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ICE原糖期货涨0.68%,暂报17.74美分,白糖期货跌0.4%,刷新日低至494.50美元。美国农业部长Rollins宣称,将决定糖关税的税率。
news flash· 2025-04-30 15:07
Group 1 - ICE raw sugar futures increased by 0.68%, currently reported at 17.74 cents [1] - White sugar futures decreased by 0.4%, hitting a daily low of $494.50 [1] - U.S. Agriculture Secretary Rollins announced that a decision will be made regarding the sugar tariff rates [1]
国内总供应量较为充足 预计糖价震荡
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-04-30 07:03
Market Review - On Tuesday, sugar futures prices declined, with the main September contract closing at 5936 CNY/ton, down 41 CNY/ton from the previous trading day [1] Fundamental Summary - According to the USDA Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) Lagos data, Nigeria's raw sugar imports for the 2025-26 fiscal year are expected to increase by 12% compared to the previous year [2] - The Brazilian National Supply Company (CONAB) forecasts that Brazil's sugar production for the 2025/26 fiscal year will reach 45.875 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 4.0% [2] - As of April 30, over 30 sugar enterprises in Yunnan have commenced sugarcane processing, exceeding half of the total number of sugar factories that opened this season, indicating that the province has entered the processing phase [2] Institutional Perspectives - Guotou Anxin Futures noted that while Brazil experienced less rainfall in the first quarter, the high sugar-alcohol price ratio is expected to maintain a high sugar production ratio, leading to uncertainty in production levels. The focus is shifting towards consumption and imports, with good domestic sugar sales and a significant reduction in imported sugar supply, creating bullish factors on both supply and demand sides. However, the trend for US sugar remains downward, and domestic supply is ample, leading to expectations of price fluctuations with a cautious trading approach [3] - Guoxin Futures reported a decline in raw sugar futures, with market attention on the May raw sugar contract expiration. The May contract fell by 0.22 cents/pound, a decrease of 1.2%. Weak demand in the spot market may lead to a large delivery of the May contract, potentially reaching about 2 million tons. CONAB indicated that Brazil's sugar production for the 2025/26 fiscal year is expected to reach record highs due to favorable market conditions, despite a year-on-year decline in sugarcane production. Short-term focus is on weather conditions in major production areas, with heavy rains in Guangxi alleviating drought conditions but raising concerns about potential flooding. A short-term trading strategy is recommended [3]
白糖日报-20250429
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-04-28 23:31
行业 白糖日报 日期 2025 年 4 月 29 日 研究员:王海峰 021-60635728 wanghaifeng@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F0230741 021-60635740 linzhenlei@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3055047 021-60635732 yulanlan@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F0301101 021-60635732 hongchenliang@ccb.ccbfutures .com 期货从业资格号:F3076808 研究员:刘悠然 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F03094925 农产品研究团队 研究员:林贞磊 研究员:余兰兰 研究员:洪辰亮 请阅读正文后的声明 #summary# 每日报告 一、行情回顾与操作建议 | 表1:期货行情 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 合约 | 收盘价(元/吨 | 美分/磅) | 涨跌 | ...
全球糖市纵览(2025、4、28)
Hua Jin Qi Huo· 2025-04-28 09:43
全球糖市纵览(2025/4/28) 华金期货 研究院 糖 市 信 息 汇 总 市场焦点 巴西:新榨季即将开始,关注天气及开榨进度 印度:榨季内产糖降低 至4月中,印度累计产糖2542.5万吨,较去年同期减少574万吨,降幅18.42%; 泰国:预计24/25产糖量增加 截至3月23日,泰国产糖量为997.58万吨,较去年同期的870.6万吨增加126.98万吨,增幅14.58%。 国内:逐步收榨,库存偏高 比增117万吨)、销糖量600万吨(同比增126万吨),销售进度55.8%(同比快6.3%) 新季:广西4月2日全部收榨,总产糖量645万吨,同比增27万吨;截止3月底,全国总产糖量1075万吨(同 库存:3 月国内糖工业库存回落明显。 巳西:ICE-乙醇折糖价差3.3,大稳小劢; 价格信息 观点 国内斱面,未来进口糖及替代品将成为夏季市场供应端最大的变量。建议白糖短期震荡思路对徃,相关企业根据生产 情况开展保值操作。 基本面 CFTC净多持仏:净多持仏增加,仍处往年同期低位; 双周数据:至3月底,巳西24/25累计产糖4016.9万吨,同比降5.3%。 出口:3月出口185万吨,榨季内累计已出口3525万 ...
