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存储迎史上最强涨价周期,两大牛股年内涨近400%
Core Viewpoint - The storage industry is experiencing a significant price increase driven by AI demand, marking the beginning of a "super cycle" in the sector [2][5][10]. Group 1: Price Increases and Market Dynamics - Major companies like Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron have raised product prices, with DDR contract prices expected to increase by 35% and NAND prices by 20% in Q4 2023 [2][5]. - UBS forecasts that DDR contract prices will rise by an additional 30% and NAND prices by 20% in Q1 2026 [2]. - The stock prices of several A-share companies in the storage sector have surged significantly, with Shannon Chip achieving a year-to-date increase of over 394% [2][8]. Group 2: Industry Trends and Future Outlook - The storage industry has entered a new cycle, with AI server demand increasing the shipment of storage chips, particularly DDR5 and HBM [5][6]. - The transition from DDR4 to DDR5 has been accelerated due to AI investments, leading to a supply-demand imbalance in the industry [6][11]. - Morgan Stanley predicts that the global storage market could reach $300 billion by 2027, driven by sustained demand [6][10]. Group 3: Company Performance and Financial Results - Micron reported a strong performance for Q1 FY2026, with adjusted revenue of $13.64 billion, a 57% year-over-year increase [7]. - Samsung's Q3 2025 operating profit reached 12.16 trillion KRW (approximately $85.6 billion), a 32.2% increase year-over-year [7]. - SK Hynix's Q3 2025 sales were 24.45 trillion KRW, with a year-over-year growth of 39% [7]. Group 4: Supply Chain and Production Strategies - Major players are cautious about expanding production capacity, focusing instead on optimizing capital expenditures to balance customer demand and market prices [10][11]. - SK Hynix plans to shift a significant portion of its DRAM capacity to the latest 10nm products, indicating a strategic pivot rather than aggressive expansion [10]. - The cautious approach stems from the fear of overproduction if AI demand does not sustain, as seen in previous downturns [11].
存储迎史上最强涨价周期,两大牛股年内涨近400%
21世纪经济报道· 2025-12-18 11:11
"这是我从事存储行业以来见过的最猛一次涨价。" 一名资深的存储产业高管感慨道。 10月以来,受AI需求推动,三星、海力士、美光、闪存等巨头不断上调产品价格,存储行业开 启了"超级周期"。期间,三星电子等一度暂停DDR5 DRAM合约报价,引发供应链"断粮"危 机。 瑞银预计,今年第四季度,DDR(双倍数据率内存)合约定价预计季增35%、NAND(闪存) 价格上涨20%, 这一轮涨价幅度远超此前预期 。不仅如此,2026年第一季的DDR合约价,更 将进一步上涨 30% ,NAND价格上涨 20% 。 相关影响很快传导至A股市场。Wind数据显示,今年下半年以来,香农芯创、东芯股份、江波 龙、佰维存储股价分别上涨了294.51%、291.19%、195.51%、67.17%。时间拉长来看,截至 12月18日, 香农芯创年内涨幅已超394%,东芯股份年内涨近382%。 | 序号 名称 | | 现价 | 涨跌幅 | 换手率 | 市智率 | 年初至今 ▼ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 东芯股份 | 119.94 с | 7.00% | 5.54% ...
佰维存储:公司及子公司未与华为合作开发HBM产品
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-12-17 09:54
佰维存储(688525.SH)12月17日在投资者互动平台表示,公司及子公司未与华为合作开发HBM产品。 (记者 张明双) 每经AI快讯,有投资者在投资者互动平台提问:董秘您好!贵司子公司芯成汉奇是否与华为有合作开 发HBM产品? ...
