文 | 赵伟、屠强 联系人 | 屠强、 耿佩璇 摘要 事件： 6月9日，国家统计局公布5月通胀数据，CPI同比-0.1%、前值-0.1%、预期-0.2%、环比-0.2%；PPI 同比-3.3%、前值-2.7%、预期-3.2%、环比-0.4%。 核心观点：消费需求改善令核心CPI企稳，但供给侧对通胀读数有较大压制。 特征一：核心商品PPI明显回弹，主因需求改善，且关税对价格的冲击尚未进一步加剧。 5月核心商品 PPI同比回升0.3pct至-1.4%，一是提振消费政策效果持续显现，部分消费品需求释放带动相关行业价格回 升；二是关税对价格的冲击趋于缓和，部分出口行业价格的回落幅度并未加大。具体行业看，制鞋业价 格上涨0.8%，计算机整机制造价格上涨0.2%，家用洗衣机、电视机制造、汽车整车制造价格降幅比上月 分别收窄1.6、1.4、0.6pct。 而5月PPI跌破-3%，更多反映大宗商品价格的拖累。 5月PPI同比较前月回落0.6pct至-3.3%。其中国际油 价下行拖累国内油价，测算油价拖累PPI环比-0.1%。同时地产、基建投资走弱，煤炭供应充足，钢、煤 价格也有回落，测算钢、煤价拖累PPI环比-0.3%。而铜 ...

广发证券首席经济学家 郭磊 guolei@gf.com.cn 摘要 第一， 2025年5月CPI同比-0.1%，持平前值；PPI同比-3.3%，低于前值的-2.7%。按CPI和PPI权重分别 60%和40%模拟的平减指数为-1.38%，低于前值的-1.14%，为过去16个月以来最低。 第二， CPI为什么弱势徘徊？如果我们把CPI价格简单分为三部分：能源、食品、核心，5月前两部分形成双 下拉。一是能源价格环比下降1.7%，拖累CPI环比约0.13个百分点，主要与关税影响下大宗价格的向内传递 有关，4月IPE布油价格环比下行达18.3%，带来5月成品油价格的下降。二是食品价格环比下降0.2%，拖累 CPI环比约0.04个百分点。食品价格偏弱背后可能主要还是餐饮部门需求偏弱，而国内肉类、蔬菜等的传统供 给能力又一直较强。 第三， 再看能源食品之外的价格。因为经历"五一"假期，主要耐用消费品价格环比仍普遍降价，但幅度并未 超过季节性，从而同比降幅并未进一步加深。不过汽车、家电、租赁房、酒类同比仍在负增长区间，除汽车降 幅小幅收窄外，其余降幅持平前值。涨幅扩大的门类主要是服装、家纺、金饰品、文娱耐用品。综合影响下， ...

Group 1: CPI Analysis - In May, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) decreased by 0.2% month-on-month and 0.1% year-on-year, with energy prices dropping by 6.1% year-on-year, contributing approximately 0.47 percentage points to the CPI decline [1][2] - Core CPI increased by 0.6% year-on-year, with the growth rate expanding by 0.1 percentage points compared to the previous month, indicating resilience in domestic consumption [2][3] - Prices of gold jewelry, household textiles, and durable entertainment goods rose by 40.1%, 1.9%, and 1.8% respectively, while fuel and new energy vehicle prices fell by 4.2% and 2.8%, showing a narrowing decline [2][3] Group 2: PPI Analysis - The Producer Price Index (PPI) fell by 0.4% month-on-month and 3.3% year-on-year, with the year-on-year decline widening by 0.6 percentage points [1][3] - The decline in PPI is primarily attributed to weak commodity prices and significant input price pressures, particularly in the coal, steel, and cement sectors due to seasonal demand fluctuations [3][4] - Some sectors, such as high-end equipment manufacturing, saw price increases, with integrated circuit packaging and testing prices rising by 3.6% [3] Group 3: Future Outlook - The outlook for domestic prices suggests a likely moderate recovery in CPI, with food prices expected to remain stable and energy prices potentially rebounding [4] - PPI is anticipated to show marginal improvement, but it may take time to exit negative territory, influenced by external trade dynamics and domestic demand recovery [4] - Key areas to monitor include ongoing input price pressures, recovery in domestic demand, particularly in real estate, and trends in core consumption [4]