“一根甘蔗两头甜” 建行云南文山分行金融活水滋润蔗业上下游
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Zhi Sheng· 2025-04-28 06:45
Core Insights - The article highlights the successful implementation of a financial model that supports the sugarcane industry in Yunnan Province, China, through innovative credit products and supply chain financing [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Support and Innovations - The Construction Bank's Wenshan branch provided a loan of 200,000 yuan for sugarcane farmers, enabling them to upgrade to new varieties and drip irrigation systems, resulting in a 30% improvement in crop conditions compared to the previous year [1]. - The Wenshan branch also allocated 40 million yuan in supply chain loans to the Yunnan Funing Xianggui Sugar Industry Co., which led to equipment upgrades, increasing sugar extraction rates by 1.2 percentage points and allowing for an additional 30 tons of sugar production daily [1]. Group 2: Economic Impact and Growth - The comprehensive output value of the sugarcane industry in Funing County has increased by 40% over the past three years, benefiting nearly 50,000 farmers with an average income increase of over 8,500 yuan [2]. - The total output value of the sugarcane industry in the county has surpassed 440 million yuan, with additional processing projects for by-products contributing an extra 300 yuan per acre [2].
白糖:关注内外价差机会
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-04-27 06:30
二 〇 二 五 年 度 2025 年 04 月 27 日 白糖:关注内外价差机会 周小球 投资咨询从业资格号:Z0001891 zhouxiaoqiu@gtht.com 报告导读: (1)本周市场回顾 国际市场方面,美元指数 99.58(前值 99.23),美元兑巴西雷亚尔 5.68(前值 5.86),WTI 原油价 格 63.17 美元/桶(-0.91%),纽约原糖活跃合约价格 18.16 美分/磅(+2.19%)。截至 4 月 22 日,基金 多单减少 3360 手,基金空单增加 1135 手,净多单同比减少 4495 手至 45862 手,净多单小幅减少。 UNICA 数据显示,截至 3 月 31 日,24/25 榨季巴西中南部累计产糖 4017 万吨,同比减少 225 万吨。 ISMA/NFCSF 数据显示,截至 4 月 15 日,24/25 榨季印度产糖 2543 万吨,同比减少 574 万吨。OCSB 数 据显示,截至 4 月 9 日,24/25 榨季泰国产糖 1005 万吨,同比增加 131 万吨。 国内市场方面,广西集团现货报价 6190 元/吨,环比上周上涨 20 元/吨;郑糖主力报 597 ...
不确定性增加,郑糖关注广西天气
Guo Xin Qi Huo· 2025-04-27 02:41
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - Not mentioned in the report Group 2: Core Views of the Report - Internationally, Brazil's new - year sugar production is下调. India's sugar production is expected to be less than 26 million tons, making exports difficult. Brazil's initial crushing progress has increased significantly year - on - year, and overall consumption lacks a boost [2][26]. - Domestically, the sales of domestic sugar are progressing rapidly, and inventory pressure is low. Droughts in major domestic producing areas have affected sugarcane growth. However, the previous opening of the domestic import window may lead to a significant increase in imports in May. Consumption is entering the off - season. Sugar prices mainly depend on later weather changes. If risks are magnified, sugar prices have upward momentum; if there is sufficient rainfall later, sugar prices may face pressure from the off - season and increased imports and may decline [2][26]. - The recommended operation is to conduct band trading on Zhengzhou sugar futures [3][27]. Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Market Review - In April, Zhengzhou sugar prices first declined and then rebounded. Affected by the negative news of the US tariff increase and the decline of the external market, Zhengzhou sugar followed the downward trend, with the main contract reaching a minimum of 5,856 yuan/ton on April 16. Then it rebounded due to weather disasters in major producing areas [5]. - In April, international sugar prices continued to fluctuate downward. Macro - events and strong production at the beginning of Brazil's sugar - crushing season put pressure on the market, with the main contract reaching a minimum of 17.36 cents/pound on April 16 [5]. 2. International Market Analysis 2.1 Brazil: Strong Production Start and Significantly Reduced Inventory - Brazil's sugar inventory in the first quarter of the year decreased by about 70% compared with the historical average. By the end of March, the inventory dropped to 2.61 million tons, a ten - year low, prompting sugar mills to increase sugar production [7]. - The sugar - making ratio in southern Brazil at the beginning of the crushing season was 43%, much higher than 33.5% in the same period last year and market expectations. The attractiveness of sugar production is high, and it is expected that Brazil has added some production capacity. Reduced rainfall is beneficial for the start of the crushing season, and supply data is expected to maintain a large year - on - year increase, continuously pressuring the market [7]. 