Group 1 - The report indicates that the railway fixed asset investment in the first five months of 2025 reached 242.1 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 5.9% [4][24] - The national railway passenger volume for the first five months of 2025 was 1.863 billion trips, achieving a 7.3% increase despite a high base [4][27] - The report highlights that the demand for maintenance and replacement in the existing market is increasing, indicating significant market potential [5][39] Group 2 - The report emphasizes that the railway vehicle market and the signal equipment segment are expected to benefit from the ongoing maintenance and replacement cycle [6][39] - It recommends companies such as China CRRC and Siwei Control, while suggesting to pay attention to China Communication Signal, Times Electric, Times New Materials, and Jinchuan Group [6][39] - The report notes that the demand for new train sets is stable due to the addition of new lines and the densification of existing lines [39][41] Group 3 - The report states that the railway construction investment is expected to reach 900 billion yuan for the entire year of 2025 [24][22] - It mentions that the high-speed rail operating mileage is projected to reach 2,600 kilometers in 2025 [24][22] - The report indicates that the signal system renovation market has significant potential, with 30% of urban rail signal systems already undergoing upgrades [6][62] Group 4 - The report outlines that the market for high-level maintenance of train sets is expected to peak between 2026 and 2028, as many train sets are entering their maintenance cycles [52][61] - It highlights that the demand for high-speed train sets is expected to remain stable due to the ongoing expansion of the railway network [39][41] - The report also notes that the signal system renovation costs are generally higher than those for new lines, indicating a lucrative market for signal system upgrades [66][62]

Group 1 - The defense and aerospace equipment industry is benefiting from industrial upgrades and the trend of self-control, with core equipment localization being the foundation for the industry's independent rise [1] - Demand-side opportunities arise from the growth of emerging markets and rising exports, focusing on leading companies in competitive niche sectors [1] - On the supply side, stock updates and import substitution are key, with sectors like shipbuilding, rail transit equipment, and nuclear power equipment benefiting from stock updates or counter-cyclical adjustments, showing relatively stable prosperity [1] Group 2 - In the nuclear power equipment sector, the third generation of nuclear power has entered the stage of mass construction, and the demonstration of the fourth generation of nuclear power has officially commenced operation, indicating promising future mass construction [1] - The gas turbine industry is entering a global renewal cycle, benefiting from incremental demand brought by AI data centers, showing a clear upward trend in prosperity [1] - The overall valuation level of the industry remains relatively stable, with a long-term positive outlook on structural opportunities brought by high-end equipment self-control and export development [1] Group 3 - The military ETF (512660) tracks the CSI Military Industry Index (399967), which is compiled by the China Securities Index Company, selecting listed companies in the defense and military industry from the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets [1] - This index reflects the overall performance of listed companies in China's military industry, characterized by significant industry concentration and growth potential [1]

行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 2025 年 06 月 22 日 5 月铁路固投加速，客货运量保持 高景气 看好 ——轨交设备跟踪点评 相关研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 行 业 及 产 业 机械设备/ 轨交设备Ⅱ 刘建伟 A0230521100003 liujw@swsresearch.com 王珂 A0230521120002 wangke@swsresearch.com 李蕾 A0230519080008 lilei@swsresearch.com 研究支持 刘建伟 A0230521100003 liujw@swsresearch.com 联系人 何佳霖 (8621)23297818× hejl@swsresearch.com 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 事件： ⚫ 根据国铁集团数据，1-5 月全国铁路固定资产投资完成额 2421 亿元，同比增长 5.9%； 全国铁路发送旅客 18.63 亿人次、同比增长 7.3％；全国铁路货运发送量 21.21 万吨， 同比增长 1.7%。 点评： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用 ...

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - Harbin Railway Technology Co., Ltd. (哈铁科技) has announced a cash dividend distribution of 0.1 RMB per share, with the record date set for June 16, 2025, and the payment date on June 17, 2025 [1][2]. Company Performance - As of June 13, 2025, Harbin Railway Technology's stock closed at 9.59 RMB, down 0.83% from the previous week [1]. - The stock reached a weekly high of 9.7 RMB on June 9, 2025, and a low of 9.53 RMB on June 10, 2025 [1]. - The company's current total market capitalization is 4.603 billion RMB, ranking 14th out of 31 in the rail transit equipment sector and 3139th out of 5150 in the A-share market [1]. Dividend Distribution Details - The total cash dividend to be distributed amounts to 48 million RMB, based on a total share capital of 480 million shares [1]. - For individual shareholders holding unrestricted circulating shares for over one year, the dividend income is exempt from personal income tax, resulting in a net cash dividend of 0.1 RMB per share [2]. - Qualified Foreign Institutional Investors (QFII) will have a 10% withholding tax applied, leading to a net cash dividend of 0.09 RMB per share [2]. - Hong Kong market investors will also receive a net cash dividend of 0.09 RMB per share after a 10% tax deduction [2]. - Other institutional investors and corporate shareholders are responsible for their own tax payments, receiving a gross dividend of 0.1 RMB per share [2].