江波龙:公司已与全球主要存储晶圆原厂建立了超越常规采购关系的长期直接合作
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2025-12-17 08:13
Core Viewpoint - Jiangbolong (301308) has established long-term direct cooperation with major global storage wafer manufacturers, providing a competitive advantage in the supply chain of storage wafers [1] Group 1: Supply Chain Strategy - The company has a diversified supply chain, which enhances its resilience and stability in sourcing [1] - Long-term supply agreements (LTA) and memorandums of understanding (MOU) have been signed to ensure a continuous and stable supply of storage wafers [1]
兴业证券2026年美股展望:继续走强 科技依然是领头羊 非科技行情或有惊喜
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-12-17 03:04
兴业证券发布研报称,2026年美股有望继续走强,EPS是推动标普500指数的主要动能。中性情形下, 美联储降息两次,经济软着陆,AI叙事持续兑现为盈利,EPS增长12%,PE维持不变,对应标普500指 数仍能取得12%的涨幅。乐观情形下,美联储向特朗普妥协,2026年降息四次,经济偏强叠加AI赋能, 通胀依然保持温和,EPS增长14%,则指数将具有较大上行空间。悲观情形下,通胀风险卷土重来,美 联储货币政策被迫收缩,无风险利率和风险溢价均上升,指数回报为负。 兴业证券主要观点如下: 一、2026年美股基本面展望:美国经济软着陆,AI浪潮是经济增长的核心引擎 AI投资的时代之火——有望维持强度并扩散。1)AI相关资本开支对2025年二季度美国实际GDP同比增速 的拉动达到了0.9个百分点。对比互联网浪潮,信息处理设备以及软件投资占GDP比例仍有提升空间。 自下而上,科技巨头将继续维持高强度的资本开支。2)2026年AI投资热潮有望进一步从算力向电力基建 扩展。 财政政策宽松加码和美联储降息带动美国传统需求温和修复。1)根据CRFB等机构测算,2026财年美国 财政赤字率仍将较2025财年上升约0.3个百分点,达 ...
A股盘前播报 | 扩内需成首要任务!消费再迎利好 长期资金有望持续发力
智通财经网· 2025-12-17 00:37
盘前要闻 1、中央财办有关负责同志:扩大内需是明年排在首位的重点任务 类型:宏观 情绪影响:正面 中央财办有关负责同志详解2025年中央经济工作会议精神。针对内需发展现状等问题,中央财办有关负 责同志表示,扩大内需是明年排在首位的重点任务,要提高养老、托育、医疗等民生类投资比重。房地 产方面表示,从供需两端发力稳市场,积极推动房地产企业转型发展,加快构建房地产发展新模式。 2、社保基金会表态:充分发挥长期资金、耐心资本作用 类型:宏观 情绪影响:正面 社保基金会党组召开会议传达学习中央经济工作会议精神。会议强调,充分发挥长期资金、耐心资本作 用,在守住安全底线的基础上,积极服务国家发展需要,更好支持科技创新和产业创新深度融合。系统 谋划社保基金事业"十五五"规划,推动社保基金事业高质量发展。 3、美国就业市场疲弱!交易员坚持押注:美联储在2026年会降息两次 类型:宏观 情绪影响:正面 投资日历 人工智能产业创新发展大会 投资锦囊 投资锦囊:获得巨额财富需要极大的胆识和谨慎的态度,当你一旦拥有大量财富,则需要有十倍的智慧 来留住它。 美国11月新增非农就业6.4万人,失业率意外升至4.6%为四年来新高,10月 ...
深夜,暴跌!人民币,创一年多新高;蚂蚁阿福,下载量猛增!
