[Table_Title] 万联晨会 [Table_MeetReportDate] 2025 年 05 月 13 日 星期二 [Table_Summary] 概览 核心观点 【市场回顾】 周一 A 股三大指数集体收涨，截止收盘，沪指收涨 0.82%，深成指收 涨 1.72%，创业板指收涨 2.63%。沪深两市成交额 13082.76 亿元；申 万行业方面，国防军工、电力设备、机械设备领涨，农林牧渔、医药 生物、公用事业领跌；概念板块方面，中船系、成飞概念、军工信息 化概念涨幅居前，重组蛋白、代糖概念、转基因概念跌幅居前；港股 方面，恒生指数收涨 2.98%，恒生科技指数收涨 5.16%；海外方面， 美国三大指数集体收涨，道指收涨 2.81%，标普 500 收涨 3.26%，纳 指收涨 4.35%。 3288 Email: fengyq1@wlzq.com.cn 证 券 研 究 报 告 【重要新闻】 【中美经贸高层会谈联合声明发布】双方同意大幅降低双边关税水 平，美方取消共计 91%的加征关税，中方相应取消 91%的反制关税； 美方暂停实施 24%的"对等关税"，中方也相应暂停实施 24%的反制关 税。中方还相 ...

【导读】凤凰光学拟3156万元出售上海房产 中国基金报记者 忆山 不涉及关联交易 预计对公司经营等产生积极影响 公告显示，为盘活闲置资产，凤凰光学拟出售其所持有的位于上海市普陀区长寿路97号世纪商务大厦1701-1716室办公房产。该房产建筑面积总计为 1304.85平方米，规划用途为办公。 截至评估基准日，交易标的房产账面原值为2920.62万元，账面净值为2193.88万元，在保持现有用途维持现状的前提下资产的评估值为3090.21万元，与原 值相比增值率为5.81%。 今年3月31日至4月27日，拟出售的房产在联交所公开挂牌征集受让方，5月9日，公司收到联交所《竞价结果通知》和《组织签约通知》，上海诚静奥企业 管理有限公司最终以3155.9125万元的报价成为部分资产（上海市普陀区长寿路97号1701-1716室办公房产）项目的受让方。 根据公告，上海诚静奥企业管理有限公司成立于2022年11月，法定代表人为李澔昀。经营范围包括：企业管理、企业管理咨询、工程管理服务、信息咨询 服务等。后续凤凰光学将与该公司签署《产权交易合同》。 凤凰光学称，本次出售房产的目的是盘活闲置资产、提高资产运营效率，出售房产所 ...

证券研究报告|电子 [Table_Title] SW 电子 2024&2025Q1 业绩向好，AI 和自主 可控驱动增长 [Table_ReportType] ——电子行业跟踪报告[Table_ReportDate] [行业核心观点： Table_Summary] 2024 年，SW 电子行业实现营业收入 33,299.07 亿元，同比增长 16.90%； 毛利率为 15.47%，同比下滑 0.31pct，或主要受原材料成本压力影响； 整体期间费用率为 10.84%，同比下滑 0.77pct，体现出行业整体费用控 制有所优化；利润端，SW 电子行业 2024 年实现归母净利润 1292.96 亿 元，同比增长 43.07%，远大于同期营收增幅，体现行业盈利能力有所 改善。此外，2025Q1，SW 电子行业实现营收 8238.31 亿元，同比增长 17.98%，实现归母净利润 342.63 亿元，同比增长 29.58%；2025Q1 营 收、归母净利润均实现同比双位数增长，创下近三年 Q1 新高。 投资要点： ⚫ 半导体：2024 年板块整体业绩回暖，2025Q1 延续复苏态势。2025Q1 集 成电路制造、模 ...