Group 1 - The overall consumer price index (CPI) showed a slight decline in May, with a month-on-month decrease of 0.2% and a year-on-year decrease of 0.1%, influenced by seasonal factors and falling oil prices [1][2] - Core CPI, excluding food and energy, increased by 0.6% year-on-year, indicating a strengthening demand in certain sectors, supported by holiday consumption and a recovery in travel services [2][3] - Energy prices fell by 1.7% month-on-month, contributing significantly to the overall CPI decline, with a year-on-year decrease of 6.1% [1][2] Group 2 - Food prices decreased by 0.2% month-on-month, with fresh vegetable prices dropping by 5.9%, while some fresh fruits and fish saw price increases due to supply constraints [2][3] - The producer price index (PPI) decreased by 0.4% month-on-month and 3.3% year-on-year, but some sectors showed positive price trends, particularly in consumer goods [3][4] - Prices in high-tech industries, such as integrated circuits and wearable devices, increased year-on-year, reflecting a shift towards high-end, intelligent, and green production [4][5] Group 3 - The demand for high-tech products is growing, leading to price increases in related industries, while the prices in the solar and lithium battery sectors showed a narrowing decline [5] - The positive impact of macroeconomic policies is expected to further stimulate domestic demand and promote reasonable price recovery in the future [5]

Group 1 - QianNeng HengXin's Weizhou 5-3 oilfield development project officially commenced production on June 6, 2025, with plans to deploy 10 development wells, and the first well has successfully completed drilling and is now connected to the production pipeline [1] - ShenTong Technology's shareholders plan to reduce their holdings by up to 3% of the company's shares, totaling approximately 12.88 million shares, due to personal funding needs [2] - HengRun Co., Ltd. announced that its major shareholders plan to reduce their holdings by a total of up to 1.89% of the company's shares, with specific reductions from individual shareholders [2] Group 2 - ZhongKe Soft's shareholder plans to reduce their holdings by up to 2% of the company's shares, totaling approximately 16.62 million shares, for research needs [3] - HuaShu GaoKe's major shareholder intends to reduce their holdings by up to 2.2% of the company's shares, totaling approximately 911.17 thousand shares, due to personal funding needs [5] - OuJing Technology's major shareholder plans to reduce their holdings by up to 3% of the company's shares, totaling approximately 577.22 thousand shares, for operational needs [7] Group 3 - MinDong Electric's major shareholder plans to reduce their holdings by up to 1% of the company's shares, totaling approximately 4.58 million shares, for operational needs [8] - ZhongYing Electronics announced that its controlling shareholder is planning a change in control, leading to a temporary suspension of trading [9] - RuoYuChen's major shareholder plans to reduce their holdings by up to 3% of the company's shares, totaling approximately 476.81 thousand shares, for personal financial planning [11] Group 4 - JianKeYuan's major shareholder plans to reduce their holdings by up to 1% of the company's shares, totaling approximately 146.66 thousand shares, due to personal funding needs [12] - DeLe Co., Ltd. announced that its major shareholder plans to reduce their holdings by up to 1.99% of the company's shares, totaling approximately 300 thousand shares, for personal funding needs [12] - PuLian Software's executives plan to reduce their holdings by up to 0.7% of the company's shares, totaling approximately 195.75 thousand shares, due to personal funding needs [13] Group 5 - JinDan Technology's shareholder plans to reduce their holdings by up to 2.93% of the company's shares, totaling approximately 563.5 thousand shares, for operational development needs [13] - YiSheng Co., Ltd. reported sales revenue of 174 million yuan from white feather broiler chicks in May, with a year-on-year increase in sales quantity but a decrease in revenue [14] - LongShen RongFa's subsidiary received a laboratory accreditation certificate from CNAS, valid until May 29, 2031 [15]

Core CPI and Economic Policy - The core CPI shows a steady upward trend, reflecting the effectiveness of macroeconomic policies and the increasing impact of domestic demand on prices [1][5] - In May, the core CPI excluding food and energy prices rose by 0.6% year-on-year, an increase of 0.1 percentage points from the previous month [2][4] CPI and PPI Trends - In May, the CPI decreased by 0.2% month-on-month and 0.1% year-on-year, while the PPI fell by 0.4% month-on-month and 3.3% year-on-year, with the year-on-year decline widening by 0.6 percentage points [2][7] - Energy prices dropped by 6.1% year-on-year, contributing approximately 0.47 percentage points to the CPI decline [4] Food Prices and Consumer Demand - Food prices decreased by 0.4% year-on-year, with pork prices rising by 3.1% but showing a decline in growth rate compared to the previous month [4] - The analysis indicates that consumer demand is in a critical recovery phase, with expectations of gradual improvement in consumption as counter-cyclical policies take effect [4][5] Sector-Specific Price Movements - Certain sectors are experiencing marginal price improvements, with some consumer goods seeing price stabilization or increases [8] - High-tech product demand is expanding, leading to price increases in sectors such as integrated circuits and aircraft manufacturing [8] Future Price Outlook - Short-term inflation may face dual pressures, with expectations of continued negative growth in CPI and PPI in the second and third quarters [9] - Recent financial policies may signal the start of a new round of incremental policies aimed at stabilizing employment, businesses, and market expectations [9]

