuan/ton (- 2), and the 9 - 1 month - spread was 15 yuan/ton (+ 1) [63]. - **Cost**: WTI crude oil closed at 65.19 US dollars/barrel (+ 2.83 US dollars/barrel week - on - week), Brent crude oil at 68.82 US dollars/barrel (+ 2.77 US dollars/barrel week - on - week), and the price of anthracite at the Yangtze River port was 1080 yuan/ton (+ 20) [65]. - **Profit**: The profit of oil - based PP was - 493.88 yuan/ton (- 58.03 yuan/ton week - on - week), and that of coal - based PP was 338.40 yuan/ton (- 106 yuan/ton week - on - week) [69]. - **Supply**: The operating rate of Chinese PP petrochemical enterprises this week was 75.52% (+ 0.62 percentage points week - on - week). The weekly output of PP pellets was 77.34 tons (+ 0.83% week - on - week), and that of PP powder was 6.48 tons (+ 5.61% week - on - week) [73]. - **Maintenance Statistics**: Multiple enterprises' PP production lines are under maintenance, such as Qilu Petrochemical's single - line and Luoyang Petrochemical's first - line [76]. - **Demand**: The average downstream operating rate this week was 51.85% (+ 0.40). The operating rate of plastic weaving was 43.90% (+ 0.30), BOPP was 61.38% (- 0.04%), injection molding was 58.34% (+ 0.11%), and pipes was 36.87% (+ 0.14%) [8][78]. - **Export - Import Profit**: This week, the import profit of polypropylene was - 546.82 US dollars/ton (- 66.76 US dollars/ton week - on - week), and the export profit was - 7.23 US dollars/ton (- 3.54 US dollars/ton week - on - week) [83]. - **Inventory**: This week, the domestic PP inventory was 52.03 tons (- 5.50% week - on - week); the inventory of Sinopec and PetroChina increased by 1.21% week - on - week, traders' inventory decreased by 0.58% week - on - week, and port inventory increased by 7.61% week - on - week [87]. - **Warehouse Receipts**: On September 26, the number of polypropylene warehouse receipts was 14118 lots (+ 619 lots week - on - week) [95].

Core Insights - Covestro and Enko Optics have signed a strategic cooperation memorandum to collaborate on transparent materials for electric vehicles and flying cars, focusing on the development of functional transparent plastic windows for automobiles [1][2] Group 1: Strategic Collaboration - The partnership will leverage Enko Optics' strengths in prototype-to-mass production conversion, low-cost processing technology, system integration, and penetration into automotive customer projects [1] - Covestro will provide expertise in raw material solutions, new application technology development support, and engineering support in window design optimization and mechanical and thermal management simulation [1] Group 2: Market Development and Sustainability - Both companies will engage in joint actions for market promotion, industry seminars, and external certifications to develop business together [1] - The collaboration aims to promote the widespread use of sustainable engineering plastics, such as polycarbonate with recycled biomass and chemical recycling content, in automotive components, contributing to low-carbon solutions and carbon neutrality goals [1]