Investment Rating - The industry is rated as "Outperform" compared to the market, indicating a potential increase of over 10% relative to the market index in the next six months [4][50]. Core Insights - In 2024, the SW electronics industry is expected to achieve a revenue of CNY 3,329.907 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 16.90%. The gross margin is projected to be 15.47%, a slight decline of 0.31 percentage points, primarily due to raw material cost pressures. The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be CNY 129.296 billion, a significant increase of 43.07% year-on-year, indicating improved profitability [1][13]. - In Q1 2025, the industry is anticipated to generate revenue of CNY 823.831 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 17.98%, and a net profit of CNY 34.263 billion, reflecting a 29.58% increase year-on-year, marking the highest growth in nearly three years for Q1 [1][19]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Performance - The SW electronics industry is experiencing a recovery in performance, with 2024 showing a significant improvement in revenue and net profit. The overall expense ratio has decreased, indicating better cost control [1][13]. - Q1 2025 has set new records for revenue and net profit, both achieving double-digit year-on-year growth [1][19]. 2. Subsector Analysis - **Semiconductors**: The sector is expected to recover in 2024, with Q1 2025 continuing this upward trend. Key subsectors like integrated circuit manufacturing and analog chip design have returned to profitability, driven by demand from terminal recovery and AI computing [2][20]. - **Consumer Electronics**: Performance is mixed, with revenue growth outpacing profit growth due to raw material cost pressures. New product launches and promotional events are expected to boost demand [2][24]. - **Optoelectronics**: The panel sector has returned to profitability, aided by improved supply dynamics and production strategies. All subsectors showed revenue growth in Q1 2025, reflecting overall recovery [2][29]. - **Components**: The sector benefits from the high demand in the AI computing supply chain, with significant revenue and profit growth in Q1 2025 [3][34]. - **Electronic Chemicals**: This sector has shown steady revenue growth, with improved profitability in Q1 2025 due to the overall recovery in the semiconductor industry [3][40]. - **Other Electronics**: This sector's performance has improved, but profit growth has lagged behind revenue growth due to cost pressures [3][46]. 3. Investment Recommendations - The SW electronics industry is expected to see overall growth in 2024 and Q1 2025, with varying performance across subsectors. Key areas to watch include digital chip design, advanced packaging, and PCB sectors, which are showing signs of improved profitability [3][46].

Group 1 - China has been Germany's largest trading partner for eight consecutive years since 2016, indicating strong bilateral trade relations [1][7] - The new German government, led by Merz, signifies a return to traditional policies, emphasizing the importance of maintaining economic ties with China [1][5] - A joint proposal from 36 German companies in China urges the new government to increase investments in China rather than reduce them, highlighting the need for a balanced approach to risk management [1][4] Group 2 - The complementary nature of the industrial structures between China and Germany remains strong, with certain sectors like aerospace and medical technology still competitive for Germany [2] - German companies view the Chinese market as crucial for their global competitiveness, with 92% of surveyed companies expressing a desire to remain in China [6] - The anticipated investment from German companies in China is projected to reach €5.7 billion in 2024, reflecting a 25% increase from the previous year [6] Group 3 - The new German government's coalition agreement emphasizes the necessity of cooperation with China while addressing the concept of "de-risking" [5] - There is a strong demand from the German business community for reduced bureaucratic barriers in bilateral investments, as previous restrictions on Chinese investments have been rolled back [4][5] - Germany's industrial policy is shifting focus towards future-oriented technologies, including AI and quantum computing, while still recognizing the importance of the Chinese market [8]

Group 1 - The core index, the China Securities Hong Kong and US Listed Global Smart Car Theme Index, reported a value of 5461.69 points, with a recent one-month increase of 8.39%, a three-month decrease of 10.04%, and a year-to-date decline of 9.83% [1] - The index comprises 50 listed companies involved in smart automotive sectors such as perception positioning, decision planning, control execution, smart cockpit, and vehicle networking, reflecting the overall performance of these companies in the Hong Kong and US markets [1] - The index is based on a starting point of 1000.0 points as of December 30, 2016 [1] Group 2 - The top ten holdings of the index include Li Auto-W (9.52%), NVIDIA Corp (9.44%), Xpeng Motors-W (8.84%), Tesla Motors Inc (8.59%), Marvell Technology Group Ltd (6.26%), Rivian Automotive Inc. (5.6%), Lucid Group Inc (3.64%), Aurora Innovation Inc. (3.61%), Baidu Group-SW (3.27%), and Analog Devices Inc (3.19%) [2] - The index's holdings are primarily listed on the Nasdaq Global Select Market (60.44%), followed by the Hong Kong Stock Exchange (29.66%), Nasdaq Capital Market (5.02%), and New York Stock Exchange (4.88%) [2] - In terms of industry distribution, passenger vehicles account for 23.02%, digital media for 3.27%, optical optoelectronics for 3.05%, and automotive parts and tires for 0.32% [2] Group 3 - The index samples are adjusted semi-annually, with adjustments occurring on the next trading day after the second Friday of June and December each year [3] - Weight factors are adjusted in accordance with the sample changes, and generally remain fixed until the next scheduled adjustment [3] - Special circumstances may lead to temporary adjustments, including the removal of samples that are delisted or undergo mergers, acquisitions, or splits [3]