2.2 India: Production Nearing End and High Domestic Sugar Prices - As of April 15, 2025, in the 2024/25 sugar - crushing season, India had crushed 271 million tons of sugarcane and produced 25.425 million tons of sugar, with 37 sugar mills still in operation. In the same period of the previous season, 74 sugar mills were not yet finished, having crushed 307 million tons of sugarcane and produced 31.165 million tons of sugar. The average sugar - production rate was 9.37%, lower than 10.16% in the previous season [11]. - This season's sugar production is expected to be 25.9 million tons. With production below 26 million tons, exports may be restricted later. Supported by tightened domestic supply, domestic sugar prices in India remain above 19.5 cents/pound [11]. 3. Domestic Market Analysis 3.1 Domestic Production Nearing End and Inventory Declining - As of the end of March 2025, in the 2024/25 sugar - crushing season, 43 sugar mills in Yunnan and 1 in Guangxi were still in production, and all sugar mills in other provinces (regions) had stopped. The country produced 10.7479 million tons of sugar this season, a year - on - year increase of 1.1748 million tons or 12.27%. The cumulative sugar sales were 5.9958 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 1.261 million tons or 26.64%. The cumulative sugar sales rate was 55.79%, 6.33 percentage points faster than the same period last year. The industrial inventory as of March was 4.7521 million tons, a year - on - year decrease of 86,500 tons [14]. - In the short term, domestic supply pressure is very limited. Before the increase in imports, sugar mills are expected to maintain a price - holding attitude. Although there will be incremental supply later, it will also be the peak consumption season. Overall, the firm spot price this season will continue to support the futures market [14]. 3.2 Severe Drought in Guangxi and Attention to Later Weather - Since the beginning of 2025, Guangxi has experienced the most severe autumn - winter - spring continuous drought since 1961. As of April 21, 97.5% of the region's land was affected by meteorological drought, with 68.7% reaching the extreme drought level, affecting 52 counties (districts) in 11 cities. It has caused 405,000 people to be affected, 513,000 hectares of crops to be damaged, and direct economic losses of 210 million yuan [17]. - The drought has severely affected sugarcane production in Guangxi. During the critical period of spring - planted sugarcane emergence and ratoon sugarcane tillering from April to May, the continuous drought has led to a 30% - 50% decrease in the sugarcane emergence rate compared with normal years, and the survival rate of ratoon sugarcane in some areas is less than 50%. The drought has also weakened photosynthesis and reduced the sucrose accumulation rate, affecting the sugar - production rate. It is expected that Guangxi's sugarcane output in the 2024/25 season will decline significantly [18]. 3.3 Expected Import Surge in May and Tighter Syrup Control - In March 2025, China imported 70,000 tons of sugar, a year - on - year increase of 60,000 tons. From January to March 2025, the cumulative sugar imports were 150,000 tons, a year - on - year decrease of 1.05 million tons. As of the end of March in the 2024/25 season, the cumulative sugar imports were 1.61 million tons, a year - on - year decrease of 1.45 million tons. The import contraction was greater than market expectations [23]. - In March 2025, China imported 132,800 tons of syrup and premixed powder, a year - on - year decrease of 24,600 tons. From January to March, the cumulative imports of syrup and premixed powder were 242,000 tons, a year - on - year decrease of 83,700 tons. As of the end of March in the 2024/25 season, the cumulative imports of syrup and premixed powder were 881,100 tons, a year - on - year increase of 140,200 tons [23]. - The import window has opened several times since January 21, March 6, and around April 15, 2025. It is highly likely that imports will significantly increase in May, with the total exceeding 1 million tons [24].
广农糖业:2024年报净利润0.27亿 同比下降3.57%
Tong Hua Shun Cai Bao· 2025-04-25 13:51
三、分红送配方案情况 数据四舍五入,查看更多财务数据>> 二、前10名无限售条件股东持股情况 一、主要会计数据和财务指标 前十大流通股东累计持有: 24016.96万股,累计占流通股比: 59.99%,较上期变化: 8151.83万股。 | 报告期指标 | 2024年年报 | 2023年年报 | 本年比上年增减(%) | 2022年年报 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 基本每股收益(元) | 0.0683 | 0.0688 | -0.73 | -1.1429 | | 每股净资产(元) | 0.31 | 0.24 | 29.17 | 0.1 | | 每股公积金(元) | 4.89 | 4.89 | 0 | 4.82 | | 每股未分配利润(元) | -5.96 | -6.03 | 1.16 | -6.10 | | 每股经营现金流(元) | - | - | - | - | | 营业收入(亿元) | 32.52 | 33.65 | -3.36 | 28.38 | | 净利润(亿元) | 0.27 | 0.28 | -3.57 | -4.58 | | 净资产收益率(%) | 2 ...