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老徐全球配置会员开放日,7天会员免费领!
老徐抓AI趋势· 2025-06-09 11:22
限时 免费领取 7 日体验会员 - 黄金持续震荡,是否还是好资产? 参与方式 联系任何一位徐彬助理 回复暗号 【开放日】 即可领取 开放日活动仅限:6月9日-6月11日,错过等半年! 【非会员朋友】 欢迎你来 参加本次开放日活动 体验我的会员内容,里面会更深入分享全球 市场的"投资信息差"。参与活动之后7天内,即可看之前的所有直播回放和下周三的精彩闭门 直播。 【本周的闭门直播很精彩,欢迎看回放】 -最近"熔断"的稳定币是什么? -港股疯涨,下半年会保持趋势吗? 老徐会员开放日 【会员朋友】 如果你的会员快到期啦,欢迎下周一来直播间续费,价格超超超划算~会员时 长还长的朋友可以来直播间参与抽奖,我们给大家准备了超多礼品 ...
贸易风险缓和,金价高位震荡,黄金ETF华夏(518850)回调后仍具上行潜力丨黄金早参
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-09 01:15
Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that trade risks are mixed, with geopolitical and trade risks continuing to support precious metals in the market [1][2] - As of June 6, COMEX gold futures rose by 0.47% to $3331.0 per ounce, while the gold ETF Huaxia (518850) fell by 0.04% on the day but increased by 1.51% weekly [1] - The U.S. economic data showed a mixed picture, with May ADP employment increasing by only 37,000, and the ISM non-manufacturing index dropping to 49.9, indicating a slowdown in economic momentum [1] Group 2 - The U.S. non-farm payrolls for May added 139,000 jobs, exceeding expectations, and the unemployment rate remained at 4.2%, suggesting economic resilience [1] - The Federal Reserve's outlook on interest rate cuts has been adjusted, with expectations for cuts in 2025 reduced from three to two times, influenced by ongoing inflation concerns due to tariffs [1] - The trade tensions escalated with Trump's announcement of a 50% increase in steel and aluminum tariffs, prompting fears of global trade friction, although there were signs of negotiation progress between the U.S. and other countries [2]
透支信用卡“炒金”风险不小
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-06-08 22:04
Group 1 - Recent illegal activities involve enticing credit card holders to overdraw their cards for "gold trading" with promises of low thresholds and high returns [1] - Multiple banks have issued urgent announcements to strictly control credit card usage for "gold trading," stating that credit card funds must not be used for investments in high-risk areas such as the stock market and gold [1] - The volatility of gold prices is influenced by market sentiment, monetary policy, and geopolitical factors, posing significant risks for inexperienced investors who may suffer losses during price fluctuations [1] Group 2 - Financial institutions and payment agencies are urged to strengthen management of credit card cash withdrawal behaviors and to limit such activities through POS machines [2] - Authorities are called to enhance cooperation to crack down on illegal inducements for credit card overdrafts for "gold trading," with severe penalties for serious cash withdrawal cases as per legal interpretations [2] - The highest legal authorities have warned illegal operators to cease their activities to avoid legal consequences [2]
总市值超2000亿元 多重优势助力REITs走向主流
Core Insights - The total market value of public infrastructure REITs has surpassed 200 billion yuan, indicating a growing interest in this asset class within just four years since the first projects were listed in 2021 [1] - REITs are recognized for their stable returns, risk diversification, and efficiency in portfolio management, leading to increased market attention [1] - Investors are advised to focus on fundamental asset research rather than short-term price fluctuations, emphasizing a long-term investment perspective [1][6] Market Performance - As of June 6, 2025, the total market value of public infrastructure REITs on the Shanghai Stock Exchange is approximately 135.14 billion yuan, while the Shenzhen Stock Exchange's total market value is about 66.94 billion yuan [2] - The total number of listed REITs has reached 66, with a total issuance scale of approximately 174.39 billion yuan, covering various asset types such as affordable rental housing and logistics [2] - The Shanghai market's 33 public REITs reported total revenue of 8.5 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 35%, with a total distributable amount of 6.2 billion yuan [2] Sector Highlights - Highway REITs have shown strong performance, with total dividends reaching 3.4 billion yuan, benefiting from their robust cash generation capabilities [3] - The 18 REITs listed on the Shenzhen market reported total revenue of approximately 4.8 billion yuan and a net profit of 136 million yuan, maintaining profitability [3] - The current low-risk interest rates have increased the risk premium for REITs, enhancing their allocation value as they provide stable income from underlying rents or toll fees [3] Investor Composition - The investor base for REITs is expanding to include both institutional and individual investors, with original equity holders, insurance funds, and brokerage proprietary trading accounting for over 60% of holdings [4] - Different types of funds have distinct investment strategies, focusing on cash flow, safety margins, and policy guidance, reflecting a deep recognition of REITs' long-term asset attributes [4] Future Outlook - The REITs market is expected to continue its quality expansion, with increased market participation and the potential to unlock a trillion-yuan market [5] - The investment logic surrounding REITs is becoming clearer, with a focus on their cash flow and long-term value rather than short-term price movements [6] Asset Evaluation - Investors are encouraged to return to fundamental asset research and long-term value assessment, focusing on the operational efficiency and long-term dividend capabilities of REITs [6] - For instance, industrial park REITs are gaining attention due to their stable rental returns and mature operating entities, but they are also subject to regional economic fluctuations [7] - Highway REITs are favored for their stable cash flow and dividends, although they face risks related to traffic volume and surrounding economic conditions [7]
证监会核准!中央汇金成为多家公司实控人
第一财经· 2025-06-06 14:24
6月6日,据证监会网站,长城国瑞证券有限公司、东兴证券股份有限公司、信达证券股份有限公 司、东兴基金管理有限公司、信达澳亚基金管理有限公司、长城期货股份有限公司、东兴期货有限责 任公司、信达期货有限公司的变更实际控制人申请文件已获核准。 中央汇金投资有限责任公司成为上述8家公司的实际控制人。 证监会表示,相关公司需按规定及时办理工商变更登记等事宜,完善公司治理结构,维护公司及投资 者合法权益。 今年2月14日晚间,中国信达、东方资产、长城资产3家全国性资产管理公司(AMC)集体发布公告 称,财政部所持公司股权全部划转至中央汇金。 今年5月7日,国新办举行新闻发布会,发布会上,中国证监会主席吴清表示,全力巩固市场回稳向 好势头。强化市场监测和风险综合研判,动态完善应对各类外部冲击的工作预案,全力支持中央汇金 公司发挥好类"平准基金"作用,配合中国人民银行健全支持资本市场货币政策工具长效机制,更好 发挥市场各参与方的内在稳市功能。 据中央汇金官网,中央汇金投资有限责任公司是依据《中华人民共和国公司法》由国家出资设立的国 有独资公司。2003年12月,中央汇金公司成立,总部设在北京,代表国家依法行使对国有商业银行 ...
互联网女皇发布AI报告,企业家如何拥抱AI?
首席商业评论· 2025-06-06 03:42
互联网女皇在2025年5月的最新报告上指出,AI的未来十分广阔,除却大家已经看到或者知道的AI应用和机会,有一点可能很多人忽略了,那就是全球32%还未触 网的用户,未来一旦接入互联网将会直接使用人工智能AI的服务,这也为企业打开了更多想象空间。(想要获取中英文报告的,可加我们微信审核入群) AI大潮势不可挡。 与此同时,特斯拉在奥斯汀的公共街道上完成了"无人驾驶"测试——全程无安全员,完全由AI接管。这一实验不仅提前一个月达成目标,更向世界宣告:AI技术 已从实验室走向现实,企业必须重新思考如何与AI共存、共生。 马斯克在特斯拉上的尝试,是企业运用 AI 的一种高门槛方式,并非所有企业都能效仿。对大多数常规企业而言,如何利用现有市场上的 AI 工具实现增效,才是 当下亟待解决的关键问题。 大环境倒逼企业转型:精细化运营是唯一出路 当下,行业竞争愈发激烈,消费者需求瞬息万变、供应链波动加剧、流量成本攀升等问题接踵而至,传统模式举步维艰。 企业若想活下去,必须从"粗放增长"转向"精细化运营"。 这让我想起 94 岁高龄的股神巴菲特在股东大会上说的话:"对抗不确定性的唯一解药,就是终身学习。"他每天坚持 6 小时学 ...
特朗普敛财新招:美国准备对美债投资者下手,最高收50%利息税
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-05 05:31
Core Viewpoint - The tax reform proposal pushed by the Trump administration, referred to as the "beautiful bill," is facing intense debate in Congress and is seen as a significant shift in the U.S. tax system, with potential global investment implications [1][4]. Group 1: Tax Reform Proposal - The proposal includes a controversial provision, Section 899, which grants the U.S. government unprecedented taxing authority over investments from countries deemed to have "unfair tax practices" [3][4]. - This provision could lead to punitive tax increases on any investment returns from foreign investors, including institutional and individual investors, as well as central banks [3][4]. Group 2: Impact on International Investors - The "long-arm jurisdiction" of the proposed tax regime could significantly affect international financial markets, as it targets investment returns from countries with specific tax classifications [4][10]. - For instance, if Japan holds $1.13 trillion in U.S. Treasury bonds with an average interest rate of 3%, the implementation of Section 899 could result in a tax liability of $151.5 million, effectively halving the returns on these investments [6][10]. Group 3: Fiscal Context - The U.S. government is facing a record fiscal deficit of $1.83 trillion for the 2024 fiscal year, prompting the need for increased revenue through measures like tariffs and the proposed tax reform [8][10]. - The Joint Committee on Taxation estimates that Section 899 could generate $116 billion in tax revenue over the next decade, highlighting the financial motivations behind the proposal [8][10]. Group 4: Broader Implications - The proposed tax changes reflect deeper fiscal anxieties within the U.S., as foreign investors are perceived to benefit from the dollar's dominance without contributing proportionately to U.S. fiscal responsibilities [10][12]. - The potential for a significant restructuring of the international financial system is evident, as investors globally will need to reassess the risk premiums associated with U.S. investments due to the uncertainty surrounding tax liabilities [12].