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - Changqing Technology (001324) has experienced a slight decline in stock price, closing at 18.23 yuan as of June 13, 2025, down 0.98% from the previous week, with a total market capitalization of 2.516 billion yuan [1][2]. Trading Information - On June 10, Changqing Technology executed a block trade with a transaction amount of 2.197 million yuan [2][3]. Company Announcements - The company held its 12th meeting of the 4th Board of Directors and the 12th meeting of the 4th Supervisory Board, approving a proposal to use up to 290 million yuan of idle raised funds (including over-raised funds) and up to 180 million yuan of idle self-owned funds for cash management [2]. - The company plans to invest in low-risk, high-liquidity financial products with a maximum investment term of 12 months [2]. - The total amount raised from the initial public offering was 651.36 million yuan, with a net amount of 574.06 million yuan after deducting issuance costs [2]. - The raised funds will be allocated to projects including the expansion of composite material production capacity, the establishment of a technology research and development center, the upgrade of the marketing network, and the replenishment of working capital [2]. - CITIC Securities Co., Ltd. has expressed agreement with the aforementioned proposal [2].

Core Viewpoint - The recent share reduction by Guo Fengming, the controlling shareholder of Kanda, raises concerns about the company's long-term value despite the stock price resilience and positive earnings growth [1][3][4]. Group 1: Share Reduction Details - Guo Fengming's share reduction plan, which was first disclosed on February 17, 2025, involved a maximum reduction of 3% of shares, with a total of 512.26 million shares sold, amounting to approximately 57.39 million yuan [2]. - Since March 2023, Guo has cumulatively reduced 15.33 million shares, cashing out over 203 million yuan, decreasing his holding from 51.92% to 45% while still maintaining control [3]. Group 2: Market Reaction and Institutional Involvement - During the share reduction period, Kanda's stock price increased, reaching a high of 12.24 yuan, contrasting with the slight rise of the Shanghai Composite Index [2]. - Institutional investors showed a net buying of 34.14 million yuan on the same day as the reduction, indicating a complex market dynamic of shareholder selling and institutional buying [2]. Group 3: Financial Performance and Operational Concerns - Kanda reported a revenue of 81.26 million yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 17%, with a net profit of 31.98 million yuan, up 20.88%, and a maintained gross margin of 44% [4]. - However, operational efficiency is a concern, with accounts receivable turnover at only 0.19 times and inventory turnover at 0.21 times, indicating low operational efficiency [4]. Group 4: Investor Insights and Strategic Considerations - The situation illustrates the coexistence of shareholder reduction and institutional buying, suggesting that the impact of single signals in the market is diminishing [5]. - Investors should monitor the implementation of policies such as the "Lightweight Development Plan for Rail Transit Equipment" expected at the end of June, which may influence the sector [5]. - The reduction in shareholder numbers, currently at 17,100, down 12% from peak levels, indicates increased concentration of shares, which may heighten stock price volatility [5].

Company Overview - Company name is Jiaoda Tiefa, focusing on the research, development, production, and sales of intelligent products and equipment for rail transit, as well as providing professional technical services in this field [1][2] - Established in 2005 by Southwest Jiaotong University, the company is closely tied to its parent institution, which holds a 17.19% stake [1][2] - The company has participated in significant national and provincial research projects, including the development of a high-speed railway earthquake early warning system [1][2] Market Position - Jiaoda Tiefa's products are widely used in major rail projects such as the Beijing-Zhangjiakou High-Speed Railway and the Guangzhou Metro, with key clients including the China National Railway Group [2][3] - The company has a market share of approximately 40% in the earthquake warning system sector and over 90% in the switch monitoring system sector [2][3] Industry Context - The rail transit equipment industry is expected to grow rapidly, with China's railway operating mileage projected to increase from 146,000 kilometers in 2020 to 165,000 kilometers by 2025 [3] - Urban rail transit is also anticipated to expand significantly, with 59 cities operating urban rail systems and a total operational length of 11,224.54 kilometers as of the end of 2023 [3] Financial Performance - Projected revenues for 2022, 2023, and 2024 are 235 million, 273 million, and 335 million yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 15.26%, 16.12%, and 22.61% [4] - The company expects to raise 193.4 million yuan through its IPO, with funds allocated for three projects and working capital [4] IPO and Valuation - The IPO has generated significant interest, with subscription funds exceeding 5 billion yuan, setting a record for the North Exchange [5][6] - The dynamic price-to-earnings ratio for Jiaoda Tiefa is 12.26, significantly lower than the average of comparable companies at 30.86, indicating a strong valuation advantage [6][7] - If the stock reaches the average valuation of comparable companies, it could see an increase of 152% on its first trading day, with a potential price target of 22 yuan [7]

