2011年，伴随着棒杰股份（002634）鸣锣上市，公司创始人陶建伟的名字也在资本市场上声名大噪。主营"无缝服装"不温不火多年后，陶建伟带领棒杰股份 向光伏产业转型，然而公司跨界却踏错了节奏。在光伏板块拖累下，棒杰股份业绩已陷入亏损泥潭。在此背景下，陶建伟欲让出公司控制权，决定退出。6 月2日，棒杰股份披露公告称，黄荣耀将成为公司实控人，接盘方总价9655.8万元拿下公司控制权。值得一提的是，黄荣耀并非资本市场上的陌生面孔，在A 股公司凯盛新材的招股书中，黄荣耀曾是第十大自然人股东。 | 分时 | 5日 ~ | ટસ્પ્રેસ્મ | 30分钟 | 15分钟 | 60分钟 | 日线 | 更多周期 * | | 竟价 | 叠加√ | 画线 | STATE T | 复盟 | 简约 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 李杰股份 | | | | 所属行业: 纺织服装 最新:11751.22 涨跌:+1.56% | | | | | | | | | | | 4.3 ...

2025 年 06 月 02 日 耐用消费产业行业研究 买入（维持评级） 行业周报 证券研究报告 国金证券研究所 分析师：赵中平（执业 S1130524050003） zhaozhongping＠gjzq.com.cn 分析师：杨欣（执业 S1130522080010） yangxin1＠gjzq.com.cn 分析师：王刚（执业 S1130524080001） wang_g＠gjzq.com.cn 分析师：张杨桓（执业 S1130522090001） zhangyanghuan＠gjzq.com.cn 消费中观策略&投资建议 ①基本面有向好变化的低位传统核心资产，资本市场逻辑是高低切，新消费已经将表观 30-60XPE 的高标估值体 系确立，传统核心资产的估值水位也有望在流动性宽松叠加公募基准欠配背景下向上修复，尤其是在地产高频数 据企稳经济有自发筑底倾向&传统消费 25Q2 开始财报基数下降景气度增速有自发回升趋势背景下，建议关注安踏 体育，雅迪控股，裕同科技等；②坚定持有兑现度较高的新消费龙头，建议关注泡泡玛特，康耐特光学等。预计 消费类资金有望向两个方向切换；③积极拥抱新消费赛道或具备新消费思维的传统 ...

县域富民产业连接城乡经济、惠及农村农民，是推动兴业、强县、富民一体发展的关键载体。习近平总 书记强调，要发展比较优势明显、带动能力强、就业容量大的县域富民产业，多措并举促进农民工稳岗 就业，挖掘经营增收和务工增收潜力。2025年中央一号文件提出，发展各具特色的县域经济，支持发展 就业容量大的富民产业，促进农民就近就业增收。新形势下，要深刻认识发展县域富民产业的重要意 义，准确把握其内涵和要求，因地制宜探索多样化发展路径，提升县域经济发展水平，促进群众就业增 收。 统筹立足县域与融入区域的关系。县域经济不是一县一域的"孤岛经济"，只有融入大的区域发展格局和 国民经济循环才是有生命力的。发展壮大县域富民产业，既要立足县域资源禀赋和产业基础，精准定位 产业发展方向与重点，苦练"内功"，也要加强跨区域协作，通过承接产业转移、共建产业园区、开展技 术合作等方式，积极融入区域乃至全球产业链和市场体系。比如，河南夏邑县通过承接东部纺织服装产 业转移，培育起全国知名的纺织服装产业集群；"中国童车之都"河北平乡县通过拓展国际市场，产品远 销多个国家和地区。 县域富民产业内涵特征 县域富民产业具有一般产业的共同特征，但在空间布局 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the export of textiles, particularly clothing, from China is facing increasing barriers due to new taxation policies on small parcels in various countries, which could significantly impact cross-border e-commerce growth [1][3][4][14] - The European Union plans to impose a unified fee of 2 euros per small parcel and 0.5 euros for parcels stored in EU warehouses, replacing the previous tax exemption for parcels valued under 150 euros [3] - Japan is set to introduce a 10% consumption tax on imported goods valued under 10,000 yen, which could affect the influx of small parcels from China, particularly from platforms like Temu and SHEIN [5][4] Group 2 - Vietnam is considering a comprehensive import tax policy for e-commerce products, suggesting that the current exemption for orders under 1 million VND may not be appropriate [10][8] - The volume of low-value orders from China to Vietnam is significant, with approximately 4 to 5 million orders daily, indicating a robust cross-border e-commerce market [13] - In 2024, China's cross-border e-commerce exports are projected to reach 2.63 trillion yuan, with a growth rate of 10.8%, highlighting the sector's importance in the textile and apparel industry [13][14]