金晟富:6.5黄金走势符合预期!后市黄金行情分析参考
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-04 16:54
Core Viewpoint - The recent ADP employment report for May revealed only 37,000 new jobs added in the private sector, significantly below the market expectation of 110,000, indicating a slowdown in the labor market and raising concerns about the economic outlook and Federal Reserve monetary policy [1][2] Economic Indicators - The ADP report is considered a leading indicator for the upcoming non-farm payroll data, which is expected to show 130,000 new jobs with an unemployment rate of 4.2% [2] - Following the ADP report, the dollar index dropped approximately 20 basis points, reaching a low of 98.9783, while the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield fell by 0.58% to 4.421%, reflecting increased investor concerns about economic growth [1] Market Reactions - The gold price surged by $26 to a high of $3384.52 per ounce after the ADP report, highlighting a rise in safe-haven demand [1] - Market sentiment is divided, with some traders believing that upcoming unemployment claims and non-farm data will dictate market direction, while institutions focus on long-term trends [2] Future Outlook - If the non-farm payroll data is also disappointing, expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut may increase, putting further pressure on the dollar and benefiting safe-haven assets like gold [2] - Conversely, if the non-farm data exceeds expectations, the market may reassess the resilience of the labor market, potentially leading to a rebound in the dollar [2] Technical Analysis - Gold has successfully established a bottom, with the lowest point at around $3344, and is expected to test resistance at $3392 [3][5] - Current trading strategies suggest a focus on buying on dips around $3345-$3350 and selling on rallies near $3385-$3390, with specific stop-loss and target levels outlined [6][5]
百利好安全月:认准官方渠道 守护财产安全
Sou Hu Wang· 2025-06-03 09:10
以百利好环球官网为例,架构清晰且功能完备:首页设置"企业资讯"板块,详细披露公司背景、监管资 质等信任背书信息;"开户交易"板块能够提供APP下载教学,图文并茂的全流程指引可帮助新手规避虚 假APP风险等。"交易产品"详细提供可交易产品的交易细则及交易时间等。"行情分析"则能够帮助投资 者全面了解市场的宏观态势。 二、监管资质认证:合规性的核心依据 权威金融监管资质是机构合法经营的"准入证",百利好环球严格遵循国际监管标准,从资金管理到客户 权益保护的全流程均受严格监督,保障投资者资金安全与交易公平。在官网"监管资质"专区,投资者可 查阅监管机构名称、编号及认证文件,所有信息均可通过监管机构官网实时核验,形成"披露-验证"的 双重信任。 三、门户网站的防诈要点 随着科技飞速发展,金融领域的诈骗手段也呈现出智能化、隐蔽化的升级趋势。不少不法分子利用技术 漏洞伪造逼真的假页面、假软件,以 "高收益低风险" 等诱饵编织陷阱,让投资者防不胜防。当前,百 利好安全月首期特别聚焦 "官方渠道辨别" 这一核心,从官网架构、监管资质、自媒体认证等多维度拆 解真伪识别要点,帮助大家在复杂的网络环境中精准辨别正规渠道,从源头筑牢 ...
股市 “定海神针”:国家队救市,为啥爱买指数基金?
银行螺丝钉· 2025-05-29 13:56
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the role of the "national team," represented by Central Huijin, in stabilizing the stock market by investing heavily in index funds during market downturns [3][4][8]. Group 1: National Team's Identity and Function - The national team consists of state-owned financial institutions, primarily represented by Central Huijin, which can mobilize substantial funds due to their control over major banks, brokerages, and insurance companies [4][5][6]. - These institutions focus on long-term value and typically enter the market during significant downturns, acting as a stabilizing force [7][8]. Group 2: Investment Strategy - The national team prefers index funds, particularly broad-based index funds, due to their large scale and ability to absorb significant capital inflows during market corrections [10][19]. - The largest index fund in A-shares, the CSI 300 index fund, surpassed 1 trillion in total assets in 2024, highlighting the growing importance of index funds in the market [12][20]. Group 3: Investment Timing and Sources - The national team tends to invest heavily during market dips, with notable buying periods in early February and mid-September 2024, where they invested thousands of billions in index funds [26][27][28]. - Central Huijin's cash flow primarily comes from dividends on its substantial holdings in state-owned enterprises, allowing it to maintain liquidity for investments [32]. Group 4: Monitoring National Team Activities - The actions of the national team can be observed through increased trading volumes in major ETFs during market downturns, indicating their participation [39][41]. - The national team holds significant stakes in major ETFs, with Central Huijin owning 39% and 29% of the largest CSI 300 ETFs [42]. Group 5: Long-term Investment Perspective - The national team's investment strategy includes long-term holdings of state-owned stocks, primarily for capital preservation and dividend income [46][48]. - The national team also acts as a stabilizing entity during market volatility, with plans to sell previously acquired shares when the market improves, while retaining long-term investments [49].