策略报告 | 投资策略 行业比较周报 证券研究报告 中美会谈下，自主可控板块的节奏与机会 核心结论：6 月 5 日，习近平主席同美国总统特朗普通电话，指出美方应实 事求是看待取得的进展，撤销对中国实施的消极举措；并欢迎特朗普再次访 华。双方经贸协商未完待续，自主可控仍是长期逻辑。自主可控的第一个逻 辑是国家政策多年布局下的积累；自主可控的第二个逻辑是国产替代。穿透 到二级行业，短期可以关注估值处于低位的方向，中期关注产业节奏。估值 方面，前期估值处于低位的板块主要为军工、医药、电子；产业节奏方面， 军工→信创→医药→先进制造。 中美关税会谈破冰后，双方经贸协商未完待续，自主可控仍是长期逻辑。5 月 12 日，中美双方发布《中美日内瓦经贸会谈联合声明》，中美双方关税 中枢回落，后续或仍有多轮协商。一方面，参考 2018 年-2020 年中美经贸谈 判，总共经历了十三轮高级别磋商，历时近两年才签署第一阶段经贸协议。 6 月 5 日，习近平主席同美国总统特朗普通电话，指出美方应实事求是看待 取得的进展，撤销对中国实施的消极举措；并欢迎特朗普再次访华。 另一方面，4 月中旬美方发起的 232 调查和 301 调查仍在 ...

2025 年 6 月 3 日 行业研究 "格物-致知"通用具身智能开发平台发布，工程机械景气度持续复苏 ——机械行业周报 2025 年第 22 周（2025.5.26-2025.6.1） 机械行业 买入（维持） 作者 分析师：黄帅斌 执业证书编号：S0930520080005 0755-23915357 huangshuaibin@ebscn.com 分析师：陈佳宁 执业证书编号：S0930512120001 021-52523851 chenjianing@ebscn.com 分析师：汲萌 执业证书编号：S0930524010002 021-52523859 jimeng@ebscn.com 分析师：李佳琦 执业证书编号：S0930524070006 021-52523836 lijiaqi@ebscn.com 分析师：庄晓波 执业证书编号：S0930524070018 0755-25310400 zhuangxiaobo@ebscn.com 联系人：夏天宇 xiatianyu@ebscn.com 行业与沪深 300 指数对比图 -30% -10% 10% 30% 50% 24/06 24/09 24/12 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" [1] Core Insights - The railway equipment sector showed significant improvement in Q1 2025, with total revenue growth and enhanced profitability driven by increased fixed asset investment in railways [6][11] - The National Railway Group reported a total revenue of 1,283 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 3.0%, with a net profit of 3.9 billion yuan [6][12] - Passenger and freight demand remains strong, with railway passenger volume reaching 4.31 billion in 2024, up 11.9% year-on-year, and freight volume at 5.18 billion tons, up 2.8% [13][16] - Fixed asset investment in railways was 850.6 billion yuan in 2024, a 11.3% increase, with 3,113 kilometers of new lines put into operation [13][17] - The first batch of high-speed train tenders in 2025 includes 68 sets, indicating ongoing demand for new rolling stock [20] - The maintenance demand for existing trains is increasing as older models enter repair cycles, with significant contracts awarded for high-level repairs [21] - Low-carbon development initiatives are driving the replacement of older diesel locomotives, with a mandate for their retirement by 2035 [22] - The industry is expanding internationally, with major companies actively pursuing overseas projects and collaborations [23][24] Summary by Sections 1. Railway Equipment Sector Tracking - The National Railway Group's financial performance is stable, with a revenue of 1,283 billion yuan in 2024 and a debt ratio of 63.5% [11] - The sector's revenue and profit growth are supported by increasing fixed asset investments and project deliveries [6][26] 2. Market Review - The mechanical equipment sector outperformed the broader market, with a decline of only 0.43% compared to the 1.08% drop in the CSI 300 index [30] 3. Recent Developments - The railway construction investment has slowed down in recent years, but maintenance demand is expected to stabilize [25] - The first quarter of 2025 saw a notable increase in revenue for the railway equipment sector, with a 1.4% growth in total revenue in 2024 [26][31]