Group 1 - The "Yue Du Yue You Qu" city bookstore in Kashgar, covering 438 square meters and housing 50,000 electronic books, has become a popular spot for local students [1] - The Guangdong aid to Xinjiang has led to significant improvements in various sectors including healthcare, education, culture, and economy in Kashgar [3][4] - The GDP of Kashgar region reached 324.57 billion yuan in Q1 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 5.8%, and the retail sales of consumer goods totaled 87.32 billion yuan, up 8.2% [4][5] Group 2 - The Guangdong medical aid model has evolved to a "group-style" support system, enhancing healthcare services in Kashgar through advanced equipment and management practices [6][9] - The South Xinjiang National Regional Medical Center has seen significant patient volume, with over 33,000 outpatient visits and a bed occupancy rate of 85% in 2024 [9] - The number of healthcare institutions in Kashgar increased from 3,398 in 2020 to 3,785 in 2024, indicating a growing healthcare infrastructure [12] Group 3 - The vocational education sector is being strengthened, with the establishment of the Cantonese Cuisine Academy in Kashgar, which has enrolled 100 full-time students [16][20] - The textile and garment industry is a key focus, with the textile sector's added value accounting for 12.1% of the region's industrial output in 2024 [17][18] - The number of students in the textile program at the Tiemu Shu Ke Vocational Technical College has grown from 11 to over 860, reflecting the increasing demand for skilled labor in the textile industry [18] Group 4 - The tourism sector in Tiemu Shu Ke City has seen a rise in visitors, with 530,600 tourists recorded in Q1 2025, a 15.93% increase year-on-year [25][26] - The "Xinjiang National Musical Instrument Village" has been developed into a 3A national tourist attraction, enhancing local tourism and economic opportunities [25][26] - The agricultural sector, particularly in chili pepper production, has shown growth, with the company "Xindi Biological" reporting a steady increase in sales revenue from 34.25 million yuan in 2022 to 55.6 million yuan in 2024 [29][31]

Core Points - The company is preparing for the 2024 Annual General Meeting (AGM) scheduled for June 20, 2025, to discuss various proposals including the annual financial report and related transactions [3][4][28] - The company emphasizes the importance of maintaining shareholder rights and orderly conduct during the AGM, with specific guidelines for participation and voting [2][4][5] Group 1: Meeting Procedures - The AGM will be chaired by the company's board chairman, and a secretary will be appointed to manage the meeting procedures [3][4] - Shareholders are required to register their attendance to participate in voting and discussions, with specific rules regarding the validity of votes [2][5] - Legal representatives will be present to witness the meeting and provide legal opinions on the proceedings [2][5] Group 2: Proposals for Discussion - The agenda includes the review of the 2024 Board of Directors' work report, which outlines the company's strategic adjustments and innovations [4][5] - The company plans to discuss the 2024 financial statements, which have been audited and received a standard unqualified opinion from the auditing firm [28] - Proposals will also cover the annual profit distribution plan and the expected amounts for related party transactions for 2024 [20][28] Group 3: Corporate Governance - The company has established a governance structure that includes a board of directors, supervisory board, and various committees to ensure compliance and effective decision-making [6][9] - The board has been active in reviewing and approving significant operational and financial decisions, with a focus on risk management and compliance [7][9] - The company has implemented a comprehensive internal control system to monitor and manage risks effectively [7][26] Group 4: Financial Performance - The company reported its financial results for 2023, highlighting compliance with accounting standards and regulations [19][26] - The financial reports indicate a commitment to transparency and accuracy in financial disclosures, with regular audits conducted [14][26] - The company has outlined its plans for future financial management, including the use of raised funds and investment strategies [20][24]

Group 1 - The report emphasizes a balanced high dividend and high payout strategy by combining dividend yield and payout ratio factors to identify investment opportunities [4][12][19] - High dividend sectors include banking, coal, and oil & petrochemicals, which are characterized by low valuations and stable returns, presenting good allocation opportunities as state-owned enterprises enhance market value management [4][19] - High payout sectors focus on consumer industries such as textiles, food and beverage, and light manufacturing, which exhibit high payout ratios and good growth potential, benefiting from stable free cash flow and active capital markets under current growth policies [4][19] Group 2 - The stock selection criteria involve identifying stocks with sustainable dividend strategies, setting minimum dividend yield requirements, and utilizing a scoring system based on payout ratio, dividend yield, growth, and valuation [5][20][23] - The backtesting results indicate a cumulative return of 194.19% over five years, with an annualized return of 24.15%, significantly outperforming the dividend quality index by 125.07% [5][28][30] Group 3 - The industry weight adjustment strategy includes monitoring key indicators such as net interest margin and non-performing loan ratios in the banking sector, while also considering risks affecting asset quality [6][41] - For the coal industry, the focus is on monitoring coal prices and consumption rates, with expectations of marginal improvement as summer electricity demand rises [6][41] - The oil and petrochemical sector is analyzed based on price differentials and supply-demand dynamics, with expectations of oversupply continuing into 2025 [6][41] Group 4 - Future optimization strategies include expanding industry selection beyond current sectors based on historical data, establishing differentiated evaluation logic for various industries, and incorporating operational quality indicators to enhance the sustainability of dividends [9][45][48]