Group 1: CPI Analysis - In May, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) decreased by 0.2% month-on-month and by 0.1% year-on-year, while the core CPI, excluding food and energy, increased by 0.6%, with the growth rate expanding by 0.1 percentage points compared to the previous month [1][2][3] - The month-on-month decline in CPI was primarily driven by a 1.7% decrease in energy prices, which accounted for approximately 70% of the total decline in CPI [2] - Food prices fell by 0.2%, with seasonal vegetables seeing a 5.9% price drop, while prices for eggs, pork, and poultry slightly decreased by 0.3% to 1.0% [2][3] Group 2: PPI Analysis - The Producer Price Index (PPI) decreased by 0.4% month-on-month and by 3.3% year-on-year, with the year-on-year decline expanding by 0.6 percentage points compared to the previous month [1][4][5] - The month-on-month PPI decline was influenced by international factors, including a 5.6% drop in oil and gas extraction prices and a 3.5% decrease in refined oil product manufacturing prices [4] - Some sectors showed marginal price improvements, with consumer demand policies positively impacting prices in certain industries, such as a 12.8% increase in the price of arts and crafts and a 0.8% rise in footwear manufacturing [5]

截至2025年6月6日收盘，首航新能（301658）报收于27.55元，较上周的27.44元上涨0.4%。本周，首航 新能6月5日盘中最高价报27.81元。6月3日盘中最低价报27.0元，股价触及近一年最低点。首航新能当前 最新总市值113.61亿元，在光伏设备板块市值排名25/63，在两市A股市值排名1390/5148。 本周关注点 国泰海通证券股份有限公司关于深圳市首航新能源股份有限公司2025年度持续督导培训情况报告：国泰 海通证券对公司进行了2025年度持续督导培训，培训内容包括上市公司信息披露和募集资金存放及使用 关注要点，培训对象包括公司控股股东及实际控制人、董事、监事、高级管理人员等。培训通过演示培 训讲义、解读法规条文及案例分析等形式进行，达到了预期效果。 以上内容为证券之星据公开信息整理，由AI算法生成（网信算备310104345710301240019号），不构成 投资建议。 公司公告汇总：首航新能完成工商变更登记，注册资本增至41,237.1135万元人民币。 公司公告汇总：国泰海通证券完成对首航新能2025年度持续督导培训，涵盖信息披露和募集资金 管理等内容。 公司公告汇总 关于完成工 ...

德业股份发布关于调整2024年度利润分配总额和资本公积金转增股本总额的公告，主要内容如下：- 每 股派发现金红利2.6元（含税）不变，派发现金分红的总额调整为1679663986.00元（含税）。- 每股转 增0.4股不变，资本公积金转增股本总额调整为904434454股。- 调整原因是2022年股票期权激励计划可 行权的激励对象自主行权且完成股份过户登记，导致可参与权益分派的股份数发生变动。 以上内容为证券之星据公开信息整理，由AI算法生成（网信算备310104345710301240019号），不构成 投资建议。 公司公告汇总：德业股份每股现金红利2.6元，每股转增股份0.4股，股权登记日为2025年6月12 日。 公司公告汇总：因股票期权激励计划行权，德业股份调整2024年度利润分配总额至1679663986.00 元，资本公积金转增股本总额至904434454股。 截至2025年6月6日收盘，德业股份（605117）报收于83.27元，较上周的82.38元上涨1.08%。本周，德 业股份6月6日盘中最高价报84.65元。6月3日盘中最低价报80.59元。德业股份当前最新总市值537.94亿 元，在光伏 ...

本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有 虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 深圳市首航新能源股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）分别于 2025 年 4 月 25 日和 2025 年 5 月 20 日召开了第二届董事会第十一次会议和 2024 年年度股东大 会，审议通过了《关于变更注册资本、公司类型、修订 <公司章程> 并办理工商 变更登记的议案》，具体内容详见公司于 2025 年 4 月 29 日在巨潮资讯网 (www.cninfo.com.cn)披露的《关于变更注册资本、公司类型、修订 <公司章程> 并 办理工商变更登记的公告》（公告编号：2025-012）。 公司于近日完成了上述事项所涉及的工商变更登记、修订后的《公司章程》 备案等手续，并取得了深圳市市场监督管理局换发的《营业执照》，现将具体信 息公告如下： 证券代码：301658 证券简称：首航新能 公告编号：2025-019 深圳市首航新能源股份有限公司 经相关部门批准后方可开展经营活动，具体经营项目以相关部门批准文件或 许可证件为准）。 二、备查文件 特此公告。 深圳市首航新能源股份有限公司董事会 一、变更后的营业执照基本情况 ...