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Technology Index increased by over 5%, while the Hang Seng Index rose by more than 3% [1] - Sunny Optical Technology surged approximately 17%, and AAC Technologies experienced a rise of around 16% [1]

证券研究报告 | 策略研究 gszqdatemark 2025 05 12 年 月 日 投资策略 财报过后，供给出清、出口链与高股息再梳理 一、策略专题：供给出清、出口链与高股息再梳理 4 月 30 日，A 股 2024 年报与 2025 一季报披露完毕，我们结合最新数据 对供给出清、出口链与高股息行业进行再梳理。 从供需格局的角度，有两类行业值得关注，第一类是左侧思路的"供给出 清"行业，即库存与产能均处于较为明显的出清状态，在需求能够保持稳 定甚至高速增长的背景下，上述行业有望凸显盈利弹性，25Q1 具备上述 特征的行业主要包括塑料、通用设备、游戏、种植业、小金属、光学光电 子、通信服务。 即国内需求存在压力的情况下，海外收入占比较高的出口链有望取得独立 景气，我们结合 2024 年上市公司主营构成与海关总署披露的出口数据对 各行业海外收入占比进行测算，当前全球出口链重点行业包括其他家电、 消费电子、航运港口、小家电、工程机械等。 第二类行业是右侧思路的"强势扩产"行业，即营收高速增长反映需求旺 盛，同时产能扩张处于较高水平，未来有望通过提高产量推动利润扩张， 25Q1 具备上述特征的行业主要包括其他电子 ...

证券研究报告 | 策略研究 gszqdatemark 2025 05 12 年 月 日 投资策略 财报过后，供给出清、出口链与高股息再梳理 一、策略专题：供给出清、出口链与高股息再梳理 4 月 30 日，A 股 2024 年报与 2025 一季报披露完毕，我们结合最新数据 对供给出清、出口链与高股息行业进行再梳理。 1.3 高股息：交运与消费部分行业股息率有明显抬升 我们结合各行业 2025 年现金分红情况与最新的 PE（ TTM）对预期股息率 进行测算，高股息重点行业包括煤炭开采、油气开采、炼化与贸易、航运 港口、白色家电等。值得提示的是，今年交运与消费部分行业股息率相对 上年有明显抬升，包括航运港口、物流、白色家电、装修建材等。 二、策略观点：变盘仍未结束，静待方向明确 大势研判：本周 A 股市场继续凸显韧性，ETF 保持净流出态势反映护盘资 金入场力度减少，而 A 股仍然稳中有升，同时成交量能保持在万亿以上。 此前我们指出，受海内外因素影响，市场处于变盘点，需要密切关注风格 是否出现切换：特朗普对华态度出现缓和、4 月政治局会议落地、A 股 2024 年报与 2025 一季报将完整披露。而目前来看，我们 ...

Group 1: Xi Di Wei - Xi Di Wei achieved total revenue of 545.51 million yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 38.58%, with a gross profit of 169.67 million yuan, up 17.59% [1] - In Q1 2025, the company reported total revenue of 177.68 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 44.56%, but a net loss of 27.26 million yuan, indicating a narrowing of losses [1] - The company's smart visual perception business, particularly the voice coil motor driver chips, is a major growth driver, with expected shipment value reaching 541.92 million yuan in 2024 [1] Group 2: Bo Si Software - Bo Si Software is actively embracing AI, developing a vertical scene strategy with diverse AI products, including medical collaboration tools and digital procurement solutions [2] - The company achieved total revenue of 2.14 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 4.79%, while net profit decreased by 7.44% [2] - Bo Si Software has made progress in electronic voucher business in medical and administrative sectors, promoting in over 20 regions [2] Group 3: Jia Man Apparel - Jia Man Apparel plans to adopt a cooperative model for adult shoes after the expiration of the Hush Puppies authorization, focusing on classic casual styles for men's and women's clothing [3] - The design and sales teams consist of company veterans and external hires, with positive feedback from franchisees regarding the 2025 autumn/winter product designs [3] - The company maintains a relatively stable dividend ratio and does not rule out increasing the dividend ratio in the future [3] Group 4: Hong Jing Optoelectronics - Hong Jing Optoelectronics reported high growth in panoramic/sports camera business and new ventures in Q1 2025, although gross margins declined due to high costs of new camera module chips [4] - The smart automotive business serves major clients like Desay SV and Baolong Technology, with end customers including Chery, Geely, and Xpeng [4] - The company aims to implement a "3+N" product strategy to expand into AI hardware and machine vision fields [4]