国泰海通证券政策和产业研究院 国别研究负责人 陈熙淼 国泰海通证券政策和产业研究院 院长助理 汪立亭 全球地缘格局和大国博弈背景下，中欧关系与经贸投资往来同步面临深刻挑战与机遇。本篇报告作 为国别研究之欧洲研究系列专题一，期望从经济、地缘、投资、金融等视角深度剖析和解读，如何 在当下多边主义时代看待欧洲投资机会，并为中国企业赴欧洲出海投资提供更多维度的分析视角。 拨云见日，掘金多瑙 —— 欧洲 国 别研究专 题 系列 （三、金融与资本市场变化） 4.1. 金融市场表现： 5 月特朗普关税政策缓和，欧元兑美元高位回落，欧美国债利差收窄 通胀水平放缓为欧洲央行进一步降息提供操作空间， 4 月以来特朗普关税政策缓和，欧洲投资者信心已显著回升。 因步入 5 月，特朗普关税政 策明显缓和和近期欧元区通胀水平的走低为后续货币政策操作打开空间，欧洲央行决策者对 6 月降息的信心有所增强，而 5 月欧元区投资者信 心指数显示较 4 月明显回升，且结构上，无论是机构还是个人投资者预期攀升幅度明显高于现状指数。 5 月 9 日，欧洲央行管委 Simkus 表 示：欧洲央行 6 月降息是必要的， 6 月之后有可能再次降息，且目前很 ...

Group 1 - The tax authorities in Hotan region are implementing a "standardized management, risk prevention, and precise service" model to enhance the manufacturing sector and support high-quality local economic development [1][2] - The manufacturing sector is identified as a core engine for industrial upgrading in Hotan, with a focus on compliance and risk management through a new tax service system [2][3] - The introduction of a "service package" mechanism by the tax bureau provides customized services such as tax health diagnostics and risk prevention optimization for manufacturing enterprises [2][3] Group 2 - The tax bureau is utilizing "policy + service" dual channels to assist the manufacturing industry, employing "tagged management" for precise policy matching [3] - The implementation of automated production lines in local companies, such as the Xinjiang Yungli Garment Factory, has led to significant production outputs, with annual production exceeding 2.6 million pieces and revenue surpassing 79 million yuan [2] - The tax authorities are committed to enhancing the legal and service environment for businesses, ensuring that enterprises can fully benefit from tax incentives and support [3]

Market Performance - The stock indices in the two markets showed strong upward momentum, with the Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index rising over 1%, and more than 4,400 stocks in the market showing gains [1] - As of the midday close, the Shanghai Composite Index increased by 0.72% to 3,363.97 points, while the combined trading volume of the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing markets reached 759.6 billion yuan [1] Sector Performance - Key sectors that experienced significant gains include automotive, pharmaceuticals, logistics, textiles and apparel, semiconductors, real estate, and brokerage [1] - Emerging themes such as innovative drugs, autonomous driving, and information technology innovation were notably active [1] Economic and Policy Insights - After the reduction of tariff and trade risks, the focus has shifted to changes in domestic economy and liquidity, as well as the implementation of policies, which are seen as core concerns for the current market phase [2] - The market is expected to be supported by timely monetary easing and policy backing, with a barbell strategy recommended for asset allocation [2] - The second quarter is anticipated to see a shift from "grabbing transshipment" to "grabbing exports," with external demand showing a pulse-like improvement that may support economic resilience, although concerns about economic downturn remain [2] Liquidity and Market Sentiment - The period from May to June is characterized by a lack of clear guidance due to the earnings report vacuum, leading to a predicted decrease in market trading activity [2] - The upcoming end-of-quarter assessments and mid-year liquidity tightening may exert pressure on institutional repositioning, potentially lowering market risk appetite and slowing capital inflows [2] - Increased uncertainty in the U.S. market, characterized by a weak dollar, weak U.S. stocks, and high U.S. bond yields, may also affect domestic market sentiment [2] Investment Strategy - There is a need to focus on technology growth sectors that exhibit certain growth prospects, while dividend-paying and stable cash flow stocks are considered important choices for low-risk preference incremental capital allocation in a declining risk-free interest rate environment [2]