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-12-17 00:25
Market Dynamics - WTI crude oil futures fell by 2.73% to $55.27 per barrel, marking the first time since February 2021 that it dropped below $55, with a year-to-date decline of approximately 22%, the worst performance since 2018 [1] - The S&P 500 index decreased by 0.24%, while the Nasdaq rose by 0.23%, with Tesla shares increasing over 3% to reach a new closing high [1] - The U.S. non-farm payrolls for October showed a decrease of 105,000 jobs, higher than the expected decline of 25,000, while the unemployment rate rose to 4.6%, the highest since 2021 [1] Currency and Investment Sentiment - The U.S. dollar index fell below 98 for the first time since October 6, with a daily drop of 0.37%, while the onshore and offshore RMB against the dollar reached new highs, with the onshore rate approaching 7.04 [2] - A Bank of America monthly survey indicated that investor sentiment is at its highest in four and a half years, with an investor sentiment index of 7.4 out of 10, reflecting strong confidence in economic growth, stocks, and commodities [2] Industry Developments - Ant Group's AI health application "Antifufu" saw a surge in downloads, reaching third place on the Apple app store, with over 15 million monthly active users [5] - Alibaba launched the next-generation "Wanshang 2.6" model, which supports role-playing functions and is aimed at professional film production and image creation [5] - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange reported that over 100 companies have listed since 2025, raising over HKD 270 billion, with more than 300 listing applications currently being processed [6] Economic Policies and Trends - The Central Financial and Economic Affairs Commission emphasized the need to expand domestic demand as a priority for the coming year, with a focus on increasing residents' income and consumption capacity [10] - The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development held a meeting to promote intelligent construction and high-quality development in the construction industry [12] - The Ministry of Commerce announced that anti-dumping duties will be imposed on imports of pork and related products from the EU starting December 17, 2025, for a period of five years [12]
江波龙(301308) - 2025年12月12日投资者关系活动记录表
2025-12-16 14:50
Group 1: Market Conditions and Pricing - The supply of storage wafers is expected to remain tight, with limited incremental contribution to output in 2026 due to the cautious capacity expansion strategy of major manufacturers [2] - According to CFM's forecast, the price increase for Mobile eMMC/UFS in Q1 2026 is projected to be between 25% and 30%, while LPDDR4X/5X is expected to rise by 30% to 35% [2] - PC DDR5/LPDDR5X prices are anticipated to increase by 30% to 35%, and cSSD prices are expected to rise by 25% to 30% [2] Group 2: Supply Chain and Procurement - The company has established long-term direct cooperation with major global storage wafer manufacturers, ensuring a diversified supply chain and a competitive advantage in wafer supply [3] - Supplier information is disclosed in public documents such as the prospectus [3] Group 3: Product Development and Competitive Advantage - The self-developed main control chip plays a critical role in managing data between storage particles and CPUs, significantly impacting overall performance [3] - The company has deployed over 100 million self-developed main control chips by the end of Q3, with UFS4.1 products gaining recognition from major storage manufacturers and Tier 1 clients [3] - The enterprise storage products have been integrated into the supply chains of leading internet companies, covering various sectors including telecommunications and server manufacturers [3] Group 4: Disclosure and Compliance - The investor relations activity did not involve any undisclosed significant information [3]
晚报 | 12月17日主题前瞻
Xuan Gu Bao· 2025-12-16 14:50
明日主题前瞻 1、商业航天 | 据IT之家报道,国内唯一采用"不锈钢火箭 + 捕获臂回收"方案的团队宇石空间宣布,近日完成了国内首个百吨级全尺寸"筷子"捕获臂地面验 证试验,标志着我国首个对标 SpaceX星舰回收模式的捕获臂全尺寸原型机正式交付,进入地面联合试验阶段。宇石空间核心产品 AS-1火箭采用不锈钢结构 +液氧甲烷动力+捕获臂回收,目标将发射成本降至2万元/千克(回收后低至1万元/千克),仅为传统火箭的1/6。 点评:分析认为,中国可回收火箭技术的突破,不仅是航天产业内部的成本革命与技术升级,更是国家战略安全、高端制造升级与全球竞争格局重塑的重要 支点。短期来看,将利好航天制造、新材料、卫星应用等产业链相关企业;长期来看,将推动我国从航天大国向航天强国跨越,为我国在新一轮科技革命与 产业变革中抢占先机提供重要支撑。 2、大模型 | 据新浪财经报道,近日,中国电信研究院联合中科院计算所、华为昇腾、沐曦等产业伙伴,依托中国电信云网融合技术中试验证平台,成功完 成业界首个面向国产算力的跨架构大模型推理技术验证。此次突破构建了基于Triton的异构大模型推理框架,实现"一套框架代码、三芯透明迁移"的核心目 ...
朗科科技:截至2025年前三季度,公司实现营业收入7.95亿元
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-12-16 14:17
证券日报网讯 12月16日,朗科科技在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示,公司存储产品具有随原材料涨 跌而产生价格波动的特性,公司密切关注政策、客户需求及存储市场行情变化灵活调整销售策略。截至 2025年前三季度,公司实现营业收入7.95亿元,同比上升35.19%,产品销售有所回升。 (文章来源:证券日报) ...